u.myint
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
1/9
RP RWPPVAP V AAAR
A(MICC)S P
S P (-)
VT
( - U )
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
2/9
U() S ()
VT
A ()
AAP V P P P P APAP PAAP A ARRPPR ARAW UA PP
AA QPP RP ATR P
U A PPS
PAA VP S VA R RPV S PAP PP AR
PPAA V R AP ARPRR RP P AAPP V PP A A V RVP A R U P AR QPPAU
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
3/9
A()
VAPAV
PP P (Dutch disease) PPPP AVP P () RP
A R P PW PAA P RPRAA P PR (guilder) V P V PPAV()
AA V PRP
PW RPVA AV V PWPV ARAP RAA PW P '' '' (Booming sector) PP
PAA P V P A QRAP AAU S S PRPP P S PRP RP P
P P AR S ''P AR '' (non-traded goods) PP AP P
P P PR AP AR ''P ARV '' (non-traded services) PPPA P VAVP PV PP V PA A VPP PR P
RT P P APAP P TRT
AP
PPAA PAA PV VPPP RPR VVP
P U A R PRA A S
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
4/9
A PR AP A V APA P P
PVP PPS AVR VP VP
'''' (Lagging sectors) PPR AVP PP U A A RP V
London Economist P (Dutch disease) () P P R
PPAA VP AAP P W AA P AA
A RPW RV R P RAAR A R R PA R AAR RPW A AA A A A A R
R PP PP
S P P AAAA RA APP
AA AP PRP P RAPAR S VS RV V AA
RRPRP A A SA P V PP AAP PWRR
P AP R R AA (RRVAA) P R P
VP A RRAP R Q R R AAAWPW
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
5/9
A()
VAA AR
VP A A A (-) AAAP UA ARPPR S S VS RA A
PP
''PP '' (motherof all wars) W AP R A AR V PV ''VPPV '' (mother of all prices)
P V R RVA
RV A V VP A AP
A (U-A) () A PAA AP A PRA (transaction demand)
PA AA RAP PA (precautionary demand) PPA A(speculative demand) RS T S S P P A
RP A RVW PW S R S A A PPRRV P RAA AAR AWA AA RAP
V RP APV AS AV PAP AAU(privatization) P P R RV AAP PAA
V S V QAA ARV A AR AA (-) AAAP UA ARP PR S S VS RA APP
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
6/9
(-)P AAP
P AV AA APP AAP
P AAP AP SP S ARS P A APA QAP
AAVA PV AVA R S PP
P PS P P A A PRA AW PAAP PA P P AA P AR RU()% R ()% A
AA PP PV
AAPA AAPW S RAA A PP(P)
P RP QRPT A AP A
AAP PP V P A R A
A P AR S P RP AAP A PA AR PPS AARAR AP
R AP RPAA A RPW V()P ()AP U SPS VP P PAR A()% A AR ARP R A AP
()% ()% P RP P V S AAA AP VPP
R V A AR R
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
7/9
AR
AA V ()% ()% AP A PAR A()%
P PPP P P AVA PR AA APPPP A VP AAP PA A()% R P AR A A AP R AAP (P) AAP RP A
A A AA P V AA R V A
P RA R
PAA P A AAAPA A P A S V
PPAA PP A Q A RRR P AA P
A AP PP A ()()V A PPQ () ()VA AA () () P A AA V PAP V () () () AP PPPP R AR QVP V
PPAA A RP APV R APV P RAPAP AAAPV AR APVPA RV Q P PA P APV PP ARA V S A P AAP
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
8/9
UTAA V VT RP QTP APWARARAW(IMF)R AA PR (IMF) AA AR R P
A P (IMF) V R QT AA P PAR RPAA P RPV P
AA RAA VPP R AAAP AA
PAA RP A PR A
P PP P R V T AA P QT P A
P P AS S R P A AP
AAA AAP S PAA V P PP PPP ARA
AAA PRP AAPVV S RRS AR S S (APPVV )S AAR PP S R PRV RVA
-
8/4/2019 U.Myint
9/9
A()
V
AAPP P AA PPP V V U PAP AP A QU RV T
P RV R P R VAP A ARA ()
P- AA RP VA
PPA (exchange rate unification) PAA R P (balance of payments)
(current account) P PAPA P
A VT P PA RA (macroeconomic policy) P AA A RP V
(macro) VU P V
R AA R