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Welcome to Oilsim

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Page 1: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Welcome to Oilsim

Page 2: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

2

Three Part Learning System

Introduction to the Industry Overview of the Oil & Gas

Industry Value Chain

Oilpatch EXClassroom

Exploration 101 Drilling and Completions 101

e-LearningModules

OilSim OilSim Team Learning Simulation

Page 3: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Your Challenge Today

You are an exploration team in charge of a new petroleum exploration area.

Your task is to find and drill for new reserves and to maximize return on investment (ROI).

You will need to work as a company as well as in partnership with others.

You will show your new understanding of exploration and be rewarded through Credibility Points.

Page 4: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Finances

You will start with $50 millionYou can apply for more later.

Creating ValueProfit is measured by the net value of the oil and gas fields discovered MINUS all costs involved.

Winning team has highest ROIROI is calculated as Value created DIVIDED by Funds received.

Page 5: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Credibility Points

You get CPs for doing wellduring the simulationCorrect answers and sensibledecisions are awarded with CPs

CPs are a measure of ability and credibilityA team’s CPs are considered when bidding for blocks and applying for funds from the HQ

Page 6: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

You will learn

Where and how to find hydrocarbons. Various surveys during exploration.

Licensing rounds. Farm-in and Partnerships.

Drilling rigs and Sub-contractors.

Environmental issues.

Economically viable volumes. Reducing uncertainty.

Team work and negotiation. Critical decision making, analytical skills. Multi-tasking.

Page 7: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

88

Today’s Agenda – OilSim

AM

Team Challenge 1 – Finding Basins

Team Challenge 2 – Finding Prospects

Team Challenge 3a – Partnerships

PM

Team Challenge 3b – Drilling

Team Challenge 4 – License Round 2

Close and Feedback

Page 8: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Login

www.oilsim.com

Page 9: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Main screen

Page 10: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

MapColumns e.g C1, and C54

Row

s e

.g. R

35 a

nd R

163

Block

Blocks are divided into smaller cellse g. C57,R73

Page 11: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

First challenge

Challenge: Find three sedimentary basins in the area. Basins are sedimentary rocks in the deep subsurface where oil and gas has been generated.

Procedure: Buy and study magnetic and gravimetric surveys; and to submit the coordinates, column and row number for each basin centre.

Page 12: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Gravimetric surveys

Gravimetric surveys show the gravity in the sub-surface. Measured by airborne sensors.

Sedimentary rocks have lower densities than the surrounding crystalline rocks. Low gravity means high probability of a basin below.

Low gravity are basins.

High gravity are crystalline rocks

Page 13: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Surveys in OilSim

Page 14: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Real gravimetric survey

Page 15: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Survey in Oilsim

Gravimetric survey:South-east quadrant Gravimetric

survey:South-east quadrant

Page 16: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Survey in OilSim

All four quadrant surveys in map context.

Page 17: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Magnetic surveys

Magnetic surveys show similar information as gravimetric surveys. The sedimentary rocks in the basins have a lower concentration of magnetic materials than the surrounding crystalline rocks. Sedimentary basins are the areas with the lowest magnetic field.

Basins have low magnetic field

Non-basins have high magnetic fields.

Page 18: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Real magnetic survey

Page 19: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Survey in OilSim

Magnetic survey:North-west quadrant

Page 20: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Survey in OilSim

All four quadrant surveys in map context.

Page 21: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Gravimetric survey analysis

Locate edges of the continous basin structure (yellow area)

Locate the diagonals and thus basin centre

Page 22: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Magnetic survey analysis

Locate edges of the continous basin structure (purple area)

Locate the diagonals and thus basin centre

Page 23: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Finding the Midpoint

Page 24: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Centre may not be the same

Example:

Top basin on both maps

Calculate the midpoint between the gravimetric and magnetic centres found

= C55 and R105

C50

R100

C60

R110

Page 25: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Enter decision

Page 26: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Centre Midpoint calculation

3 centres – one Centre midpoint for each basin

Example: C55, R105

Solve before deadline. All submissions are evaluated after the deadline (and not before).

