union bank of nigeria plc

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Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Union Bank of Nigeria Plc Nigeria Bank Analysis June 2019 Financial data: (USDm comparative)* 31/12/17 31/12/18 NGN/USD (avg.) 305.3 305.6 NGN/USD (close) 305.5 306.5 Total assets 4,734.1 4,673.0 Total capital 1,124.3 736.2 Net advances 1,692.6 1,544.7 Liquid assets 1,587.3 1,625.1 Operating income 347.1 296.1 Profit after tax 42.6 59.2 Market cap.N200.9bn/USD654.6m Market share^ 3.8% *Central Bank of Nigeria (“CBN”) exchange rate As at 20 June 2019 ^As a % of total commercial banking assets as at 31 December 2018. Rating history: Initial Rating (June 2015) Long-term rating: BBB+(NG) Short-term rating: A2(NG) Rating outlook: Stable Last Rating (June 2018) Long-term rating: BBB+(NG) Short-term rating: A2(NG) Rating outlook: Stable Related methodologies/research: Global Criteria for Rating Banks and Other Financial Institutions, updated March 2017 UBN rating report (2015-18) Glossary of Terms/Ratios, February 2018 GCR contacts: Primary Analyst Funmilayo Abdulrahman Senior Credit Analyst [email protected] Committee Chairperson Dave King [email protected] Analyst location: Lagos, Nigeria Tel: +23 41 9049462-3 Website: www.globalratings.com.ng Summary rating rationale Union Bank of Nigeria Plc’s (“UBN” or “the Bank”) ratings take into consideration its competitive position as a mid-sized player in the Nigerian banking industry, the decline in market share (in terms of industry’s total assets) to 3.8% at FY18 (FY17: 4.2%), as well as the ongoing effort by management to reposition the Bank among the top-tier players. Shareholders’ funds declined 34.3% to N225.6bn at FY18, following a significant write-off totalling N132.6bn during the year (partly arising from the reassessment of the loans and advances book under IFRS 9 and management’s decision to write-off some of the previously fully provisioned non-performing loans (“NPLs”)). Accordingly, the risk weighted capital adequacy ratio (“CAR”) declined to 16.4% at FY18 (FY17: 17.8%), albeit this was supported by CBN’s IFRS 9 transition arrangement (which allows banks to gradually release additional provision from the process into CAR computation over a four-year period). Going forward, management remain confident of being able to sustain CAR above the required minimum. The CAR ended up at 16.5% at 1Q FY19. On the back of the loan book clean-up, gross NPL ratio declined to 8.7% at FY18 (FY17: 19.8%) and further reduced to 7.6% at 1Q FY19. While management plans to maintain the ratio below the FY18 position in FY19, Global Credit Rating (“GCR”) does not expect a significant reduction in the NPL ratio in the short term, considering the impact of the tough operating environment. Liquidity risk is considered low as the liquid and trading assets to short term funding ratio ranked high (relative to peers) at 33.1% at FY18. Also, statutory liquidity ratio closed FY18 firmer at 38% (FY17: 35%). GCR does not envisage a major change in liquidity position in FY19. The Bank successfully raised a total of N13.5bn through debt issuance in FY18 (comprising fixed rate Series1 and Series 2 bonds of five and seven years, at 15.5% and 15.75% respectively). In addition, UBN raised a sum of N23.1bn through Series 1 and Series 2 commercial paper (“CP”) Issue in 1Q FY19 to further augment its working capital. UBN’s key performance metrics were under pressure in FY18, underpinned by the slow-down in loan growth. Total operating income was down 14.6% year-on year (‘y/y’) and operating expenses rose by 12.5%, translating to a higher cost ratio of 82.9% in FY18 (FY17: 63.0%). Notwithstanding this, a pre-tax profit of N18.5bn was achieved, representing 32.6% increase from the previous year, as major write-off for the period was charged directly to reserves. Performance at 1Q FY19 reflects that performance at the pre-tax level was in line with budget on annualised basis, largely supported by growth in non-interest income. Factors that could trigger a rating action may include Positive change: An upward movement in the ratings may follow a markedly improved competitive positioning, a rebound to strong asset quality and profitability metrics. Negative change: The ratings may be revised downward following a significant weakening in profitability particularly from credit losses, or a further decline in asset quality metrics. Rating class Rating scale Rating Rating outlook Expiry date Long-term National BBB+(NG) Stable June 2020 Short-term National A2(NG)

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Page 1: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating

Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis June 2019

Financial data:

(USDm comparative)*

31/12/17 31/12/18

NGN/USD (avg.) 305.3 305.6

NGN/USD (close) 305.5 306.5

Total assets 4,734.1 4,673.0

Total capital 1,124.3 736.2

Net advances 1,692.6 1,544.7

Liquid assets 1,587.3 1,625.1

Operating income 347.1 296.1

Profit after tax 42.6 59.2

Market cap.ⱡ N200.9bn/USD654.6m

Market share^ 3.8%

*Central Bank of Nigeria (“CBN”) exchange rate

ⱡ As at 20 June 2019 ^As a % of total commercial banking assets

as at 31 December 2018.

