v work environment forecast – dec. 2014 there is a cold wind a coming… larry supina manager,...

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v Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC [email protected]

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Page 1: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

v

Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014

There is a COLD WIND a coming…

Larry Supina

Manager, Pantex Readiness

Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC

[email protected]

Page 2: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

Historical Injury Patterns - December

Slips, Trips and Falls, that’s what December brings. It may be due to ice, uneven walk-ways, lack of attention, the persistent darkness, or just being in a hurry to get inside where it is warm. Eliminate the slips and we could almost eliminate all of December’s injuries.

0 ABRASION 1 1 HEAD 2

0 ALLERGIC EYE 00 BITE EAR 00 BURN NECK 06 CONTUSION 3 2 1 1 SHOULDER 11 FRACTURE 1 BACK 0

0 LACERATION 2 ARMS 2

2 SPRAIN/STRAIN 2 1 2 HAND 30 AVULSION TORSO 00 IRRATATION THIGH 00 DISLOCATION 1 KNEE 10 CONCUSSION LOWER LEG 00 OTHER MULTIPLE 0

HISTORICAL INJURY PATTERNS - December2011 2012 2013

Page 3: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

Historical Employee Leave Patterns - December

Leave usage in the month of December is

bi-polar, almost everyday is either above

or below 20% control limits.

Expect most of your staff to be available for the

first three weeks, expect to be short-staffed after

that.

Day of Week Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined Date Vacation Sick Leave Combined

Thursday 1 1264.00 1279.25 2543.25 29 1086.00 1430.75 2516.75 28 0.00

Friday 2 1987.00 1097.00 3084.00 30 1559.00 1168.50 2727.50 29 0.00

Monday 5 1967.00 1346.75 3313.75 3 1243.00 1451.25 2694.25 2 1485.00 999.46 2484.46Tuesday 6 1903.00 1486.00 3389.00 4 813.00 1421.00 2234.00 3 1062.00 1442.25 2504.25

Wednesday 7 1078.00 1000.75 2078.75 5 831.00 1220.00 2051.00 4 816.00 1340.50 2156.50

Thursday 8 1138.00 1157.00 2295.00 6 1051.00 1304.00 2355.00 5 1028.00 1400.75 2428.75

Friday 9 1346.00 788.50 2134.50 7 1179.00 744.25 1923.25 6 1267.00 1041.25 2308.25

Monday 12 1179.00 1260.75 2439.75 10 1173.00 1545.25 2718.25 9 822.00 1507.75 2329.75

Tuesday 13 969.00 1286.00 2255.00 11 877.00 1329.50 2206.50 10 764.00 1347.25 2111.25

Wednesday 14 899.00 1260.50 2159.50 12 1035.00 1411.25 2446.25 11 730.00 1368.10 2098.10

Thursday 15 1177.00 1243.00 2420.00 13 947.00 1522.50 2469.50 12 911.00 1328.25 2239.25

Friday 16 1898.00 1011.50 2909.50 14 1419.00 1197.50 2616.50 13 1556.00 1297.25 2853.25

Monday 19 1908.00 1236.50 3144.50 17 1438.00 1409.30 2847.30 16 1010.00 1339.45 2349.45

Tuesday 20 3976.00 1448.75 5424.75 18 1309.00 1231.00 2540.00 17 759.00 1242.75 2001.75

Wednesday 21 2314.00 985.00 3299.00 19 1361.00 1301.00 2662.00 18 924.00 1264.25 2188.25

Thursday 22 3784.00 949.50 4733.50 20 2081.00 1108.75 3189.75 19 1345.00 1266.15 2611.15

Friday 23 3124.00 408.50 3532.50 21 2073.00 587.98 2660.98 20 1173.00 1073.75 2246.75

Monday 26 0.00 24 0.00 23 5688.00 1174.50 6862.50

Tuesday 27 0.00 25 0.00 24 7696.00 561.00 8257.00

Wednesday 28 10772.00 751.75 11523.75 26 11641.00 786.50 12427.50 25 0.00

Thursday 29 11087.00 1063.00 12150.00 27 10105.00 1132.50 11237.50 26 10671.00 834.00 11505.00

Friday 30 8558.00 697.00 9255.00 28 7410.00 1007.75 8417.75 27 6882.00 962.00 7844.00

Monday 2 0.00 31 12470.00 943.25 13413.25 30 5477.00 1385.25 6862.25

Tuesday 3 1657.00 973.25 2630.25 1 0.00 31 5966.00 1162.50 7128.50

Total Hrs. 63985.00 22730.25 86715.25 63101.00 25253.78 88354.78 58032.00 25338.41 83370.41

Average 2908.41 1033.19 3941.60 2868.23 1147.90 4016.13 2637.82 1151.75 3789.56

3YR. 2776.77 1110.95 3915.76

UCL @ 20% 3332.12 1333.14 4698.92

LCL @ 20% 2221.42 888.76 3132.61

2011 2012 2013

Page 4: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13

Damaging winds (50+ MPH) and Hard-Freeze (24 degrees or less) and snow create equipment failures, alarms, and stressful work situations for employees.

