University of California Santa BarbaraRoger NizbetBen MartinLaure Pecquerie

California Department of Water ResourcesEli AteljevichKijin Nam

Romberg Tiburon Center for Environmental StudiesDick Dugdale

NOAA Brian WellsSteve LindleyAndrew PikeLynn DewittMark Henderson

NASA AmesRama NemaniForrest Melton

From rivers to the ocean: Using habitat models to understand and predict

variations in central California salmon

Remote Sensing SolutionsYi Chao

MBARIFrancisco ChavezMonique Messié University of MaineFei ChaiShivanesh Rao

Eric Danner NOAA Fisheries

Credit: NOAA NMFS

1. How to assess the quantity and quality of habitat?

Water velocity

Water temperature

Food density

2. How to model these values over this large and complex landscape?

InputFoodTemperatureVelocity

OutputGrowthFecundityMigration costsEmbryonic dev.Age at maturity

MaturationReproductionGrowth

Maintenance Maintenance

Feeding

Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) Models

SELFE

San Francisco Estuary

CoSiNE

ROMS

Coastal Ocean

CoSiNE

RAFT AQUATOX

Sacramento River

San Francisco Estuary

Coastal Ocean

CoSiNE

CoSiNE

RAFT AQUATOX

Sacramento River

Coupled Physical-Biological Models

ROMS

SELFE

CoSiNE

CoSiNE

RAFT AQUATOX

Coupled Physical-Biological Models

ROMS

COAMPS

ROMS

SELFE

San Francisco Estuary

Coastal Ocean

Sacramento River

CoSiNE

CoSiNE

RAFT AQUATOX

Coupled Physical-Biological Models

COAMPS

Salmon DEB ModelEggs / Juveniles / Adults

GrowthFecundity

Migration costsEmbryonic dev.Age at maturity

FoodTemperatureVelocity

FoodTemperatureVelocity

ROMS

SELFE

ROMS

San Francisco Estuary

Coastal Ocean

Sacramento River

Upstream Boundary

TemperatureFlow

Reservoir operations

• Climate models• Watershed models• Reservoir models

River Habitat

TemperatureFlow

Aquatic Insect and Zooplankton Biomass

RAFTPhysical Model

AQUATOXEcosystem Model

TemperatureFlow

Salmon DEB Modeleggs, alevin, fry, smolts,

adults

TemperatureFlow

TemperatureVelocity

Estuary Habitat

Zooplankton Biomass

SELFEPhysical Model

CoSiNEEcosystem Model

Salmon DEB Modeltidal fry, smolts,

adults

TemperatureFlow

Temperaturesalinity

sea levelcurrentsnutrients carbon oxygen

Temperaturesalinity

sea levelcurrentsnutrients carbon oxygen

TemperatureVelocity

ZooplanktonNutrients

Ocean Habitat

Zooplankton Biomass

ROMSPhysical Model

CoSiNEEcosystem Model

Salmon DEB Model smolts, subadults

TemperatureVelocity

Velocities mixing

temperature light

Temperaturesalinity

sea levelcurrents

nutrients carbon oxygen

Zooplankton Biomass

DEB Model: River Habitat

Energy spent on migration cannot be spent elsewhere= smaller eggs

VelocityTemperature

Size

Physical Model: River Habitat

Tem

pera

ture

Flow

vel

ocity

(m/s

)

Dist

ance

from

dam

Dist

ance

from

dam

Time

Opt

imal

mig

ratio

n ra

te (k

m/d

ay)

Flow velocity (m/s)

Endurance limited

Not-endurance limited

Flow velocity (m/s)

Frac

tion

of ti

me

reco

verin

g

DEB Model: River Habitat

Hydrodynamics-based power-law equationCritical power model

DEB Model: River HabitatAdult salmon migrations: velocity and temperature

DEB Model: River Habitat

DEB Model: River Habitat

without endurance limit

with endurance limit

Physical Model: Estuary Habitat

Tem

pera

ture

Linking California coastal ocean model with San Francisco Bay/Estuary model

GoldenGate

ROMS3-km

Unstructured grid SELFE1-km………………..10-m

Physical Model: Estuary Habitat

Temperature

Temperature

NH4 concentration (m.mol/m3) Chlorophyll (m.mol/m3)

• Successfully integrated CoSiNE with SELFE

• Need to revise the NO3 uptake curve in CoSiNE

Biological Model: Estuary Habitat

Modeled zooplanktonObserved krill

Biological Model: Ocean Habitatenvironmental variability

http://sesame.noaa.gov/