usda / national agricultural statistics service august crop report presented at the midwest, great...
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![Page 1: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
AUGUST CROP REPORT
Presented at the
Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference
August 14, 2007
Indianapolis, IN
Jeff Geuder
Chief, Crops Branch
USDA/NASS
![Page 2: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
![Page 3: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
![Page 4: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Corn:
Planted Mil Ac 92.9 NC + 18.6
Harvested Mil Ac 85.4 NC + 20.9
Yield Bu/Ac 152.8 -- + 2.5
Production Bil Bu 13.1 -- + 23.9
U.S CORN PRODUCTION
![Page 5: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Corn:
Planted Mil Ac 92.9 NC + 18.6
Harvested Mil Ac 85.4 NC + 20.9
Yield Bu/Ac 152.8 -- + 2.5
Production Bil Bu 13.1 -- + 23.9
U.S CORN PRODUCTION
No changefrom June Up from ‘06
![Page 6: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Corn:
Planted Mil Ac 92.9 NC + 18.6
Harvested Mil Ac 85.4 NC + 20.9
Yield Bu/Ac 152.8 -- + 2.5
Production Bil Bu 13.1 -- + 23.9
U.S CORN PRODUCTION
2nd highest yieldon record
Recordproduction
![Page 7: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
11% above previous record
24% abovelast year
![Page 8: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
2nd highest behind 160.4 in 2004
152.8
![Page 9: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn Objective Yield RegionDerived Grain Weight vs Ears per Acre
Aug 0706
04
020301
00
94
9998
9697
95
93
9205
0.24
0.26
0.28
0.30
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
Ears Per Acre
Lbs/Ear
Very highear count
Recent trend
![Page 10: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
August 2007
Corn Objective Yield Sample Distribution
Maturity Code
2: Pre-blister
3: Blister
4: Milk
5: Dough
6: Dent
Dent
![Page 11: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn for Grain Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
65-7
153#7
1707
150-6
80-65
1153
17815
157NC
18014
13217 120
-26
150#10
90-52
111-36
156-5
12515
137-1
168#16
112-17
185#NC
123-6
94-38
12514
143-16
13530
110-12
100-10
U.S. 152.83.7
# Record High
NC = No Change
11720
95-30
142#21
80-40
210#NC
1452
Better vegetative condition vs. 2006
![Page 12: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn for Grain Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
65-7
153#7
1707
150-6
80-65
1153
17815
157NC
18014
13217 120
-26
150#10
90-52
111-36
156-5
12515
137-1
168#16
112-17
185#NC
123-6
94-38
12514
143-16
13530
110-12
100-10
U.S. 152.83.7
# Record High
NC = No Change
11720
95-30
142#21
80-40
210#NC
1452
Increased yield in some major States
![Page 13: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn for Grain Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
65-7
153#7
1707
150-6
80-65
1153
17815
157NC
18014
13217 120
-26
150#10
90-52
111-36
156-5
12515
137-1
168#16
112-17
185#NC
123-6
94-38
12514
143-16
13530
110-12
100-10
U.S. 152.83.7
# Record High
NC = No Change
11720
95-30
142#21
80-40
210#NC
1452
Decreased yield in some minor States
![Page 14: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Corn for Grain Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
65-7
153#7
1707
150-6
80-65
1153
17815
157NC
18014
13217 120
-26
150#10
90-52
111-36
156-5
12515
137-1
168#16
112-17
185#NC
123-6
94-38
12514
143-16
13530
110-12
100-10
U.S. 152.83.7
# Record High
NC = No Change
11720
95-30
142#21
80-40
210#NC
1452
Record yield in some States
![Page 15: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
NASS vs. Industry EstimatesCorn Production (billion bushels)
12.60
12.80
13.00
13.20
13.40
Industry Estimates Industry Average NASS
12.909
13.054
![Page 16: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Soybeans:
Planted Mil Ac 64.1 NC - 15.1
Harvested Mil Ac 63.3 NC - 15.2
Yield Bu/Ac 41.5 -- - 2.8
Production Bil Bu 2.63 -- - 17.7
U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
![Page 17: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Soybeans:
Planted Mil Ac 64.1 NC - 15.1
Harvested Mil Ac 63.3 NC - 15.2
Yield Bu/Ac 41.5 -- - 2.8
Production Bil Bu 2.63 -- - 17.7
U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
No changefrom June Down from ‘06
![Page 18: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Soybeans:
Planted Mil Ac 64.1 NC - 15.1
Harvested Mil Ac 63.3 NC - 15.2
Yield Bu/Ac 41.5 -- - 2.8
Production Bil Bu 2.63 -- - 17.7
U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION
Yield down 1.2 bu. from ‘06
Production downfrom last year’s
record
![Page 19: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Lowest since 2003
![Page 20: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
U.S. Soybean Yield
41.5
20
25
30
35
40
45
Bushels/Acre
Down 1.2 bu from ‘06
Still 4th highest yield
41.5
![Page 21: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
August 2007
Soybean Objective Yield Sample Distribution
Maturity Code
2: Pods set, leaves green
3: Pods filled, leaves yellow
![Page 22: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Soybean Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
266
383
24-7
305
47-1
47-3
50-0.5
342 38
-6
37#2
25-9
33-12
40-4
39#13
37-1
50NC
27-8
37-9
27-5
343
