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Page 1: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems

nchems.org • higheredinfo.org

Utah Environmental Scan Data

November 7, 2018

Page 2: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah’s Public 4-Year and USTC

2

Public 4-Year

Public 2-Year

Public Less than 2-Year

USTC

Utah State University

Weber State University

University of Utah

Utah Valley University

Snow College

Southern Utah University

Dixie State University

Bridgerland TC

Ogden-Weber TC

Davis TC

Tooele TC

Mountainland TCUintah TC

Southwest TC

Dixie TC

Salt Lake CC

Page 3: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Educational Attainment and Workforce Demands

3

Page 4: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Comparing Utah with Nations and Other States in the Percentage of Young Adult Degree Attainment (Ages 25-34)

U.S. States % OECD CountryKorea (70)

60 Canada, Japan

58Massachusetts

56Lithuania

Minnesota 54New York

52 United KingdomNew Jersey, North Dakota Luxembourg

Connecticut, New Hampshire, Illinois 50Virginia, Colorado Australia

Rhode Island, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, Maryland 48 SwitzerlandIowa, Wisconsin, South Dakota United States, Israel, Sweden

Washington, Vermont 46Kansas Denmark, Netherlands

Utah, Maine 44 Belgium, FranceOregon, Missouri, California Poland, New Zealand, Iceland, Slovenia

North Carolina, Montana, Ohio, Hawaii 42 LatviaDelaware, Wyoming, Michigan Finland, Estonia, Greece, Spain

Florida 40Indiana, Georgia Austria

Tennessee, South Carolina 38Texas, Kentucky, Idaho

Arizona 36Alaska, Alabama, Oklahoma Portugal

West Virginia, New Mexico, Mississippi 34Louisiana Slovak RepublicArkansas 32 Czech Republic

Nevada 30 Germany, Turkey, Hungary

28 Costa Rica, Columbia

26Italy

24

22Mexico

20

Source: 2017 OECD Education at a Glance (for year 2016); 2016 American Community Survey

4

Page 5: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group – U.S., Utah & Leading OECD Countries

Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2017 (for 2016), US Census ACS 2016.Note: For Utah, the age groups 45-54 and 55-64 are combined.

70

.0

60

.6

60

.1

54

.9

52

.0

51

.4

49

.3

48

.8

48

.6

47

.5

47

.4

47

.2

45

.9

45

.2

44

.2

59

.8 62

.8

55

.1

44

.6

51

.6

51

.2

48

.8

46

.1 48

.7

48

.3

54

.8

49

.3

43

.5

40

.9

47

.9

37

.8

55

.7

47

.8

30

.5

42

.0

37

.4 40

.0

37

.9 40

.4

44

.9

49

.0

36

.2

34

.5

31

.9

40

.1

19

.7

46

.2

39

.7

30

.7

37

.6

27

.5

35

.0

31

.6 33

.0

41

.9

47

.6

30

.8

29

.9

27

.4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64

5

Page 6: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percentage of Jobs in 2020 that Will Require a Postsecondary Education, by State

Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce,Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2020; 2013

74

%7

4%

72

%7

2%

71

%7

1%

71

%7

0%

70

%7

0%

70

%7

0%

70

%6

9%

69

%6

9%

68

%6

8%

68

%6

8%

68

%6

7%

67

%6

7%

66

%6

6%

66

%6

5%

65

%6

5%

65

%6

5%

64

%6

4%

64

%6

3%

63

%6

3%

62

%6

2%

62

%6

2%

62

%6

2%

62

%6

1%

59

%5

8%

56

%5

5%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

Min

nes

ota

Co

lora

do

Mas

sach

use

tts

No

rth

Dak

ota

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dK

ansa

sN

ebra

ska

Ore

gon

Illin

ois

Was

hin

gto

nM

ich

igan

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Haw

aii

Mo

nta

na

Mar

ylan

dN

ew Y

ork

Ari

zon

aIo

wa

New

Je

rse

yN

ew H

amp

shir

eId

aho

Cal

ifo

rnia

No

rth

Car

olin

aV

irgi

nia

Mis

sou

riM

ain

eA

lask

aV

erm

on

tG

eorg

iaSo

uth

Dak

ota

Flo

rid

aW

yom

ing

Oh

ioO

klah

om

aU

tah

De

law

are

New

Mex

ico

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Ala

bam

aTe

xas

Ind

ian

aW

isco

nsi

nN

evad

aK

en

tuck

ySo

uth

Car

olin

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Ark

ansa

sTe

nn

esse

eLo

uis

ian

aW

est

Vir

gin

ia

National Average = 65%

6

Page 7: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Gap Between Percent of Jobs in 2020 That Will Require a College Education and the Percent of Adults, Aged 25-64 with Associates and Higher in 2015

31

.4%

31

.3%

30

.7%

30

.6%

30

.4%

29

.4%

29

.0%

28

.5%

28

.4%

28

.2%

28

.1%

28

.1%

27

.9%

27

.7%

27

.5%

27

.2%

27

.2%

27

.0%

26

.5%

26

.3%

26

.1%

26

.1%

25

.9%

25

.9%

25

.9%

25

.6%

25

.6%

25

.4%

25

.3%

25

.2%

25

.1%

25

.1%

25

.0%

24

.9%

24

.5%

24

.2%

23

.3%

23

.2%

22

.5%

21

.9%

21

.9%

21

.7%

21

.5%

21

.2%

20

.8%

20

.5%

19

.9%

19

.8%

19

.8%

18

.4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Ari

zon

aId

aho

Okl

aho

ma

Mic

hig

anN

evad

aM

issi

ssip

pi

New

Mex

ico

Ark

ansa

sK

en

tuck

yK

ansa

sA

lask

aM

on

tan

aA

lab

ama

Ore

gon

Mis

sou

riR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Wyo

min

gN

ebra

ska

Cal

ifo

rnia

Haw

aii

We

st V

irgi

nia

No

rth

Car

olin

aIll

ino

isG

eorg

iaIn

dia

na

Iow

aTe

xas

Oh

ioC

olo

rad

oN

ort

h D

ako

taFl

ori

da

Lou

isia

na

Mai

ne

Was

hin

gto

nM

inn

eso

taSo

uth

Car

olin

aTe

nn

esse

eSo

uth

Dak

ota

New

Yo

rkU

tah

De

law

are

Mar

ylan

dC

on

nec

ticu

tP

en

nsy

lvan

iaN

ew J

ers

ey

New

Ham

psh

ire

Vir

gin

iaM

assa

chu

sett

sW

isco

nsi

nV

erm

on

t

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.; Georgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020.

7

Page 8: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25 to 64 –Utah, the US, and the Most Educated State (2016)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Less than HighSchool

High School Some College, NoDegree

Associates Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate,Professional Degree

Utah US Most Educated State Best in Category

8Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

Page 9: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Adults Aged 25-64 with an Associates Degree & Higher by State, 20165

3.2

50

.04

9.7

48

.84

8.6

48

.24

8.2

47

.64

7.5

47

.34

6.7

46

.34

5.2

45

.04

4.8

44

.34

3.7

43

.74

3.6

43

.54

3.4

42

.94

2.7

42

.44

2.0

41

.74

1.6

41

.44

0.2

40

.24

0.0

39

.93

9.7

39

.13

9.1

38

.63

8.3

38

.03

7.7

37

.23

6.9

35

.73

5.6

34

.93

4.8

34

.63

2.5

30

.93

0.8

30

.73

0.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mas

sach

use

tts

Min

nes

ota

Co

lora

do

Co

nn

ecti

cut

New

Ham

psh

ire

Vir

gin

iaN

ew J

ers

ey

Mar

ylan

dN

ort

h D

ako

taN

ew Y

ork

Ve

rmo

nt

Was

hin

gto

nN

ebra

ska

Illin

ois

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dH

awai

iK

ansa

sSo

uth

Dak

ota

Iow

aU

tah

Wis

con

sin

Ore

gon

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

No

rth

Car

olin

aM

on

tan

aN

atio

nM

ain

eC

alif

orn

iaW

yom

ing

De

law

are

Geo

rgia

Flo

rid

aM

ich

igan

Mis

sou

riO

hio

Idah

oA

lask

aSo

uth

Car

olin

aA

rizo

na

Texa

sIn

dia

na

Ten

nes

see

New

Mex

ico

Ala

bam

aO

klah

om

aK

en

tuck

yM

issi

ssip

pi

Ark

ansa

sN

evad

aLo

uis

ian

aW

est

Vir

gin

ia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001 9

Page 10: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Residents Ages 25-64 With A High-Quality Certificate

10

15

12

10

9 9

8 8

7 7 7 7 7 7

6 6 6

5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Lou

isia

na

Ari

zon

aK

en

tuck

yA

rkan

sas

New

Mex

ico

Geo

rgia

Wyo

min

gA

lask

aC

alif

orn

iaFl

ori

da

Kan

sas

Okl

aho

ma

Was

hin

gto

nC

olo

rad

oIll

ino

isU

tah

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Ind

ian

aM

issi

ssip

pi

No

rth

Car

olin

aO

hio

Ten

nes

see

Texa

sW

isco

nsi

nU

nit

ed

Sta

tes

Iow

aM

ich

igan

Min

nes

ota

Mis

sou

riN

evad

aO

rego

nSo

uth

Car

olin

aV

irgi

nia

We

st V

irgi

nia

Ala

bam

aD

ela

war

eM

aryl

and

Mas

sach

use

tts

Neb

rask

aN

ew J

ers

ey

New

Yo

rkP

en

nsy

lvan

iaH

awai

iId

aho

Mai

ne

Mo

nta

na

New

Ham

psh

ire

No

rth

Dak

ota

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dSo

uth

Dak

ota

Ve

rmo

nt

Based on Georgetown CEW updated calculations using SIPP 2008 Wave 12 data (2012) and IPEDS (2014). Found in Stronger Nation 2016report.