TotalOver-

FlightsLightning

Personal Safety

SpillsVehicle Damage

Wind Gust

Property Damage

Equip. Failure

Injury or Illness

Weather Events

Rad Alarms

Fire Alarms

Other Alarms

Date/Day of Week

LiftProcess

Stop

1 29 28 Th 44 22 22 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 11

2 30 29 Fr 30 26 24 R 1 1 1 1 1 5

3 1 30 Sa 31 38 21FRTS 3 1 1 1 64 2 1 Su X 26 39 14 S 1 3 45 3 2 Mo X 36 40 20 S 4 1 2 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 266 4 3 Tu X X 18 15 31 6 1 1 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 237 5 4 We 21 32 30 5 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 198 6 5 Th 20 32 32 S 2 2 6 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 239 7 6 Fr 20 17 18 F S 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1310 8 7 Sa 24 31 23 F F S 1 6 1 5 5 1 1911 9 8 Su 31 40 44 S 3 1 412 10 9 Mo 31 24 20 F 2 3 3 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 2013 11 10 Tu X 22 21 41 FR 1 4 1 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2014 12 11 We X 43 32 25 5 5 5 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 3715 13 12 Th X 25 26 32 3 3 4 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2216 14 13 Fr X X X 21 62 32 RT 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 23

17 15 14 Sa X 22 51 35 4 3 1 1 918 16 15 Su X 35 38 17 2 1 2 2 2 1 1019 17 16 Mo X 37 32 14 RS 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1520 18 17 Tu 47 18 21 S 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1521 19 18 We X 38 55 41 S 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 2 1422 20 19 Th 37 43 36 F 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1523 21 20 Fr X 17 31 34 2 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 5 1 1 2024 22 21 Sa X 18 22 21 FRS 2 1 1 1 1 525 23 22 Su X 22 21 20 FS 1 2 1 426 24 23 Mo X 20 30 26 F 2 1 1 1 1 6

27 25 24 Tu 29 43 39 S 2 4 1 2 1 1 1128 26 25 We 28 33 32 1 7 1 7 1 4 1 1 2329 27 26 Th 22 26 23 2 1 1 1 1 630 28 27 Fr 25 26 16 2 1 1 1 1 631 29 28 Sa X 55 22 29 S 1 1 1 1 1 51 30 29 Fr X 20 39 48 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 122 31 30 Sa X 23 26 33 S 1 1 1 13 1 31 Su 16 24 40 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 14

UC 16 465

LC 11 14

04-2

169 121 41 19+1+1

33 19-1 -1

25 12+338

Date/Day of Week

Position Change from Last Month

Page 5: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

Co-Incidence Chart: December ‘11,‘12,‘13

Plan on Lightning Warnings impacting:

2% of Day Shift

3.6% of Swing Shift

0% of Midnights

2% of Weekends

2011 2012 2013Thur 1Fri 2Sat 3 1Sun 4 2 1 0.53Mon 5 3 2 1.15 0.11Tue 6 4 3 0.66We 7 5 4Thur 8 6 5Fri 9 7 6Sat 10 8 7Sun 11 9 8Mon 12 10 9Tue 13 11 10 3.06Wed 14 12 11 6.06Thur 15 13 12 0.16 1.16Fri 16 14 13 1.76 5.03Sat 17 15 14Sun 18 16 15 2.13Mon 19 17 16 4.83 8 7.03Tue 20 18 17Wed 21 19 18Thur 22 20 19Fri 23 21 20 0.78 2.25Sat 24 22 21 0.11 8.00 2.15Sun 25 23 22 0.76Mon 26 24 23 1.38Tue 27 25 24Wed 28 26 25Thur 29 27 26Fri 30 28 27Sat 31 29 28Sun 1 30 29Mon 2 31 30 3.75 0.50Tue 3 1 31

M-F Mdnt ShiftLghtn Hrs

M-F Day ShiftLghtn Hrs

M-F Swing ShiftLghtn Hrs

Page 6: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

December 2014 WEF - Summary

Presentation available at:https://sites.uad.pxplant.com/sixsigma/Home/WEF/SitePages/Home.aspx

Or contact Larry Supina at 4806

Things to Consider Likely the area will see a

significant snowfall before the Christmas Holidays.

Early morning frost will make walkways slippery.

Vacation use will highest at the end of the month.

Discussion – Winter is here, high winds, hard freezes, slick conditions, long nights, short days, snow and Christmas. Lot’s of distractions and increased opportunities for injuries, equipment failures, alarms and other impacts to work.

Management Actions

Check dampers, doors and auxiliary heating units to be sure they are set correctly to avoid freeze damage.

Ensure snow removal and ice melting equipment and supplies are available.

Keep your employees focused on safety as the conditions will be changing dramatically from one day to the next.

Past & Predicted Weather

2011 – High 73 Low 43” Snow 55 mph Wind Gust

2012 – High 78 Low 8.54” Rain 62 mph Wind Gust

2013 – High 72 Low 32” Snow 48 mph Wind Gust

2014 – Below average temperatures and average to above average precipitation.

Page 7: V Work Environment Forecast – Dec. 2014 There is a COLD WIND a coming… Larry Supina Manager, Pantex Readiness Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC Larry.Supina@CNS.DOE.GOV

Disclaimer

This work of authorship and those incorporated herein were prepared by Consolidated Nuclear Security, LLC (CNS) as accounts of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government under contract

DE‑NA0001942. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor CNS, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the

accuracy, completeness, use made, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial

product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any

agency or contractor thereof, or by CNS. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency or contractor thereof, or by

CNS.