trend research and management: what is trend research and why do we need it? (part 1)
TRANSCRIPT
www.semiosearch.lt/trainingPART 1 of TREND TRAINING COURSE
WHAT IS TREND RESEARCHand WHY DO WE NEED IT?
WHY IS IT IMPORTANT NOW?
Strategic foresight, future planning and trend research have been around for a long time – why are these disciplines becoming
increasingly relevant?
ACCELERATING CHANGEWith critical technology becoming more and more available in different industry sectors and financing coming from diversified sources, it is easier to get innovative projects off the ground.
PARADIGMSHIFTSOr we might know this one by the name of disruption, which basically means a new way of doing things that abolishes the old ways (think of Uber, Netflix, Cloud and subscription services as just a few examples).
INNOVATIONSPILL-OVERConsumers are getting loads of new things in different areas and their expectations are now shaped by these innovations. It means that by getting a specific value in one field, I form my expectations for equivalent value everywhere else.
WHY IS IT IMPORTANT NOW?
WE ARE LIVING IN KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
DATA IS OPENLY ACCESSIBLE, INSIGHTS ARE NOT
with data becoming open and accessible, the need for data synthesis and insights is growing
WHO NEEDS TREND RESEARCH?
THE ANSWER - ORGANIZATIONS
organizations have to keep up with accelerating change and complex environments – they have to know how to predict change,
account for it and react to it or act based on it
EFFICIENTORGANIZATIONS
LEARNINGORGANIZATIONS
ADAPTIVEORGANIZATIONS
organizations that are focused on streamlining their processes and
performing with most effective capacity without extra resource waste
ORGANIZATIONS ARE EVOLVING
organizations that are trying to increase their expertise in the field by constantly
improving their operational knowledge
organizations that are optimized for the unpredictable world with processes and
structures optimized for agility and experimentation
EFFICIENTORGANIZATIONS
LEARNINGORGANIZATIONS
ADAPTIVEORGANIZATIONS
organizations that are focused on streamlining their processes and
performing with most effective capacity without extra resource waste
organizations that are trying to increase their expertise in the field by constantly
improving their operational knowledge
organizations that are optimized for the unpredictable world with processes and
structures optimized for agility and experimentation
DEVELOPMENTfrom efficient to adaptive performance
IN ORDER TO BE ADAPTIVE AND RESPONSIVEorganizations need to have tools, processes and methods to deal with changing environment – one of the most important parts of it is TREND RESEARCH.
THE PURPOSE OF TREND RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT
is to have an impact on organizational culture and thinking
WHAT DISCIPLINE DOES TREND RESEARCH FALL
UNDER?
organizations deal with future through planning and strategies
and strategy is the essential link between the organization and the environment that it
operates in
organizations deal with future through planning and strategies
LINK
TREND RESEARCH AS A STRATEGIC DISCIPLINEthe main purpose of trend research is to establish a link
between the environment and the things that the organization is doing – the main difference between trend research and
other types of analytic activities is that trend research deals not only with the present but also with future environment
so TREND RESEARCH can be defined
as activities that allow to establish the link between
organization’s activities and its future operating environment
present environment
future environment
TREND RESEARCH IS A
STRATEGIC DISCIPLINE
WHAT DOES IT CONSIST OF?
TRENDANALYSIS
TRENDMAPPING
SCENARIOPLANNING
WHAT ARE THE MAIN TREND RESEARCH ACTIVITIES?
analysing the structure of the trend across different areas and different levels – from the basic needs to specific innovations and applications and then across different fields
mapping the proliferation of trends and different trend relationships – creating the trend landscape with numerous options
building scenarios that detail plausible outcomes based on critical trends within the industry
DATATREND RESEARCH DEALS WITH
DIVERSE SETS OF DATA:
business developments, expert opinions, design, marketing and branding, consumer research and insights, mass media
and content
METHODS
scout panelsscenario building
stakeholder workshopsexpert research
consumer researchsocial monitoring
JUST A FEW OUT OF MANY:
TREND RESEARCH
is multi-dimensional and multi-layered
TREND RESEARCH
is multi-dimensional and multi-layered
AND IT HEAVILY RELIES ON SYNTHESIS – COMBINING DIFFERENT TYPES OF
INSIGHT INTO A COHERENT AND ACTIONABLE WHOLE
PEOPLE IN THE CENTREeven though you might be discussing businesses,
innovations and technology, it is people who are always in the center of any kind of trend research. TREND
RESEARCH is human centric.
www.semiosearch.lt/training
TREND TRAINING COURSE
WHAT IS TREND RESEARCHand WHY DO WE NEED IT?
- END OF PART 1 -