Page 11: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Residents Ages 25-64 With A High-Quality Certificate or Higher

11

56

.25

5.7

54

.05

3.8

53

.35

2.2

51

.25

1.0

50

.75

0.6

50

.65

0.3

49

.74

9.5

49

.54

8.4

48

.44

8.2

48

.24

8.0

47

.74

7.6

47

.44

6.9

46

.94

6.8

46

.74

6.3

45

.74

5.7

45

.74

5.3

44

.64

4.6

44

.14

4.0

43

.74

3.6

43

.24

3.1

42

.24

2.0

41

.94

1.8

40

.74

0.6

39

.93

7.9

37

.53

4.8

34

.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mas

sach

use

tts

Co

lora

do

Min

nes

ota

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Was

hin

gto

nV

irgi

nia

New

Je

rse

yIll

ino

isK

ansa

sM

aryl

and

New

Ham

psh

ire

New

Yo

rkA

rizo

na

No

rth

Dak

ota

Uta

hW

isco

nsi

nC

alif

orn

iaW

yom

ing

Neb

rask

aG

eorg

iaV

erm

on

tIo

wa

No

rth

Car

olin

aFl

ori

da

Ore

gon

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dU

nit

ed

Sta

tes

Haw

aii

Sou

th D

ako

taLo

uis

ian

aP

en

nsy

lvan

iaA

lask

aN

ew M

exic

oK

en

tuck

yO

hio

Mo

nta

na

Mic

hig

anM

ain

eD

ela

war

eM

isso

uri

Texa

sSo

uth

Car

olin

aIn

dia

na

Okl

aho

ma

Ten

nes

see

Idah

oA

rkan

sas

Ala

bam

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Nev

ada

We

st V

irgi

nia

Certificate-holder data is the best available estimate based on Georgetown CEW updated calculations using SIPP 2008 Wave 12 data (2012) and IPEDS (2014). Found in Stronger Nation 2016 report; Data for percent of residents with an associates and higher from U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

Page 12: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Adults Aged 25-64 with College Degrees – Associate & Higher – by County (2012-16)

12Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001

State = 42.38

Page 13: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Difference in College Attainment Between Whites and Underrepresented Minorities, Ages 25-64, 2016

13

4.2 4.4 4.6

8.2

10

.21

0.2 11

.41

1.7

11

.8 13

.01

3.1 14

.11

4.4

14

.61

4.9 15

.81

5.9 1

7.5 18

.21

8.5

18

.81

9.2

19

.21

9.8

19

.81

9.8

19

.9 21

.1 22

.22

2.3 2

3.7

24

.02

4.3

24

.52

5.0 25

.72

5.8

26

.32

6.3

26

.32

6.4

26

.52

6.6

26

.7 27

.52

7.7 28

.5 29

.3 30

.4 31

.33

3.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40N

ew H

amp

shir

eW

est

Vir

gin

iaM

ain

eV

erm

on

tK

en

tuck

yTe

nn

esse

eA

rkan

sas

Flo

rid

aA

lab

ama

Mo

nta

na

Geo

rgia

Mis

siss

ipp

iM

isso

uri

Ind

ian

aO

hio

Okl

aho

ma

Lou

isia

na

Mic

hig

anM

aryl

and

De

law

are

Vir

gin

iaSo

uth

Car

olin

aIo

wa

Nev

ada

Wyo

min

gP

en

nsy

lvan

iaN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Nat

ion

Wis

con

sin

Was

hin

gto

nK

ansa

sO

rego

nTe

xas

Ari

zon

aIll

ino

isN

ew M

exic

oN

ew Y

ork

Haw

aii

Idah

oN

ort

h D

ako

taU

tah

Ala

ska

Min

nes

ota

Sou

th D

ako

taN

ew J

ers

ey

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dM

assa

chu

sett

sN

ebra

ska

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Co

lora

do

Cal

ifo

rnia

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 14: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Educational Attainment of Adults Aged 25-64 by Race, Utah, 2016

4.2

20.8

27.3

11.9

24.0

11.910.3

18.1

37.6

10.0

15.8

8.3

30.6 30.5

18.5

8.09.0

3.4

9.6

22.724.0

6.9

24.0

12.8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Less than High School Just High School orGED

Some College, NoDegree

Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree

White Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic All Other

14Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 15: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah and National Unemployment Rates, 2000-2017

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Utah US

15Source: Bureau of Labor StatisticsNote: Not Seasonally Adjusted

Page 16: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Civilian Population Age 25-64 Participating in the Labor Force, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

84

.38

4.0

83

.78

3.0

82

.88

2.4

82

.28

1.9

81

.58

1.5

81

.28

0.3

80

.38

0.0

79

.77

9.4

79

.47

9.2

78

.77

8.3

78

.27

8.1

78

.07

7.8

77

.77

7.6

77

.67

7.4

77

.37

7.3

77

.07

7.0

77

.07

6.9

76

.77

6.1

75

.87

5.7

75

.67

5.5

74

.67

4.1

74

.07

3.9

72

.27

2.0

71

.97

1.6

71

.07

0.9

68

.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Min

nes

ota

No

rth

Dak

ota

Neb

rask

aN

ew H

amp

shir

eSo

uth

Dak

ota

Iow

aM

aryl

and

Mas

sach

use

tts

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Wis

con

sin

Ve

rmo

nt

New

Je

rse

yK

ansa

sC

olo

rad

oH

awai

iIll

ino

isV

irgi

nia

Wyo

min

gR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Uta

hA

lask

aD

ela

war

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ew Y

ork

Ind

ian

aM

on

tan

aP

en

nsy

lvan

iaO

hio

Was

hin

gto

nM

ain

eN

atio

nC

alif

orn

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isso

uri

Nev

ada

Texa

sO

rego

nN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Geo

rgia

Mic

hig

anId

aho

Flo

rid

aSo

uth

Car

olin

aO

klah

om

aA

rizo

na

Ten

nes

see

Ark

ansa

sN

ew M

exic

oLo

uis

ian

aK

en

tuck

yA

lab

ama

Mis

siss

ipp

iW

est

Vir

gin

ia

16

Page 17: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percentage of Working-Aged Adults (25 to 64) Participating in the Workforce – by Education Level Attained, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

69.8

76.2 76.5 77.880.8

88.8

60.2

72

77.581.5

85.188.1

Less than HighSchool

High School Diplomaor Ged

Some College, NoDegree

Associates Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree

Utah US Average

17

Page 18: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Median Annual Wages for Employed Workers Aged 25 to 64 - by Level of Education (2016)

$30,228

$37,281

$42,319 $42,319

$56,425

$75,569

$48,364

$26,197

$40,304

$60,455

$78,592

$46,349

Less Than HighSchool

High SchoolGraduate or GED

Some College, NoDegree

Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Total

Utah Nation

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

18

Page 19: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Participation

19

Page 20: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many graduate from high school?

20

91

90

89

89

89

88

88

88

88

88

88

88

87

87

87

87

87

87

86

86

86

86

86

86

85

85

85

84

83

83

83

82

82

82

81

81

80

80

79

79

79

79

78

78

78

77

77

76

74

71

69

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Iow

aN

ew J

ers

ey

Ala

bam

aTe

xas

Neb

rask

aW

isco

nsi

nN

ew H

amp

shir

eK

en

tuck

yTe

nn

esse

eM

isso

uri

Ve

rmo

nt

Mai

ne

Mas

sach

use

tts

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Ind

ian

aM

aryl

and

No

rth

Dak

ota

We

st V

irgi

nia

Mo

nta

na

Kan

sas

Vir

gin

iaD

ela

war

eIll

ino

isN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ark

ansa

sP

en

nsy

lvan

iaU

tah

Sou

th D

ako

taR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Nat

ion

Okl

aho

ma

Cal

ifo

rnia

Min

nes

ota

Haw

aii

Mis

siss

ipp

iO

hio

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Mic

hig

anW

yom

ing

New

Yo

rkId

aho

Geo

rgia

Was

hin

gto

nFl

ori

da

Lou

isia

na

Ari

zon

aC

olo

rad

oA

lask

aO

rego

nN

evad

aN

ew M

exic

o

Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Page 21: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Public High School 4-year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), 2014-15

90

.88

9.7

89

.38

9.0

88

.98

8.4

88

.18

8.0

87

.98

7.8

87

.78

7.5

87

.38

7.2

87

.18

7.0

86

.68

6.5

86

.08

5.7

85

.78

5.6

85

.68

5.6

84

.98

4.8

84

.88

3.9

83

.28

3.2

82

.58

2.0

81

.98

1.6

80

.88

0.7

80

.37

9.8

79

.37

9.2

78

.97

8.8

78

.27

7.9

77

.57

7.4

77

.37

5.6

73

.87

1.3

68

.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Iow

aN

ew J

ers

ey

Ala

bam

aTe

xas

Neb

rask

aW

isco

nsi

nN

ew H

amp

shir

eK

en

tuck

yTe

nn

esse

eM

isso

uri

Ve

rmo

nt

Mai

ne

Mas

sach

use

tts

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Ind

ian

aM

aryl

and

No

rth

Dak

ota

We

st V

irgi

nia

Mo

nta

na

Kan

sas

Vir

gin

iaD

ela

war

eIll

ino

isN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ark

ansa

sP

en

nsy

lvan

iaU

tah

Sou

th D

ako

taN

atio

nR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Okl

aho

ma

Cal

ifo

rnia

Min

nes

ota

Haw

aii

Mis

siss

ipp

iO

hio

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Mic

hig

anW

yom

ing

New

Yo

rkId

aho

Geo

rgia

Was

hin

gto

nFl

ori

da

Lou

isia

na

Ari

zon

aC

olo

rad

oA

lask

aO

rego

nN

evad

aN

ew M

exic

o

Source: NCES

21

Page 22: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many enter college?

22

64

64

64

63

61

60

60

59

59

58

57

57

57

57

56

56

55

55

55

54

54

53

53

53

53

53

52

52

52

51

51

51

51

51

50

50

50

48

48

48

47

46

46

45

42

40

40

40

36

35

33

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Mas

sach

use

tts

New

Je

rse

yM

issi

ssip

pi

Ten

nes

see

De

law

are

Iow

aA

lab

ama

Vir

gin

iaN

ebra

ska

Sou

th D

ako

taM

inn

eso

taN

ort

h D

ako

taN

ew Y

ork

Mar

ylan

dK

ansa

sN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Lou

isia

na

Illin

ois

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ark

ansa

sIn

dia

na

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Ke

ntu

cky

Nat

ion

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dC

alif

orn

iaW

isco

nsi

nM

isso

uri

Texa

sM

ich

igan

Geo

rgia

We

st V

irgi

nia

Haw

aii

Oh

ioM

ain

eFl

ori

da

Okl

aho

ma

New

Mex

ico

Mo

nta

na

Co

lora

do

Ve

rmo

nt

Wyo

min

gA

rizo

na

Was

hin

gto

nN

evad

aU

tah

Ore

gon

Idah

oA

lask

a

Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Page 23: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. Note: Actual high school graduate numbers for 2016 not available from NCES Common Core of Data. WICHE High School Graduate Projections for 2016 substituted.

