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Human Development Report Croatia 2008

www.undp.hr

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Climate for Change: Questions for the Report

• What do we know about the changing climate?

• What would climate change affect in Croatia?

• What can Croatia do to change the climate?

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Climate Predictions- In general, Croatia is predicted to get warmer and drier –

especially during the summer.

- Surface snow in northern Croatia will become

uncertain.

- Soil moisture in the spring is expected to drop.

What do we know about the changing climate?

Expected temperature change for 2040-2070 in the summer

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Sectors Examined:

- Tourism

- Coastal resources – especially related to sea level rise

- Health

- Fresh-water resources

- Agriculture

- Fisheries/ mariculture

What would climate change affect in Croatia?

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Coastal areas will likely be in danger of flooding from sea level rise perhaps over 100 square kilometres of land.

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Emissions Reduction and Mitigation Costs

What can Croatia do to change the climate?

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Mitigation and Institutional Analysis

What can Croatia do to change the climate?

-The Government has sent a clear message that energy efficiency, renewable energy and reduced emissions are important.

- A fair amount of technological capacity exists for mitigation.

- Opportunities for financing emissions reductions exist and are increasing. This is likely to continue to grow as Croatia moves towards EU accession.

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A Climate for Change - Recommendations

- To address current climate variability – regardless of future climate change- data is required to improve the management of specific sectors – e.g. agriculture, disaster response to heat waves/ droughts. It already impacts 1/4th of Croatian economy.

- Physical impact studies coupled with economic analysis could provide the basis for developing adaptation measures.

- Additional analysis related to mitigation is necessary and more stakeholders beyond the energy and industrial sector should be engaged in efforts to mitigate emissions.

- Integrate climate change into longer term strategic plans for infrastructure, urban planning (on the coast and inland), agriculture, water use, etc.

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