vietnam fertilizer industry report q3/2018...fertilizer market continues to oversupply, estimated...
TRANSCRIPT
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VIETNAM FERTILIZER INDUSTRY REPORT Q3/2018
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Executive summary 4
1. Business environment 6
1.1 Macroeconomic situation 6
1.2 Legal framework 10
2. Industry overview 18
2.1 Situation of fertilizer industry in the world 18
2.1.1 Supply demand 19
2.2 Vietnam fertilizer industry situation 20
2.2.1 History of Vietnam fertilizer industry 20
2.2.2 Definition and Classification 22
2.2.3 Scale and Characteristics of market 25
Content
2.2.4 Main activities 26
2.2.5 Supply demand 28
2.2.6 Import export 35
2.2.7 Price movement 42
2.3 Industry planning 44
3. Enterprise analysis 48
3.1 Top 10 enterprises 48
3.2 Target group of business results 58
3.3 Target group of finance 64
3.4 Target group of cash flow 69
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ADB Asia Development Bank
EVN Vietnam Electricity
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization
FAV Fertilizer Association Vietnam
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FIA Foreign Investment Agency
GDVC General Department of Vietnam Custom
Abbreviation
GSO General Statistics Office
MOT Ministry of Transport
MARD Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development
VinacominVietnam National Coal and Mineral Industries Holding
Corporation Limited
UN comtrade United Nations Database of Trade Statistics
VIRAC Vietnam Industry Research and Consultancy
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Fertilizer market continues to oversupply,
estimated supply of nutrition by fertilizer
ingredients increased to 3.4% while demand
increased slightly by 0.6%
Asia and the Americas are the largest
fertilizer consuming regions in the world,
Fertilizer prices tend to rise again due to high
demand while supply is scarce and the impact
of raw material costs and transportation (due
to rising oil, gas and coal prices).
Average supply exceeds the demand.
Vietnam fertilizer production has focused on
the single and mixed market for NPK and
DAP
Fertilizer consumption tends to decrease over
the years
Fertilizer imports have fluctuated
continuously over the years
Asian countries continue to be the main
export markets of Vietnam.
Executive summary
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Executive summary
5
Fertilizers are in a saturated state, domestic
firms have to compete fiercely with imports,
while demand tends to fall, leading to
downward pressure in the 2016-2020 period.
In particular, Cambodia continues to be the main
export market,
Fertilizer inventories tend to increase over the
years, but the growth rate has been decreasing.
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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
1.2 Legal framework
Content
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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
Monthly CPI fluctuation, 2014 – 6/2018
Source: VIRAC, GSO
Source: VIRAC, GSO
GDP growth, 2012 – 6M/2018• GDP in the first 6 months of 2018 is estimated to increase 7.08% over the
same period last year, the highest increase of 6 months since 2011.
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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
Source: VIRAC
Source: VIRAC, SBV
VND/CNY exchange rate, 2016 - 6/2018
VND/USD exchange rate, 3/2015 - 6/2018
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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
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Source: VIRAC, GDVC
USD million
Source: VIRAC, GDVC
Export- Import by quarter, Q1/2015 – Q2/2018
Structure of export commodities, 6M/2018
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1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
1.2 Legal framework
Content
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• Circular No. 36/2010/TT-BNNPTNT
• Decree No. 163/2013/ND-CP
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on production, trading and use of fertilizers
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• Decree No. 202/2013/ND-CP
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on production, trading and use of fertilizers
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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on production, trading and use of fertilizers
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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on taxes of fertilizer import and export
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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on taxes of fertilizer import and export
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1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on taxes of fertilizer import and export
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• On June 2, 2018, the Ministry of Finance said that in the draft law to amend and supplement some articles of the 6 Laws on tax, fertilizer will be
subject to VAT at the preferential tax rate of 5%.