Percent of High School Graduates Directly Out of High School Going Directly to College, 2016

23

78

%7

4%

73

%7

1%

71

%7

1%

70

%7

0%

70

%6

9%

68

%6

8%

68

%6

6%

66

%6

5%

65

%6

5%

65

%6

5%

64

%6

4%

63

%6

3%

63

%6

3%

62

%6

2%

62

%6

2%

62

%6

1%

61

%6

0%

60

%5

9%

59

%5

9%

58

%5

8%

57

%5

6%

56

%5

5%

54

%5

3%

51

%4

9%

47

%4

4%

44

%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Mis

siss

ipp

iC

on

nec

ticu

tM

assa

chu

sett

sN

ew Y

ork

New

Je

rse

yLo

uis

ian

aD

ela

war

eM

inn

eso

taTe

nn

esse

eN

ew M

exic

oSo

uth

Car

olin

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Vir

gin

iaA

lab

ama

Iow

aN

ort

h D

ako

taG

eorg

iaM

aryl

and

Neb

rask

aK

ansa

sM

ich

igan

No

rth

Car

olin

aIll

ino

isC

alif

orn

iaN

atio

nA

rkan

sas

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dFl

ori

da

Oh

ioH

awai

iIn

dia

na

New

Ham

psh

ire

Co

lora

do

Ke

ntu

cky

Okl

aho

ma

Wis

con

sin

Mis

sou

riW

est

Vir

gin

iaTe

xas

Mai

ne

Wyo

min

gN

evad

aM

on

tan

aA

rizo

na

Ve

rmo

nt

Was

hin

gto

nO

rego

nU

tah

Idah

oA

lask

a

Page 24: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many are still enrolled sophomore year?

24

49

49

48

46

43

43

43

42

41

41

40

40

40

40

40

39

39

39

38

38

38

37

37

37

37

36

36

36

36

36

35

35

35

35

35

35

34

34

33

32

31

31

30

30

28

28

27

27

25

22

22

0

10

20

30

40

50

60M

assa

chu

sett

sD

ela

war

eN

ew J

ers

ey

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Vir

gin

iaSo

uth

Dak

ota

New

Yo

rkIo

wa

Neb

rask

aM

inn

eso

taP

en

nsy

lvan

iaR

ho

de

Isla

nd

No

rth

Dak

ota

Ten

nes

see

Ala

bam

aM

aryl

and

No

rth

Car

olin

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Ind

ian

aW

isco

nsi

nIll

ino

isC

alif

orn

iaN

atio

nM

ich

igan

Geo

rgia

Lou

isia

na

Ark

ansa

sK

en

tuck

yK

ansa

sO

hio

Ve

rmo

nt

New

Ham

psh

ire

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Flo

rid

aM

isso

uri

Texa

sM

ain

eW

est

Vir

gin

iaC

olo

rad

oM

on

tan

aH

awai

iO

klah

om

aW

ash

ingt

on

New

Mex

ico

Nev

ada

Wyo

min

gU

tah

Ari

zon

aO

rego

nId

aho

Ala

ska

Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Page 25: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many graduate within 150% of program time?

25

36

35

31

31

30

30

30

29

29

29

28

27

27

27

27

27

27

26

26

26

26

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

23

23

23

23

23

22

22

22

21

21

21

20

19

19

18

18

17

16

16

16

13

9

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Mas

sach

use

tts

De

law

are

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

New

Je

rse

yV

irgi

nia

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Iow

aN

ebra

ska

Min

nes

ota

Sou

th D

ako

taN

ew Y

ork

Ve

rmo

nt

Wis

con

sin

Cal

ifo

rnia

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dN

ort

h D

ako

taIn

dia

na

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ten

nes

see

No

rth

Car

olin

aIll

ino

isK

ansa

sU

nit

ed

Sta

tes

Mar

ylan

dC

olo

rad

oM

issi

ssip

pi

Oh

ioM

isso

uri

Flo

rid

aLo

uis

ian

aM

ain

eW

ash

ingt

on

Ke

ntu

cky

Wyo

min

gSo

uth

Car

olin

aM

ich

igan

Ala

bam

aTe

xas

We

st V

irgi

nia

Ark

ansa

sM

on

tan

aO

klah

om

aG

eorg

iaA

rizo

na

Uta

hO

rego

nH

awai

iN

evad

aN

ew M

exic

oId

aho

Ala

ska

Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Page 26: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

High School Graduation, College Participation, & Completion, 2015-16

26

84.8

47.1

7.9

83.2

63.1

6.3

89.3

73.1

8.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

High School GraduationRate

College Going Rate Participation of 25 to 49Year Olds with Less than

a Bachelors

Input Rates

25.724.1 24.7

29.1

23.3 23.4

55.1

27.1 27.1

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Public Two-Year Public Bachelors &Masters

Public Research

Throughput RatesUndergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded

per 100 FTE Undergraduates

Sources: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. High School Graduation Rate: NCES Table 219.46. Public high school 4-year adjusted cohort graduation rate (ACGR), by selected student characteristics and state: 2010-11 through 2014-15; Undergraduate Awards NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File. College Going Rates: Enrollment of Adults: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015b Provisional Release Data File. U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Utah US Average Median, Top 5 States

Page 27: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Undergraduate Enrollment Age 25-49 as a Percent of Population Age 25-49 with Less than an Associates Degree, Fall 2015

27

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Idah

oM

inn

eso

taK

ansa

sA

rizo

na

Uta

hN

ew M

exic

oM

aryl

and

Vir

gin

iaO

rego

nC

alif

orn

iaN

ebra

ska

Co

lora

do

Flo

rid

aIll

ino

isW

isco

nsi

nN

atio

nW

yom

ing

Ala

ska

Mis

sou

riW

ash

ingt

on

No

rth

Dak

ota

Mai

ne

Mas

sach

use

tts

Haw

aii

Sou

th D

ako

taM

ich

igan

Ve

rmo

nt

Ala

bam

aN

ew Y

ork

Mo

nta

na

No

rth

Car

olin

aC

on

nec

ticu

tIo

wa

Ind

ian

aO

hio

De

law

are

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dK

en

tuck

yTe

xas

Okl

aho

ma

New

Je

rse

yG

eorg

iaP

en

nsy

lvan

iaSo

uth

Car

olin

aA

rkan

sas

Nev

ada

Mis

siss

ipp

iTe

nn

esse

eLo

uis

ian

aW

est

Vir

gin

iaN

ew H

amp

shir

e

Sources: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015b Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 28: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Proportion of FTE Enrollments in Public Institutions

96

.49

4.4

93

.88

9.9

88

.98

7.7

87

.78

6.4

85

.08

4.7

84

.08

3.9

83

.38

2.7

82

.28

1.2

80

.78

0.3

80

.17

8.9

78

.87

8.6

78

.37

8.2

78

.07

7.9

76

.67

5.9

73

.37

3.1

72

.37

1.3

71

.07

0.7

70

.26

9.8

68

.96

7.6

66

.76

4.9

60

.75

9.8

59

.55

8.6

54

.45

3.6

53

.55

2.7

52

.14

4.4

38

.8

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

Wyo

min

gA

lask

aN

ew M

exic

oM

on

tan

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Ark

ansa

sN

ort

h D

ako

taN

evad

aW

est

Vir

gin

iaTe

xas

Lou

isia

na

Mic

hig

anW

ash

ingt

on

Okl

aho

ma

Sou

th D

ako

taA

lab

ama

Co

lora

do

Kan

sas

Mar

ylan

dO

rego

nSo

uth

Car

olin

aC

alif

orn

iaW

isco

nsi

nN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ke

ntu

cky

New

Je

rse

yG

eorg

iaH

awai

iO

hio

Ind

ian

aA

rizo

na

Neb

rask

aU

tah

De

law

are

Iow

aN

atio

nFl

ori

da

New

Ham

psh

ire

Vir

gin

iaTe

nn

esse

eIll

ino

isM

ain

eM

inn

eso

taM

isso

uri

Ve

rmo

nt

Idah

oC

on

nec

ticu

tP

en

nsy

lvan

iaN

ew Y

ork

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dM

assa

chu

sett

s

28

Source: NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Page 29: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Origin of 75 Percent of All Undergraduates, by USHE Institution, Fall 2017

29

University of Utah

Utah State University

Weber State

University

Southern Utah

UniversitySnow

CollegeDixie State University

Utah Valley University

Salt Lake Community

College

1 Salt Lake (44.8)

Unknown (37)

Davis (42) Iron (22)Sanpete

(17.8)Washington

(53.1)Utah (60.1) Salt Lake (76.9)

2 Domestic Non-Resident

(25.9)

Domestic Non-

Resident (22.1)

Weber (31.1)

Domestic Non-

Resident (21.8)

Salt Lake (15.9)

Domestic Non-

Resident (18.5)

Salt Lake (12.6)

3 Cache (10.6)Salt Lake

(10.1)Utah (13.5)

4 Utah (9.5) Sevier (12.1)

5Washington

(6.9)

Domestic Non-

Resident (5.4)

6 Millard (4.7)

7 Juab (4.3)

Notes: The proportion of total undergraduates is given by the number in parentheses. Data are for county of origin for Utah residents. Domestic non-residents are U.S. citizens from other states. The calculation of the percentage includes international students. At Brigham Young University, 58.3 percent of undergraduates are domestic non-residents and an additional 15.6 percent are from Utah County.Source: USHE

Page 30: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Top 5 Institutional Destinations in Utah for Recent High School Graduates, by County, 2017

Beaver Box Elder Cache Carbon Daggett Davis Duchesne Emery Garfield Grand Iron Juab Kane Millard Morgan

Dixie State

Weber State

Utah State

Utah State

Southern Utah

Weber State

Uintah Basin TC

Southern Utah

Southern Utah

University of Utah

Southern Utah

Snow College

Dixie State

Southern Utah

Weber State

Southern Utah

Utah State

Snow College

Southern Utah

Dixie State

University of Utah

Utah Valley

University

Utah State

Dixie State

Dixie State

South-west TC

utah Valley

Southern Utah

Snow College

University of Utah

University of Utah

Snow College

University of Utah

Dixie State

Snow College

Davis TCUtah State

Snow College

Utah Valley

Utah State

Dixie State

Mountainland TC

Utah Valley

Dixie State

Snow College

Utah State

Dixie State

Southern Utah

University of Utah

Uintah Basin TC

Utah Valley

University

Southern Utah

Dixie State

Utah State

Snow College

University of Utah

Southern Utah

Weber State

Utah Valley

Utah Valley

Snow College

Southern Utah

Weber State

Utah Valley

BYUUniversity

of UtahUtah

Valley USnow

CollegeSouthern

UtahBYU

Dixie State

BYUUniversity

of UtahSouthern

Utah

93.0% 79.9% 87.1% 94.8% 100.0% 78.5% 78.4% 90.0% 95.8% 88.9% 94.2% 93.8% 97.1% 92.4% 76.8%

30

The bottom row shows the estimated percent of all first-time enrollees accounted for by the top 5 institutions collectively, relative to the population of 18 year olds in each county.

