verite: conference on business intelligence
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VERITE: Conference on Business Intelligence. „For Intelligent Organizations: methods and tools of Business Intelligence“. 16th October 2003 in Vitoria, Basque Country Spain. The Role of foresight in a new regionalised innovation policy Session D: BI and policies. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
VERITE:
Conference on Business Intelligence
„For Intelligent Organizations:
methods and tools of Business Intelligence“
16th October 2003 in Vitoria, Basque Country Spain
Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
The Role of foresight in a new regionalised innovation policySession D: BI and policies
Susanne Jakobs and Michael Guth,
ZENIT GmbH, Germany
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
Structural change, innovation policy and the role of foresight
NRWNRW
The case of Nordrhein-Westfalen (Germany) as an example for regions which are facing severe industrial structural change
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
18 million inhabitants (82 million in Germany)
NRW’s industrial core region is the so called ruhr area (Ruhrgebiet)
The regional background
NRWNRW
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Position 14 in the world‘s GDP-ranking
Position 14 Position 16 Position 19
Figures: billion Euro, as of 2001459.6
NRW
418.7 411.5
346.1300.1
276.2 254.2 234.6210.7 195.0 193.5 184.7
Nether-lands
Australia Russia Argentina Switzer-land
Belgium Sweden Austria Poland SaudiArabia
Norway
NRWNRW
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
For a good century the driver for economic growth and prosperity based on coal and steel
The ruhr area:
NRW - the ruhr areaNRW - the ruhr area
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
Since the late 1950ies a region facing problems ofstructural change with today insufficient and underaverage growth rates and high unemployment:
average NRW 04/03 9.3 % average ruhr area 04/02 11.9 % highest district ruhr area 04/02 17.8 %
The ruhr area:
NRW - the ruhr areaNRW - the ruhr area
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
From protectionism towards future orientated regional fields of competence
Standard policy; backward orientation
Regionalised structural policy, still past orientated
Future orientated cluster approach
Regionalisation, SME, Innovation & TT infrastructures
Infrastructural endowment & emprovemt of environmt
Co-financing from EU structural funds
Future of SFs?
Protectionism
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Strengthening the strength
Policy EvaluationPolicy Evaluation
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
15 economic regions within NRW framework for territorial development
and social dialogue regional co-operation in so-called
regional conferences regional development plans prioritisation of major projects of
structural importance
Regionalised structural policy (RSP)
NRWNRW
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
Results RSP turned out to be an efficient tool concerning
the regional allocation of public funds New forms of active participation of relevant actors
were introduced Regional know-how and capacities were mobilised
However .....
Regionalised structural policy (RSP)
NRWNRW
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
Problem pressure remaining in the regions Systematic deficits became evident: past orientation,
limited partnerships, lack of future vision New challenges occurring: globalisation, innovation and
competitive pressure, Eastern enlargement of EU, public budget deficits leading to reduced budgets for structural policies
Introduction of a new future orientated policy approach: Competence fields
Regionalised structural policy (RSP)
ChallengesChallenges
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Shift from “overcoming weaknesses” towards strengthening the strengths
From backward looking towards future orientation
From RSP to competence fields (CF)
ChallengesChallenges
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Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW
regional networks based on voluntary co-operation in a specific thematic field of economic relevance
the thematic focus is based on existing industrial thematic strengths
covering major steps in the value adding chain high degree of interaction and communication amongst
the actors
What‘s a competence field (CF)
ChallengesChallenges
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Can FS be a useful tool to develop and to conduct a competence field orientated regional policy in NRW ?
Are there lessons to take into account from the regionalised structural policy approach ?
The role of foresight in CFs
ChallengesChallenges
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The RSP approach has striking similarities with FOREN´s1 definition of FS:
anticipation participation networking vision building action
Lessons from RSP
ChallengesChallenges
1FOREN is a foresight project of the European Commission and the Joint Research Centre IPTS
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FS elements in RSP (1/2) ChallengesChallenges
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Regionalisation · with the ZIN regions a regional layer below Länder level was established
· randomised regional definition· weak regional identification
· > 10 years experience in regionalisation ZIN regions as starting point for more adequate regional definition
· intra regional conflicts deteriorate the process
Anticipation · not relevant as anticipation was no element within RSP
· concrete actions/ projects may not meet regional needs
· not relevant as anticipation was no element within RSP
· decision do not gain in quality this will be perceived by the actors through weak results erosion of process
Participation · new forms of active participation introduced by RSP· rather broad partnership
· no firms, no citizens!· de facto political pressure from the Land on the regions to participate
· > 10 years experience with participative approaches
· exclusion of firms and citizens reduces "relevance" of the exercise· also: limited awareness and visibility of the exercise
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FS elements in RSP (2/2) ChallengesChallenges
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Networks · new forms of networks were established· new types of interaction emerged
· rather low frequency of meetings· latent lines of conflict between the partners
· even under weak framework conditions good results (new and intensified dialogue) were yielded
· the whole approach may fall asleep in certain regions· high degree of frustration for those motivated
Vision building · conduction of regional socio-economic SWOT analysis· elaboration of regional development plans
· weak up-dating of regional analysis· plans were pre-determined by policy strategies of the Land
· > 10 years of experience to be exploited
· lack of "shared" vision leads to deficits in decision making ("wrong" projects, inadequate bundle of measures etc.)
Action · RSP's objective was to improve present day's policy decisions
· plans were pre-determined by policy strategies of the Land
· identified weak ness of RSP in that respect is the main driver for developing new and more adequate policy concepts
· wrong projects· inadequate conceptions
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Competence Fields + Foresight = Prosperity ?
ChallengesChallenges
FS exercises help industrial regions to build up new structures for communication and interaction amongst the actors
RF thus directly contributes to the emergence of regional innovation and learning systems (RILS); regional learning and innovation is the basis for future prosperity and growth
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What needs to be done in NRW
ChallengesChallenges
Adequate definition of the territory Future intelligence gathering is necessary – but regional
authorities do not like it convince them A minimum devolution of power is necessary Broad network (no exclusion of the businesses) Vision building must be regarded as a process
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Some general considerations (1/2)
ChallengesChallenges
Old industrial regions generally suffer from a decline in previously pre-dominant economic activities in the region unemployment, insufficient growth, etc.
Need to identify alternative income and employment opportunities as a policy challenge
In the Knowledge economy innovation performance and economic prosperity increasingly depend on the regions' capacity to successfully organise learning processes
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Some general considerations (2/2)
ChallengesChallenges
The interaction induced by RF exercises is very similar to both learning and innovation processes
RF fertilises learning and innovation and vice versa Policy should thus increasingly exploit synergies
between regional innovation systems and FS RF provides particular advantages for Eastern
European Candidate Countries with weak meso institutions and non-existing regional innovation systems
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Eastern Europe and Foresight opportunities
PossibilitiesPossibilities
Problem of Eastern Europe: virtual non-emergence of regional innovations systems
Foresight (FS) provides the potential to develop joint visions for new regional innovations systems in broad partnerships
FS creates the important link between University and Industry
Networking structures and participation assure a policy with a high degree of transparency
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Thank you very much for your attention!