Tshwane Growth and Development Strategy

Towards Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning

Presented by: Jan Coetzee Pr Eng

Part of the Comprehensive Integrated Transport Plan team

7 September 2012

Which statement is true for Tshwane Residents ?

1. Owning and driving a car is convenient, and a status symbol

2. Driving with your car to work has become socially and morally unacceptable

Facts about South Africa / Tshwane

• Private vehicle ownership will grow (per capita of the population) as people become more affluent

• Public Transport utilization in SA is high compared to developed countries – due to captive market and is likely to go down

• The existing environment makes it difficult to implement new policies / strategies – Taxi industry, settlement patterns, social and political structure

• Tshwane has 2100 km of gravel roads in residential areas – will cost R 6,5 billion to pave

• Tshwane covers a large geographical area – approximately 100 km north-south and 120 km east-west

• All role players underestimate the time it takes to implement travel behavior changes – it takes a generation

(Gautrain was conceptualized in 1997, 15 years ago)

SA 1962, 66 veh/100

SA 2002, 152 veh / 1000

Car ownership in SA

Source: Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030, Joyce Dargay, Dermot Gately and Martin Sommer, January 2007

Travel Time Surveys

Surveys done for Tshwane show speeds of less than 30 km/h during the morning peak hour (red)

What should our Modal split be

• Germany: 60% by car, Public Transport 8%, Cycle 9%, Foot 23%

• America 89% by car, 8% on foot, 2% public transport and 1 % bicycle

Source: “Determinants of Transport mode choice: A comparison of Germany and the USA, Ralph Buehler

• In SA Public transport in Cities is more than 50% - as high as 70%. Although a captive market – we will have to do everything we can to keep it there

What is necessary to ensure integration of land use and public transport

• Political will

• Organizational Structure within City Departments – facilitate integration and co-operation

• Legislation and by laws

• Monitoring and control

• Realistic targets

• Avoid blindly following trends / perceptions – MCDC corridor ??

• BRT ?

Factors that influence modal choice

Toolbox – Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning (1 / 2)

Toolbox – Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning (2 / 2)

Proposed Light Rail / BRT Ring route

Mamelodi

Irene

CBD

Thank you

We normally overestimate what will happen in 1 year, and we underestimate what will happen 10 years.

Bill Gates, Microsoft

jan@itse.co.za