Source: USHE, USTC, and Gardner Institute.

Page 31: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Piute Rich Salt Lake San Juan Sanpete Sevier Summit Tooele Uintah Utah WasatchWashing-

tonWayne Weber

Dixie State Utah StateUniversity

of UtahUtah State

Snow College

Snow College

University of Utah

Dixie StateUintah

Basin TCUtah

ValleyUtah

ValleyDixie State Davis TC

Weber State

Southern Utah

Weber State

Salt Lake CC

Utah Valley

Southern Utah

Southern Utah

Utah Valley

Southern Utah

Dixie State BYUUniversity

of UtahSouthern

UtahSnow

CollegeOgden-

Weber TC

University of Utah

Utah Valley

Utah Valley

Snow College

Utah Valley

Dixie StateSalt Lake

CCUniversity

of UtahUtah

ValleyMountain

land TCBYU

Utah Valley

Southern Utah

University of Utah

Utah Valley

Dixie State BYUSouthern

UtahDixie State

Utah Valley

Snow College

Tooele TCSnow

College University

of UtahMountainl

andBYU Dixie State Dixie State

Southern Utah

Dixie StateUniversity

of UtahBYU BYU Dixie State

Salt Lake CC

Utah StateSouthern

UtahSnow

CollegeUniversity

of UtahBYU

Snow College

100.0% 93.3% 82.8% 84.9% 92.0% 95.5% 88.8% 64.3% 73.5% 84.2% 78.5% 91.5% 91.7% 88.9%

31

The bottom row shows the estimated percent of all first-time enrollees accounted for by the top 5 institutions collectively, relative to the population of 18 year olds in each county.

Source: USHE, USTC, and Gardner Institute.

Top 5 Institutional Destinations in Utah for Recent High School Graduates, by County, 2017

Page 32: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

FAFSA Applicants Who Failed to Enroll, by County, 2017

32

Recent High School Graduates Who Were FAFSA Applicants as a Percent of 18 Year Olds

All FAFSA Applicants as a Percent of 18-34 Year Olds

Page 33: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Completion

33

Page 34: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Undergraduate Awards per 1,000 Population Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2015-16

Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

67

.86

5.7

65

.26

5.2

64

.66

3.0

60

.66

0.5

58

.25

7.5

57

.45

6.5

56

.05

5.9

54

.55

4.4

54

.05

2.3

51

.15

0.4

49

.84

9.4

49

.14

9.0

48

.94

8.8

48

.14

7.9

47

.74

6.5

46

.54

6.5

46

.34

5.9

45

.84

5.5

45

.54

4.7

43

.94

3.1

42

.84

2.2

41

.24

0.6

40

.13

9.4

37

.03

6.8

36

.72

5.7

22

.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80R

ho

de

Isla

nd

Iow

aM

inn

eso

taU

tah

New

Ham

psh

ire

Kan

sas

Ve

rmo

nt

Mas

sach

use

tts

Was

hin

gto

nV

irgi

nia

Wis

con

sin

Ari

zon

aIll

ino

isFl

ori

da

Neb

rask

aN

ort

h D

ako

taK

en

tuck

yN

ew Y

ork

New

Mex

ico

Sou

th D

ako

taP

en

nsy

lvan

iaM

isso

uri

Nat

ion

Co

lora

do

Ind

ian

aN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ark

ansa

sW

yom

ing

Idah

oM

aryl

and

Mis

siss

ipp

iO

rego

nO

hio

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Cal

ifo

rnia

Geo

rgia

Mic

hig

anA

lab

ama

De

law

are

Mai

ne

We

st V

irgi

nia

Lou

isia

na

Mo

nta

na

Haw

aii

New

Je

rse

ySo

uth

Car

olin

aO

klah

om

aTe

xas

Ten

nes

see

Nev

ada

Ala

ska

34

Page 35: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Undergraduate Credentials Awarded per 1,000 Adults without College Degrees

29

.9

22

.0

21

.0 24

.9

24

.9

15

.8

25

.7

15

.9 19

.9 23

.8

19

.1

20

.2

17

.6

17

.1

15

.8 20

.1

16

.1

13

.1

19

.1

13

.6 16

.0

16

.7

15

.6

16

.6 19

.0

15

.6

15

.6

15

.7

14

.2

13

.2 16

.7

15

.1 17

.1

13

.9 16

.5

15

.4

15

.0

13

.7

13

.2

13

.1 16

.7

12

.2

13

.1

14

.2

14

.0

13

.5

14

.0

12

.0

12

.6

7.5

5.5

6.7

10

.9

11

.2

8.4

7.6

15

.6

5.8

12

.5

9.5

7.3

9.2 8.2

9.5

9.8

10

.7

7.5

9.7

11

.2

7.7

11

.9 8.6 7.7

8.7 7.9 5

.8

7.7 7.9 7.9

8.5

9.6

6.6

8.4 6

.1

7.8

6.1

7.0

7.5

7.5 8.4

7.4

3.8

7.9 7.1 5.9

5.7 6.9 5.8

7.5 6.3

5.7

6.3

1.7

3.7

4.0 2.6

2.3

2.5

2.2

4.7 3.7 1

.6

2.9

2.7

3.8

3.6

3.7 2.0

3.3

4.2 1

.8

2.8

2.9

3.2

3.1

2.4 1.9

3.3

2.9 2.7

3.6

3.1 2.3 2.0

2.2

3.4 2.4

2.6

2.4

2.8 1.9

2.0

1.8

2.2 2.0

2.2

2.6 1.8

2.2

2.2

2.1

1.5

2.0

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dK

ansa

sM

inn

eso

taIo

wa

Mas

sach

use

tts

Uta

hV

erm

on

tA

rizo

na

Vir

gin

iaN

ort

h D

ako

taN

ebra

ska

Wis

con

sin

Illin

ois

Was

hin

gto

nFl

ori

da

New

Yo

rkC

olo

rad

oN

ew M

exic

oSo

uth

Dak

ota

Idah

oN

atio

nIn

dia

na

Mis

sou

riW

yom

ing

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

No

rth

Car

olin

aM

aryl

and

Ark

ansa

sG

eorg

iaO

rego

nM

issi

ssip

pi

Cal

ifo

rnia

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Ala

bam

aD

ela

war

eO

hio

Mic

hig

anK

en

tuck

yH

awai

iM

on

tan

aN

ew H

amp

shir

eTe

xas

Lou

isia

na

We

st V

irgi

nia

Mai

ne

New

Je

rse

ySo

uth

Car

olin

aO

klah

om

aTe

nn

esse

eN

evad

aA

lask

a

18-24 25-39 40+

35

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_c Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001

Page 36: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Proportion (%) of Undergraduate Awards by Level (2015-16)

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.

12.9%

7.3%

22.5%

57.3%

12.5% 11.7%

26.1%

49.7%

Certificate, Less than 1 Year Certificate,1 Year or More Associate's degree Bachelor's degree

Utah Nation

36

Page 37: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percentage of Undergraduate Credentials Awarded by Age-Group, Utah, 2015-16

1.7 2.1 3.52.8 2.85.7

3828.6

40.8

57.566.5

49.9

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-24 25-39 40 and Over

Certificates, Less than One Year Certificates, One to Less than Two Years

Associates Degrees Bachelor's Degrees

37Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_c Provisional Release Data File.

Page 38: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Proportion (%) of Undergraduate Credentials Awarded by Type - STEM, Health, and Other (2015-16)

38Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.

15.2

22.2

62.6

14.217.8

68

STEM Health Other

Utah US

Page 39: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

STEM Credentials Awarded per 1,000 STEM Employees (2015-16)

14

8.7

14

6.7

12

5.5

11

4.5

11

3.2

10

7.3

10

7.0

10

5.3

10

5.1

10

4.5

10

3.9

97

.89

7.7

96

.49

4.6

89

.68

8.9

87

.88

6.7

85

.78

4.5

83

.88

2.5

81

.78

1.5

81

.08

0.8

79

.17

9.0

78

.37

8.2

77

.97

7.7

76

.47

4.6

72

.37

2.1

69

.86

6.6

64

.76

4.6

64

.16

0.8

60

.85

8.5

56

.85

6.2

56

.15

5.5

53

.44

5.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Mis

siss

ipp

iLo

uis

ian

aW

est

Vir

gin

iaK

en

tuck

yIn

dia

na

Ala

bam

aN

ort

h D

ako

taR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Okl

aho

ma

New

Yo

rkSo

uth

Dak

ota

Mis

sou

riP

en

nsy

lvan

iaA

rkan

sas

Wyo

min

gIo

wa

Flo

rid

aM

on

tan

aV

erm

on

tO

hio

No

rth

Car

olin

aSo

uth

Car

olin

aM

ich

igan

Ari

zon

aIll

ino

isM

assa

chu

sett

sK

ansa

sN

ew M

exic

oN

atio

nU

tah

Geo

rgia

Neb

rask

aD

ela

war

eTe

xas

Wis

con

sin

Mai

ne

Nev

ada

Idah

oC

on

nec

ticu

tM

inn

eso

taTe

nn

esse

eW

ash

ingt

on

Cal

ifo

rnia

Mar

ylan

dV

irgi

nia

Co

lora

do

New

Je

rse

yO

rego

nH

awai

iN

ew H

amp

shir

eA

lask

a

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey.

