united states agriculture grain - cornell university · 2018-09-13 · russia. global trade is u.s....

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

U.S. Corn Exports Slide as Competitors Expand Production

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 10-12 October 2012

U.S. corn exports for 2012/13 are cut again this month and are now forecast to be the lowest in 40 years. Tighter carryin stocks have reduced exportable supplies while export competition has intensified, particularly from Brazil. Global import demand is driving Brazil’s exports, which are supported by a record second crop. The torrid export pace is expected to continue until early 2013. Shipping capacity for corn is not likely to be constrained by competition from the short 2011/12 soybean crop. High corn prices over the past several years have driven corn area expansion in the United States and competitor countries. Brazil, Ukraine, and Argentina together boosted corn production by over 30 million tons in just 5 years. Although U.S. producers responded to the high prices in 2012 by planting the largest acreage to corn since 1937, poor weather decimated crop prospects and sharply reduced exportable supplies. Meanwhile, combined exports from Brazil, Ukraine, and Argentina are expected to surge ahead of the United States for the second year in a row.

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Argentina Brazil Ukraine United States

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Argentina Brazil Ukraine

MMT U.S. Exports Halved, Competitors’ Doubled Competitor Production Up One-Third

Grain: World Markets and Trade, October 2012

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice ................................................................................................................ 9 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

October 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/11

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.1 54.4 61.8 7.6 5.9 6.3 316.2 313.9 271.9

Other 591.9 641.3 591.3 441.7 459.0 458.8 514.1 563.8 567.1

World Total 652.0 695.7 653.0 449.3 464.9 465.1 830.3 877.8 839.0

Domestic Consumption


Other 623.2 654.6 645.9 439.4 451.7 461.1 564.3 584.6 600.3

World Total 653.9 686.7 682.3 443.7 455.1 465.2 849.3 863.6 854.4

Ending Stocks


Other 174.5 178.0 155.2 97.1 104.1 100.9 98.5 106.4 101.5

World Total 197.9 198.2 173.0 98.7 105.4 102.0 127.1 131.5 117.3

TY Imports


Other 128.0 146.9 129.8 33.1 33.9 32.3 90.2 98.7 89.1

World Total 130.6 149.9 133.3 33.7 34.6 33.0 90.9 99.4 91.0

TY Exports


Other 97.7 124.7 104.6 33.0 34.2 32.6 46.6 64.3 62.3

World Total 133.7 152.7 136.1 36.2 37.7 36.0 91.9 102.8 93.3

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

October 2012


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production for 2012/13 is lowered, driven primarily by cuts in Australia and Russia. Global trade is nearly unchanged. U.S. exports are down as a result of greater competition from Argentina and larger-than-expected exports from Russia. The season-average U.S. farm price is unchanged. PRICES:

Domestic: Prices of all wheat classes fell slightly in September as a result of improving weather conditions for winter wheat planting and slow export sales. Hard Red Winter (HRW) eased $4 to $367 per ton, Soft Red Winter (SRW) and Hard Red Spring (HRS) both fell $8 to $341 and $382 per ton, respectively. Soft White Winter (SWW) slumped $15 to $340 per ton.

200

250

300

350

400

450

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW HRS SWW

October 2012


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters • Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 7.3 million owing to higher domestic supplies and strong

shipments.

• Australia is down 500,000 tons to 20.5 million on reduced production prospects.

• Canada is cut 500,000 tons to 19.0 million because of lower crop production and higher domestic feeding.

• EU is slashed 1.0 million tons to 16.5 million in view of tighter domestic feed grain

supplies.

• India is raised 1.0 million tons to 6.0 million, a record, given improved competitiveness from surplus supplies and higher global prices.

• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 9.0 million due to the strong pace of shipments and sales for

delivery through November.

• United States is reduced 1.0 million tons to 31.5 million as a result of intensified competition from other exporters.

Selected Importers • Algeria is raised 300,000 tons to 5.3 million due to lower production.

• Russia is up 500,000 tons to 1.0 million on tight domestic supplies.

October 2012

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

7,3006,80011,9497,7425,2558,651 Argentina

20,50021,00023,04118,47713,76413,450 Australia

1,5001,5001,8602,5391,195369 Brazil

19,00019,50017,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada

16,50017,50016,43922,90622,11525,351 EU-27

6,0005,0001,600746221 India

7,0007,00010,6195,5197,8715,701 Kazakhstan

9,0008,00021,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,5003,5003,6802,9454,3632,342 Turkey

4,0004,0005,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

10,27510,27510,80012,4219,88110,457 Others

104,575104,075124,65497,676111,391116,446 Subtotal

31,50032,50028,07135,97724,17227,101 United States

136,075136,575152,725133,653135,563143,547 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,2002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

5,3005,0006,3506,4365,1676,356 Algeria

3,0003,0002,0003,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,0007,0007,0526,7466,6946,767 Brazil

1,5001,5002,9339271,394481 China

9,0009,00011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

5,5005,5007,3694,7275,5197,737 EU-27

6,6006,6006,4006,6075,3645,419 Indonesia

2,0002,0002,7002003,6509,500 Iran

3,7003,7003,7853,6323,8993,879 Iraq

1,6001,6002,0291,3921,8622,063 Israel

5,9005,9006,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

4,6004,6005,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

4,0004,2005,0203,4623,1963,342 Mexico

4,5004,5003,6253,9032,3043,759 Morocco

3,7003,7003,8724,0514,0203,550 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,5851,7571,7031,385 Peru

3,2003,2004,0203,2713,1883,201 Philippines

2,3002,3002,9031,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,5001,5421,6271,3581,472 South Africa

1,8002,0002,5781,9191,6001,128 Thailand

4,0004,0004,4143,5173,2183,578 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6861,4691,5971,501 Venezuela

2,5002,5002,7112,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

2,6002,7002,6002,8452,6022,796 Yemen

38,65538,85544,34238,15640,99941,948 Others

129,755130,155146,908128,027129,495137,262 Subtotal

2,8202,9202,8173,0552,8822,886 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,0002,5713,1863,399 United States

136,075136,575152,725133,653135,563143,547 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

October 2012

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

11,50011,50015,50017,20012,00011,000 Argentina

23,00026,00029,51527,41021,83421,420 Australia

5,0005,0005,8005,9005,0265,880 Brazil

26,70027,00025,26123,16726,84828,611 Canada

118,000118,000117,920115,180115,120112,464 China

8,5008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

131,577132,370137,370135,858138,816151,122 EU-27

93,90093,90086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,00014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

10,50010,50022,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

23,00023,00024,20023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

38,00039,00056,23141,50861,77063,765 Russia

15,75015,75018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

15,50015,50022,12416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

49,66550,27750,75548,77755,42643,836 Others

591,292596,997641,278591,912626,095614,784 Subtotal

61,75561,73254,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

653,047658,729695,691651,974686,461682,800 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0509,0508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

11,00011,00011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

8,3507,8509,7027,6896,9277,977 Canada

122,000122,000120,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,70018,70018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

125,000124,500126,500122,000125,000127,000 EU-27

85,90086,90081,44781,76078,15070,924 India

15,20015,20015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

7,0007,0007,6006,2007,6007,500 Kazakhstan

8,4008,4008,9508,2508,1007,450 Morocco

23,20023,20023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

35,00035,50038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,50017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

12,30012,30014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

7,7007,7008,0007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

139,623140,594143,473135,132132,440126,351 Others

641,803646,835663,299624,019622,597608,869 Subtotal

36,41433,82932,15530,71030,97834,293 United States

678,217680,664695,454654,729653,575643,162 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,8426,1046,2578,3435,5923,389 Australia

5,6295,9295,8797,1767,8296,547 Canada

54,96654,96658,46659,09154,42545,803 China

5,3185,3086,7185,5085,6054,857 Egypt

9,2139,40113,63611,83616,15718,937 EU-27

22,45022,45019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

5,4386,44010,43813,73614,72210,944 Russia

47,35247,11656,61553,41753,68646,028 Others

155,208157,714177,959174,467174,136149,935 Subtotal

17,79218,99520,21123,46626,55217,867 United States

173,000176,709198,170197,933200,688167,802 World Total

October 2012

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,785 6,462 8,516 8,100 7,900

1,474 Central America 1,445 1,687 1,661 1,545 1,545

13,097 South America 13,173 13,004 13,727 13,440 13,440

7,737 European Union 5,519 4,727 7,369 5,500 5,500

1,712 Other Europe 1,696 1,654 1,940 1,760 1,760

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,415 5,658 7,569 6,085 6,510

28,218 Middle East 22,557 17,286 23,250 20,380 20,355

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,180 24,659 21,400 21,700

14,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,388 15,259 18,107 15,595 14,995