Rating history:

Initial Rating (June 2015)

Long-term rating: BBB+(NG)

Short-term rating: A2(NG)

Rating outlook: Stable

Last Rating (June 2018)

Long-term rating: BBB+(NG)

Short-term rating: A2(NG)

Rating outlook: Stable

Related methodologies/research:

Global Criteria for Rating Banks and Other

Financial Institutions, updated March 2017

UBN rating report (2015-18)

Glossary of Terms/Ratios, February 2018

GCR contacts:

Primary Analyst

Funmilayo Abdulrahman

Senior Credit Analyst

[email protected]

Committee Chairperson

Dave King

[email protected]

Analyst location: Lagos, Nigeria

Tel: +23 41 9049462-3

Website: www.globalratings.com.ng

Summary rating rationale

Union Bank of Nigeria Plc’s (“UBN” or “the Bank”) ratings take into

consideration its competitive position as a mid-sized player in the Nigerian

banking industry, the decline in market share (in terms of industry’s total

assets) to 3.8% at FY18 (FY17: 4.2%), as well as the ongoing effort by

management to reposition the Bank among the top-tier players.

Shareholders’ funds declined 34.3% to N225.6bn at FY18, following a

significant write-off totalling N132.6bn during the year (partly arising from

the reassessment of the loans and advances book under IFRS 9 and

management’s decision to write-off some of the previously fully provisioned

non-performing loans (“NPLs”)). Accordingly, the risk weighted capital

adequacy ratio (“CAR”) declined to 16.4% at FY18 (FY17: 17.8%), albeit

this was supported by CBN’s IFRS 9 transition arrangement (which allows

banks to gradually release additional provision from the process into CAR

computation over a four-year period). Going forward, management remain

confident of being able to sustain CAR above the required minimum. The

CAR ended up at 16.5% at 1Q FY19.

On the back of the loan book clean-up, gross NPL ratio declined to 8.7% at

FY18 (FY17: 19.8%) and further reduced to 7.6% at 1Q FY19. While

management plans to maintain the ratio below the FY18 position in FY19,

Global Credit Rating (“GCR”) does not expect a significant reduction in the

NPL ratio in the short term, considering the impact of the tough operating

environment.

Liquidity risk is considered low as the liquid and trading assets to short term

funding ratio ranked high (relative to peers) at 33.1% at FY18. Also,

statutory liquidity ratio closed FY18 firmer at 38% (FY17: 35%). GCR does

not envisage a major change in liquidity position in FY19.

The Bank successfully raised a total of N13.5bn through debt issuance in

FY18 (comprising fixed rate Series1 and Series 2 bonds of five and seven

years, at 15.5% and 15.75% respectively). In addition, UBN raised a sum of

N23.1bn through Series 1 and Series 2 commercial paper (“CP”) Issue in 1Q

FY19 to further augment its working capital.

UBN’s key performance metrics were under pressure in FY18, underpinned

by the slow-down in loan growth. Total operating income was down 14.6%

year-on year (‘y/y’) and operating expenses rose by 12.5%, translating to a

higher cost ratio of 82.9% in FY18 (FY17: 63.0%). Notwithstanding this, a

pre-tax profit of N18.5bn was achieved, representing 32.6% increase from

the previous year, as major write-off for the period was charged directly to

reserves. Performance at 1Q FY19 reflects that performance at the pre-tax

level was in line with budget on annualised basis, largely supported by

growth in non-interest income.

Factors that could trigger a rating action may include

Positive change: An upward movement in the ratings may follow a markedly

improved competitive positioning, a rebound to strong asset quality and

profitability metrics.

Negative change: The ratings may be revised downward following a significant

weakening in profitability particularly from credit losses, or a further decline in

asset quality metrics.

Rating class Rating scale Rating Rating outlook Expiry date Long-term National BBB+(NG)

Stable June 2020 Short-term National A2(NG)

Page 2: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 2

Organisational profile

Corporate summary1

UBN was established in 1917 and currently provides

retail, commercial and corporate banking services to

its numerous corporate and individual customers. As

one of the long-standing banks, UBN has gone

through various changes over the years, which

include its conversion from a privately-owned

company to become publicly quoted on The Nigerian

Stock Exchange (“NSE”) in 1971 as well as the

adoption of its current name in 1979. UBN is

currently licensed as an international commercial

bank, with two subsidiaries including; UBN Property

Company Limited (‘UPCP’) and Union Bank (UK)

Plc. Also, UBN is well advanced in the liquidation of

Atlantic Nominees Limited (a special purpose

vehicle, which holds 100% interest in a landed

property in Lagos) and as such classified it as held

for sale at FY18.