39

Page 40: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Health Credentials Awarded per 1,000 Health Employees (2015-16)

10

6.7

10

2.7

94

.48

8.7

86

.48

4.0

83

.98

1.4

80

.97

7.5

76

.47

3.9

73

.27

2.2

70

.87

0.6

70

.57

0.2

68

.66

7.0

67

.06

6.1

65

.86

5.7

64

.86

4.5

62

.06

1.2

59

.05

8.3

56

.75

6.5

55

.15

5.1

54

.25

4.0

53

.75

3.7

52

.65

1.0

49

.24

8.1

47

.14

7.1

45

.54

4.2

43

.34

0.6

35

.93

4.5

33

.9

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Ari

zon

aK

ansa

sM

inn

eso

taN

ew M

exic

oIll

ino

isA

rkan

sas

Ke

ntu

cky

Wis

con

sin

Nev

ada

Geo

rgia

Flo

rid

aIn

dia

na

Iow

aM

isso

uri

Ala

bam

aU

tah

Co

lora

do

Mis

siss

ipp

iW

ash

ingt

on

Lou

isia

na

Sou

th D

ako

taN

atio

nV

irgi

nia

Oh

ioN

ebra

ska

We

st V

irgi

nia

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Ten

nes

see

Texa

sSo

uth

Car

olin

aC

alif

orn

iaM

assa

chu

sett

sM

ain

eN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Idah

oN

ort

h D

ako

taO

klah

om

aO

rego

nM

ich

igan

De

law

are

Wyo

min

gN

ew Y

ork

Ve

rmo

nt

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dC

on

nec

ticu

tM

aryl

and

Mo

nta

na

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ala

ska

New

Je

rse

yH

awai

i

Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey.

40

Page 41: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Finance & Productivity

41

Page 42: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Public FTE Enrollment and Educational Appropriations per FTE, Utah, FY 1992-2017

42

Page 43: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Tuition as a Percent of Public Higher Education Total Educational Revenue by State, FY 2016

Source: SHEEO SHEF FY 2016

12

.7%

21

.0%

29

.5%

31

.3%

31

.9%

34

.5%

34

.8%

35

.3%

37

.3%

37

.7%

38

.4%

40

.1%

40

.3%

43

.3%

44

.8%

45

.6%

46

.1%

46

.5%

47

.3%

47

.6%

48

.0%

48

.2%

48

.7%

48

.9%

48

.9%

49

.7%

50

.7%

51

.2%

51

.5%

52

.7%

53

.5%

55

.1%

58

.2%

59

.3%

59

.5%

60

.2%

60

.7%

61

.0%

62

.6%

63

.0%

64

.0%

64

.1% 67

.7%

67

.8%

68

.8%

69

.4%

72

.7%

75

.0% 78

.8%

86

.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Wyo

min

gC

alif

orn

iaA

lask

aN

ew

Me

xico

Haw

aii

No

rth

Car

olin

aFl

ori

da

Idah

oN

ew

Yo

rkN

eva

da

Ge

org

iaN

eb

rask

aTe

xas

Mas

sach

use

tts

Lou

isia

na

Was

hin

gto

nA

rkan

sas

Uta

hU

STe

nn

esse

eN

ort

h D

ako

taO

klah

om

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Mis

sou

riM

aryl

and

Ken

tuck

yW

isco

nsi

nC

on

ne

ctic

ut

Mo

nta

na

Kan

sas

Min

ne

sota

Mai

ne

Ore

gon

Oh

ioN

ew

Je

rsey

Iow

aIn

dia

na

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dA

rizo

na

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Wes

t V

irgi

nia

Vir

gin

iaSo

uth

Dak

ota

Ala

bam

aC

olo

rad

oM

ich

igan

Pen

nsy

lvan

iaD

elaw

are

Ne

w H

amp

shir

eV

erm

on

t

43

Page 44: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Family Share of Public Higher Education Operating Revenues, Utah

Source: SHEEO44

Page 45: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Need- and Merit-Based Grant Dollars per FTE, 2015-16 by State

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

SC TN LA NJ

WA KY

NY

CA

WV

VA IN AR

NM PA TX NC

MN AK

DC IL

OK

DE

NV

CO FL VT

WI

ND

MO

MD

OR

ME IA CT

OH

MA

MS

MI

NE

SD RI

KS HI

ID UT

AZ

MT

PR AL

GA

NH

WY

Estimated Merit Based UG Grand Dollars/UG FTE Estimated Need Based UG Grand Dollars/UG FTE2

Source: NASSGAP 47th Annual Survey Report on State-Sponsored Student Financial Aid, 2015-16 Academic Year 45

Page 46: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Cost as a Percent of Median Family Income, Public 4-Year Institutions, 2015-16

10

.9 11

.71

1.8 1

3.5

13

.81

4.0

14

.51

4.8

15

.21

5.6

15

.81

5.9

16

.21

6.7

16

.81

6.8

17

.31

7.5

17

.51

7.6

18

.01

8.1

18

.11

8.2

18

.21

8.3

18

.41

8.4

18

.41

8.6

19

.01

9.0

19

.11

9.1

19

.51

9.6

19

.61

9.9

20

.02

0.1

20

.42

0.4

20

.62

0.6 21

.42

1.9

21

.9 22

.82

2.9

23

.02

7.0

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Wyo

min

gA

lask

aU

tah

Idah

oN

ew M

exic

oIo

wa

Mis

siss

ipp

iO

klah

om

aN

ort

h D

ako

taM

aryl

and

Lou

isia

na

Mo

nta

na

Mis

sou

riTe

nn

esse

eA

rkan

sas

Neb

rask

aM

ain

eG

eorg

iaK

ansa

sTe

xas

Co

nn

ecti

cut

No

rth

Car

olin

aM

inn

eso

taV

erm

on

tM

assa

chu

sett

sK

en

tuck

yFl

ori

da

We

st V

irgi

nia

Cal

ifo

rnia

Sou

th D

ako

taIn

dia

na

Was

hin

gto

nN

atio

nN

ew Y

ork

Wis

con

sin

Nev

ada

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dA

rizo

na

Co

lora

do

New

Je

rse

yA

lab

ama

De

law

are

Vir

gin

iaN

ew H

amp

shir

eH

awai

iM

ich

igan

Illin

ois

Oh

ioSo

uth

Car

olin

aO

rego

nP

en

nsy

lvan

ia

46

Source: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; hd2016 and ic2016_ay Provisional Release Data Files; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015a Provisional Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Student Financial Aid File; sfa1516 Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

Page 47: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Cost as a Percent of Lowest Quintile Family Income, Public 4-Year Institutions, 2015-16

32

.3 34

.64

0.4

41

.44

2.5 4

7.3

48

.1 50

.05

0.2 52

.65

2.6

53

.75

4.9

55

.75

5.8

57

.05

8.8

58

.85

9.1

59

.86

1.0

61

.26

1.6

62

.76

3.1

63

.96

4.2

64

.36

4.4

65

.06

6.0

66

.86

7.2

67

.5 69

.87

0.7

70

.77

0.8

72

.27

2.3

72

.77

2.9 76

.07

6.1

76

.57

7.5

78

.8 81

.28

1.8

83

.69

0.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Wyo

min

gU

tah

Ala

ska

Iow

aId

aho

No

rth

Dak

ota

Mo

nta

na

Okl

aho

ma

Neb

rask

aM

ain

eN

ew M

exic

oM

aryl

and

Mis

sou

riM

inn

eso

taK

ansa

sA

rkan

sas

Mis

siss

ipp

iSo

uth

Dak

ota

Ten

nes

see

New

Ham

psh

ire

Flo

rid

aV

erm

on

tIn

dia

na

Wis

con

sin

Was

hin

gto

nC

olo

rad

oN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Lou

isia

na

Geo

rgia

Texa

sN

evad

aC

on

nec

ticu

tW

est

Vir

gin

iaN

atio

nH

awai

iC

alif

orn

iaM

assa

chu

sett

sK

en

tuck

yV

irgi

nia

De

law

are

Ari

zon

aO

rego

nA

lab

ama

Mic

hig

anR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Sou

th C

aro

lina

New

Je

rse

yO

hio

New

Yo

rkIll

ino

isP

en

nsy

lvan

ia

47

Source: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; hd2016 and ic2016_ay Provisional Release Data Files; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015a Provisional Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Student Financial Aid File; sfa1516 Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

Page 48: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Public Research Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student, 2015-16

48Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Provisional Release Finance Files; f1516_f1a, f1516_f2, and f1516_f3 Finance Files; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.;NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Institutional Characteristics File; hd2016 Provisional Release Data File. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA ME

MD

MA

MIMN

MS

MO

MTNE

NV

NHNJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SCSD

TN

TXUT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WYUS

19

21

23

25

27

29

10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000

Un

der

grad

uat

e C

red

enti

als

per

10

0 F

TE U

nd

ergr

adu

ate

s

Total Funding per FTES

Page 49: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Public Bachelors & Masters Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student, 2015-16

49Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Provisional Release Finance Files; f1516_f1a, f1516_f2, and f1516_f3 Finance Files; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.;NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Institutional Characteristics File; hd2016 Provisional Release Data File. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.

AL

AKAZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MIMN

MSMO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NMNY

NCND

OH

OK

OR

PARI

SC

SD

TNTX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

US

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

Un

der

grad

uat

e C

red

enti

als

per

10

0 F

TE U

nd

ergr

adu

ate

s

Total Funding per FTES

Page 50: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Public 2-Year Institutions: Undergraduate Credentials per 100 FTE Undergraduates and Total Funding per FTE Student, 2015-16

50

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CTDE

FL

GA

HI

ID

ILIN

IAKS

KYLA

MEMDMA

MI

MN

MS

MO MTNE

NVNH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OHOK

OR

PARI

SC

SD

TN

TXUT

VT

VA

WAWV

WI

WY

US

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000

Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Provisional Release Finance Files; f1516_f1a, f1516_f2, and f1516_f3 Finance Files; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.;NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Institutional Characteristics File; hd2016 Provisional Release Data File. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.; NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.