11,322 East Asia 13,744 13,904 16,854 14,225 14,225

10,771 South Asia 7,608 7,619 5,386 6,420 6,420

12,324 Southeast Asia 13,902 16,334 17,806 16,260 16,060

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,064 2,945 2,845

140,661 Total 132,681 130,598 149,908 133,655 133,255

Production none

100,627 North America 91,362 86,905 83,302 92,032 91,755

20,516 South America 22,039 27,796 25,835 21,484 21,159

151,122 European Union 138,816 135,858 137,370 132,370 131,577

4,710 Other Europe 4,646 3,865 4,359 4,249 4,249


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,241 40,274 37,040 37,040

14,352 North Africa 20,261 15,933 18,425 16,975 16,725


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,355 119,344 119,415 119,463

103,898 South Asia 111,200 110,792 116,140 123,670 123,670

21,697 Oceania 22,111 27,687 29,792 26,277 23,277

171 Others 176 181 186 186 186

682,800 Total 686,461 651,974 695,691 658,729 653,047

Domestic Consumption none

48,270 North America 44,205 44,849 49,657 48,479 51,364

24,549 South America 25,723 25,548 26,011 26,000 26,000

127,000 European Union 125,000 122,000 126,500 124,500 125,000

5,585 Other Europe 5,494 5,356 5,593 5,490 5,515


52,587 Middle East 54,441 54,964 56,611 54,205 54,180

37,375 North Africa 39,750 39,225 41,075 40,750 40,750


117,218 East Asia 120,187 124,082 135,280 136,200 136,248

105,229 South Asia 113,811 116,851 115,633 122,740 121,740

12,104 Southeast Asia 13,188 15,078 17,061 16,760 16,360

8,115 Oceania 5,840 7,065 7,857 7,775 7,505

3,363 Others 3,295 3,361 3,317 3,255 3,255

636,595 Total 650,145 653,891 686,727 681,223 682,337

Ending Stocks none

24,729 North America 34,901 31,029 26,535 25,468 23,766

4,902 South America 6,442 8,002 4,697 3,706 4,081

18,937 European Union 16,157 11,836 13,636 9,401 9,213

2,107 Other Europe 2,120 1,453 1,514 1,481 1,438


11,635 Middle East 14,010 12,720 12,182 12,313 12,382

9,216 North Africa 10,949 11,473 13,013 10,293 10,363


48,636 East Asia 57,260 61,999 61,426 57,369 57,361

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,238 24,978 26,578 26,678

2,813 Southeast Asia 3,115 3,902 4,170 3,238 3,375

3,596 Oceania 5,773 8,575 6,527 6,375 5,084

314 Others 406 372 397 353 353

167,802 Total 200,688 197,933 198,170 176,709 173,000

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

October 2012


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global rice production and consumption are forecast to be records in 2012/13, while trade is down year to year. U.S. production increased, but exports remain unchanged. Global trade in 2011/2012 is forecast at a record nearly 38 million tons based on record shipments from India and stronger demand in West Africa. PRICES Long-grain prices continue to remain relatively steady, with a clear division between two price levels. At the lower end, Pakistan, India, and Vietnam have converged to around $450/MT. The higher tier exporters, Uruguay, the United States, and Thailand had converged to around $580 from mid-July into early September. By October, these had diverged to a nearly $70 spread with the U.S. remaining steady, Uruguay moving up on short regional supplies, and Thailand down as stocks are released.

400

450

500

550

600

650

$/M

T

Weekly FOB Quotes for Selected Exporters

US #2/4 THAI 100B VIET 5% PAK 5% Indi 5% UGY 5%

October 2012


10

TRADE CHANGES

Selected Exporters

• India is up 1.8 million to a record 9.8 million in 2012 (over double the previous year) spurred by a strong, steady pace of shipments, particularly to West Africa.

• Burma is raised 150,000 tons to 750,000 in 2012 on the pace of shipments, especially to China.

• Egypt is boosted 250,000 tons to 850,000 in 2013 as the government officially lifts the export ban.

• China is lowered 100,000 tons to 500,000 in 2013 as prices remain uncompetitive. Selected Importers

• Nigeria is up 550,000 tons to a record 3.0 million in 2012 as traders accumulate stocks in anticipation of higher levies.

• China is boosted 400,000 tons to 1.9 million in 2012 on shipment pace and also raised 200,000 tons to 1.5 million in 2013 as relatively high domestic prices attract imports.

• Egypt is down 250,000 tons to 550,000 in 2012 and also slashed 600,000 tons to 150,000

in 2013 on ample domestic supplies for the ration system.

• Bangladesh is lowered 160,000 tons to 240,000 for 2012 and also dropped 350,000 tons to 250,000 in 2013 on sufficient domestic supplies.

• Iraq is raised 100,000 tons to 1.3 million in 2013 on the expectation that current growth

patterns will continue.

October 2012

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

560560650732468594 Argentina

5005004503115417 Australia

8008001,1001,296430591 Brazil

6006007507784451,052 Burma

950950800860750820 Cambodia

500600400487619783 China

850600600320570575 Egypt

235235245241282150 EU-27

250250230250275244 Guyana

6,5006,5009,7504,6372,2282,149 India

200200200200200200 Japan

4,0004,0003,7503,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

8,0008,0006,50010,6479,0478,570 Thailand

800850850841808926 Uruguay

7,0007,0007,0007,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

895860944953768576 Others

32,64032,50534,21932,96727,67826,384 Subtotal

3,3503,3503,5003,2473,8683,017 United States

35,99035,85537,71936,21431,54629,401 World Total

none

TY Imports

350310325275280195 Angola

750750660591778650 Brazil

400350375310300300 Cameroon

1,5001,3001,900575366337 China

9509501,000935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525525558498457 Cuba

1,4001,4001,3001,4751,2161,383 EU-27

400400475545320410 Ghana

425425415381390397 Hong Kong

1,4501,4501,5003,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,9501,9501,9001,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,3001,2001,2001,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700700697649750 Japan

400400600532320241 Korea, South

1,0501,0501,0851,0769071,086 Malaysia

750750730705575610 Mexico

375375375360325385 Mozambique

2,2502,2503,0002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,2251,1751,1501,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

820820950805685715 Senegal

350350350361310278 Singapore

1,0001,000950885733745 South Africa

440440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

400400400500400500 Vietnam

9,65010,34010,15110,2989,1377,848 Others

32,31032,56033,94633,09728,75626,348 Subtotal

2,9802,5953,0732,4962,2282,371 Unaccounted

700700700621562682 United States

35,99035,85537,71936,21431,54629,401 World Total


Note about dates: 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, and so on.

October 2012

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Milled Production

34,10034,10034,00031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

7,8207,8207,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

10,75010,75010,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,5004,5004,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

143,000143,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,7004,5004,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

99,00098,000104,32095,98089,09099,180 India

36,90036,90036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,5007,3587,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,3004,3004,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

6,7006,7006,5005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

11,00011,00010,70010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

3,0003,0003,3112,4902,6502,227 Sri Lanka

21,05021,05020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

26,87526,87526,73526,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

37,56738,08736,68137,68535,93933,702 Others

458,762457,940458,999441,703434,262442,154 Subtotal

6,3376,2565,8687,5937,1336,546 United States

465,099464,196464,867449,296441,395448,700 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,80035,00034,50032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

8,0508,0508,0508,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,38010,53010,14010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,5903,5903,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

143,500143,000139,500135,000134,320133,000 China

3,9004,3003,6203,3003,9404,270 Egypt

95,25095,00092,82090,20685,50891,090 India

40,00040,00039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,4003,2503,1503,100 Iran

8,0507,9708,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,8004,8004,9775,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

5,4005,1505,2005,0304,5804,220 Nigeria

12,95012,95012,85012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,60010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,10020,10019,75019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

56,24756,31055,41553,53452,55750,312 Others

464,542463,677454,606441,493434,602433,064 Subtotal

4,0394,0093,4724,3174,0164,082 United States

468,581467,686458,078445,810438,618437,146 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,45445,47444,95442,57440,53438,546 China

21,50022,00025,00023,50020,50019,000 India

2,9752,9754,6256,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,7352,6732,7852,6892,6932,715 Japan

1,3591,3591,8092,4593,5204,673 Philippines

12,12512,1259,3755,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,5012,5012,3261,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

12,28412,14313,27212,19312,59612,681 Others

100,933101,250104,14697,14693,99091,420 Subtotal

1,0349841,3031,5141,184977 United States

101,967102,234105,44998,66095,17492,397 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