Ownership structure

As at 31 December 2018, UBN remained largely

owned by Union Global Partners Limited (“UGPL”)

and Atlas Mara Limited, both holding a combined

stake of 90.4%, and the remaining held by a wide

array of individuals and institutional investors.

Table 1: Major shareholders (%) FY17 FY18

Union Global Partners Limited2 65.3 65.3

Atlas Mara Limited3 24.0 25.1

Others (with less than 5% shareholding) 10.7 9.6

Total 100.0 100.0

Source: UBN

Strategy and operations

Following a successfully recapitalisation of UBN in

2012, which saw the Bank rank comfortably among

the mid-tier players in the industry, management is

currently intensifying effort towards repositioning the

Bank as one of the leading commercial banks in

Nigeria (in terms of retail and transaction banking,

citizenship, sustainability and innovation). As such,

key focus for the bank in recent years has been in

areas of digital banking and automation, service and

product innovation, operational efficiency, ecosystem

and value chains. Accordingly, major milestones

achieved by the Bank during FY18 include: (i) the

launch of its robotics process automation which is to

foster operational efficiencies, the effect of this is

expected to manifest in the immediate future; (ii) its

debut debt issuance programme which achieved

165% subscription; (iii) loan book clean-up to allow

the bank create more risk assets and improve

earnings; and (iv) the provision of support systems in

education (Edu360), technology (TechVentures) and

trade (Local LC).

1 Refer to previous Union Bank reports for a detailed background. 2 UGPL is a consortium of local and international investors. 3 Atlas Mara Limited is an international private equity firm.

As at 31 December 2018, the Bank operated through

300 branches and cash centers, automated teller

machines and point of sale terminals increased to

1,100 (FY17: 950) and 7,900 (FY17: 7,000)

respectively, while total staff complements stood at

2,600.

Going forward, the Bank intends to focus on

customer acquisition; diversification of the loan book

to align risk assets to priority sectors of the economy

such as agriculture, manufacturing, and SMEs; cost

optimization and digitization.

Governance structure

The Bank’s governance structure is considered

satisfactory and in line with requirements of CBN’s

code of corporate governance for banks and

Securities and Exchange Commission’s code of

corporate governance for publicly listed companies.

Table 2 provides a brief summary of UBN’s

governance structure.

Table 2: Corporate governance

Description Findings Board size 14 Number of Non-executive Directors (“NEDs”)

9, including the Chairman

Number of Executive Directors 5, including the Managing Director

Independent directors Yes, 2

Tenure of NEDs 3 years each/max. 4 cycles

Board standing committees

6, (namely: Credit, Finance and General Purpose, Establishment and Services, Audit, Risk Management, and Remuneration).

Internal control and compliance

Yes, independent reports to the board.

External auditor/rotation policy KPMG Professional Services / 10-year tenure

Source: UBN

A major change that occurred on the board in FY18

was the retirement of an executive director/CFO,

Mrs. Oyinkansade Adewale, who was replaced by

Mr. Joseph Mbulu, evidencing a good succession

plan. Overall, UBN’s board is considered satisfactory

in terms of mix and expertise.

Financial reporting

The Bank’s financial statements were prepared in

accordance with International Financial Reporting

Standards, the requirements of the Companies and

Allied Matters Act and the Banks and Other

Financial Institutions Act. The Bank’s external

auditor, KPMG Professional Services, issued an

unqualified opinion on the 2018 financial statements.

Operating environment

Economic overview

The Nigerian economy witnessed sustained economic

growth in 2018, albeit characterised by mixed growth

trajectory. Growth in the first half of the year was

somewhat sluggish due to contractions in the oil

sector (on the back of declined domestic oil

Page 3: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 3

production and volatility in global crude oil prices),

delayed passage and implementation of the budget

amongst other factors. However, performance was

firmer in the second half, propelled by a combination

of increased government investment on capital

projects and the improved performance of the non-oil

sector, ultimately accelerating the full year economic

growth rate. Specifically, the non-oil sector grew by

2.7% in 2018 compared to 1.5% in 2017, while the

oil sector grew moderately by 1.1% (2017: 4.7%).

Overall, real GDP expanded by 1.9% year-on-year up

from 0.8% registered in 2017.

Real GDP growth for 2019 is projected at 2.0% and

2.2% by the International Monetary Fund and World

Bank respectively. This is expected to be

underpinned by recovery in global crude oil price

amidst agreed global production cut by Organisation

of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its

allies, as well as sustained implementation of the

Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (2017–2020)

by the government. Anticipated drawbacks to these

projections include; perceived political risks

associated with the 2019 general elections and

persistent security challenges arising from insurgency

in the North East and herdsmen attack in some parts

of the country. Also, the upward review of the

national minimum wage and other social intervention

programs by the government could exacerbate

inflationary pressures in 2019. To curtail this effect,

CBN is expected to engage in a frequent Open

Market Operations (“OMO”) auctions and maintain

tight monetary policies.

