YEAR GASEXP POP GASP INCOME PNC PUC PPT PD PN1953 7.4 159565 16.668 8883 47.2 26.7 16.8 37.7 29.71954 7.8 162391 17.029 8685 46.5 22.7 18 36.8 29.71955 8.6 165275 17.21 9137 44.8 21.5 18.5 36.1 29.51956 9.4 168221 17.729 9436 46.1 20.7 19.2 36.1 29.91957 10.2 171274 18.497 9534 48.5 23.2 19.9 37.2 30.91958 10.6 174141 18.316 9343 50 24 20.9 37.8 31.71959 11.3 177130 18.576 9738 52.2 26.8 21.5 38.4 31.5

1960 12 180760 19.112 9770 51.5 25 22.2 38.1 321961 12 183742 18.924 9843 51.5 26 23.2 38.1 32.21962 12.6 186590 19.043 10226 51.3 28.4 24 38.5 32.51963 13 189300 18.997 10398 51 28.7 24.3 38.6 32.91964 13.6 191927 18.873 11051 50.9 30 24.7 39 33.21965 14.8 194347 19.587 11430 49.7 29.8 25.2 38.8 33.81966 16 196599 20.038 11981 48.8 29 26.1 38.9 35.11967 17.1 198752 20.7 12418 49.3 29.9 27.4 39.4 35.71968 18.6 200745 21.005 12932 50.7 30.7 28.7 40.7 37.11969 20.5 202736 21.696 13060 51.5 30.9 30.9 42.2 38.91970 21.9 205089 21.89 13567 53 31.2 35.2 44.1 40.81971 23.2 207692 22.05 14008 55.2 33 37.8 46 42.11972 24.4 209924 22.336 14270 54.7 33.1 39.3 46.9 43.51973 28.1 211939 24.473 15309 54.8 35.2 39.7 48.1 47.51974 36.1 213898 33.059 15074 57.9 36.7 40.6 51.5 541975 39.7 215981 35.278 15555 62.9 43.8 43.5 57.4 58.31976 43 218086 36.777 15693 66.9 50.3 47.8 60.9 60.51977 46.9 220289 38.907 15991 70.4 54.7 50 64.4 641978 50.1 222629 40.597 16674 75.8 55.8 51.5 68.6 68.61979 66.2 225106 54.406 16843 81.8 60.2 54.9 75.4 77.21980 86.7 227726 75.509 16711 88.4 62.3 69 83 87.61981 97.9 230008 84.018 17046 93.7 76.9 85.6 89.6 95.21982 94.1 232218 79.768 17429 97.4 88.8 94.9 95.1 97.81983 93.1 234333 77.16 17659 99.9 98.7 99.5 99.8 99.71984 94.6 236394 76.005 18922 102.8 112.5 105.7 105.1 102.51985 97.2 238506 76.619 19622 106.1 113.7 110.5 106.8 104.81986 80.1 240683 60.175 19944 110.6 108.8 117 106.6 103.51987 85.4 242843 62.488 19802 114.6 113.1 121.1 108.2 107.51988 88.3 245061 63.017 20682 116.9 118 123.3 110.4 111.81989 98.6 247387 68.837 21048 119.2 120.4 129.5 112.2 118.21990 111.2 250181 78.385 21379 121 117.6 142.6 113.4 1261991 108.5 253530 77.338 21129 125.3 118.1 148.9 116 130.31992 112.4 256922 77.04 21505 128.4 123.2 151.4 118.6 132.81993 114.1 260282 76.257 21515 131.5 133.9 167 121.3 135.11994 116.2 263455 76.614 21797 136 141.7 172 124.8 136.81995 120.2 266588 77.826 22100 139 156.5 175.9 128 139.31996 130.4 269714 82.596 22506 141.4 157 181.9 129.4 143.51997 134.4 272958 82.579 22944 141.7 151.1 186.7 128.7 146.4

1998 122.4 276154 71.874 24079 140.7 150.6 190.3 127.6 146.91999 137.9 279328 78.207 24464 139.6 152 197.7 126 151.22000 175.7 282429 100 25380 139.6 155.8 209.6 125.4 158.22001 171.6 285366 96.289 25449 138.9 158.7 210.6 124.6 160.62002 163.4 288217 90.405 26352 137.3 152 207.4 121.4 161.12003 191.3 291073 105.154 26437 134.7 142.9 209.3 117.5 165.32004 224.5 293951 123.901 27113 133.9 133.3 209.1 114.8 172.2

PS ln(GASEXP/POP) ln(GASP) ln(INC/POP) ln(PNC) ln(PUC) ln(PPT)

19.4 -9.979 2.813 -2.888 3.854 3.285 2.821

20 -9.944 2.835 -2.928 3.839 3.122 2.890

20.4 -9.864 2.845 -2.895 3.802 3.068 2.918

20.9 -9.792 2.875 -2.881 3.831 3.030 2.955

21.8 -9.729 2.918 -2.888 3.882 3.144 2.991

22.6 -9.707 2.908 -2.925 3.912 3.178 3.040

23.3 -9.660 2.922 -2.901 3.955 3.288 3.068

24.1 -9.620 2.950 -2.918 3.942 3.219 3.10024.5 -9.636 2.940 -2.927 3.942 3.258 3.14425 -9.603 2.947 -2.904 3.938 3.346 3.178