1. Business environment
1.2 Legal framework - Group of regulations on taxes of fertilizer import and export
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Content
2. Industry overview
2.1 Situation of fertilizer industry in the world
2.2 Vietnam fertilizer industry situation
2.3 Industry planning
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2. Industry overview
2.1 World fertilizer market – 2.1.1 Fertilizer supply-demand
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Demand by nutrient and nutrient supply, 2015 – 2017e
Source: VIRAC, FAO
Million tons
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Content
2. Industry overview
2.1 Situation of fertilizer industry in the world
2.2 Vietnam fertilizer industry situation
2.3 Industry planning
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Industry – 2.2.1 History of Industry Development
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Classified according to the nutrient
requirements of plants
Classified according to source
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Industry – 2.2.2 Definition and Specification
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Structure of major fertilizers 2014
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Name of fertilizer Chemical composition Characteristic Type of suitable land
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Industry – 2.2.2 Definition and Specification
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Name of fertilizer Chemical composition Characteristic Type of suitable land
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Industry – 2.2.2 Definition and Specification
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer industry– 2.2.3 Scale and characteristic of market
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Fertilizer industry revenue, 2010 - 2016
VND billion
Source: VIRAC, GSO Source: VIRAC, GSO
Share by revenue, 2016
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer industry– 2.2.4 Main activities
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer industry– 2.2.4 Main activities
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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Million tonsSupply - Demand, 2012 – 6M/2018e
Production and consumption of domestic producers,
2012 – 6M/2018e
Source: VIRAC, GSO, MARD, GDVC
Source: VIRAC, GSO, MARD, GDVC
Million tons
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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Fertilizer production, 2012 – 6M/2018e
Source: VIRAC, GSO
Million tons
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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The impact of tax policies on domestic production
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• On June 2, 2018, the Ministry of Finance said that in the draft law to amend and supplement some articles of the 6 Laws on tax, fertilizer will be subject
to VAT at the preferential tax rate of 5%.
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
Source: VIRAC
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Fertilizer production capacity of big domestic enterprises, 6/2018
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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Source: VIRAC
Factory Capacity
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.5 Supply demand
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Million tons
Source: VIRAC, GSO, MARD
Demand and consumption of fertilizer, 2012 - 6M/2018e
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Source: VIRAC, GDVC, MARD
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Fertilizer imports, 2012 – 6M/2018e
Fertilizer imports have fluctuated continuously over the years as a result of domestic demand - supply and import and export tax policies as well as
major import markets.
Thousand tons
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Source: VIRAC, MARD, GDVC
Source: VIRAC, MARD, GDVC
Thousand tonsFertilizer imports, 6M/2017 / 6M/2018e
Fertilizer imports by type, 6M/2018e
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Source: VIRAC, MARD, GDVC
Import structure of fertilizer by countries, 6M/2018
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Prices of some types of imported fertilizer 6M/2018
Type of fertilizer Average unit price
6M/2018
Unit: USD
Source: GDVC
Structure of importing fertilizer enterprises, 6M/2018
Source: GDVC
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Million tons
Fertilizer exports, 2012 – 6M/2018e
Source: VIRAC, MARD, GDVC
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Source: VIRAC, GDVC
Thousand tons
Source: VIRAC, GDVC
Fertilizer exports by country, 6M/2018e Fertilizer exports by country, 6M/2017 - 6M/2018e
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.6 Import export
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Temporary import for export by type, 6M/2017
Type of fertilizer Share
Source: VIRAC, GDVC
Source: VIRAC, GDVC
Type of fertilizer Share
Vietnam fertilizer exports by type, 6M/2017
Fertilizer exports by origin, 6M/2018
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Ure and DAP prices have been fluctuating much in the first three months of 2018, specifically:
Source: VIRAC, VIETRADE- MOIT
2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.7 Price movement
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* Price movements of main products (highest price) from Tran Xuan Soan market
VND
Price movement, 2014 - 6/2018
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2. Industry overview
2.2 Vietnam Fertilizer Market – 2.2.7 Price movement
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Content
2. Industry overview
2.1 Situation of fertilizer industry in the world
2.2 Vietnam fertilizer industry situation
2.3 Industry planning
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1. Planning the fertilizer production system
Decision No. 6868/QD-BTC approving the master plan for the development of the fertilizer production system and distribution system in the 2011-2020
period, with a view to 2025.
