v work environment forecast – dec. 2014 there is a cold wind a coming… larry supina manager,...
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Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014
There is a COLD WIND a coming…
Larry Supina
Manager, Pantex Readiness
Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC
Historical Injury Patterns - December
Slips, Trips and Falls, that’s what December brings. It may be due to ice, uneven walk-ways, lack of attention, the persistent darkness, or just being in a hurry to get inside where it is warm. Eliminate the slips and we could almost eliminate all of December’s injuries.
0 ABRASION 1 1 HEAD 2
0 ALLERGIC EYE 00 BITE EAR 00 BURN NECK 06 CONTUSION 3 2 1 1 SHOULDER 11 FRACTURE 1 BACK 0
0 LACERATION 2 ARMS 2
2 SPRAIN/STRAIN 2 1 2 HAND 30 AVULSION TORSO 00 IRRATATION THIGH 00 DISLOCATION 1 KNEE 10 CONCUSSION LOWER LEG 00 OTHER MULTIPLE 0
HISTORICAL INJURY PATTERNS - December2011 2012 2013
Historical Employee Leave Patterns - December
Leave usage in the month of December is
bi-polar, almost everyday is either above
or below 20% control limits.
Expect most of your staff to be available for the
first three weeks, expect to be short-staffed after
that.
Day of Week Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined
Thursday 1 1264.00 1279.25 2543.25 29 1086.00 1430.75 2516.75 28 0.00
Friday 2 1987.00 1097.00 3084.00 30 1559.00 1168.50 2727.50 29 0.00
Monday 5 1967.00 1346.75 3313.75 3 1243.00 1451.25 2694.25 2 1485.00 999.46 2484.46Tuesday 6 1903.00 1486.00 3389.00 4 813.00 1421.00 2234.00 3 1062.00 1442.25 2504.25
Wednesday 7 1078.00 1000.75 2078.75 5 831.00 1220.00 2051.00 4 816.00 1340.50 2156.50
Thursday 8 1138.00 1157.00 2295.00 6 1051.00 1304.00 2355.00 5 1028.00 1400.75 2428.75
Friday 9 1346.00 788.50 2134.50 7 1179.00 744.25 1923.25 6 1267.00 1041.25 2308.25
Monday 12 1179.00 1260.75 2439.75 10 1173.00 1545.25 2718.25 9 822.00 1507.75 2329.75
Tuesday 13 969.00 1286.00 2255.00 11 877.00 1329.50 2206.50 10 764.00 1347.25 2111.25
Wednesday 14 899.00 1260.50 2159.50 12 1035.00 1411.25 2446.25 11 730.00 1368.10 2098.10
Thursday 15 1177.00 1243.00 2420.00 13 947.00 1522.50 2469.50 12 911.00 1328.25 2239.25
Friday 16 1898.00 1011.50 2909.50 14 1419.00 1197.50 2616.50 13 1556.00 1297.25 2853.25
Monday 19 1908.00 1236.50 3144.50 17 1438.00 1409.30 2847.30 16 1010.00 1339.45 2349.45
Tuesday 20 3976.00 1448.75 5424.75 18 1309.00 1231.00 2540.00 17 759.00 1242.75 2001.75
Wednesday 21 2314.00 985.00 3299.00 19 1361.00 1301.00 2662.00 18 924.00 1264.25 2188.25
Thursday 22 3784.00 949.50 4733.50 20 2081.00 1108.75 3189.75 19 1345.00 1266.15 2611.15
Friday 23 3124.00 408.50 3532.50 21 2073.00 587.98 2660.98 20 1173.00 1073.75 2246.75
Monday 26 0.00 24 0.00 23 5688.00 1174.50 6862.50
Tuesday 27 0.00 25 0.00 24 7696.00 561.00 8257.00
Wednesday 28 10772.00 751.75 11523.75 26 11641.00 786.50 12427.50 25 0.00
Thursday 29 11087.00 1063.00 12150.00 27 10105.00 1132.50 11237.50 26 10671.00 834.00 11505.00
Friday 30 8558.00 697.00 9255.00 28 7410.00 1007.75 8417.75 27 6882.00 962.00 7844.00
Monday 2 0.00 31 12470.00 943.25 13413.25 30 5477.00 1385.25 6862.25
Tuesday 3 1657.00 973.25 2630.25 1 0.00 31 5966.00 1162.50 7128.50
Total Hrs. 63985.00 22730.25 86715.25 63101.00 25253.78 88354.78 58032.00 25338.41 83370.41
Average 2908.41 1033.19 3941.60 2868.23 1147.90 4016.13 2637.82 1151.75 3789.56
3YR. 2776.77 1110.95 3915.76
UCL @ 20% 3332.12 1333.14 4698.92
LCL @ 20% 2221.42 888.76 3132.61
2011 2012 2013
Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13
Damaging winds (50+ MPH) and Hard-Freeze (24 degrees or less) and snow create equipment failures, alarms, and stressful work situations for employees.