Foreign exchange (“FX”) remained relatively stable

in 2018 at an average rate of N305.6/USD and

N364/USD at the official and parallel market

respectively on account of various CBN’s FX

interventions aimed at easing pressure on Naira.

Furthermore, CBN maintained a non-expansionary

monetary policy stance by leaving the benchmark

monetary policy rate, the liquidity ratio and cash

reserve ratio unchanged at 14%, 30% and 22.5%

respectively throughout 2018 to curtail inflationary

pressures. To this end, the headline inflation declined

progressively from 15.1% in January to close at

11.4% in December 2018, and stood at 11.3% in

March 2019, albeit measured above the targeted

single digit rate for the period.

After being adjudged the global third best performing

stock market in 2017 with a strong growth of 42.3%,

The Nigerian Stock Exchange (“NSE”) recorded

17.8% contractions in the All Share Index (ASI) to

close at 31,430.50 points in 2018. Similarly, market

capitalization dipped by 13.9% to N11.7tn. This

deterioration can be attributed to pre-election jitters

and heightened capital outflows on the back of

attractive yields in the developed economy as well as

the tensed trade war between the US and China.

Industry overview

In line with global practice, the Nigerian banking

industry commenced full implementation of IFRS 9

with effect from 1 January 2018, shifting from

incurred credit loss model to expected credit loss

(“ECL”) model, which is a more forward-looking

approach. To cushion the effect of ECL provisions on

capitalisation, CBN introduced a four-year

transitional arrangement which requires banks to hold

static the adjusted day one impact of IFRS 9

impairment charges and spread it over a four-year

period. This, combined with capital raising initiatives

employed by a number of banks and strict dividend

payment regulations resulted in the rise in the

industry’s average CAR to 15.3% in December 2018,

from 10.2% in December 2017. According to CBN, a

new capital rule is expected to be introduced in the

first half of 2019, aimed at (inter alia) aligning CAR

computation with international regulatory accord

(Basel III) as well as ensure banks maintain adequate

capital buffer to withstand any acute financial stress

scenario.

The industry’s profitability for 2018 reflects an

improvement, underpinned by declined impairment

charge and growth in digital transaction volume.

Total banking sector assets stood at N37.2tn at end-

December 2018 (December 2017: N34.6tn), while

the credit portfolio decreased by 3.2% to N19.8tn due

to the conservative lending approach adopted by most

banks. Per CBN’s statistics, the industry’s average

gross NPL ratio declined to 12.5% at 1H 2018

(December 2017: 14.8%), albeit remaining above the

regulatory threshold of 5%. The decrease can be

attributed to the favourable macroeconomic

conditions and stricter prudential regulations.

The evolution of financial technology companies

(“fintech”) and other non-bank companies leveraging

technology (in provision of financial services) has

intensified competitive pressure in the Nigerian

banking sector, particularly in the retail banking

space. The competitive dynamics was further

intensified by the decision of CBN in October 2018

to licence the Payment Service Banks (“PSBs”). The

decision was premised on the apex bank’s objective

to enhance financial inclusion and stimulate

economic activities in the rural and unbanked areas

by leveraging on existing facilities of the

telecommunication companies and other companies’

predominantly in areas with limited banking presence

and ultimately achieve 80% financial inclusion target

by year-end 2020.

Statistics as at 31 December 2018 reveals Nigeria’s

financial sector comprised 21 commercial banks, five

merchant banks, one non-interest bank, and over

4,000 other financial institutions. Commercial banks

include eight international banks, eleven national

banks, and two regional banks. Polaris Bank Limited,

the only bridged bank under the control of Asset

Page 4: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 4

Management Corporation of Nigeria (“AMCON”)

was established in September 2018 following the

assumption of the asset and liabilities of the defunct

Skye Bank Plc by CBN. More recently (March

2019), the industry witnessed a merger between two

commercial banks; Access Bank Plc and Diamond

Bank Plc. This is expected to alter the competitive

position of the players in the commercial banking

space.

Competitive position

Table 3 compares UBN’s key performance metrics to

that of selected peers at FY18. While the Bank was

able to sustain its competitive position among the

mid-sized banks, in terms of balance sheet size and

geographical spread, asset quality metrics rank

among the weakest despite clean-up of FY18.

However, management expects this to improve

gradually over the years ahead.

Financial profile

Likelihood of support

UBN shareholders have been a major provider of

financial support in the last few years, providing

additional capital and allowing management to retain

all its earnings.