You may get 0-100 CPs. All three centres must be located to get full Credibility points.

Page 27: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Solve task 1

Page 28: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Task 1 solved

All teams have submitted their answers. Basin centres are located.

Message in Inbox. All teams have answers and CPs awarded.

Page 29: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Challenge 2 : license round

Sedimentary basins may contain oil and gas.

The government has decided to put the blocks around one of the basins on offer.

Challenge: Identify the 3 most promising blocks and offer an amount for each of them.

Page 30: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Challenge 2 : license round

Any restrictions involved? Yes, you need to watch for Endangered Species Rangeland.

What are we looking for? Hydrocarbon Prospects.

Where do we find prospects? In sedimentary basins

How do I find them? Interpreting 2D seismic and Common Risk Segment maps.

Page 31: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Prospect

Prospect: An area of interest in the subsurface identified to be likely to contain hydrocarbons

What makes a prospect?

Source rock

Migration path

Reservoir rock

Seal or cap rock

Trap

Page 32: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Traps

Geological “pockets”, that might contain hydrocarbons.

(c) OLFAnticline trap

Fault trap

Stratigraphic trap

Salt dome trap

Page 33: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Environmentally Sensitive Areas

Page 34: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Red areasYou will not be allowed to bid, drill or operate in any of the red areas. Green areasBlocks in area may be awarded.

Sensitive Range-Lands Survey

Page 35: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Common Risk Segments

Is there a sedimentary basin and a migration route into the prospects in the area?

Is there porous reservoir rock in the area, so that the oil or gas can be stored?

Is there a sealing rock in the area, so that the oil and gas can be trapped?

If all are positive, then green

If some negative, then orange

If mostly negative, then red

Page 36: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Common Risk Segment

Layer 3 Eocene1500m below the surface

Layer 2 Paleocene2500m below the surface

Layer 1 Cretaceous3500m below the surface

CRS. Common Risk Segment surveys tell you about the probability of a structure in the block/cell containing

oil or gas

Surface

Page 37: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

2D Seismic surveys

Traps can be found with seismic surveys

2D seismic survey is a cross section of the geological layers along either a column or a row.

2D seismic surveys are used for locating prospects.

Page 38: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Real Seismic

                                                                                                                                                                       

Page 39: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Real Seismic

Page 40: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

OilSim of 2DSeismic

Unprocessed Processed

Interpreted Red is top of the sealing rock

Green is top of the reservoir rock

Page 41: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Anticlinal traps

Page 42: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Fault traps

Leakage

Page 43: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Leakage?

44

Page 44: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Order Seismic

45

Buy 2D Seismic from the Survey Shop

Page 45: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Order Seismic

What type of data do you want?

Columns or Rows

Unprocessed or processed data

Interpreted or not

Page 46: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Order Seismic

It takes time to process your request

Created to order

Page 47: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

View the Seismic

Red circles – navigate through the 2D seismic

Yellow square – Row 1 from Column 1-56

Page 48: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Cross-sections

Column

Row

Prospect, ReservoirBasin,Source

Page 49: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

License Round in OilSim

Minimum bid is $250K

Maximum bid is $7.5M

Enter numbers without commas (ex: 250000)

You will bid for 3 licenses but each team will only be awarded one license

Highest bid wins the license

If two teams bid the same, the team with the most CP’s gets it

Random license awarded if none of your bids are high enough

Submit your bid before the deadline!

Page 50: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Enter bids

Three different blocks

Three bids

Example-Block 1123

Bid 250000

Page 51: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Recap on Challenge 2

Study Sensitive Rangelands Survey to see which blocks to avoid

Use Common Risk Segment surveys to see which blocks to examine closer (look for green)

Buy and study many 2D surveys to identify which ones have the most potential traps, as well as the biggest traps.