October 2012

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,770 1,790 1,790

902 Caribbean 969 1,099 1,010 1,010 1,010

1,116 South America 1,354 1,371 1,480 1,560 1,555

126 Other Europe 126 139 143 137 137

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 373 403 408

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,974 6,200 6,190 6,440

155 North Africa 345 364 900 1,100 520


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,399 3,860 3,055 3,255

524 South Asia 1,016 1,861 790 1,080 800

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,110 5,130 5,130

2,217 Others 2,099 2,293 2,105 2,195 2,175

27,030 Total 29,318 33,718 34,646 33,260 33,010

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,993 6,409 6,490

833 Caribbean 954 938 992 992 980

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,125 15,396 15,340

1,773 European Union 2,176 2,172 2,076 2,044 2,044

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,143 1,321 1,280 1,254 1,259

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,182 2,182

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,529 4,729


150,087 East Asia 152,218 151,801 155,345 157,319 157,461

142,623 South Asia 132,765 138,336 151,369 145,050 146,050

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,466 112,612 114,306 114,306

662 Others 795 1,235 1,422 1,432 1,512

448,700 Total 441,395 449,296 464,867 464,196 465,099


5,177 North America 5,160 5,417 4,711 5,269 5,299

1,094 Central America 1,110 1,099 1,166 1,136 1,156

1,774 Caribbean 1,880 2,035 1,965 2,051 2,051

14,782 South America 14,915 14,561 14,281 14,205 14,245

3,075 European Union 3,150 3,250 3,300 3,350 3,350


7,627 Middle East 7,756 8,109 8,280 8,455 8,540

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,009 4,679 4,299


149,585 East Asia 150,739 151,733 155,922 159,101 159,681

131,561 South Asia 126,162 130,810 136,328 139,160 139,280

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,701 102,535 102,385

566 Others 619 645 684 737 737

435,509 Total 435,684 443,682 455,144 464,859 465,156

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,488 1,160 1,210

205 Central America 240 254 261 262 277

114 Caribbean 126 131 193 144 144

2,230 South America 1,859 2,012 1,403 1,526 1,440

1,023 European Union 1,122 1,176 1,032 891 891

1,997 Middle East 1,659 1,807 1,781 1,598 1,763

564 North Africa 498 122 702 852 802


42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,667 49,022 49,310 49,352

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,542 27,946 24,978 24,256

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,653 19,622 20,123 20,123

26 Oceania 46 27 79 72 104

128 Others 156 198 165 170 170

92,397 Total 95,174 98,660 105,449 102,234 101,967



October 2012


14

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua U.S. Gulf Black Sea

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn trade for 2012/13 is boosted 2.5 million tons, mostly on higher EU imports. U.S. corn exports are cut because of tighter supplies due mostly to a smaller carryin. The season-average farm price is projected lower from last month (based on lower-than-expected early-season prices and prospects for heavy fall deliveries) though remains at a record. Global trade for 2011/12 is also boosted nearly 2.5 million tons (more than 6.0 million tons since June) as indicated by larger shipments from South America that more than offset smaller U.S. exports. PRICES U.S. corn export quotes have continued to slide since the release of USDA’s September WASDE report, despite a short-term rebound from smaller-than-expected September 1 corn stocks. Prices have shed over $40 per ton since their peak around July 20 to $318 per ton, likely due to seasonal harvest pressure combined with strong competition from South America. South American quotes have moved in tandem with U.S. corn but remain at a large discount.

October 2012


15

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is cut by 2.5 million tons to 31.0 million, the lowest in 40 years, because of intense competition evidenced by poor sales and shipments.

• Brazilian corn is raised sharply by 4.5 million tons to a new record 19.0 million. August and September shipments imply a record export pace for the next several months and U.S. trade remains sluggish. (Exports for 2011/12 are raised 700,000 tons to 12.7 million.)

• Indian corn is up 500,000 tons to 3.0 million as high global prices keep exports competitive, especially to Southeast Asia (exports for 2011/12 are boosted 600,000 tons to 4.4 million).

• Australian barley is lowered 300,000 tons to 3.8 million because of reduced crop prospects.

• Canadian barley is cut 400,000 tons to 1.3 million based on a smaller crop.

• EU barley is raised 500,000 tons to 3.0 million on a larger crop and less competition from other exporters.

Selected Importers

• EU corn is raised by 2.0 million tons to 5.0 million because of reduced grain supplies.

• Venezuelan corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 2.0 million based on indications of strong

demand from livestock producers (imports for 2011/12 are up 500,000 tons to 2.2 million).

TRADE CHANGES IN 2011/12 Large Late-Season Adjustments Reflect Reported Shipments: Selected Exporters

• Argentine corn is raised 200,000 tons to 16.7 million.

• Mexican corn is up 200,000 tons to 300,000.

• Ukrainian corn is up 500,000 tons to a new record 15.0 million.

• Australian barley is raised 600,000 tons to 5.8 million.

TMT TMT TMT TMT

October 2012


16

• Russian barley is up 200,000 tons to 3.6 million.

• Ukrainian barley is boosted 200,000 tons to 2.2 million.

• Argentine sorghum is raised 400,000 tons to 2.3 million.

Selected Importers

• Algerian corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 3.1 million.

• Chinese corn is raised 200,000 tons to 5.5 million.

• Colombian corn is lowered 300,000 tons to 3.4 million (sorghum is up 150,000 tons).

• Egyptian corn is up 600,000 tons to 7.1 million.

• Israeli corn is raised 200,000 tons to 1.2 million.

• Kenyan corn is down by 200,000 tons to 300,000.

• Zimbabwean corn is up 300,000 tons to 400,000.

• Saudi barley is up 500,000 tons to 8.5 million.

October 2012

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

23,90523,90522,60518,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,0255,3257,2554,8994,4144,873 Australia

19,00514,50512,70511,5928,6277,187 Brazil

4,1504,5503,6254,4273,0683,852 Canada

3,6803,1806,8405,8604,2674,338 EU-27

3,0502,5504,4503,4372,0722,642 India

1,4051,4052,1051,2031,3921,864 Paraguay

3,0553,0556,0901,0282,5494,945 Russia

2,3202,3201,8222,8571,6342,159 South Africa

15,01015,01017,2107,45610,93611,380 Ukraine

4,4004,5056,9125,5157,1135,638 Others

85,00580,31091,61966,90265,10259,127 Subtotal

33,74536,24540,31049,29253,98951,558 United States

118,750116,555131,929116,194119,091110,685 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,9002,9003,7002,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,1051,1051,3056331,0491,497 Brazil

1,2001,2001,3501,2711,2751,317 Chile

4,4604,5608,1252,6973,7771,651 China

4,1554,1554,3554,1484,1023,483 Colombia

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5755,5757,1855,8395,8975,093 Egypt

5,5553,5557,1058,6093,0122,988 EU-27

1,5001,5001,5003,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,0004,0004,8004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,4351,4351,5851,4461,5921,295 Israel

17,91017,91017,93518,59019,19819,611 Japan

9009001,100923713785 Jordan

7,5607,5607,5608,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,0003,1003,0002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

10,72510,72512,62510,76210,91310,465 Mexico

2,8252,8252,5052,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,0252,0252,1002,0791,8861,520 Peru

9,1059,10510,5058,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,5001,6001,9592,2742,834 Syria

4,4504,4504,3504,2784,6634,658 Taiwan

1,0501,0501,1009581,202875 Tunisia

1,0551,055720500683687 Turkey

2,0001,7002,2001,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,0001,0001,2001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

13,34513,17513,80913,56514,26415,054 Others

111,435109,165124,369112,669113,252105,474 Subtotal

3,2153,2404,6071,0753,5642,404 Unaccounted

4,1004,1502,9532,4502,2752,807 United States

118,750116,555131,929116,194119,091110,685 World Total


October 2012

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

39,05239,05229,70533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

11,42212,57712,90511,47210,92012,280 Australia

73,49373,49375,61460,38058,41253,486 Brazil

23,63524,68521,83122,26322,47727,184 Canada

207,010207,010199,660183,398169,775172,391 China

11,33010,93011,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

140,995141,852146,243140,245155,038162,102 EU-27

37,61037,61042,06043,37033,89039,550 India

8,5008,5008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

28,97828,97825,02829,33527,25432,252 Mexico

24,01024,01023,80023,25023,25026,670 Nigeria

27,85027,85032,79616,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,97313,95111,99711,32113,88113,084 South Africa

10,17510,17511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

29,06029,08033,33621,44224,14326,275 Ukraine

138,794138,861138,552143,512136,751131,335 Others

825,887828,614825,137767,116763,987785,266 Subtotal

284,240284,707323,697330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,110,1271,113,3211,148,8341,097,3521,112,7421,111,133 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