Funding composition

Source: UBN AFS

Funding mix remains largely stable over the review

period, with the largest source being customers’

deposits, followed by equity. Also, note is taking of

the introduction of debt securities and commercial

papers to the mix at FY18 and 1Q FY19 respectively.

A detailed analysis of each of the funding

components is contained in paragraphs below.

Customer deposits and interbank funding

Customer deposits grew 6.9% to N857.6bn at FY18,

reflective of management’s continuous effort to grow

the liability pool through both new and existing

customers, particularly from the retail segment. As

such, low cost deposits (current and saving accounts)

increased 14.1% and accounted for a sizeable 71.4%

of the book at FY18 (FY17: 62.6%).

Table 4: Deposit book characteristics as at FY17

By sector: % By type: %

Corporates 25.7 Demand 44.9

Retail and SME customers 53.7 Savings 26.5

Commercial 20.6 Term 28.6

By concentration: % By maturity: %

Single largest 5.6 < 3 months 92.2

Five largest 14.5 3-6 months 4.7

Ten largest 18.5 6-12 months 0.7

Twenty largest 23.5 > 12 months 2.4

Source: UBN AFS

Analytical review of the deposit book reflects a fair

degree of diversification, as the single and twenty

largest depositors accounted for 5.6% and 23.5%

respectively. However, maturity profile of the book

shows a highly short-dated book (relative to the loan

book), with over 90% matures within 3months. On

the other hand, interbank funding stood at N99.5bn at

FY18 (FY17: N100.1bn) and moderated to N96.0bn

at 1Q FY19, on the back of the continuous increase in

lower cost funds.

While management had projected a 10%-12% growth

in deposit in FY19, performance at 1Q FY19

displayed a moderate 1.1% increase in deposits. GCR

considers the projected growth achievable given the

Bank’s historical trend which averages 12.3%.

Capital adequacy

Despite a capital injection of N49.7bn through rights

Issue in FY17, a sizeable write-off of N132.6bn saw

total shareholders’ fund decline by 34.3% to

Table 3: Competitive position* UBN vs. selected banks

Ecobank Nigeria UBN Fidelity FCMB Sterling

Year end 31 December 2018

Shareholders’ funds (N’bn) 247.5 225.6 194.4 210.2 140.8

Total assets (N’bn) † 1,946.3 1,432.3 1,649.9 1,350.4 1,090.8

Net loans and advances (N’bn) 842.5 473.5 849.9 616.0 621.0

Total profit for the year (N’bn) 27.2 15.4 20.7 14.3 6.0

Capital/assets (%) 19.1 15.8 22.3 15.6 12.9

Liquid & trading assets/total short-term funding (%) 12.4 33.1 35.6 19.3 19.2

Gross NPL ratio (%) 13.7 8.7 5.7 5.9 8.7

Net interest margin (%) 8.2 6.9 6.3 8.7 7.8

Cost ratio (%) 60.7 82.9 71.1 72.2 81.4

ROaE (%) 10.5 6.5 11.6 8.7 9.2

ROaA (%) 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.9

*Ranked by total assets. †Excludes balances held in respect of letters of credit Source: Audited Financial Statements

Page 5: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 5

N225.6bn at FY18 (partly arising from the the

reassessment of loans and advances book under

IFRS 9 and management’s decision to write-off fully,

some of the previously provisioned NPLs).

Accordingly, CAR declined to 16.4% (FY17:

17.8%), albeit remained above the 15% required

minimum for international commercial banks. The

CAR’s position was largely supported by CBN’s

transitional arrangement on IFRS 9 adjustments

which allows for a gradual release of additional

provisions into the CAR computation over a four-

year period. A full implementation of the IFRS 9

provisions would have seen the ratio fall below the

required minimum at the balance sheet date. As at 1Q

FY19, CAR ended up at 16.5%.

Table 5: Capital adequacy ratio (N’bn) FY17 FY18

Eligible Tier 1 capital 106.0 117.8

Eligible Tier 2 capital 31.8 8.1

Total qualifying capital 137.8 125.9

Total risk weighted assets 774.5 767.8 CAR (%) 17.8 16.4

Borrowings

Total borrowings increased by 16.7% to N108.8bn at

FY18, and comprised both local and internationally

sourced borrowings.

Table 6: Total borrowings FY17 FY18

N'bn N’bn

CBN-Commercial Agric. Credit 11.8 12.0

BOI on-lending facilities 5.0 3.9

CBN RSSF on-lending - 20.1

Afreximbank 41.8 35.5

Mashreq Bank 10.1 7.2

African Finance Corporation 13.3 -

Access Bank UK 11.2 14.4

UBA New York - 1.8

Other borrowings 93.2 94.9

Debt securitiesⱡ - 13.9

Total 93.2 108.8 ⱡ Represent the amortised balance of the bonds at FY18. Source: UBN AFS

Debt securities: represents the outstanding balance

on the aggregated sum of N13.5bn raised under a

N100bn debt issuance programme in FY18. The

bonds in issue comprised fixed rate Series 1 and

Series 2 with maturities of five and seven years, and

interest rate of 15.5% and 15.75% respectively.

