U.S. Economy and Electricity Demand Growth Linked but …

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U.S. Economy and Electricity Demand Growth Linked but . for International Utility Conference, Demand Trends Panel March 12, 2013 | London, UK by Adam Sieminski, Administrator. U. S. electricity use and economic growth, 1950-2040. Percent growth, 3-year rolling average. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • U. S. electricity use and economic growth, 1950-2040Adam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013*Percent growth, 3-year rolling averageSource: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early ReleaseHistoryProjections2011Electricity UseGDP2.4%0.9%2011 2040average

    Adam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013

    Chart1

    19501950

    19511951

    0.06748611890.1185299432

    0.0537710810.1077955739

    0.02574441810.0869638407

    0.03672570140.1172801099

    0.02797791620.1129976138

    0.03700486890.1072637823

    0.01019642930.0577426036

    0.02706483270.057964529

    0.02863455220.0611649994

    0.03969180160.0708871038

    0.03608428910.0632670676

    0.04242649570.0656204306

    0.05403433590.0746733041

    0.05522568450.0704476929

    0.06240976130.075274283

    0.05138490.0704892477

    0.04615924640.0804106825

    0.03486999960.0827123123

    0.02694642320.0819729838

    0.0220761880.0690240548

    0.02931701180.0668124217

    0.04815593490.0715204926

    0.03477473490.050975774

    0.01635536010.0307903203

    0.01497966740.0269652855

    0.03220519950.0452895818

    0.05179008650.0492113512

    0.04428905470.0373686305

    0.02781235480.0243933996

    0.01785379160.0208991096

    0.00089946020.0024632051

    0.01668387590.0089132318

    0.03181922280.0210842194

    0.05271890820.0365931909

    0.04917169350.0326730612

    0.03599628570.024405518

    0.03590860880.0351915887

    0.03626953930.051721236

    0.03182613060.0490743963

    0.01726638540.0383345757

    0.01667638830.0168399197

    0.01991127510.018865426

    0.03438394670.0220140117

    0.03144830190.0297946822

    0.03440542470.0273565469

    0.03567443730.0233568573

    0.04183467050.0267872608

    0.0454627650.0230233196

    0.04439797890.0285073601

    0.03335461470.012685726

    0.0233546710.0139590401

    0.01809596180.0064235087

    0.02605259690.01466879

    0.03025969030.0161965177

    0.03065116840.0138979965

    0.02546165430.0153954019

    0.01403279670.004716203

    -0.0051869199-0.0081925476

    -0.0036326373-0.000328074

    0.0034626717-0.0007609784

    0.02131208630.0100555197

    0.0183145758-0.0076630616

    0.02194960120.0004357025

    0.02600885960.0072339417

    0.0312553120.0146759565

    0.03176010230.0133819729

    0.02941484330.0120091752

    0.02817965190.0125162297

    0.02643387820.0108537845

    0.02514218390.0100186663

    0.02419238310.0089896433

    0.0239189740.0094803986

    0.0241401450.0094186629

    0.02428482920.0088754412

    0.02406959710.0083764613

    0.02389761890.0080203112

    0.02354383990.0076591456

    0.02348891560.0076281164

    0.02393953380.0076526425

    0.02437435660.0077859583

    0.02458194150.0078439982

    0.02432723090.0080310897

    0.02426604110.0082832631

    0.02439886620.008442543

    0.02452271430.0086235046

    0.02479416210.0088871805

    0.02506031230.0092823153

    0.02531108760.0096079025

    0.02529583120.0097677158

    GDP Growth

    Electricity Growth

    Sheet1

    Column1GDP GrowthElectricity Growth

    1950

    1951

    19520.06748611890.1185299432

    19530.0537710810.1077955739

    19540.02574441810.0869638407

    19550.03672570140.1172801099

    19560.02797791620.1129976138

    19570.03700486890.1072637823

    19580.01019642930.0577426036

    19590.02706483270.057964529

    19600.02863455220.0611649994

    19610.03969180160.0708871038

    19620.03608428910.0632670676

    19630.04242649570.0656204306

    19640.05403433590.0746733041

    19650.05522568450.0704476929

    19660.06240976130.075274283

    19670.05138490.0704892477

    19680.04615924640.0804106825

    19690.03486999960.0827123123

    19700.02694642320.0819729838

    19710.0220761880.0690240548

    19720.02931701180.0668124217

    19730.04815593490.0715204926

    19740.03477473490.050975774

    19750.01635536010.0307903203

    19760.01497966740.0269652855

    19770.03220519950.0452895818

    19780.05179008650.0492113512

    19790.04428905470.0373686305

    19800.02781235480.0243933996

    19810.01785379160.0208991096

    19820.00089946020.0024632051

    19830.01668387590.0089132318