Un

der

grad

uat

e C

red

enti

als

per

10

0 F

TE U

nd

ergr

adu

ate

s

Total Funding per FTES

Alaska – 117 Awards,$122,182 total funds

Page 51: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Demographic, Economic, and Workforce Conditions

51

Page 52: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah Population by Age & Race, 2017

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

0-18 19-24 25-44 45-64 65+

White Hispanic Black Other

52

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division; SC-EST2017-ALLDATA6: Annual State Resident Population Estimates for 6 Race Groups (5 Race Alone Groups and Two or More Races) by Age, Sex, and Hispanic Origin: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017; File: 7/1/2017 State Characteristics Population Estimates; Release Date: June 2018

Page 53: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Change in Utah Population by Age & Race, 2007-2017

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

0-18 19-24 25-44 45-64 65+

White Hispanic Black Other

53

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; Summary File 1; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division; SC-EST2017-ALLDATA6: Annual State Resident Population Estimates for 6 Race Groups (5 Race Alone Groups and Two or More Races) by Age, Sex, and Hispanic Origin: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017; File: 7/1/2017 State Characteristics Population Estimates; Release Date: June 2018

Page 54: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Trend in Per Capita Income as a Percent of US Average, Utah

U.S. Average

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

75

80

85

90

95

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 55: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Per Capita Income by State, 2017

$7

0,1

21

$6

5,8

90

$6

2,5

54

$6

0,9

91

$5

9,5

24

$5

8,2

72

$5

7,5

74

$5

6,7

24

$5

6,2

83

$5

6,0

42

$5

4,6

43

$5

4,2

44

$5

3,5

04

$5

3,0

43

$5

2,8

08

$5

2,0

96

$5

1,9

39

$5

1,5

03

$5

1,1

14

$5

0,3

95

$5

0,3

92

$4

9,1

25

$4

8,2

81

$4

7,8

50

$4

7,6

03

$4

6,9

42

$4

6,8

58

$4

6,3

61

$4

5,9

96

$4

5,6

15

$4

5,2

55

$4

5,0

72

$4

4,6

26

$4

4,2

66

$4

4,1

65

$4

3,9

07

$4

3,6

61

$4

3,4

91

$4

3,4

49

$4

3,3

03

$4

3,2

70

$4

2,0

43

$4

1,6

33

$4

0,7

91

$4

0,5

07

$4

0,4

21

$3

9,9

76

$3

9,3

93

$3

9,0

23

$3

7,9

24

$3

6,3

46

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Mas

sach

use

tts

New

Je

rse

yN

ew Y

ork

Mar

ylan

dC

alif

orn

iaN

ew H

amp

shir

eW

yom

ing

Was

hin

gto

nA

lask

aN

ort

h D

ako

taV

irgi

nia

Co

lora

do

Min

nes

ota

Illin

ois

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Haw

aii

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dV

erm

on

tN

ebra

ska

Nat

ion

De

law

are

Sou

th D

ako

taW

isco

nsi

nK

ansa

sTe

xas

Flo

rid

aO

rego

nIo

wa

Oh

ioM

ich

igan

Mai

ne

Nev

ada

Ten

nes

see

Ind

ian

aM

on

tan

aM

isso

uri

Lou

isia

na

Okl

aho

ma

No

rth

Car

olin

aG

eorg

iaU

tah

Ari

zon

aA

rkan

sas

Idah

oSo

uth

Car

olin

aA

lab

ama

Ke

ntu

cky

New

Mex

ico

We

st V

irgi

nia

Mis

siss

ipp

i

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 56: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Per Capita Income by County, Utah (2016)

56Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 57: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent Change in GDP, Utah & US

10.4%11.5%

29.0%

20.1%

Utah US Average

Percent Change, 2007 to 2012 Percent Change, 2012 to 2017

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 58: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S.

0.4

2.9

6.6

12.0

4.8 5.2

7.2

21.3

25.6

13.9

0.5 1.4

6.2

11.2

4.65.3

7.1

22.3

28.6

12.8

1.01.4

4.3

11.8

4.66.0 5.9

21.0

31.8

12.4

Agriculture,forestry,

fishing, andhunting

Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation,Warehousing,

Utilities

Wholesaletrade

Retail trade Finance,insurance, realestate, rental,

and leasing

Informationand Services

Government

Utah 2006 Utah 2016 US 2016

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

58

Page 59: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

College Attainment by Industry (2012-16)

59

27.5

27.3

30.8

26.2

30.7

32.4

32.8

28.7

29.2

23.3

35.4

23.8

28.1

31.3

32.0

22.6

17.1

45.0

9.1

8.3

5.7

9.1

6.5

10.0

11.9

11.0

11.0

11.1

15.1

9.5

9.5

11.7

12.3

19.1

7.5

20.9

10.5

17.1

12.4

18.3

19.3

15.2

14.9

17.3

22.2

24.7

15.9

29.8

31.8

24.1

28.6

24.4

33.0

15.4

2.1

2.6

6.5

6.9

5.3

4.9

3.0

9.8

7.4

15.6

8.3

16.1

10.9

13.9

11.5

20.4

32.2

14.8

0 20 40 60 80 100

Construction

Arts, Entertainment, Recreation, Accomodation,…

Mining

Manufacturing

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting

Retail Trade

Transportation and Warehousing

Other Services

Wholesale Trade

Social Services

Utilities

Professional, Scientific, Management,…

Finance, Insurance, Real Estate, Rental and Leasing

Public Administration

Information

Health

Educational

Military

Some College, No Degree Associates Bachelors Graduate

Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample)

Page 60: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Non Agricultural Jobs by Industry, State of Utah, 2007 and 2017

60

Industry 2007 20172017 Percent

of Total2007-2017

ChangePercentGrowth

Total Non Agricultural Wage and Salary Jobs 1,251,233 1,469,068 217,835 17%

Government 76,410 79,402 5% 2,992 4%

Trade, Transportation & Utilities 259,098 293,394 20% 34,296 13%

Leisure & Hospitality 117,737 150,336 10% 32,599 28%

Education & Health Services 247,717 336,127 23% 88,410 36%

Natural Resources & Mining & Construction 115,648 107,305 7% -8,343 -7%

Financial Activities 75,288 84,810 6% 9,522 13%

Other Services 36,149 40,731 3% 4,582 13%

Manufacturing 127,708 129,231 9% 1,523 1%

Information 33,681 39,770 3% 6,089 18%

Professional & Business Services 161,797 207,962 14% 46,165 29%

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, https://jobs.Utah.gov

Page 61: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah Average Annual Employment by Major Industry Group and Number of Workers with a College Degree – 2012-16

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

Industry TitleTotal Number

EmployedNumber Employed with

a College CredentialPercent with a College

Credential

Manufacturing 120,949 41459 34.3

Professional, Scientific, Management, Administrative, Waste Management Services

119,248 65971 55.3

Educational 110,397 80246 72.7

Retail Trade 107,909 32484 30.1

Health 104,599 66963 64.0

Finance, Insurance, Real Estate, Rental and Leasing 71,224 37155 52.2

Construction 70,672 15323 21.7

Arts, Entertainment, Recreation, Accommodation, Food Services 63,682 17794 27.9

Public Administration 60,417 29994 49.6

Transportation and Warehousing 45,274 13505 29.8

Other Services 37,032 14136 38.2

Wholesale Trade 29,103 11802 40.6

Information 24,115 12650 52.5

Mining 13,413 3291 24.5

Social Services 12,524 6433 51.4

Utilities 8,560 3365 39.3

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting 7,334 2281 31.1

Military 2,882 1473 51.1

Total 1,009,334 456325 45.2

61

Page 62: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah Average Annual Employment by Major Occupation Group and Number of Workers with a College Degree – 2012-16

62

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.

Industry Title Total Number EmployedNumber Employed with a

College CredentialPercent with a College

Credential

Managerial 118,472 72,606 61.3

Education, Training, and Library 68,920 56,469 81.9

Office and Administrative Support 148,876 49,391 33.2

Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 56,735 48,454 85.4

Sales and Related 100,907 37,991 37.6

Computer and Mathematical 41,395 28,644 69.2

Financial Operations 28,221 21,331 75.6

Architecture and Engineering 22,803 17,088 74.9

Business 28,461 16,933 59.5

Arts, Entertainment, Design, Sports, and Media 18,599 12,918 69.5

Production 69,107 11,454 16.6

Community and Social Services 14,612 11,232 76.9

Transportation and Material Moving 58,582 9,953 17.0

Legal 10,614 8,937 84.2

Life, Physical, and Social Sciences 9,527 7,974 83.7

Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 34,882 7,699 22.1

Construction 52,208 6,935 13.3

Protective Services 17,752 6,798 38.3

Personal Care and Service 17,307 5,841 33.7

Healthcare Support 18,185 5,776 31.8

Food Preparation and Serving 33,676 5,450 16.2

Building, Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 31,172 4,717 15.1

Military 1,500 794 52.9

Farming, Fishing, Forestry, and Hunting 3,751 636 17.0

Extraction 3,070 304 9.9

Total 1,009,334 456,325 45.2

Page 63: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Occupational Employment & Growth, Utah, 2016-2026

63

Occupation TitleEmployment,

2016Employment

2026Net Change

Percent Change

Average Annual

Openings, Growth

Average Annual

Openings, Replacement

Average Annual

Openings, Total

Total, All 1,490,490 1,924,190 433,700 29.1 43,370 185,010 228,380

Office & Administrative Support 254,530 310,780 56,250 22.1 5,625 31,816 37,441

Sales & Related 150,100 182,510 32,410 21.6 3,241 22,054 25,295

Food Preparation & Serving Related 112,490 147,290 34,800 30.9 3,480 22,327 25,807

Management 97,400 126,930 29,530 30.3 2,953 8,657 11,610

Production 94,120 112,840 18,720 19.9 1,872 11,658 13,530

Construction & Extraction 93,310 131,290 37,980 40.7 3,799 11,277 15,076

Transportation & Material Moving 89,860 117,350 27,490 30.6 2,749 12,203 14,952

Education, Training, & Library 83,880 110,520 26,640 31.8 2,664 8,211 10,874

Business & Financial Operations 77,760 104,590 26,830 34.5 2,683 8,003 10,686

Healthcare Practitioners & Technical 70,560 94,700 24,140 34.2 2,415 4,320 6,734

Installation, Maintenance, & Repair 58,460 74,550 16,090 27.5 1,609 6,240 7,849

Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 51,780 67,170 15,390 29.7 1,539 7,374 8,913

Personal Care & Service 48,650 67,500 18,850 38.7 1,885 8,903 10,788

Computer & Mathematical 46,680 67,330 20,650 44.2 2,065 3,716 5,781

Healthcare Support 34,740 47,900 13,160 37.9 1,316 4,548 5,864

Architecture & Engineering 26,530 34,580 8,050 30.4 806 2,155 2,961

Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, & Media 26,480 35,120 8,640 32.6 864 2,949 3,813

Protective Service 23,020 27,980 4,960 21.5 496 2,914 3,410

Community & Social Service 21,230 27,990 6,760 31.9 677 2,650 3,327

Life, Physical, & Social Science 11,480 15,050 3,570 31.1 357 1,175 1,531

Legal 9,610 11,870 2,260 23.5 226 656 882

Farming, Fishing, & Forestry 7,840 8,370 530 6.7 53 1,206 1,259

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, https://jobs.Utah.gov

Page 64: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Adults Aged 25 to 64 with College Degrees Employed in Management and Professional Occupations (2012-16)