Management has also informed GCR of the bank’s

plan to commence the issuance process for the Series

3 bonds.

Other borrowings: Other borrowings comprised

foreign denominated and locally sourced funds from

other financial institutions. This includes, funds from

CBN and BOI for on-lending to customers. Some of

the facilities secured by the Bank during the year

include: (i) an on-lending facility from CBN under

the real sector support facility (‘RSSF’), with an all-

in interest rate of 9% per annum, payable quarterly,

(ii) two trade finance facilities received from Access

Bank UK (totaling USD40.24m) in November and

December 2018. Interest is payable on the facility at

an average rate of 6.96% per annum and matures in

May and December 2019 respectively.

Risk management

Strategic overview

UBN continued to focus on thorough and regular

review of all loans and advances from origination to

settlement to minimize further deterioration in asset

quality metrics.

Asset mix

Table 7: Asset Mix FY17 FY18

N'bn % N'bn %

Cash and liquid assets* 484.9 33.5 498.1 34.8

Cash 67.0 4.6 97.7 6.8

Liquidity reserve deposits 251.5 17.4 281.9 19.7

Trading assets 20.1 1.4 14.3 1.0

Balances with other banks 146.4 10.1 104.2 7.3

Pledged assets 54.1 3.7 48.8 3.4

Customer advances 517.1 35.8 473.5 33.1

Investment securities 185.7 12.8 199.3 13.9

Trading and inv. properties 6.1 0.4 5.2 0.4

Property, Plant & equipment 56.0 3.9 60.0 4.2

Other assets 142.4 9.8 147.4 10.3

Total 1,446.3 100.0 1,432.3 100.0

*Total assets exclude customers’ deposits for foreign trade Source: UBN AFS

Total assets remained relatively stable at N1.4tn at

FY18, with customer advances constituting a sizeable

33.1% of the book. Although, cash and liquid assets

also accounted for a significant 34.8% of the balance

sheet, about 57% of it were in liquidity reserve

deposits with CBN.

Investment securities grew by 7.3% to N199.3bn,

comprising; Treasury bills and FGN bonds (72.2%),

State and Corporate bonds (7.6%) and equity

(20.2%). Overall, credit risk is considered moderate

and in line with industry norm.

Contingencies

Off-balance sheet assets grew 34.6% to N161.7bn at

FY18, and accounted for 71.7% (FY17: 35.0%) of

capital. UBN’s contingencies at FY18 comprised:

performance bonds and guarantees (53.5%) and letter

of credit (46.5%).

Loan portfolio

Gross loans and advances declined by 7.3% to

N519.7bn at FY18, underpinned by its focus on loan

book optimisation as opposed to creation of new risk

assets. More specifically, UBN’s took steps to reduce

its exposure to the highly risky oil and gas sector and

diversify into the real sectors of the economy like

agriculture, manufacturing and general commerce.

Similarly, the maturity profile of the loan book was

revised, as loans maturing after 12 months accounted

for a moderate 33.2% (FY17: 32.4%, FY16: 40.7%).

The single and twenty largest obligors accounted for

Page 6: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 6

7.0% and 55.4% respectively of total loans. This is

considered high and elevates credit risk.

According to management, focus in the immediate

term will continue to be on diversification of the loan

book, to achieve more balanced mix of high-yielding

exposures. However, the Bank plans to grow the loan

book by about 10% to 12% in FY19 and performance

as at 1Q FY19 displays a growth of 4.5% from the

December FY18’s position.

Table 8: Loan book characteristics in %

By Sector: FY17 FY18

Agriculture 3.8 4.3 Oil and gas 40.6 38.2

Real estate & Construction 12.4 6.8

General commerce 6.7 9.2

Public sector 0.9 2.7

Manufacturing 9.9 16.3

IT & Telecom 3.3 2.8

Power 9.7 5.5

Retail 3.5 6.3

Others 9.2 7.9

Maturity:

Concentration < 3 months 47.4 Single largest 7.0

3-6 months 7.3 Five largest 26.1

6-12 months 12.1 Ten largest 39.6

> 12 months 33.2 Twenty largest 55 .4

Source: UBN

Asset quality

On the back of the loan book clean-up, gross

impaired loans reduced by 59.1% to N45.4bn,

translating to a gross NPL ratio of 8.7% at FY18.

Total provisions coverage of the impaired loans stood

at 101.8% (FY17: 39.2%). Sector distribution of the

impaired credit reflects power and energy as well as

oil and gas sectors accounted for a combined 78.8%

of the NPLs at FY18. The NPL ratio improved to

7.6% at 1Q FY19.