44-3
247
39-1
26-3
U.S. 41.5-1.2
# Record HighNC = No Change
351
33-6
328
25-6
43-1
![Page 23: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Soybean Yields 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Year
266
383
24-7
305
47-1
47-3
50-0.5
342 38
-6
37#2
25-9
33-12
40-4
39#13
37-1
50NC
27-8
37-9
27-5
343
44-3
247
39-1
26-3
U.S. 41.5-1.2
# Record HighNC = No Change
351
33-6
328
25-6
43-1
Small decreases in some major States
![Page 24: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
NASS vs. Industry EstimatesSoybean Production (billion bushels)
2.400
2.500
2.600
2.700
2.800
Industry Estimates Industry Average NASS
2.653
2.625
![Page 25: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chgfrom PrevForecast
% Chgfrom Prev
Season
Winter Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 37.2 - 1.1 + 19.5 Yield Bu/Ac 41.3 - 0.7 - 1.0 Production Bil Bu 1.54 - 1.6 + 18.4
Other Spring:
Harvested Mil Ac 12.7 NC - 8.3 Yield Bu/Ac 39.3 + 0.5 + 18.4 Production Mil Bu 500 + 0.5 + 8.6
Durum Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 2.16 NC + 19.2 Yield Bu/Ac 35.5 - 2.5 + 20.3 Production Mil Bu 76.7 - 2.6 + 43.4
All Wheat:
Production Bil Bu 2.11 - 1.1 + 16.7
U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION
Harvested acres reduced – flooding at harvest timeProduction up from last year’s drought
![Page 26: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Winter Wheat Yields, August 1, 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Month
40NC
80NC
39NC
65-5
38NC
76-5
57NC
55-3
32NC 51
NC
64-2
64-7
61#NC
42NC
40-2
431
50-1
39NC
64NC
27NC
55NC
582
28NC
U.S. 41.3-0.3
# Record High
NC = No Change
45NC
39NC
36#NC
65-2
65NC
682
![Page 27: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
NASS vs. Industry EstimatesWinter Wheat Production (billion bushels)
1.500
1.520
1.540
1.560
1.580
1.600
Industry Estimates Industry Average NASS
1.554
1.537
![Page 28: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chgfrom PrevForecast
% Chgfrom Prev
Season
Winter Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 37.2 - 1.1 + 19.5 Yield Bu/Ac 41.3 - 0.7 - 1.0 Production Bil Bu 1.54 - 1.6 + 18.4
Other Spring:
Harvested Mil Ac 12.7 NC - 8.3 Yield Bu/Ac 39.3 + 0.5 + 18.4 Production Mil Bu 500 + 0.5 + 8.6
Durum Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 2.16 NC + 19.2 Yield Bu/Ac 35.5 - 2.5 + 20.3 Production Mil Bu 76.7 - 2.6 + 43.4
All Wheat:
Production Bil Bu 2.11 - 1.1 + 16.7
U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION
6.1 bushel increase from last year
![Page 29: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chgfrom PrevForecast
% Chgfrom Prev
Season
Winter Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 37.2 - 1.1 + 19.5 Yield Bu/Ac 41.3 - 0.7 - 1.0 Production Bil Bu 1.54 - 1.6 + 18.4
Other Spring:
Harvested Mil Ac 12.7 NC - 8.3 Yield Bu/Ac 39.3 + 0.5 + 18.4 Production Mil Bu 500 + 0.5 + 8.6
Durum Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 2.16 NC + 19.2 Yield Bu/Ac 35.5 - 2.5 + 20.3 Production Mil Bu 76.7 - 2.6 + 43.4
All Wheat:
Production Bil Bu 2.11 - 1.1 + 16.7
U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION
Above last year but below 8 of previous 10 seasons
![Page 30: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
U.S. Other Spring Wheat Production
500
300
400
500
600
700
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Million Bushels
![Page 31: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Other Spring Wheat Yields, August 1, 2007Bushels and Change From Previous Month
66-2
502
26-3 39
2505
39-4
U.S. 39.30.2
NC = No Change
43NC Hot, d
ry in July
![Page 32: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chgfrom PrevForecast
% Chgfrom Prev
Season
Winter Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 37.2 - 1.1 + 19.5 Yield Bu/Ac 41.3 - 0.7 - 1.0 Production Bil Bu 1.54 - 1.6 + 18.4
Other Spring:
Harvested Mil Ac 12.7 NC - 8.3 Yield Bu/Ac 39.3 + 0.5 + 18.4 Production Mil Bu 500 + 0.5 + 8.6
Durum Wheat:
Harvested Mil Ac 2.16 NC + 19.2 Yield Bu/Ac 35.5 - 2.5 + 20.3 Production Mil Bu 76.7 - 2.6 + 43.4
All Wheat:
Production Bil Bu 2.11 - 1.1 + 16.7
U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION
Above last year but lowest since 1993
![Page 33: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
76.7
![Page 34: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
NASS vs. Industry EstimatesAll Wheat Production (billion bushels)
2.000
2.050
2.100
2.150
2.200
Industry Estimates Industry Average NASS
2.129
2.114
![Page 35: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Oats Mil Bu 98.3 - 2.6 + 4.9
Barley Mil Bu 223 - 3.3 + 24.0
Sorghum Mil Bu 475 -- + 71.1
Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 69.9 -- - 2.5
Other Hay Mil Tons 75.3 -- + 7.6
U.S. PRODUCTION
![Page 36: USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007](https://reader035.vdocuments.mx/reader035/viewer/2022062714/56649d395503460f94a12fa2/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service
Crop Unit Aug ‘07
% Chg
from Prev
Forecast
% Chg
from Prev
Season
Rice Mil Cwt 190 -- - 1.7
Peanuts Bil Lbs 3.37 -- - 3.0
Dry Beans Mil Cwt 23.7 -- - 2.1
All Tobacco Mil Lbs 775 -- + 6.6
Sugarbeets Mil Tons 29.8 -- - 12.5
Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.5 -- + 6.5
U.S. PRODUCTION