Page 52: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Solve task 2

Page 53: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Task 2 solved

Message sent to all teams with the results

Credibility points are given for prosperity of the blocks you bid for

Every team has got one exploration license

Page 54: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Challenge 3 : Exploration Drilling

Company management has reviewed the licence that you were awarded and the potential cost to drill a well.

Although the possibility of finding oil is fair, the costs involved are large. They have asked you to spread the risk.

Challenge: Farm-out a minimum of 20% on your license and farm-in as much as you can on other good licences.

Page 55: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Partnerships

Spread the risk: e.g Investing in other blocks divides the risks amongst all partners, much more preferable than keeping 100% of one field and all the risk.

Increase probability of profit: investment in only 1 field which could be a dry prospect is possible, whereas the likelihood of investing in 5 fields which are all dry is unlikely.

Page 56: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Challenge 3.1 Partnering

Acquire 3D Seismic interpretations for the block you operate, and study the results from the licensing round-can send under “surveys” to possible partners

Farm-out: Get others to invest 20% or more in your license

Farm-in: Send offers to other teams to buy shares in their viable licences. Submit an offer for each viable licence, with amount offered and share wanted in whole %.

Page 57: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Real 3D Seismic

Shows the subsurface structure in a cube.

Page 58: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

3D Seismic in OilSim

Structures are prospects, where hydrocarbons may be.

Prospects are no guarantee for oil

or gas

Page 59: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

3D Seismic in OilSim

Layer 1 Cretaceous

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 3 Eocene

Page 60: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Licences

61

Page 61: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Farm-in

Input your amount and %

Min bid is $25000 and max is $1250000 per %

Add a message to the seller

Press “Send offer”

Page 62: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Financing

When a team receives a Farm-In offer it appears under Financing. This is where a team can receive finance or money for a % of their own blocks

Page 63: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Farm-in

license OWNER decides whether to ACCEPT or REJECT the offer Partnerships established every time a license owner accepts an offer.

Page 64: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Investing

All your farm-in offers to other teams are shown under “Investing” on the right-hand side of the homepage . This is where a team offers investments to other teams for a % of their blocks

Page 65: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Partnerships

Partners pay a proportional share of all future costs incurred by the partnership

Partners receive a proportional share of the net proceedings from any oil or gas found on the license.

The operator team makes all decisions regarding acquiring 3D seismic, drilling of wells and testing of wells.

Information: partners in a block can access info about drilled wells and discovered oil and gas fields.

Page 66: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Ready to drill

Click on drill

Page 67: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Choose rig

Truck mounted Rigs

Medium Duty Rigs

Heavy Duty Rigs

Page 68: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Choose Rig

Max drilling depth is important

Rig cost = drilling days * day rate

Page 69: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Rigs

Few: limited number of rigs available.

If you get one: start using it within 20 minutes.

If you don’t: wait in a queue, if another team is using the rig.

Price can change: rig day rates are dynamic.

Page 70: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drilling Depths

Ground level

3500 m below surface

Layer 3 Eocene

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 1 Cretaceous

19 days

1500 m below surface

2500 m below surface 45 days

35 days

Page 71: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Service providers

9 Star quality:

Good- costs more

Bad: - cheaper, but reliability is low

5 types of providers- Construction and Maintenance , Logistics, Well Services, Camp Services and Analysis

Page 72: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Penalties & Fines

Certain problems can occur if Service Provider Selection is poor quality

Other penalties can occur if you drill in areas indicated as problematic in the Environmental Impact Assessment

As in real life, problems can occur randomly and these are also applied with fines levied accordingly.

Oil spill control – 5% of overall drilling costs

Page 73: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Environmental Impact Assessment

EIA survey: more knowledge about the area.

Less probability for drilling problems.

Less severe consequences if you run into problems.