13,20213,30211,42011,38310,0548,768 Argentina

59,68859,68857,24852,73349,71448,191 Brazil

20,64521,24519,27820,89822,23622,892 Canada

210,405210,405197,105188,175173,151161,062 China

13,35013,15012,85013,59513,07212,162 Egypt

11,18210,88211,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

146,135145,985149,260152,000150,080151,855 EU-27

35,68036,18037,95038,85032,00036,500 India

18,11518,11518,16618,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,34039,34038,46539,53540,86542,060 Mexico

24,00024,00023,75023,20023,05026,550 Nigeria

25,50025,50027,52818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,59811,59811,21811,21810,83310,468 South Africa

11,37511,37511,82511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

14,61014,63015,55013,74212,96413,696 Ukraine

208,592208,372205,458207,418200,232195,623 Others

863,287867,143858,636831,508815,615805,067 Subtotal

265,293265,854289,982297,948295,337275,978 United States

1,128,5801,132,9971,148,6181,129,4561,110,9521,081,045 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,8842,9842,1295,3343,1241,698 Argentina

10,00615,50611,10110,63510,28712,450 Brazil

2,8202,8453,4103,5395,6306,326 Canada

61,42961,26460,64950,13452,40252,206 China

10,73110,09713,99616,40925,85420,844 EU-27

2,8502,7503,4001,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

2,8782,8932,9433,5765,3674,327 South Africa

33,86633,28139,33640,98843,40647,408 Others

127,464131,620136,964132,265148,524147,807 Subtotal

18,85221,32527,80532,28848,13347,060 United States

146,316152,945164,769164,553196,657194,867 World Total

October 2012

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

15,172 North America 15,199 14,267 16,443 15,445 15,395

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,925 3,050 3,050

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,280 2,325 2,325

9,745 South America 11,108 10,479 12,000 11,030 11,330

2,988 European Union 3,012 8,609 7,105 3,555 5,555

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,184 1,000 895 895

21,247 Middle East 21,318 18,734 22,085 19,795 19,845

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,344 15,190 13,100 13,100


33,349 East Asia 36,276 33,879 38,150 34,610 34,510

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,558 6,410 6,115 6,015

750 Others 922 944 939 910 955

108,281 Total 115,527 115,119 127,322 113,315 115,535

Production none

385,303 North America 398,486 381,834 370,556 338,370 336,853

84,977 South America 100,605 105,355 117,097 125,420 125,314

162,102 European Union 155,038 140,245 146,243 141,852 140,995

12,273 Other Europe 11,787 12,139 11,463 8,952 8,492


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,746 19,036 18,071 18,071

10,218 North Africa 14,890 12,358 11,221 10,781 10,731


174,467 East Asia 171,531 185,291 201,621 208,919 208,919

45,688 South Asia 40,281 49,729 48,343 44,068 44,068

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,934 29,552 30,240 30,240

12,927 Oceania 11,567 12,119 13,552 13,224 12,069

4,291 Others 4,152 4,302 4,302 4,302 4,302

1,111,133 Total 1,112,742 1,097,352 1,148,834 1,113,321 1,110,127


340,930 North America 358,438 358,381 347,725 326,439 325,278

75,990 South America 79,414 84,815 89,288 93,965 94,114

151,855 European Union 150,080 152,000 149,260 145,985 146,135

10,845 Other Europe 10,752 10,798 10,589 9,474 9,129


38,003 Middle East 38,699 38,285 39,634 38,779 39,329

21,187 North Africa 24,679 25,607 25,340 24,760 24,960


195,705 East Asia 207,653 221,486 229,287 242,376 242,376

42,673 South Asia 38,549 45,329 44,373 42,648 42,148

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,692 34,245 35,550 35,450

7,897 Oceania 7,702 7,549 7,077 8,002 7,252

8,953 Others 8,888 9,273 9,508 9,723 9,723

1,078,514 Total 1,103,081 1,128,701 1,138,313 1,129,621 1,128,710

Ending Stocks none

58,626 North America 55,705 38,218 32,502 25,762 23,297

16,796 South America 16,702 18,351 15,444 20,409 14,954

20,844 European Union 25,854 16,409 13,996 10,097 10,731

1,538 Other Europe 1,669 1,658 906 721 774


8,540 Middle East 9,325 7,586 9,000 7,350 7,397

2,741 North Africa 5,387 4,908 5,545 4,250 4,391


55,936 East Asia 55,885 53,404 63,748 64,351 64,516

2,086 South Asia 1,670 2,592 2,247 1,122 1,122

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,516 3,748 3,518 3,418

3,349 Oceania 2,782 1,594 1,414 1,506 1,106

833 Others 775 815 764 688 688

194,867 Total 196,657 164,553 164,769 152,945 146,316



October 2012

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

17,50017,50016,70015,19816,9738,466 Argentina

19,00014,50012,70011,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,0001,0005001,657184366 Canada

5005003,2001,0781,5191,743 EU-27

3,0002,5004,4003,3761,9172,551 India

1,4001,4002,1001,2031,3881,862 Paraguay

1,5001,5002,200374271,331 Russia

2,3002,3001,8002,8391,5862,111 South Africa

12,50012,50015,0005,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

5005005003001000 Zambia

3,1103,1605,1504,3645,4795,110 Others

62,31057,36064,25046,64343,26836,215 Subtotal

31,00033,50038,50045,24449,72147,758 United States

93,31090,860102,75091,88792,98983,973 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,8002,8003,1002,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008001,0002876991,092 Brazil

2,0002,0005,5009791,29647 China

3,5003,5003,4003,5043,6513,068 Colombia

750750700663626586 Costa Rica

850850850838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5005,5007,1005,8035,8325,031 Egypt

5,0003,0006,3007,3592,9312,754 EU-27

1,5001,5001,5003,0411,321317 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,6003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,2001,2001,2001,0291,053846 Israel

15,00015,00015,00015,64815,97916,533 Japan

7,5007,5007,5008,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,0003,1003,0002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

8,5008,50011,2008,2528,2987,764 Mexico

1,9001,9001,8001,7381,8021,566 Morocco

1,9001,9002,0001,9391,7821,429 Peru

2,1002,1002,0001,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

1,4001,4001,3001,6592,0241,784 Syria

4,3004,3004,2004,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

900900800677866646 Tunisia

1,0001,000650456527516 Turkey

2,0001,7002,2001,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,0001,0001,2001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

10,0559,91010,5229,93410,85912,578 Others

89,05586,71098,67290,22489,98181,976 Subtotal

2,3552,2503,3289792,7711,660 Unaccounted

1,9001,900750684237337 United States

93,31090,860102,75091,88792,98983,973 World Total


October 2012

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

28,00028,00021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

70,00070,00072,73157,40056,10051,000 Brazil

11,60011,70010,68911,7149,56110,592 Canada

200,000200,000192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,8005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

5,4005,2005,4004,8953,9004,398 Ethiopia

55,61257,14265,27155,93456,94762,321 EU-27

20,00020,00021,57021,73016,72019,730 India

8,5008,5008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

21,50021,50018,10021,05820,37424,226 Mexico

9,4109,4109,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,2007,2007,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

7,0007,0006,6803,0753,9636,682 Russia

13,50013,50011,50010,92413,42012,567 South Africa

21,00021,00022,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

82,55782,61584,49583,65979,84777,852 Others

567,079568,567563,834514,124488,653492,397 Subtotal

271,938272,488313,918316,165332,549307,142 United States

839,017841,055877,752830,289821,202799,539 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,8008,8007,7007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

56,00056,00054,00049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

11,40011,50011,06711,42411,62611,687 Canada

201,000201,000188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

12,20012,00011,70012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

61,50061,50067,30062,50059,30061,600 EU-27

17,50018,00017,20018,10015,10017,000 India

10,00010,00010,0009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,00015,00015,00015,70016,30016,700 Japan

7,6007,6007,7008,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

29,70029,70029,50029,20030,20032,400 Mexico

9,4509,4509,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,4007,2006,5007,300 Philippines

11,10011,10010,70010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

8,5008,5007,8006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

133,190132,740130,284126,899123,235119,212 Others

599,276602,686594,376563,393542,318524,357 Subtotal

254,012254,012278,972285,014281,590259,272 United States

853,288856,698873,348848,407823,908783,629 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,1502,1501,4404,1302,573970 Argentina