    19840.03181922280.0210842194

    19850.05271890820.0365931909

    19860.04917169350.0326730612

    19870.03599628570.024405518

    19880.03590860880.0351915887

    19890.03626953930.051721236

    19900.03182613060.0490743963

    19910.01726638540.0383345757

    19920.01667638830.0168399197

    19930.01991127510.018865426

    19940.03438394670.0220140117

    19950.03144830190.0297946822

    19960.03440542470.0273565469

    19970.03567443730.0233568573

    19980.04183467050.0267872608

    19990.0454627650.0230233196

    20000.04439797890.0285073601

    20010.03335461470.012685726

    20020.0233546710.0139590401

    20030.01809596180.0064235087

    20040.02605259690.01466879

    20050.03025969030.0161965177

    20060.03065116840.0138979965

    20070.02546165430.0153954019

    20080.01403279670.004716203

    2009-0.0051869199-0.0081925476

    2010-0.0036326373-0.000328074

    20110.0034626717-0.0007609784

    20120.02131208630.0100555197

    20130.0183145758-0.0076630616

    20140.02194960120.0004357025

    20150.02600885960.0072339417

    20160.0312553120.0146759565

    20170.03176010230.0133819729

    20180.02941484330.0120091752

    20190.02817965190.0125162297

    20200.02643387820.0108537845

    20210.02514218390.0100186663

    20220.02419238310.0089896433

    20230.0239189740.0094803986

    20240.0241401450.0094186629

    20250.02428482920.0088754412

    20260.02406959710.0083764613

    20270.02389761890.0080203112

    20280.02354383990.0076591456

    20290.02348891560.0076281164

    20300.02393953380.0076526425

    20310.02437435660.0077859583

    20320.02458194150.0078439982

    20330.02432723090.0080310897

    20340.02426604110.0082832631

    20350.02439886620.008442543

    20360.02452271430.0086235046

    20370.02479416210.0088871805

    20380.02506031230.0092823153

    20390.02531108760.0096079025

    20400.02529583120.0097677158

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • Annual energy use of a new refrigerator, 1950-2008Adam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013*Kilowatthours per yearSource: DOE / EERE Building Technologies OfficeNote: The standards are expressed as the maximum annual energy consumption for a product as a function of the product's adjusted volume.

    Adam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013

    Chart1

    370

    390

    410

    450

    520

    590

    720

    730

    760

    810

    920

    1010

    1080

    1200

    1280

    1400

    1520

    1580

    1600

    1600

    1620

    1670

    1720

    1790

    1820

    1430

    1278

    1190

    1190

    1160

    1130

    1070

    1080

    980

    970

    950

    916

    857

    821

    660

    653

    649

    661

    669

    690

    704

    565

    520

    514

    500

    490

    506

    498

    483

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    325

    1978 CA Standard

    1980 CA Standard

    1987 CA Standard

    1990 NAECA Standard

    1993 DOE Standard

    2001 DOE Standard

    2014 DOE Standard - estimated use

    Series 1

    Sheet1

    Series 1Series 2Series 3

    1950370

    1951390

    1952410

    1953450

    1954520

    1955590

    1956720

    1957730

    1958760

    1959810

    1960920

    19611010

    19621080

    19631200

    19641280

    19651400

    19661520

    19671580

    19681600

    19691600

    19701620

    19711670

    19721720

    19731790

    19741820

    19781430

    19801278

    19811190

    19821190

    19831160

    19841130

    19851070

    19861080

    1987980

    1988970

    1989950

    1990916

    1991857

    1992821

    1993660

    1994653

    1995649

    1996661

    1997669

    1999690

    2000704

    2001565

    2002520

    2003514

    2004500

    2005490

    2006506

    2007498

    2008483

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014325

  • For more informationAdam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013*U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.govAnnual Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeoShort-Term Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/forecasts/steoInternational Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/forecasts/ieoToday In Energy | www.eia.gov/todayinenergyMonthly Energy Review | www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthlyAnnual Energy Review | www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual

    Adam Sieminski, EEI Demand Trends, March 12, 2013

    ****

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