Page 74: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drill Position

EIA: enviromental impact analysis shows where not to drill.

Place your mouse where to drill

Page 75: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drilling Position

Layer 1 Cretaceous

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 3 Eocene

Page 76: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drill Position

Too deep for the chosen rig.

Page 77: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Estimated cost

Page 78: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drilling Days

Page 79: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Drilling Result

Proven Volume (MBOE) counts

Test may increase Proven volume

Remember to tick the boxes!

Page 80: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Testing

Only if you discover a field – find Oil or Gas

You decide whether you want more information about that field

More information by doing a production test (and other tests)

Tests costs. Tests take 10 days per field. Tests have the same day-rate as the drilling if you use the same providers.

Page 81: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Value and ROI

Volume Range, e.g. 1-897Proven Reserves e.g. 1

Page 82: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Value Calculation

The total proven oil and gas = 18MBOE

Allowing for 25% recovery factor0.8 Production profile factor and 10% discount factor per year

Page 83: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

84

BEHIND THE SCENE CALCULATION

18MBOE x 25% recovery factor = 4.5MBOE

Sales price without discount factor -> 4.5MBOE x $50 = $225,000,000 Sales price allowing for production profile -> $225,000,000 x 0.8 (production factor)

= $180,000,000

Reduced sales price with 10% discount factor per year

= $ 67,397,022

Page 84: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

85

VALUE CALCULATION

12% $39.9M($6 of $50 = 12% tax)

Expected costs ifyou developed thefield (CAPEX) andproducedthe oil (OPEX)

If total expenses arehigher than the salesvalue, the licence value is zero

Page 85: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Appraisal

From Probable volume to proven reserves

Page 86: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Narrowing ranges

Aero drilling - Only proven MBOE counts

Exploration well:

1 to 897 MBOE (after drilling)

11 to 566 MBOE (after testing)

First appraisal well:

25 to 333 MBOE (after drilling)

34 to 310 MBOE (after testing)

Second appraisal well:

65 to 250 MBOE (after drilling)

101 to 152 MBOE (after testing)

Only proven MBOE counts.

Page 87: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Increasing Proven Volumes

88

Appraisal wells - proven reserves increase

Range between proven and possible is decreased

Page 88: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Effect on calculation of licence

89

Expected costs ifyou developed thefield (CAPEX) andproducedthe oil (OPEX)

Now total expenses are lower than the sales value and so we have a positive licence value

397 MBOE @ $50 including 25% recovery factor, 0.8 production factor, 10% discount factor)

12% $39.9M$6 of $50 = 12% tax)

Page 89: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Challenge 3B Drilling

Page 90: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Continue...

Narrow uncertainty: Drill appraisal wells to get proven volumes

Drill into other prospects to find more proven volumes.

Farm-in and -out: Get into other good blocks.

Two additional licensing rounds: Repeat the processes.

Money: Apply for more money, if you run out of cash.

Page 91: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Apply For More Funds

Click on Apply for More Funds Tab.

1 CP for each $100,000 applied for.

Answer the questions: All correct gives cash and you can keep CPs. One wrong gives cash and you keep ½ of your CPs. Two wrong gives ½ cash and you lose all CPs. All wrong, you get no cash and lose all CPs.

<10 Credibility points: Apply for cash and be fined $5million for each $20million requested.

Page 92: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Company strategy

Access to new exploration

areas

Make new discoveries

World class project

performance

Increased recovery through

systematic plans and actions

Exploration acreage: Resources Reserves Production

Page 93: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

94949494

Oilpatch EX Learning Objectives

Describe Industry

Articulate Value Chain

Practice Skills

Appreciate Complexity

Page 94: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

95

Industry Overview Summary

Page 95: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Industry

Public

Regulator

Government

Investor

Consumer

969696Source: Photos.com 9696Source: Photos.com

The Lenses We Looked Through

Page 96: Updated  op ex power-point 22nd march 2011

Thank you