9,60715,10710,80710,2769,98912,084 Brazil

60,39560,19559,59549,41551,30251,183 China

1,2601,0602,1701,2801,4901,395 Egypt

4,6064,2685,9944,9235,2086,149 EU-27

1,4411,4411,4631,5891,6221,466 Korea, South

2,6682,6682,7433,4185,1694,113 South Africa

19,41318,43422,21923,45924,51928,094 Others

101,540105,323106,43198,490101,872105,454 Subtotal

15,72718,63025,10728,64443,38042,504 United States

117,267123,953131,538127,134145,252147,958 World Total

October 2012

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,750 10,900 10,900

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,925 3,050 3,050

8,238 South America 9,469 8,336 9,815 9,165 9,465

2,754 European Union 2,931 7,359 6,300 3,000 5,000


9,462 Middle East 11,215 9,945 10,275 10,850 10,850

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 13,300 11,650 11,650


28,481 East Asia 30,386 29,014 32,380 28,930 28,930

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,541 6,400 6,100 6,000

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,280 2,325 2,325

536 Others 576 583 547 650 695

82,313 Total 90,218 90,908 99,422 88,610 90,955

Production none

341,960 North America 362,484 348,937 342,707 305,688 305,038

76,109 South America 91,067 92,423 103,524 108,605 108,605

62,321 European Union 56,947 55,934 65,271 57,142 55,612

9,951 Other Europe 9,674 10,094 9,494 6,994 6,594


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,393 6,393

6,846 North Africa 6,481 6,701 5,701 6,001 6,001


167,580 East Asia 165,379 178,872 194,418 201,576 201,576

24,780 South Asia 21,790 26,801 26,640 25,070 25,070

3,222 Central America 3,041 3,188 3,188 3,188 3,188

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,692 29,312 30,000 30,000

1,190 Others 1,157 1,186 1,251 1,199 1,254

799,539 Total 821,202 830,289 877,752 841,055 839,017


303,359 North America 323,416 325,638 319,539 295,212 295,112

67,529 South America 70,189 73,998 78,595 82,145 82,445

61,600 European Union 59,300 62,500 67,300 61,500 61,500

8,376 Other Europe 8,354 8,454 8,280 7,285 6,985


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,985 17,735 17,735

16,125 North Africa 17,650 18,525 18,075 18,325 18,525


184,015 East Asia 195,811 209,805 216,655 229,505 229,505

22,050 South Asia 20,270 23,271 22,370 23,070 22,570

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 33,443 34,000 35,300 35,200

5,800 Central America 5,700 5,925 6,125 6,250 6,250

3,235 Others 3,225 3,385 3,420 3,540 3,540

781,615 Total 816,733 849,301 863,573 854,302 854,352

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,507 31,334 27,369 20,844 17,964

15,426 South America 15,613 16,483 14,177 18,807 13,507

6,149 European Union 5,208 4,923 5,994 4,268 4,606

1,198 Other Europe 1,372 1,359 630 464 509


4,073 Middle East 4,439 3,551 2,764 2,232 2,232

2,200 North Africa 2,391 2,156 2,872 1,788 1,988


54,297 East Asia 54,100 52,065 62,133 62,734 62,934

1,498 South Asia 992 1,078 1,043 538 538

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,512 3,744 3,514 3,414

613 Central America 498 580 528 496 496

258 Others 311 251 267 219 221

147,958 Total 145,252 127,134 131,538 123,953 117,267



October 2012

World Barley Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

4,2004,2003,6001,531549871 Argentina

3,8004,1005,8004,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,3001,7001,4001,0521,2031,618 Canada

10101591317 China

555474 Croatia

1010105147 Egypt

3,0002,5003,4004,5942,3892,374 EU-27

252525303137 India

200200700224354314 Kazakhstan

555521 Kenya

10102574331 Moldova

1,5001,5003,6009692,0863,598 Russia

5101092211 Serbia

150150150508013 Turkey

2,5002,5002,2002,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

00212410 Others

16,72016,92520,94715,02417,13618,045 Subtotal

200200175181152158 United States

16,92017,12521,12215,20517,28818,203 World Total

none

TY Imports

300300300345346403 Brazil

2,4002,5002,5001,6562,3411,551 China

250250250251237211 Colombia

20020040028666156 EU-27

5005001,2005008001,400 Iran

200200350287491367 Israel

1,3001,3001,3001,3591,4111,346 Japan

500500700550432514 Jordan

250250250317283252 Kuwait

200200200179582296 Libya

1501501502642123 Mexico

800800700222248263 Morocco

4004005004111339 Russia

7,0007,0008,5006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

250200300330299131 United Arab Emirates

1,4251,4502,4352,1061,6792,557 Others

16,12516,20020,03515,02516,47017,309 Subtotal

34542563732516322 Unaccounted

450500450148302572 United States

16,92017,12521,12215,20517,28818,203 World Total


October 2012

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

1,7501,8001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

5,8005,8004,3002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

7,0008,0008,5727,9957,8657,996 Australia

2,0002,0001,8001,9662,1232,212 Belarus

8,6009,5007,7567,6059,51711,781 Canada

2,6002,6002,5001,9722,3182,823 China

1,5801,5801,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

54,25453,90351,50953,51462,14965,509 EU-27

1,6101,6101,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,4003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

1,5001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

14,00014,00016,9358,35017,88123,148 Russia

5,5005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

6,7006,7009,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,5598,7178,7618,6498,8407,803 Others

125,953127,710130,666118,853145,806149,816 Subtotal

4,7964,8123,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

130,749132,522134,058122,778150,755155,046 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8001,8001,7001,5001,3501,100 Algeria

1,5501,5501,0601,135990895 Argentina

3,3004,0003,6004,2004,5004,000 Australia

2,0002,0002,0002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

7,6008,1006,7257,5848,5049,065 Canada

4,8004,8004,7004,1504,4004,200 China

53,00053,20051,70056,40056,50057,000 EU-27

1,6801,6801,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,0004,0003,9003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,5001,5001,5251,5501,5501,550 Japan

2,1002,1003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,90012,90014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

7,5257,0256,7256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

5,8005,8006,7506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

4,8004,8006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

14,57514,62016,02015,40616,13115,929 Others

129,008129,974131,519131,450140,054138,945 Subtotal

4,5715,1164,1934,5374,6045,127 United States

133,579135,090135,712135,987144,658144,072 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6841,7361,6341,3361,247184 Algeria

9739721,2231,4412,5832,843 Canada

3,5703,5675,1167,95215,53210,916 EU-27

1,2781,2781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

9389389381,3862,3953,813 Russia

2,5032,4033,0281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

9028901,1727941,0671,055 Ukraine

6,1786,2676,8096,9738,7827,802 Others

18,02618,05121,29822,31334,95229,438 Subtotal

1,7481,3301,3061,9452,5151,932 United States

19,77419,38122,60424,25837,46731,370 World Total

October 2012

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 650 700 650

810 South America 772 905 800 785 785

156 European Union 66 286 400 200 200

82 Other Europe 158 242 245 155 155


11,681 Middle East 10,046 8,645 11,760 8,900 8,950

973 North Africa 1,215 959 1,850 1,300 1,300

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 74 75 70 45

3,000 East Asia 3,861 3,108 3,925 3,925 3,825

48 South Asia 10 8 35 5 5

0 Oceania 17 15 5 5 5

17,881 Total 16,772 15,173 20,485 16,700 16,575

Production none

17,822 North America 14,966 12,311 11,711 14,875 13,959

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,335 7,090 6,985

65,509 European Union 62,149 53,514 51,509 53,903 54,254

1,543 Other Europe 1,406 1,309 1,330 1,319 1,294


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,096 11,665 10,275 10,275

2,347 North Africa 7,324 4,572 4,435 3,695 3,645


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,800 2,910 2,910

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,317 2,317

8,396 Oceania 8,265 8,395 8,972 8,400 7,400

155,046 Total 150,755 122,778 134,058 132,522 130,749


15,042 North America 13,858 12,871 11,668 13,966 12,921

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 2,870 3,545 3,495

57,000 European Union 56,500 56,400 51,700 53,200 53,000

1,630 Other Europe 1,552 1,537 1,567 1,450 1,440


20,556 Middle East 20,403 19,673 21,201 19,596 20,146

3,987 North Africa 5,847 5,845 6,125 5,175 5,175


6,006 East Asia 6,195 5,900 6,475 6,550 6,550

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,117 2,392 2,392

4,400 Oceania 4,900 4,625 4,000 4,400 3,700

143,441 Total 144,404 134,387 135,848 134,991 133,501

Ending Stocks none

5,112 North America 5,231 3,581 2,670 2,373 2,825

766 South America 601 851 716 846 791

10,916 European Union 15,532 7,952 5,116 3,567 3,570

281 Other Europe 249 235 213 204 212


4,389 Middle East 4,837 3,958 6,154 5,036 5,083

511 North Africa 2,952 2,694 2,635 2,454 2,395


940 East Asia 1,239 681 916 1,091 1,091

87 South Asia 224 197 282 187 187

2,459 Oceania 1,913 1,037 814 699 719

31,370 Total 37,467 24,258 22,604 19,381 19,774



October 2012

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

2,2002,2002,3001,8931,507907 Argentina

1,0001,0001,2005753501,360 Australia

757550684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

2525253112454 India

707060605050 Nigeria

202020184848 South Africa

6060757711847 Others

3,5253,5253,8052,7972,2382,498 Subtotal

2,5002,5001,6003,8274,0743,598 United States

6,0256,0255,4056,6246,3126,096 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600600729568404 Chile

