us presidential elections & democratic primaries: … · 2/28/2020 · 7 if the democratic...
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EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL:
Friday, February 28 at 2pm EST
US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS & DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES: SOUTH CAROLINA
Feb 25 – Feb 28 2020
© 2020 AtlasIntel
All Rights Reserved
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Methodology & Sample Profile
This study was conducted by AtlasIntel, an independent research & data intelligence firm.
1100 random interviews of South Carolina registered voters were conducted online between February 25 and February 28 2020. The sample was post-stratified with propensity scores to match the profile of registered voters on the following variables: gender, region, age group, education, family income, race, and vote in the 2016 Presidential Elections. The margin of error for registered voters is +/-3% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error for likely Democratic Primary voters is +/-4% at the 95% confidence level. 477 voters declared that they would be voting in the South Carolina Democratic Primary.
State-level results are representative of registered voters. Democratic Primary results are provided for likely voters. Some percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.
8 questions are not reported in this public report.
More information about AtlasIntel can be obtained by visiting www.atlasintel.org.
Gender
Female 50.6%
Male 49.4%
Age Group
18 – 29 18.7%
30 – 44 25.3%
45 – 64 41.2%
65+ 14.8%
Household incomeBelow 50k 42.5%
50k – 100k 33.5%
Above 100k 24.0%
2
RaceWhite 66.7%
Hispanic 4.5%
Black 25.3%
Other 3.5%
Vote in 2016 Presidential ElectionsHillary Clinton 39.5%
Donald Trump 49.3%
Other; doesn’t remember; didn’t vote 11.2%
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I. Presidential Approval
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1 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
4
Feb-20
Approve 50.2
Disapprove 48.6
Don't know 1.2
50.2
48.6
1.2
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
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2 Do you think President Trump should be impeached and removed from office?
5
Feb-20
Yes 44.1
No 53.6
Don't know 2.3
44.1
53.6
2.3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Yes
No
Don't know
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II. Democratic Primary
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3 Which of these following Democratic Primary candidates will you vote for?Asked solely of respondents declaring that they intend to vote in the South Carolina Democratic Primary
7
Feb-20
Joe Biden 35
Bernie Sanders 24
Tom Steyer 12
Pete Buttigieg 8
Elizabeth Warren 7
Amy Klobuchar 4
Tulsi Gabbard 2
Other 2
Don’t know 6
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3 Which of these following Democratic Primary candidates will you vote for?Asked solely of respondents declaring that they intend to vote in the South Carolina Democratic Primary
8
35
24
12
8
7
4
2
2
6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Tom Steyer
Pete Buttigieg
Elizabeth Warren
Amy Klobuchar
Tulsi Gabbard
Other
Don’t know
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III. Presidential Election Scenarios
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4 If the Democratic candidate was Bernie Sanders, whom would you vote for in the US
presidential elections?
10
Feb-20
Bernie Sanders 42.4
Donald Trump 48.2
Other* 9.4
42.4
48.2
9.4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other*
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5 If the Democratic candidate was Elizabeth Warren, whom would you vote for in the US
presidential elections?
11
Feb-20
Elizabeth Warren 40.7
Donald Trump 49.2
Other* 10.1
40.7
49.2
10.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Elizabeth Warren
Donald Trump
Other*
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6 If the Democratic candidate was Joe Biden, whom would you vote for in the US
presidential elections?
12
Feb-20
Joe Biden 41.8
Donald Trump 47.6
Other* 10.6
41.8
47.6
10.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Other*
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7 If the Democratic candidate was Pete Buttigieg, whom would you vote for in the US
presidential elections?
13
Feb-20
Pete Buttigieg 37.0
Donald Trump 47.9
Other* 15.1
37
47.9
15.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump
Other*