Table 5: Asset Quality FY17 FY18

N'bn N'bn

Gross Advances 560.7 519.7

Performing 449.8 474.2

Impaired 110.9 45.5

Provision on impairment (43.5) (46.2)

Individually impaired (36.4) (46.2)

Collectively impaired (7.1) -

Net NPLs 67.4 (0.8)

Gross NPLs ratio (%) 19.8 8.7

Net NPLs ratio (%) 13.0 Neg.

Net NPLs/Capital (%) 19.6 Neg.

Source: UBN AFS

Liquidity positioning

Liquidity risk is considered low as the liquid and

trading assets to short term funding ratio ranked high

(relative to peers) at 33.1% at FY18. Also, regulatory

liquidity ratio ended firmer at 38% at FY18 (FY17:

35%), against the required minimum of 30%.

However, contractual matching of the Bank’s assets

and liabilities reflect a liquidity gap of N110.2bn in

the ‘less than 90 days’ maturity profile (FY17:

N54.2bn), albeit the fact that most deposits are

usually rolled over at maturity provide some comfort.

Financial performance and prospects

A five-year financial summary, together with the

three-month unaudited accounts to 31 March 2019, is

reflected on page 7 of this report, supported by brief

commentary below.

Key performance metrics came under pressure in

FY18, as gross earnings declined by 11.2% to

N145.5bn, underpinned by the slow-down in loan

growth. The bank had in the last few years focused

on loan book clean-up rather than growth. As such,

interest income was down by 11.4% in FY18, while

interest expenses declined marginally by 4.9%,

resulting in a 17.0% decline in net interest income to

N55.4bn for the year. Similarly, non-interest income

was down by 10.5% to N35.2bn, due to absence of

the one-off income that was available in the previous

year. Consequently, total operating income closed at

14.6% below that of FY17.

Given that provisions for the year were charged

directly against reserves, the Bank closed the year

with a net write-back of N3.0bn in FY18, supporting

profitability position. Operating expenses was up

12.5% to N75.0bn on the back of increase in staff and

other overhead costs (including investment in

technology), translating to a higher cost ratio of

82.9% in FY18 (FY17: 63.0%). Profit before interest

and taxes closed at N18.5bn in FY18 (FY17:

N13.9bn). The notable reduction in capital, saw

ROaE end stronger at 6.5% (FY17: 4.3%), while

ROaA stood at 1.3% (FY16: 1.0%) in FY18.

Unaudited results at 1Q FY19 indicated a 4.5% y/y

decline in net interest income. Non-interest income

amounted to N10.8bn, representing a notable 38.5%

increase relative to the same period in FY17. Overall,

pre-tax profit ended flat at the 1Q FY18 level of

N5.4bn (in line with budget on annualised basis).

Management remains confident of achieving the set

budget for FY19.

Page 7: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 7

Year end: 31 December Restated Restated

Statement of Comprehensive Income Analysis 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1Q 2019

Interest income 76,373 90,902 99,721 124,549 110,366 26,859 Interest expense (24,317) (35,219) (34,682) (57,880) (55,016) (14,810) Net interest income 52,056 55,683 65,039 66,669 55,350 12,049 Other income 44,139 26,167 29,885 39,295 35,151 10,816 Total operating income 96,195 81,850 94,924 105,964 90,501 22,866 Net impairment charge (9,651) (9,244) (17,186) (25,317) 2,992 1,068 Operating expenditure (59,419) (57,850) (62,000) (66,728) (75,040) (18,496) Share of profit of equity accounted investee (6) - - - - - Net profit before tax 27,119 14,756 15,738 13,919 18,453 5,438 Tax (434) (552) (347) (911) (360) (164) Profit from continuing operations 26,685 14,204 15,391 13,008 18,093 5,274 Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations 142 97 - - - - Other comprehensive income for the year (618) 8,382 9,990 10,006 (2,731) 2,295

Total Comprehensive Income 26,209 22,683 25,381 23,014 15,362 7,569

Statement of Financial Position Analysis

Subscribed capital 400,109 400,109 400,109 201,652 201,652 226,965 Reserves (incl. net income for the year) (183,919) (158,686) (133,550) 135,989 17,704 - Minority interest 5,338 5,337 5,111 5,831 6,276 6,337 Total capital and reserves 221,528 246,760 271,670 343,472 225,632 233,302

Bank borrowings (incl. deposits, placements & REPOs) 61,890 44,091 90,266 100,131 99,477 95,978 Deposits 527,548 570,566 658,258 802,359 836,679 867,154 Other borrowings 36,398 50,819 62,420 72,569 55,524 93,606 Short-term funding (< 1 year) 625,836 665,476 810,944 975,059 991,680 1,056,738