400400700391212202 Colombia

50503035125140 Ethiopia

300300125922766 EU-27

1,4501,4501,5001,4181,6491,629 Japan

2,0002,0001,2002,3812,5272,496 Mexico

1251255991444 Morocco

505050506050 Niger

400400200200400300 Sudan

757575977172 Taiwan

295295450386579399 Others

5,7455,7454,9356,7086,3425,762 Subtotal

280280467-86-30331 Unaccounted

003203 United States

6,0256,0255,4056,6246,3126,096 World Total


October 2012

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

4,8004,8004,0004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

2,7002,5002,3431,9351,5082,692 Australia

2,8002,8002,2052,3141,8542,004 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,9501,5221,875 Burkina

9006507001,000600590 Chad

2,6502,6502,6002,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,5503,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

900850850925980930 Mali

6,8006,8006,2507,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0007001,3007391,214 Niger

6,9006,9006,8506,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,0894,6062,6304,192 Sudan

760740788800710551 Tanzania

6,6686,7436,6486,5076,1546,320 Others

53,07852,48348,33453,69344,53752,701 Subtotal

6,4016,2495,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

59,47958,73253,78162,47254,26564,699 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,4002,5002,2502,2501,9001,100 Argentina

1,8051,5051,1051,4051,2051,805 Australia

2,7002,7002,2752,2751,8751,875 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,8001,6951,700 Burkina

900691750950625650 Chad

2,8002,8002,6002,2001,9002,000 China

950950950900900950 Egypt

3,7003,6003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,2006,8006,6007,200 India

1,4501,4501,5001,4601,6501,600 Japan

900850850925980930 Mali

8,7008,7008,0009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0508501,2509001,200 Niger

6,8506,8506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,6504,5003,4004,500 Sudan

9,1429,2249,1759,8528,2088,379 Others

55,86755,39051,63455,88450,79155,943 Subtotal

3,8113,8103,9515,2785,8598,319 United States

59,67859,20055,58561,16256,65064,262 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

250350250600152194 Argentina

194434399361681678 Australia

251251146211171188 Brazil

277312492467275456 China

28323330827247238 Ethiopia

3293292297794131,336 Mexico

324324229610309684 Sudan

9529651,0561,4991,0901,407 Others

2,8603,1983,1094,7993,1385,181 Subtotal

6335855836971,0481,390 United States

3,4933,7833,6925,4964,1866,571 World Total

October 2012

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

2,499 North America 2,527 2,383 1,203 2,000 2,000

665 South America 848 1,214 1,360 1,060 1,060

66 European Union 7 922 125 300 300

0 Other Europe 17 0 5 5 5

81 Middle East 48 120 30 30 30

45 North Africa 166 120 40 150 150


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,655 1,540 1,540

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 10 15 15

4 Others 35 21 5 5 5

5,765 Total 6,342 6,710 4,938 5,745 5,745

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,697 13,049 13,201

298 Central America 326 329 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 6,153 7,351 6,897 8,282 8,282

517 European Union 621 626 675 592 549

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,620 2,670 2,670

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 6,145 6,145


2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,343 2,500 2,700

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

64,699 Total 54,265 62,472 53,781 58,732 59,479


16,919 North America 15,559 14,678 11,951 12,510 12,511

315 Central America 325 325 325 320 320

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,350 6,274 6,572 6,917 6,817

905 European Union 630 1,550 760 885 835

749 Middle East 669 914 675 675 675

965 North Africa 1,012 1,066 970 1,090 1,090


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 4,205 4,345 4,345

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,350 6,150 6,150


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 1,505 1,805

0 Others 17 0 5 5 5

64,458 Total 56,347 61,145 55,206 58,580 59,058

Ending Stocks none

2,726 North America 1,461 1,476 812 914 962

27 Central America 28 34 33 37 37

491 South America 393 867 437 647 547

34 European Union 24 17 14 24 23

62 Middle East 22 35 30 25 25

29 North Africa 43 57 37 7 7

1,760 Sub-Saharan Africa 980 1,769 1,225 1,190 1,228

578 East Asia 397 549 569 394 359

181 South Asia 154 327 132 107 107

678 Oceania 681 361 399 434 194

5 Others 3 4 4 4 4

6,571 Total 4,186 5,496 3,692 3,783 3,493



October 2012

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

555615 Argentina

150200170211211161 Australia

555949 Brazil

1,7001,7001,6001,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001001293731 Chile

100100170113216103 EU-27

5515142 Russia

5574206 Others

2,0702,1202,0721,9702,0322,109 Subtotal


2,1102,1602,1022,0072,0702,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000500 Albania

000010 Algeria

555532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202015182114 Canada

505050585739 China

555222 Colombia

101010111114 Ecuador

555624 EU-27

606060645646 Japan

7575751034682 Mexico

15152510348 Norway

252525252133 South Africa

505050494952 Switzerland

555506 Turkey

55511411 Uruguay

007835 Others

330330342380310318 Subtotal

18023016015915342 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,6001,4681,6071,787 United States

2,1102,1602,1022,0072,0702,147 World Total


October 2012

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

14014014014014080 Algeria

400400345660182291 Argentina

1,2401,6501,5111,1281,1621,160 Australia

600600800442552605 Belarus

370370370379253239 Brazil

2,9503,0002,9972,4802,9064,273 Canada

560560505564381344 Chile

580580600525580530 China

7,9487,9197,7827,4468,5798,935 EU-27

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

115115115111130148 Mexico

220220220299277328 Norway

4,0004,0005,3343,2185,4015,835 Russia

210210210204218196 Turkey

550550550458731944 Ukraine

440476475475475457 Others

20,52320,99022,21218,66322,17124,503 Subtotal

9299667791,1781,3511,294 United States

21,45221,95622,99119,84123,52225,797 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014014014114080 Algeria

400400350650200300 Argentina

1,1001,4501,3509009751,035 Australia

575575775475575600 Belarus

375375360370250225 Brazil

1,3501,3501,2261,5291,7531,766 Canada

450450400450350325 Chile

625625625625625575 China

7,8007,8007,6007,7508,1008,500 EU-27

225225225130210135 Kazakhstan

190190215185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

4,3004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

550550550475725925 Ukraine

603639641646622608 Others

19,28519,72120,20818,27820,83921,438 Subtotal

2,5942,5952,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

21,87922,31622,75721,06723,85024,406 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

646469747089 Argentina

127309137146126147 Australia

686843185174 Belarus

7377868177691,1701,527 Canada

11411410984126114 China

8859648328131,224972 EU-27

181181486167397499 Russia

197197235239188203 Others

2,3732,6832,7282,3103,3523,625 Subtotal

7267627989821,1661,221 United States

3,0993,4453,5263,2924,5184,846 World Total

October 2012

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,690 1,695 1,695

32 South America 19 24 25 20 20


62 Other Europe 87 71 82 70 70


6 Middle East 0 5 5 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 0 0 0


85 East Asia 113 122 110 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,917 1,848 1,942 1,930 1,930

Production none

5,715 North America 4,387 3,769 3,891 4,081 3,994

897 South America 857 1,644 1,261 1,371 1,370

8,935 European Union 8,579 7,446 7,782 7,919 7,948

605 Other Europe 554 576 497 497 462


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 170 170 170 170


532 East Asia 582 527 602 582 582

1,235 Oceania 1,237 1,203 1,586 1,725 1,315

25,797 Total 23,522 19,841 22,991 21,956 21,452


4,944 North America 4,979 4,503 3,990 4,135 4,134

896 South America 857 1,538 1,171 1,286 1,285

8,500 European Union 8,100 7,750 7,600 7,800 7,800

647 Other Europe 655 633 579 577 542


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 171 170 170 170


625 East Asia 680 685 691 690 690

1,110 Oceania 1,050 975 1,425 1,525 1,175

24,382 Total 23,781 21,070 22,461 22,119 21,732

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,343 1,756 1,620 1,553 1,468