64

72

.97

0.5

70

.57

0.0

68

.76

8.6

68

.46

8.3

67

.96

7.6

67

.16

7.0

67

.06

6.7

66

.76

6.4

66

.36

6.3

66

.26

6.2

66

.06

5.9

65

.96

5.8

65

.66

5.6

65

.56

5.5

65

.56

5.4

65

.46

5.3

65

.16

5.1

64

.56

4.4

64

.46

3.8

63

.66

3.4

63

.36

2.9

62

.56

2.2

62

.16

0.9

60

.65

9.0

57

.25

6.9

56

.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Mar

ylan

dV

irgi

nia

Mas

sach

use

tts

Co

nn

ecti

cut

New

Je

rse

yD

ela

war

eTe

xas

Ve

rmo

nt

Cal

ifo

rnia

We

st V

irgi

nia

Lou

isia

na

New

Mex

ico

Ark

ansa

sP

en

nsy

lvan

iaO

hio

New

Ham

psh

ire

Was

hin

gto

nU

tah

Nat

ion

Kan

sas

Geo

rgia

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dO

rego

nM

isso

uri

Okl

aho

ma

Ten

nes

see

No

rth

Car

olin

aC

olo

rad

oM

ich

igan

Min

nes

ota

Illin

ois

New

Yo

rkA

lab

ama

Ari

zon

aK

en

tuck

yId

aho

Ala

ska

Wis

con

sin

Mai

ne

Mo

nta

na

Ind

ian

aN

ebra

ska

Iow

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Flo

rid

aSo

uth

Dak

ota

Wyo

min

gH

awai

iN

ort

h D

ako

taN

evad

a

Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample)

Page 65: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Adults Aged 25 to 64 with College Degrees Employed in High Tech Occupations (2012-16)

65

12

.71

2.2

12

.11

1.1

11

.11

0.5

10

.21

0.0

10

.09

.89

.89

.79

.59

.39

.39

.18

.98

.88

.78

.68

.68

.58

.48

.48

.38

.38

.37

.97

.67

.67

.67

.57

.17

.07

.06

.86

.76

.66

.66

.56

.56

.46

.46

.46

.36

.25

.95

.85

.85

.04

.8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Was

hin

gto

nV

irgi

nia

Mar

ylan

dC

alif

orn

iaC

olo

rad

oN

ew H

amp

shir

eM

assa

chu

sett

sM

ich

igan

Uta

hO

rego

nTe

xas

New

Je

rse

yA

rizo

na

De

law

are

Min

nes

ota

Idah

oN

atio

nC

on

nec

ticu

tN

ew M

exic

oIll

ino

isA

lab

ama

Geo

rgia

Oh

ioK

ansa

sP

en

nsy

lvan

iaW

isco

nsi

nN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Mis

sou

riIo

wa

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dV

erm

on

tIn

dia

na

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Ala

ska

Neb

rask

aTe

nn

esse

eO

klah

om

aN

ew Y

ork

Flo

rid

aH

awai

iLo

uis

ian

aW

est

Vir

gin

iaSo

uth

Dak

ota

Ke

ntu

cky

No

rth

Dak

ota

Ark

ansa

sN

evad

aM

on

tan

aM

ain

eW

yom

ing

Mis

siss

ipp

i

Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample)

Page 66: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

The Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and the State New Economy Index

Perc

ent

of

Ad

ult

s 2

5 t

o 6

4 w

ith

Co

llege

Deg

ree

s (2

01

6)

Personal Income per Capita (2016)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; Bureau of Economic Analysis; ITIF

AL

AKAZ

AR

CA

COCT

DEFLGA

HI

ID

IL

IN

IA KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NHNJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

27

34

41

48

55

30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 70,000

State New Economy Index 2017

Top Tier

Middle Tier

Bottom Tier

High College Attainment, Low Personal Income High College Attainment, High Personal Income

Low College Attainment, Low Personal Income Low College Attainment, High Personal Income

66

Page 67: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: ITIF 2017 States New Economy Index

2017 State New Economy Index – Overall Index Scores

96

.68

4.7

84

.58

1.7

80

.47

8.9

78

.37

7.6

77

.37

6.4

74

.57

2.6

71

.47

1.4

70

.66

9.2

67

.56

6.8

66

.86

6.7

66

.56

5.6

64

.46

2.7

62

.76

1.3

60

.45

9.9

59

58

.55

7.5

57

.45

6.9

55

.95

5.8

55

.35

5.2

54

.85

1.8

50

.55

0.1

49

.54

9.5

49

.14

8.2

47

.94

7.6

47

.14

4.1

42

.83

7.9

0

20

40

60

80

100

120M

assa

chu

sett

sC

alif

orn

iaW

ash

ingt

on

Vir

gin

iaD

elaw

are

Mar

ylan

dC

olo

rad

oN

ew J

erse

yU

tah

Co

nn

ecti

cut

New

Yo

rkM

inn

eso

taO

rego

nN

ew H

amp

shir

eM

ich

igan

Illin

ois

Texa

sV

erm

on

tG

eorg

iaR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Ari

zon

aN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Pen

nys

lvan

iaFl

ori

da

US

Ave

rage

Oh

ioW

isco

nsi

nN

ebra

ska

Mis

sou

riId

aho

Kan

sas

Nev

ada

Ten

nes

see

Ind

ian

aN

ew M

exic

oSo

uth

Car

olin

aM

ain

eIo

wa

No

rth

Dak

ota

Ken

tuck

yH

awai

iSo

uth

Dak

ota

Ala

ska

Mo

nta

na

Ala

bam

aO

kalh

om

aLo

uis

ian

aW

yom

ing

Wes

t V

irgi

nia

Ark

ansa

sM

issi

ssip

pi

67

Page 68: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Utah Rankings in the New Economy Index, 2017 and 2007

Source: ITIF, The 2017 State new Economy Index, The 2007 State New Economy Index

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Foreign Direct Investment

Immigration of Knowledge Workers

Export Focus of Manufacturing

Manufacturing Value Added

Patents

Information Technology Jobs

Managerial, Professional, & Technical Jobs

Industry Investment in R&D

Online Agriculture

High Wage Traded Services

Scientists & Engineers

Workforce Education

IPOs

Overall

Broadband Telecommuncations

High Tech Jobs

Venture Capital

Fast-growing Firms

Inventor Patents

E-Government

2017 2007

Page 69: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Positions Gained or Lost in the New Economy Index Rankings 2007-2017, Utah

Source: ITIF, The 2017 State new Economy Index, The 2007 State New Economy Index

-13

-10

-7

-4

-3

-1

0

1

1

1

2

3

3

3

4

6

6

9

12

22

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25

Foreign Direct Investment

Immigration of Knowledge Workers

Manufacturing Value Added

High Wage Traded Services

Export Focus of Manufacturing

Patents

Venture Capital

Information Technology Jobs

Inventor Patents

E-Government

Fast-growing Firms

Workforce Education

IPOs

Overall

High Tech Jobs

Managerial, Professional, & Technical Jobs

Scientists & Engineers

Online Agriculture

Industry Investment in R&D

Broadband Telecommuncations

Page 70: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Federally Financed R&D Expenditures Per Capita, State Totals, 2013

45

5.8

53

23

.32

20

2.5

11

97

.18

18

4.8

51

83

.83

17

4.4

31

70

.19

16

6.2

81

58

.52

15

2.5

71

46

.68

14

3.5

41

42

.29

14

0.6

51

30

.62

12

9.0

71

27

.69

12

6.1

51

24

.16

12

3.4

31

23

.14

12

1.5

51

18

.30

11

6.7

21

14

.87

11

0.1

61

06

.69

10

6.3

61

05

.81

10

0.9

09

3.5

09

2.3

99

1.4

29

1.2

08

9.2

88

2.5

78

0.6

47

6.1

17

2.9

56

9.4

86

4.2

06

3.0

85

6.6

75

5.0

05

1.3

35

0.9

74

8.4

63

8.8

13

6.7

13

6.6

8

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500M

aryl

and

Mas

sach

use

tts

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dN

ew H

amp

shir

eC

on

nec

ticu

tP

en

nsy

lvan

iaC

olo

rad

oH

awai

iN

ort

h C

aro

lina

New

Yo

rkW

ash

ingt

on

Uta

hA

lask

aV

erm

on

tD

ela

war

eO

rego

nN

ew M

exic

oM

ich

igan

Cal

ifo

rnia

Wis

con

sin

Nat

ion

Iow

aIll

ino

isG

eorg

iaO

hio

No

rth

Dak

ota

Mo

nta

na

Ala

bam

aTe

nn

esse

eN

ebra

ska

Mis

sou

riM

inn

eso

taW

yom

ing

Vir

gin

iaIn

dia

na

Kan

sas

Ari

zon

aTe

xas

New

Je

rse

ySo

uth

Dak

ota

Mis

siss

ipp

iLo

uis

ian

aSo

uth

Car

olin

aFl

ori

da

Ke

ntu

cky

We

st V

irgi

nia

Idah

oO

klah

om

aA

rkan

sas

Nev

ada

Mai

ne

Source: National Science Foundation; WebCASPAR 70

Page 71: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

R&D By Field, Utah’s Rank

71

4844

423838

3232

292828282828

2626

2524

2322

212020

1919

1818

1717

1414

76

3

Other Social SciencesPhysics

EducationEarth Sciences

EconomicsCivil Engineering

Other EngineeringOther Life SciencesBiological Sciences

PsychologyPolitical Science and Public Administration

AnthropologySocial Service Professions

Medical SciencesTotal

ChemistryLaw

Materials EngineeringMathematics and Statistics

Electrical EngineeringChemical Engineering

Other Physical SciencesMechanical Engineering

SociologyAgricultural Sciences

Communication and LibrarianshipAtmospheric Sciences

Business and ManagementAstronomy

Computer ScienceOther Non-sciences or Unknown Disciplines

HumanitiesAerospace Engineering

Source: National Science Foundation; WebCASPAR

Page 72: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Migration

72

Page 73: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Average Annual Net Migration of 22 to 64 Year Olds by Education Level, Utah, 2012-16

835

2,628

4,941

2,165

-611

2,678

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Less than HighSchool

High SchoolGraduate

Some College, NoDegree

Associate'sDegree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional

Degree

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample. 73

Page 74: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Migration Churn Rate Estimate 22-64 (Per 1,000 Population), Associates Degree & Above

