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USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research USDA Agricultural Research Service Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader Leader

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Page 1: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project

(CEAP)

USDA Agricultural Research ServiceUSDA Agricultural Research Service

E. John Sadler, CoordinatorE. John Sadler, Coordinator

M. A. Weltz, National Program LeaderM. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Page 2: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Congressional DirectiveCongressional Directive The U.S. Department of Agriculture has been providing

assistance to farmers in implementing conservation practices for more than 60 years.

The effects of these practices have not been quantified. Congress and OMB directed USDA to conduct an assessment

of the effects of conservation practices. NRCS was identified as the lead agency. NRCS requested assistance from

ARS in quantifying the environmental effects of conservation practices at the watershed scale.

Page 3: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

CEAP was established to quantify the environmental benefits of conservation practices implemented under the 2002 Farm Bill.

The initial focus is on cropland. Future plans include

assessments for wildlife, grazing lands, and wetlands.

Conservation Effects Assessment Conservation Effects Assessment ProjectProject

Page 4: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

CEAP Has Two MajorCEAP Has Two MajorComponentsComponents

National Assessment Provides estimates of conservation

benefits at the national scale.

Watershed Assessment Studies

Provides more detailed information on conservation effects in selected watersheds.

Designed to support the National Assessment.

Page 5: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

The Watershed Assessment Studies The Watershed Assessment Studies CategoriesCategories

Three Watershed CategoriesThree Watershed Categories Agricultural Research Service Agricultural Research Service

(ARS) Benchmark (ARS) Benchmark WatershedsWatersheds

Natural Resources Natural Resources Conservation Service Conservation Service (NRCS) Special Emphasis (NRCS) Special Emphasis WatershedsWatersheds

CSREES Competitive Grants CSREES Competitive Grants Watersheds Watersheds

Page 6: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

The ARS Watershed Assessment The ARS Watershed Assessment StudyStudy

Research Approach 14 Benchmark Watersheds Six multi-location teams Focus on rainfed cropland watersheds Collaboration with NRCS and other agencies

Page 7: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

The ARS Watershed Assessment The ARS Watershed Assessment StudyStudy

S. Fork Iowa River

Walnut Creek

Mark Twain

U. Washita River

U. Leon River

Town BrookSt. Joseph River

U. Big Walnut Creek

Yalobusha River

Little River

Goodwin CreekBeasley Lake

Page 8: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

ScopeScope68 ARS Scientists 68 ARS Scientists 25 Projects 25 Projects 14 Locations14 Locations

The ARS Watershed Assessment The ARS Watershed Assessment StudyStudy

Page 9: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

The ARS Watershed Assessment Study

Anticipated Products1. Water, soil, management, and economic

data system.

2. Quantification of effects of conservation practices on environmental quality.

3. Validation of models and quantification of uncertainties of model predictions.

4. Evaluation of cost effectiveness of selection and placement of conservation practices.

5. Development of regional watershed models.

Page 10: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Missouri’s project – Mark Twain Lake /Salt River basin

• CEAP focuses on larger watersheds

• Historical data is on a smaller watershed – Goodwater Creek

• Scaling up is a significant part of our research in CEAP

• Some watersheds have very different land uses, which gives us some leverage

Page 11: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

The NRCS Special Emphasis

Watersheds Funding by NRCS thru state offices 8 selected in 2004 Focus on specific resource concerns Locations add diversity to other

CEAP watershed studies Technical collaboration with others

Page 12: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

CSREES Competitive Grants Watersheds

4 projects funded in 2004, 4 more in 2005

3 year duration Maximum award - $660K/project $3 million (CSREES 2M, NRCS 1M) Competitive external review

Page 13: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader
Page 14: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

CEAP Blue Ribbon Panel

Established to provide external review and guidance to CEAP.

Composed of representatives from the communities that will use CEAP output.

Recommendations:USDA should use CEAP resources to provide

assessments that will inform the 2007 farm bill debate.

CEAP should provide rigorous assessments of options for implementing future conservation programs.

Page 15: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

SUMMARYSUMMARY CEAP is mandated by Congress and OMB. ARS-CEAP is a large multi-location project involving

14 watersheds. NRCS Special Emphasis Watersheds involve 8

watersheds focused on specific resource concerns. CSREES Competitive Grants watersheds include 4

projects funded in 2004 and 4 additional projects funded in 2005.

All three watershed programs support the CEAP National Assessment.

An external panel is providing guidance to CEAP direction.

Page 16: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

CEAP Web sitehttp://www.nrcs.usda.gov/technical/nri/ceapWeb site contains Overview of CEAPFact sheet for each watershedARS Watershed Assessment Study project planWork plan for National Assessment

Page 17: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Local Issues - Atrazine

• What appears to reduce Atrazine lost in runoff?• ARS local research results

– Applying less of it– Incorporating after applying it– Having no runoff until it dissipates

• Two of these are management compromises • The other is unpredictable, and approaches

unmanageable

Page 18: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Planting and Runoff Timing

Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

%

Page 19: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Planting and Runoff TimingCorn planting progress, 1990, MO NE District

Perc

en

t p

lan

ted

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Day of year

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

Flo

w,

cfs

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Page 20: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Planting and Runoff Timing

Corn planting progress, 1990-2004, MO NE Districtyear=1991

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

doy

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 2200

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

1991

Day of year

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

Perc

en

t p

lan

ted

Flo

w,

cfs

Page 21: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Planting and Runoff Timing

Corn planting progress, 1990-2004, MO NE Districtyear=1995

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

doy90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

1995

Day of year

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

Perc

en

t p

lan

ted

Flo

w,

cfs

Page 22: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Planting and Runoff Timing

Corn planting progress, 1990-2004, MO NE Districtyear=2000

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

doy90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

0

1000

2000

3000

2000

Day of year

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220

Perc

en

t p

lan

ted

Flo

w,

cfs

Page 23: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

Big Questions

• Given the dominant effect of time since application…– Is dry weather the only thing that can prevent

loss?– Is recent improvement mostly caused by

weather?– Will future years disappoint us? – What would happen if they do?

Page 24: USDA Conservation Effects Assessment Project (CEAP) USDA Agricultural Research Service E. John Sadler, Coordinator M. A. Weltz, National Program Leader

E. John [email protected]

[email protected] Systems & Water Quality Research Unit

Columbia, MO