113 South America 95 150 114 109 109

972 European Union 1,224 813 832 964 885

58 Other Europe 47 63 63 53 53


2 Middle East 10 9 14 19 19

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


116 East Asia 131 95 116 118 118

147 Oceania 126 146 137 309 127

4,846 Total 4,518 3,292 3,526 3,445 3,099



October 2012

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

TY Exports

100100751502550 Belarus

15015012522114276 Canada

75756571136114 EU-27

5050275213214 Russia

5552936 Ukraine

000300 Others

380380545468428260 Subtotal


385385550471432266 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania

50502753668 EU-27

10101019911 Israel

1001007510110357 Japan

5551177 Korea, South

101010121411 Norway

555264 Switzerland

005151411 Others

180180385332149109 Subtotal

555515-915449 Unaccounted

150150150148129108 United States

385385550471432266 World Total


October 2012

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Sep

2012/13

Oct

none

Production

1,5001,5001,5007351,2271,492 Belarus

315315210232280316 Canada

8,1447,5836,9397,5929,9529,262 EU-27

505028427540 Kazakhstan

2,5002,5002,9691,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6506505504649541,051 Ukraine

155155160173182205 Others

13,66413,10312,70611,24617,34617,118 Subtotal

176192161189178203 United States

13,84013,29512,86711,43517,52417,321 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,3001,3001,3006501,3001,400 Belarus

12512581129140152 Canada

8,3007,7007,3008,2009,5508,750 EU-27

100100751059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

262626454059 Norway

2,4502,4502,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

600600600650800800 Ukraine

119119120129124127 Others

13,54912,92412,76812,22316,90916,181 Subtotal

305321317330273292 United States

13,85413,24513,08512,55317,18216,473 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

30430420479144242 Belarus

60602051139123 Canada

7203299011,0321,7271,424 EU-27

14141414185 Japan

106179131250308312 Russia

383838331714 Turkey

179179134189411313 Ukraine

666977 Others

1,4271,1091,4481,6572,7712,440 Subtotal


1,4451,1271,4591,6772,7952,453 World Total

October 2012

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Sep

2012/13

Oct

2012/13

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 150 150 150

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


18 Other Europe 22 15 15 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 15 10 10


64 East Asia 110 112 80 105 105

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

217 Total 278 480 535 330 330

Production none

519 North America 458 421 371 507 491

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

9,262 European Union 9,952 7,592 6,939 7,583 8,144

119 Other Europe 98 105 87 87 87


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,321 Total 17,524 11,435 12,867 13,295 13,840


444 North America 413 459 398 446 430

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

8,750 European Union 9,550 8,200 7,300 7,700 8,300

137 Other Europe 119 119 103 102 102


286 Middle East 349 369 360 360 360


72 East Asia 97 116 80 105 105

20 Oceania 20 17 20 20 20

16,415 Total 17,112 12,518 13,094 13,181 13,765

Ending Stocks none

136 North America 163 71 31 78 78

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,424 European Union 1,727 1,032 901 329 720

1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 38 38 38


5 East Asia 18 14 14 14 14

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,453 Total 2,795 1,677 1,459 1,127 1,445



October 2012


35

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 53

DG F/SA &F

October 2012

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

135.9 122.052.522.94.75.325.8 2010/11 11.8

137.4 126.557.016.47.45.425.7 2011/12 13.6

131.6 125.055.516.55.55.225.2 2012/13 9.2

Coarse Grains

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

140.2 152.0114.36.28.54.730.0 2010/11 16.4

146.2 149.3111.36.57.14.929.9 2011/12 14.0

141.0 146.1107.93.75.64.630.7 2012/13 10.7

Wheat and Coarse Grains

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

276.1 274.0166.829.113.24.955.8 2010/11 28.2

283.6 275.8168.322.914.55.155.6 2011/12 27.6

272.6 271.1163.420.211.14.955.8 2012/13 19.9

October 2012

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.9 120.522.01.02.94.924.2 2011/12 58.5

118.0 122.022.01.01.54.924.3 2012/13 55.0

Coarse Grains

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 158.0106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.70.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.2118.70.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 188.2128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.7 197.1132.00.28.15.635.6 2011/12 60.6

207.0 210.4139.90.34.55.736.5 2012/13 61.4


216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 264.0114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.70.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.2128.71.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.8

298.6 298.7141.81.13.65.158.8 2010/11 109.2

317.6 317.6154.01.111.15.359.8 2011/12 119.1

325.0 332.4161.91.36.05.360.8 2012/13 116.4

October 2012

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.7 5.30.60.11.53.01.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 5.80.90.31.54.01.3 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.70.80.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.90.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.1

4.6 5.50.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.1

3.9 5.40.80.81.73.71.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.60.90.61.94.01.1 2011/12 1.5

4.2 5.50.90.61.83.81.1 2012/13 1.4

Coarse Grains

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.0 10.69.40.10.83.42.7 2003/04 1.0

12.7 12.010.60.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.6 12.010.61.40.74.82.6 2005/06 1.5

11.5 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.3 10.39.00.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.4

12.3 10.89.51.90.64.62.6 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.84.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.1 10.89.32.20.84.82.5 2010/11 1.7

11.5 10.69.12.40.84.52.5 2011/12 0.9

8.5 9.17.80.30.83.42.5 2012/13 0.8


15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

12.7 16.09.90.22.33.33.9 2003/04 2.3

18.1 17.911.50.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.8 17.711.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.8 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.7 15.89.90.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.0 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.6

16.4 16.210.22.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.13.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.1

15.8 16.29.93.12.74.43.6 2011/12 2.4

12.7 14.68.70.92.63.53.6 2012/13 2.2

October 2012

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.945.2 2006/07 13.0

92.4 75.323.922.06.02.046.5 2007/08 14.1

115.5 76.124.538.26.62.351.1 2008/09 21.8

114.0 78.226.037.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.8

81.1 75.023.713.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.6

114.4 79.827.539.37.62.349.9 2011/12 26.6

77.7 73.422.320.66.51.745.5 2012/13 16.9

Coarse Grains

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.029.1 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.3 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.3 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.71.22.122.2 2010/11 5.5

79.0 55.038.924.61.02.927.3 2011/12 5.9

68.3 51.335.918.50.92.527.8 2012/13 5.3

October 2012

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

17.1 7.62.78.30.01.214.8 2009/10 4.3

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.714.3 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.62.611.40.01.613.8 2011/12 6.6

10.5 7.02.27.00.00.813.5 2012/13 3.1

Russia

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.326.7 2009/10 14.7

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.12.324.9 2011/12 10.4

38.0 35.013.09.01.01.721.8 2012/13 5.4

Ukraine

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.1 15.06.15.40.13.36.7 2011/12 5.2

15.5 12.33.84.00.12.75.7 2012/13 4.5

Uzbekistan

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 7.71.50.51.54.81.4 2012/13 1.1

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.2 11.21.80.73.52.43.4 2009/10 3.5

6.6 10.91.50.23.92.13.2 2010/11 2.8

7.0 11.21.60.14.72.33.1 2011/12 3.2

7.0 11.41.80.13.92.23.1 2012/13 2.7

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

114.0 78.226.037.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.8

81.1 75.023.713.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.6

114.4 79.827.539.37.62.349.9 2011/12 26.6

77.7 73.422.320.66.51.745.5 2012/13 16.9

October 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.51.20.20.10.81.6 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.6 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

Russia

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.37.7 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.52.27.7 2011/12 0.9

14.0 12.98.51.50.41.87.7 2012/13 0.9

Ukraine

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.7 4.83.22.20.02.03.3 2012/13 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.2 3.52.60.00.22.51.3 2011/12 0.4

3.3 3.42.50.00.22.41.3 2012/13 0.5


36.0 28.120.79.30.22.316.0 2009/10 4.4

21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.3 2010/11 2.9

32.1 26.118.86.70.72.214.3 2011/12 2.8

25.7 22.815.73.90.71.814.0 2012/13 2.4

October 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.10.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.90.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

Russia

4.0 3.73.20.40.03.51.1 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

6.7 4.53.82.20.14.31.6 2011/12 0.1

7.0 5.54.71.50.13.71.9 2012/13 0.2

Ukraine

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.00.16.43.5 2011/12 1.2

21.0 8.57.012.50.14.74.5 2012/13 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0


2.6 2.92.60.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.7

2.9 2.92.70.20.23.70.8 2010/11 0.6

3.5 3.33.00.30.24.20.8 2011/12 0.7

3.4 3.33.00.40.13.70.9 2012/13 0.5


17.7 12.911.35.60.34.34.1 2009/10 1.5

18.5 13.311.45.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

33.7 16.313.817.50.35.56.1 2011/12 2.1

32.1 18.015.214.40.24.37.5 2012/13 2.0

October 2012

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.70.03.05.2 2011/12 1.0

11.5 6.00.15.50.03.03.8 2012/13 1.0

Australia

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.9

21.4 7.34.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.4

21.8 4.91.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.6

27.4 6.13.018.70.12.013.5 2010/11 8.3

29.5 6.73.525.00.12.114.1 2011/12 6.3

23.0 6.53.318.00.11.713.3 2012/13 4.8

Canada

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.2 7.72.816.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.74.617.40.53.08.5 2011/12 5.9