74

19

6.5

14

5.0

12

9.3

12

7.2

11

8.4

11

5.2

10

9.0

10

8.0

10

7.7

10

7.5

10

6.5

10

6.4

10

3.1

10

1.6

99

.59

8.2

97

.79

4.8

94

.69

4.5

92

.59

0.9

88

.88

6.0

85

.18

4.8

82

.48

2.4

82

.18

1.7

79

.67

7.8

77

.37

5.5

74

.47

3.8

73

.27

2.0

71

.47

0.9

69

.76

9.4

68

.36

8.3

65

.56

3.5

61

.26

0.6

59

.55

9.4

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200A

lask

aW

yom

ing

Haw

aii

Nev

ada

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dId

aho

De

law

are

Vir

gin

iaN

ort

h D

ako

taN

ew M

exic

oA

rizo

na

Co

lora

do

Ve

rmo

nt

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ore

gon

Mar

ylan

dM

on

tan

aW

ash

ingt

on

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Kan

sas

Uta

hN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Ten

nes

see

Sou

th D

ako

taC

on

nec

ticu

tG

eorg

iaW

est

Vir

gin

iaM

isso

uri

Mas

sach

use

tts

Flo

rid

aO

klah

om

aM

ain

eN

ebra

ska

Ke

ntu

cky

Iow

aA

lab

ama

Lou

isia

na

Ind

ian

aIll

ino

isA

rkan

sas

New

Je

rse

yTe

xas

Pe

nn

sylv

ania

Mis

siss

ipp

iN

ew Y

ork

Min

nes

ota

Wis

con

sin

Oh

ioM

ich

igan

Cal

ifo

rnia

Note: Migration Churn Rate is the sum of in-migrants and out-migrants relative to 1,000 state population (population base excludes in-migrants for this calculation).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 75: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

-12,000

-9,000

-6,000

-3,000

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

Nev

ada

Co

lora

do

Flo

rid

aW

ash

ingt

on

Ore

gon

De

law

are

Ari

zon

aTe

xas

Idah

oH

awai

iSo

uth

Car

olin

aV

irgi

nia

No

rth

Dak

ota

No

rth

Car

olin

aN

ew H

amp

shir

eG

eorg

iaU

tah

Mar

ylan

dM

assa

chu

sett

sTe

nn

esse

eC

alif

orn

iaA

rkan

sas

Mo

nta

na

Mai

ne

Ke

ntu

cky

Lou

isia

na

Neb

rask

aW

yom

ing

Kan

sas

New

Mex

ico

Min

nes

ota

Sou

th D

ako

taC

on

nec

ticu

tO

klah

om

aM

isso

uri

Mic

hig

anA

lab

ama

Oh

ioW

isco

nsi

nIn

dia

na

Iow

aP

en

nsy

lvan

iaN

ew J

ers

ey

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dN

ew Y

ork

Mis

siss

ipp

iIll

ino

isW

est

Vir

gin

iaV

erm

on

tA

lask

a

In-Migration Out-Migration Net Migration

Average Annual In-, Out- and Net-Migration per 100,000 22-64 Year Olds, 2012-2016

75

Page 76: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

-12,000

-9,000

-6,000

-3,000

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

Was

hin

gto

nN

evad

aC

olo

rad

oTe

xas

Flo

rid

aD

ela

war

eA

rizo

na

Ore

gon

Haw

aii

Cal

ifo

rnia

Sou

th C

aro

lina

No

rth

Car

olin

aV

irgi

nia

Idah

oM

ain

eM

aryl

and

New

Ham

psh

ire

Ten

nes

see

Mas

sach

use

tts

Mo

nta

na

Geo

rgia

Uta

hA

rkan

sas

Lou

isia

na

Co

nn

ecti

cut

Min

nes

ota

Ke

ntu

cky

Neb

rask

aA

lab

ama

Kan

sas

Mic

hig

anSo

uth

Dak

ota

New

Yo

rkIll

ino

isO

hio

Mis

sou

riN

ew M

exic

oN

ew J

ers

ey

Wyo

min

gN

ort

h D

ako

taP

en

nsy

lvan

iaIn

dia

na

Wis

con

sin

Iow

aO

klah

om

aM

issi

ssip

pi

Rh

od

e Is

lan

dW

est

Vir

gin

iaV

erm

on

tA

lask

a

In-Migration Out-Migration Net Migration

Average Annual In-, Out- and Net-Migration per 100,000 22-64 Year Olds With an Associate's Degree or Above, 2012-2016

76

Page 77: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Population with an Associates Degree Who Were Born In-State, 2016

76

.57

4.0

73

.37

3.3

72

.77

2.4

70

.06

9.2

68

.76

6.9

66

.56

5.9

65

.86

5.7

64

.16

4.1

63

.76

0.4

59

.05

8.0

57

.95

5.7

55

.15

4.4

53

.85

3.4

53

.25

2.1

52

.05

1.8

51

.65

1.0

49

.34

9.3

47

.04

6.6

46

.04

4.4

43

.94

3.8

41

.24

0.9

39

.43

8.0

37

.63

5.4

34

.32

6.9

26

.32

4.1

12

.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0M

ich

igan

Iow

aP

enn

sylv

ania

Oh

ioLo

uis

ian

aW

isco

nsi

nM

inn

eso

taM

issi

ssip

pi

Illin

ois

New

Yo

rkM

assa

chu

sett

sN

ebra

ska

Wes

t V

irgi

nia

Ind

ian

aK

entu

cky

Ala

bam

aN

ort

h D

ako

taM

isso

uri

Sou

th D

ako

taM

ain

eK

ansa

sC

on

nec

ticu

tU

tah

Nat

ion

Texa

sR

ho

de

Isla

nd

Sou

th C

aro

lina

Ark

ansa

sC

alif

orn

iaO

klah

om

aN

ort

h C

aro

lina

Haw

aii

Ver

mo

nt

Ten

nes

see

Idah

oN

ew J

erse

yM

on

tan

aG

eorg

iaN

ew M

exic

oV

irgi

nia

Was

hin

gto

nO

rego

nW

yom

ing

Mar

ylan

dN

ew H

amp

shir

eC

olo

rad

oD

elaw

are

Flo

rid

aA

rizo

na

Ala

ska

Nev

ada

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample. 77

Page 78: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent of Population with a Bachelor’s Degree Who Were Born In-State, 2016

68

.36

8.0

66

.76

6.0

65

.36

4.9

63

.76

1.4

59

.95

9.0

58

.95

8.5

58

.15

7.8

55

.35

5.2

55

.15

4.1

54

.05

3.8

53

.45

0.7

50

.05

0.0

47

.54

6.7

45

.94

5.6

45

.54

3.9

43

.84

3.3

42

.04

0.0

39

.93

8.0

34

.73

4.0

33

.53

2.1

32

.03

2.0

31

.53

0.9

28

.32

7.4

27

.32

2.2

20

.92

0.0

11

.7

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0Lo

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Oh

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wa

Pen

nsy

lvan

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nsi

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Vir

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Geo

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Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample. 78

Page 79: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Education Level and Occupation Group, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16 - High School Graduate and Less

239

5,396

49

6,802

12,486

-304

-3,795

-103

-5,543

-9,745

-65

1,601

-54

1,259

2,741

-15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000

STEM + Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, Production,Transportation, and Material Moving

Military Specific Occupations

Other Occupations

Total Occupations

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

79Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 80: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Education Level and Occupation Group, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16 - Some College, No Degree + Associates

2,145

3,952

285

14,735

21,117

-1,592

-2,496

-265

-10,309

-14,662

553

1,456

20

4,426

6,455

-20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

STEM + Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, Production,Transportation, and Material Moving

Military Specific Occupations

Other Occupations

Total Occupations

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

80Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 81: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Education Level and Occupation Group, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16 - Bachelors Degree and Graduate/Professional

4,912

720

82

16,180

21,894

-5,215

-1,029

-171

-13,906

-20,321

-303

-309

-89

2,274

1,573

-25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

STEM + Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, Production,Transportation, and Material Moving

Military Specific Occupations

Other Occupations

Total Occupations

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

81Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 82: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Education Level and Occupation Group, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16 - All Education Levels

7,296

10,068

416

37,717

55,497

-7,111

-7,320

-539

-29,758

-44,728

185

2,748

-123

7,959

10,769

-50,000 -25,000 0 25,000 50,000 75,000

STEM + Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, Production,Transportation, and Material Moving

Military Specific Occupations

Other Occupations

Total Occupations

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

82Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 83: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Education Level and Occupation Group, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16 - Bachelors Degree Only

2,283

576

42

10,425

13,326

-2,948

-825

-152

-10,296

-14,221

-665

-249

-110

129

-895

-20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000

STEM + Healthcare Practitioners and Technical

Construction, Extraction, Maintenance, Production,Transportation, and Material Moving

Military Specific Occupations

Other Occupations

Total Occupations

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

83Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 84: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Field of Bachelor’s Degree, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16

3,161

1,336

10,217

14,714

-3,771

-1,130

-10,424

-15,325

-610

206

-207

-611

-20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

STEM

Health

Other

Total

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

84

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 85: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Net Migration by Field of Graduate or Professional Degree, Adults Aged 22-64, 2012-16

3,341

379

5,280

9,000

-2,164

-622

-3,536

-6,322

1,177

-243

1,744

2,678

-8,000 -6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000

STEM

Health

Other

Total

Out Migration In Migration Net Migration

85Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012-16 American Community Survey Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Page 86: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Average Annual Net Migration of 22 to 39 Year Olds by Education Level (2012-2016)

765

1,883

4,030

1,853

-1,696

1,990

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Less than HighSchool

Just High School orGED

Some College, NoDegree

Associates Degree Bachelors Degree Graduates Degree

86

Page 87: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.

Average Annual Net Migration of 40 to 64 Year Olds by Education Level (2012-2016)

70

745

911

312

1,085

688

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Less than HighSchool

Just High School orGED

Some College, NoDegree

Associates Degree Bachelors Degree Graduates Degree

87

Page 88: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Population Projections

88

Page 89: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Projected Percent Change by Selected Age Group, 2016-2040

89Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

Page 90: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

County Share of the Projected Change in Total State Population, 2015-2040

90

Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

Page 91: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent Change in Projected Population Aged 5-17 by County, 2015-2040

91

Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

State of Utah: 24%

Page 92: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent Change in Projected Population Aged 18-24 by County, 2015-2040

92

Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

State of Utah: 32%

Page 93: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent Change in Projected Population Aged 25-44 by County, 2015-2040

93

Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

State of Utah: 38%

Page 94: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Percent Change in Projected Population Aged 45-64 by County, 2015-2040

94

Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

State of Utah: 67%

Page 95: Utah Environmental Scan DataGeorgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020. 7 Educational Attainment of Working Aged Adults Aged 25

Projected Natural Increase and Net Migration, State of Utah, 2015-2040

95Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Natural Increase Net Migration