TotalOver-
FlightsLightning
Personal Safety
SpillsVehicle Damage
Wind Gust
Property Damage
Equip. Failure
Injury or Illness
Weather Events
Rad Alarms
Fire Alarms
Other Alarms
Date/Day of Week
LiftProcess
Stop
1 29 28 Th 44 22 22 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 11
2 30 29 Fr 30 26 24 R 1 1 1 1 1 5
3 1 30 Sa 31 38 21FRTS 3 1 1 1 64 2 1 Su X 26 39 14 S 1 3 45 3 2 Mo X 36 40 20 S 4 1 2 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 266 4 3 Tu X X 18 15 31 6 1 1 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 237 5 4 We 21 32 30 5 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 198 6 5 Th 20 32 32 S 2 2 6 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 239 7 6 Fr 20 17 18 F S 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1310 8 7 Sa 24 31 23 F F S 1 6 1 5 5 1 1911 9 8 Su 31 40 44 S 3 1 412 10 9 Mo 31 24 20 F 2 3 3 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 2013 11 10 Tu X 22 21 41 FR 1 4 1 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2014 12 11 We X 43 32 25 5 5 5 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 3715 13 12 Th X 25 26 32 3 3 4 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2216 14 13 Fr X X X 21 62 32 RT 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 23
17 15 14 Sa X 22 51 35 4 3 1 1 918 16 15 Su X 35 38 17 2 1 2 2 2 1 1019 17 16 Mo X 37 32 14 RS 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1520 18 17 Tu 47 18 21 S 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1521 19 18 We X 38 55 41 S 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 2 1422 20 19 Th 37 43 36 F 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1523 21 20 Fr X 17 31 34 2 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 5 1 1 2024 22 21 Sa X 18 22 21 FRS 2 1 1 1 1 525 23 22 Su X 22 21 20 FS 1 2 1 426 24 23 Mo X 20 30 26 F 2 1 1 1 1 6
27 25 24 Tu 29 43 39 S 2 4 1 2 1 1 1128 26 25 We 28 33 32 1 7 1 7 1 4 1 1 2329 27 26 Th 22 26 23 2 1 1 1 1 630 28 27 Fr 25 26 16 2 1 1 1 1 631 29 28 Sa X 55 22 29 S 1 1 1 1 1 51 30 29 Fr X 20 39 48 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 122 31 30 Sa X 23 26 33 S 1 1 1 13 1 31 Su 16 24 40 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 14
UC 16 465
LC 11 14
04-2
169 121 41 19+1+1
33 19-1 -1
25 12+338
Date/Day of Week
Position Change from Last Month
Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13
Plan on Lightning Warnings impacting:
2% of Day Shift
3.6% of Swing Shift
0% of Midnights
2% of Weekends
2011 2012 2013Thur 1Fri 2Sat 3 1Sun 4 2 1 0.53Mon 5 3 2 1.15 0.11Tue 6 4 3 0.66We 7 5 4Thur 8 6 5Fri 9 7 6Sat 10 8 7Sun 11 9 8Mon 12 10 9Tue 13 11 10 3.06Wed 14 12 11 6.06Thur 15 13 12 0.16 1.16Fri 16 14 13 1.76 5.03Sat 17 15 14Sun 18 16 15 2.13Mon 19 17 16 4.83 8 7.03Tue 20 18 17Wed 21 19 18Thur 22 20 19Fri 23 21 20 0.78 2.25Sat 24 22 21 0.11 8.00 2.15Sun 25 23 22 0.76Mon 26 24 23 1.38Tue 27 25 24Wed 28 26 25Thur 29 27 26Fri 30 28 27Sat 31 29 28Sun 1 30 29Mon 2 31 30 3.75 0.50Tue 3 1 31
M-F Mdnt ShiftLghtn Hrs
M-F Day ShiftLghtn Hrs
M-F Swing ShiftLghtn Hrs
December 2014 WEF - Summary
Presentation available at:https://sites.uad.pxplant.com/sixsigma/Home/WEF/SitePages/Home.aspx
Or contact Larry Supina at 4806
Things to Consider Likely the area will see a
significant snowfall before the Christmas Holidays.
Early morning frost will make walkways slippery.
Vacation use will highest at the end of the month.
Discussion – Winter is here, high winds, hard freezes, slick conditions, long nights, short days, snow and Christmas. Lot’s of distractions and increased opportunities for injuries, equipment failures, alarms and other impacts to work.
Management Actions
Check dampers, doors and auxiliary heating units to be sure they are set correctly to avoid freeze damage.
Ensure snow removal and ice melting equipment and supplies are available.
Keep your employees focused on safety as the conditions will be changing dramatically from one day to the next.
Past & Predicted Weather
2011 – High 73 Low 43” Snow 55 mph Wind Gust
2012 – High 78 Low 8.54” Rain 62 mph Wind Gust
2013 – High 72 Low 32” Snow 48 mph Wind Gust
2014 – Below average temperatures and average to above average precipitation.
Disclaimer
This work of authorship and those incorporated herein were prepared by Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC (CNS) as accounts of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government under contract
DE‑NA0001942. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor CNS, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the
accuracy, completeness, use made, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial
product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any
agency or contractor thereof, or by CNS. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency or contractor thereof, or by
CNS.