26.7 8.43.219.00.42.99.4 2012/13 5.6

Total Wheat Competitors

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.6

October 2012


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


61.0 20.67.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.2

60.7 17.74.139.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.8

67.8 19.85.944.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.6

70.3 22.48.255.10.62.527.8 2011/12 13.1

61.2 20.96.642.50.52.326.5 2012/13 11.4

India

72.2 72.82.42.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.40.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.4 2011/12 20.0

93.9 85.93.85.50.03.229.7 2012/13 22.5

Turkey

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.8 17.50.73.54.32.07.8 2012/13 2.1

October 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 7.75.616.00.05.83.6 2011/12 1.4

28.0 8.86.018.50.07.43.8 2012/13 2.2

Brazil

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

72.7 54.046.019.00.84.815.2 2011/12 10.8

70.0 56.047.516.00.84.416.0 2012/13 9.6

China

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.55.833.4 2011/12 59.6

200.0 201.0139.00.22.05.834.3 2012/13 60.4

South Africa

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

October 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

11.5 10.75.01.50.03.63.2 2011/12 2.7

13.5 11.15.12.50.04.13.3 2012/13 2.7

Total Corn Competitors

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

298.0 260.4187.636.66.35.455.4 2011/12 74.6

311.5 276.9197.637.22.85.457.4 2012/13 74.8

October 2012


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Australia

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.6 3.62.35.20.02.14.0 2011/12 0.8

7.0 3.32.13.80.01.83.9 2012/13 0.7

Canada

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.66.41.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.4

7.8 6.75.51.30.13.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.6 7.66.61.30.13.22.7 2012/13 1.0

EU-27

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.5 56.441.24.90.24.312.5 2010/11 8.0

51.5 51.736.53.10.44.312.0 2011/12 5.1

54.3 53.037.83.00.24.312.5 2012/13 3.6

October 2012


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 2.32.11.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.6

4.0 2.32.12.10.04.01.0 2011/12 0.3

4.8 2.42.22.40.04.61.1 2012/13 0.3

Australia

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.3 1.11.11.20.03.70.6 2011/12 0.4

2.7 1.81.81.10.03.90.7 2012/13 0.2

October 2012

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

20,21132,1554,46028,07128,5633,0003,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

17,79236,4148,57331,50031,2983,5003,53861,755nr319,826 2012/13

Corn

28,644285,014121,74645,24446,590684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

25,107278,972115,87238,50039,194750711313,918nr933,986 2011/12

15,727254,012105,41531,00029,2111,9001,905271,938nr835,500 2012/13

Sorghum

6975,2783,1183,8273,853218,779nr51,948 2010/11

5833,9511,7921,6001,613335,447nr31,590 2011/12

6333,8111,7782,5002,540006,401nr32,030 2012/13

Barley

1,9454,5371,0851811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

1,3064,1938181751924503543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,7484,5711,1972002184504354,796nr41,313 2012/13

Oats

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

7982,5491,44530351,6001,621779nr2380 2011/12

7262,5941,49240441,6001,637929nr2423 2012/13

Rye

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

113178054150151161nr298 2011/12

183056855150141176nr2100 2012/13

Rice, Milled

1,5144,317nr3,2473,5286215827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,3033,472nr3,5003,2227006155,8688,39181,059 2011/12

1,0344,039nr3,3503,1867006196,3379,02181,083 2012/13

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

October 2012

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,162.5 278.51,216.1589.7193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.2655.6188.22.5536.6 1993/94

1,392.5 362.61,396.0668.7200.12.6534.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.11,381.9639.9187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.5 366.71,442.9672.6198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 413.61,444.7683.1190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.9 447.51,448.1682.5198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,464.9 443.81,468.0688.0214.32.9507.0 1999/00

1,446.7 419.11,471.5697.4205.12.8510.4 2000/01

1,480.2 403.71,495.5711.0208.52.9513.8 2001/02

1,443.2 341.31,505.7708.8209.62.9503.6 2002/03

1,471.2 278.81,533.7714.4206.22.9511.9 2003/04

1,642.2 335.91,585.2754.0214.73.2515.7 2004/05

1,599.2 319.81,615.3753.9222.83.1518.9 2005/06

1,584.8 275.51,629.2744.6230.43.1516.3 2006/07

1,692.5 292.91,675.1758.4245.73.2533.2 2007/08

1,793.9 362.71,724.2769.2254.23.3537.4 2008/09

1,799.2 397.31,764.5775.3254.73.4532.7 2009/10

1,749.3 362.51,784.2770.6249.83.4522.1 2010/11

1,844.5 362.91,844.1802.0284.73.5533.4 2011/12

1,763.2 319.31,806.8789.0254.83.3534.1 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

October 2012

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

588.8 171.6554.3131.5101.32.5231.0 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.5 163.8573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.2576.7103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.4578.3106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.7585.5102.7111.92.8212.8 1999/00

583.1 207.1586.7108.8102.42.7215.7 2000/01

583.6 204.2586.5109.4108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.2604.5113.7106.82.7213.8 2002/03

555.3 135.6588.999.1103.62.7207.8 2003/04

626.7 156.0606.3108.7113.42.9216.1 2004/05

618.8 153.5621.2114.8114.12.8218.7 2005/06

596.1 133.9615.7110.1115.62.8212.2 2006/07

611.9 128.2617.6102.1116.82.8217.1 2007/08

682.8 167.8643.2121.2143.53.0224.7 2008/09

686.5 200.7653.6119.8135.63.0225.8 2009/10

652.0 197.9654.7116.5133.73.0218.2 2010/11

695.7 198.2695.5144.4152.73.1221.9 2011/12

653.0 173.0678.2134.5136.13.0217.4 2012/13

Coarse Grains

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6315.3 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7321.3 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.6311.0 1995/96

909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8309.4 1997/98

891.5 238.1869.7575.796.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.6585.2102.43.0294.2 1999/00

863.7 212.0884.7588.7102.72.9294.7 2000/01

896.6 199.6909.0601.6100.53.0299.3 2001/02

873.6 172.1901.2595.1102.83.0289.8 2002/03

916.0 143.3944.8615.3102.63.0304.1 2003/04

1,015.6 180.0978.9645.3101.33.4299.6 2004/05

980.4 166.3994.0639.2108.63.3300.2 2005/06

988.7 141.51,013.5634.5114.73.3304.1 2006/07

1,080.7 164.81,057.4656.3128.93.4316.1 2007/08

1,111.1 194.91,081.0648.0110.73.6312.7 2008/09

1,112.7 196.71,111.0655.5119.13.6307.0 2009/10

1,097.4 164.61,129.5654.0116.23.6303.8 2010/11

1,148.8 164.81,148.6657.6131.93.7311.6 2011/12

1,110.1 146.31,128.6654.6118.83.5316.7 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

October 2012

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.1 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.2 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4138.9 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.1427.175.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.0 151.4624.8436.472.84.4137.5 2001/02

603.2 127.0627.5433.277.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.4 105.3649.2445.879.14.4142.0 2003/04

715.8 131.6689.5475.776.04.9145.4 2004/05

699.7 124.8706.6478.082.74.8145.7 2005/06

714.0 110.5728.3478.291.54.8149.5 2006/07

794.2 132.0772.6497.898.34.9160.5 2007/08

799.5 148.0783.6480.984.05.0158.9 2008/09

821.2 145.3823.9489.193.05.2158.4 2009/10

830.3 127.1848.4500.191.95.1163.7 2010/11

877.8 131.5873.3506.7102.85.2169.1 2011/12

839.0 117.3853.3504.593.34.8175.2 2012/13

Barley

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.4 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.2 2000/01

143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.655.9 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.195.016.32.455.0 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.714.82.458.5 2003/04

152.2 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.7 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.555.6 2005/06

137.0 21.4143.798.414.62.456.6 2006/07

133.1 20.4134.191.318.62.456.1 2007/08

155.0 31.4144.1100.118.22.855.5 2008/09

150.8 37.5144.7100.717.32.854.4 2009/10

122.8 24.3136.091.515.22.647.5 2010/11

134.1 22.6135.791.821.12.750.0 2011/12

130.7 19.8133.689.516.92.651.0 2012/13

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

October 2012

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.4 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.4421.331.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.529.6432.94.1155.1 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.129.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

657.4 95.2438.631.5441.44.2156.1 2009/10

670.4 98.7445.836.2449.34.3157.6 2010/11

693.0 105.4458.137.7464.94.4158.8 2011/12

693.3 102.0468.636.0465.14.4158.7 2012/13

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

October 2012


54

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

October 2012


55

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

October 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


56

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 09-12 September 2012. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 10-12 October 2012. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

October 2012

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