25.5 -9.586 2.944 -2.902 3.932 3.357 3.19026 -9.555 2.938 -2.855 3.930 3.401 3.207

26.6 -9.483 2.975 -2.833 3.906 3.395 3.22727.6 -9.416 2.998 -2.798 3.888 3.367 3.26228.8 -9.361 3.030 -2.773 3.898 3.398 3.31130.3 -9.287 3.045 -2.742 3.926 3.424 3.35732.4 -9.199 3.077 -2.742 3.942 3.431 3.43135 -9.145 3.086 -2.716 3.970 3.440 3.56137 -9.100 3.093 -2.696 4.011 3.497 3.632

38.4 -9.060 3.106 -2.689 4.002 3.500 3.67140.1 -8.928 3.198 -2.628 4.004 3.561 3.68143.8 -8.687 3.498 -2.653 4.059 3.603 3.70448 -8.602 3.563 -2.631 4.142 3.780 3.77352 -8.531 3.605 -2.632 4.203 3.918 3.86756 -8.455 3.661 -2.623 4.254 4.002 3.912

60.8 -8.399 3.704 -2.592 4.328 4.022 3.94267.5 -8.132 3.996 -2.593 4.404 4.098 4.00677.9 -7.873 4.324 -2.612 4.482 4.132 4.23488.1 -7.762 4.431 -2.602 4.540 4.343 4.45096 -7.811 4.379 -2.590 4.579 4.486 4.553

99.4 -7.831 4.346 -2.585 4.604 4.592 4.600104.6 -7.824 4.331 -2.525 4.633 4.723 4.661109.9 -7.805 4.339 -2.498 4.664 4.734 4.705115.4 -8.008 4.097 -2.491 4.706 4.690 4.762120.2 -7.953 4.135 -2.507 4.741 4.728 4.797125.7 -7.929 4.143 -2.472 4.761 4.771 4.815131.9 -7.828 4.232 -2.464 4.781 4.791 4.864139.2 -7.719 4.362 -2.460 4.796 4.767 4.960146.3 -7.756 4.348 -2.485 4.831 4.772 5.003152 -7.734 4.344 -2.480 4.855 4.814 5.020

157.9 -7.732 4.334 -2.493 4.879 4.897 5.118163.1 -7.726 4.339 -2.492 4.913 4.954 5.147168.7 -7.704 4.354 -2.490 4.934 5.053 5.170174.1 -7.635 4.414 -2.484 4.952 5.056 5.203179.4 -7.616 4.414 -2.476 4.954 5.018 5.230

184.2 -7.721 4.275 -2.440 4.947 5.015 5.249188.8 -7.614 4.359 -2.435 4.939 5.024 5.287195.3 -7.382 4.605 -2.409 4.939 5.049 5.345203.4 -7.416 4.567 -2.417 4.934 5.067 5.350209.8 -7.475 4.504 -2.392 4.922 5.024 5.335216.5 -7.327 4.655 -2.399 4.903 4.962 5.344222.8 -7.177 4.819 -2.383 4.897 4.893 5.343

ln(PD) ln(PN) ln(PS) t

3.630 3.391 2.965 1953 REG13.605 3.391 2.996 1954 Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)3.586 3.384 3.016 1955

3.586 3.398 3.040 1956 REG23.616 3.431 3.082 1957 Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)+b2*ln(INC/POP)3.632 3.456 3.118 1958

3.648 3.450 3.148 1959 REG3 (Full model)3.640 3.466 3.182 1960 Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)+b2*ln(INC/POP)+b3*ln(PNC)+b4*ln(PUC)+b6*ln(PPT)+b7*ln(PD)+b8*ln(PN)+b9*ln(PS)+b10*t3.640 3.472 3.199 19613.651 3.481 3.219 19623.653 3.493 3.239 19633.664 3.503 3.258 19643.658 3.520 3.281 19653.661 3.558 3.318 19663.674 3.575 3.360 19673.706 3.614 3.411 19683.742 3.661 3.478 19693.786 3.709 3.555 19703.829 3.740 3.611 19713.848 3.773 3.648 19723.873 3.861 3.691 19733.942 3.989 3.780 19744.050 4.066 3.871 19754.109 4.103 3.951 19764.165 4.159 4.025 19774.228 4.228 4.108 19784.323 4.346 4.212 19794.419 4.473 4.355 19804.495 4.556 4.478 19814.555 4.583 4.564 19824.603 4.602 4.599 19834.655 4.630 4.650 19844.671 4.652 4.700 19854.669 4.640 4.748 19864.684 4.677 4.789 19874.704 4.717 4.834 19884.720 4.772 4.882 19894.731 4.836 4.936 19904.754 4.870 4.986 19914.776 4.889 5.024 19924.798 4.906 5.062 19934.827 4.919 5.094 19944.852 4.937 5.128 19954.863 4.966 5.160 19964.857 4.986 5.190 1997

4.849 4.990 5.216 19984.836 5.019 5.241 19994.832 5.064 5.275 20004.825 5.079 5.315 20014.799 5.082 5.346 20024.766 5.108 5.378 20034.743 5.149 5.406 2004

Y=a+b1*ln(GASP)+b2*ln(INC/POP)+b3*ln(PNC)+b4*ln(PUC)+b6*ln(PPT)+b7*ln(PD)+b8*ln(PN)+b9*ln(PS)+b10*t