2. Industry overview
2.3 Industry planning
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2. Planning the fertilizer distribution system
3. Group of support solutions
2. Industry overview
2.3 Industry planning
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2. Industry overview
2.3 Industry planning
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
3.2 Target group of business results
3.3 Target group of finance
3.4 Target group of cash flow
Content
48
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Enterprise name AddressChartered capital
(VND million)
Total assets
(VND million)
Net revenue
(VND million)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Top 10 businesses with largest revenue in 2017
Source: VIRAC
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
49
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Phu My Fertilizer Plant - PetroVietnam Fertilizer and Chemicals Corporation
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
50
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Binh Dien Fertilizer Joint Stock Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
51
BFC’s fertilizer plants
Source: VIRAC
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Ca Mau Petroleum Fertilizer Joint Stock Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
52
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Lam Thao Fertilizers and Chemicals Joint Stock Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
53
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Ha Bac Nitrogenous Fertilizer & Chemicals Joint Stock Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
54
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DAP – VINACHEM Joint Stock Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
55
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Quảng Bình Import Export Company
3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
56
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Southwest Petrovietnam Fertilizer and
Chemicals CorporationSoutheast Petrovietnam Fertilizer and
Chemicals Corporation
Central Petrovietnam Fertilizer and
Chemicals Corporation
North Petrovietnam Fertilizer and
Chemicals Corporation
3. Business analysis
3.1 Top 10 businesses
57
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
3.2 Target group of business results
3.3 Target group of finance
3.4 Target group of cash flow
Content
58
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Source: VIRAC
3. Enterprise analysis
3.2 Target group of business results
59
VND billionNet revenue
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.2 Target group of business results
60
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.2 Target group of business results
61
Source: VIRAC
VND billion
Gross profit margin, 2016 - 2017
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Source: VIRAC
3. Enterprise analysis
3.2 Target group of business results
62
Self-financing rate, 2016 - 2017
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.2 Target group of business results
63
Source: VIRAC
Source: VIRAC
Selling expenses, 2016 - 2017
Administrative expenses, 2016 - 2017
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
3.2 Target group of business results
3.3 Target group of finance
3.4 Target group of cash flow
Content
64
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Source: VIRAC
3. Enterprise analysis
3.3 Target group of finance
65
Fixed asset turnover, 2016 - 2017
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Source: VIRAC
Day
3. Enterprise analysis
3.3 Target group of finance
66
Producing enterprises Trading enterprises
Days in inventory, 2016 - 2017
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Source: VIRAC
3. Enterprise analysis
3.3 Target group of finance
67
DayDays of sales outstanding, 2016 - 2017
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.3 Target group of finance
68
Source: VIRAC
Profit Ratio, 2016 - 2017
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.1 Top 10 enterprises
3.2 Target group of business results
3.3 Target group of finance
3.4 Target group of payment
Content
69
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3. Enterprise analysis
3.4 Target group of payment
70
Source: VIRAC
Index of payment, 2016 - 2017
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REPORT DISCLAIMER
This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any independent verification. VIRAC has
produced this report for private circulation to professional clients only. All information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to
be reliable and made to ensure the accuracy of the contents of the pages of the report at the time of preparation. Such information has not been independently
verified and VIRAC makes no representation or warranty, whether express or implied, of any kind with respect to the document and its contents, information and
materials. The content found in this report is proprietary to VIRAC and is provided solely for your personal and non-commercial use. You agree that you will not
use this report for any purpose that is unlawful and that you will not reproduce the report or redistribute it outside your organisation, or place it on a website for
public access without the express written permission of VIRAC.
SHOULD YOU NEED ANY ASSISTANCE, PLEASE CONTACT US:
VIETNAM INDUSTRY RESEARCH AND CONSULTANCY (VIRAC JSC.,)
6th Floor, Anh Minh Building, 36 Hoang Cau, O Cho Dua, Dong Da, Hanoi, Vietnam
Website: http://virac.com.vn/
Email: [email protected] | Tel: +84 463289520
REPORT DISCLAIMER
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Thank you !
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