Deposits 69 73 186 25 20,914 -

Other borrowings 41,737 25,240 27,094 20,642 53,227 48,805

Long-term funding (> 1 year) 41,806 25,313 27,280 20,667 74,141 48,805

Payables/Deferred liabilities 119,281 90,282 117,636 107,084 140,811 170,349 Other liabilities 119,281 90,282 117,636 107,084 140,811 170,349

Total capital and liabilities 1,008,451 1,027,831 1,227,530 1,446,282 1,432,264 1,509,194

Balances with central bank 113,376 127,613 129,431 251,523 281,868 280,385 Property, Plant and Equipments 48,575 52,611 52,800 55,986 59,954 59,886 Derivative financial assets 7 1,820 2,747 1,297 1,029 986 Receivables/Deferred assets (incl. zero rate loans) 211,837 195,830 227,621 195,216 195,175 205,502 Non-earnings assets 373,795 377,874 412,599 504,022 538,026 546,759

Short-term deposits & cash 52,661 34,189 24,139 66,961 97,741 54,102 Loans & advances (net of provisions) 312,797 366,721 507,190 517,103 473,462 494,899 Bank placements 69,299 26,163 86,903 146,358 104,231 198,302 Marketable/Trading securities 62,065 98,737 71,765 132,813 150,483 136,606

Other investment securities 135,880 116,400 118,278 72,921 63,105 73,237

Trading and Investments properties 1,930 7,723 6,656 6,104 5,216 5,289

Investments in subsidiaries/associates 24 24 - - - -

Total earning assets 634,656 649,957 814,931 942,260 894,238 962,435

Total assets† 1,008,451 1,027,831 1,227,530 1,446,282 1,432,264 1,509,194

Contingencies 130,535 133,901 120,542 120,119 161,729 175,090

Ratio Analysis (%)

Capitalisation

Internal capital generation 12.1 9.4 9.5 6.8 7.0 3.3

Total capital / Net advances + net equity invest. + guarantees 38.2 40.0 36.4 48.7 32.5 31.8

Total capital / Total assets 22.0 24.0 22.1 23.7 15.8 15.5

Liquidity ‡

Net advances / Deposits + other short-term funding 50.0 55.1 62.5 53.0 46.8 46.8

Net advances / Total funding (excl. equity portion) 46.9 53.1 60.5 51.9 44.4 44.8

Liquid & trading assets / Total assets 18.2 15.5 14.9 23.9 24.6 25.8

Liquid & trading assets / Total short-term funding 29.4 23.9 22.5 35.5 35.5 36.8

Liquid & trading assets / Total funding (excl. equity portion) 27.6 23.0 21.8 34.8 33.1 35.2

Asset quality

Impaired loans / Gross advances 5.0 6.7 6.9 19.8 8.7 7.6

Total loan loss reserves / Gross advances 7.0 5.7 5.3 7.8 5.5 8.1

Bad debt charge (income statement) / Gross advances (avg.) 3.4 2.6 3.8 4.7 (0.6) (0.2)

Bad debt charge (income statement) / Total operating income 10.0 11.3 18.1 23.9 (3.3) (4.7)

Profitability

Net income / Total capital (avg.) 12.5 9.7 9.8 7.5 5.4 3.3

Net income / Total assets (avg.) 2.6 2.2 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.5

Net interest margin 12.1 11.3 10.8 8.7 6.9 5.8

Interest income + com. fees / Earning assets + guarantees (a/avg.) 8.1 7.3 7.5 6.0 4.3 0.9

Non-interest income / Total operating income 45.9 32.0 31.5 37.1 38.8 47.3

Non-interest income / Total operating expenses (or burden ratio) 74.3 45.2 48.2 58.9 46.8 58.5

Cost ratio 61.8 70.7 65.3 63.0 82.9 80.9

OEaA (or overhead ratio) 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.2 1.3

ROaE 13.1 6.2 6.1 4.3 6.5 9.5

ROaA 2.7 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.3 1.4

Nominal growth indicators

Total assets 0.6 1.9 19.4 17.8 (1.0) 5.4

Net advances 36.3 17.2 38.3 2.0 (8.4) 4.5

Total capital and reserves 11.1 11.4 10.1 26.4 (34.3) 3.4

Deposits (wholesale) 9.3 8.2 15.4 21.9 6.9 1.1

Total funding (excl. equity portion) 16.2 3.5 21.3 18.8 7.0 3.7

Net income 326.1 (46.8) 8.4 (15.5) 39.1 16.6

† Excludes client's balances in held in respect of letters of credit.

‡ Please note that for these ratios, liquid assets exclude the statutory reserve balance.

Union Bank of Nigeria Plc(Naira in millions except as noted)

Page 8: Union Bank of Nigeria Plc

Nigeria Bank Analysis | Public Credit Rating Page 8

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