trend analysis of commercial fish production in mannar basin

51
Trends analysis of commercial Fish production in Mannar basin of Sri Lanka Nalinda Ambagamuwa (128529) Department of Aquaculture & Fisheries Faculty of Livestock Fisheries & Nutrition Wayamba University of Sri Lanka

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Page 1: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Trends analysis of commercial Fish production in Mannar basin of Sri Lanka

Nalinda Ambagamuwa (128529)Department of Aquaculture & Fisheries

Faculty of Livestock Fisheries & NutritionWayamba University of Sri Lanka

Page 2: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Introduction• Mannar basin is rich with numerous types of Fish resources and other

commercially important resources

• Has both coastal and off-shore fishery

• Directly involved with the Fish industry in Sri Lanka

• Consists with seven major fishery districts

• Galle, Kaluthara, Colombo, Negombo,

Chillaw, Puttalam and Mannar

N

Page 3: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Rationale

• Lack of findings to determine the current fish production trends of the

Mannar basin

• There are no much research findings to make efficient policy decision

to conserve the fishery resources in Mannar basin

Page 4: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Major problems • Civil war disturbance ( Mainly in Mannar district)

• Natural disasters (Tsunami, storms, cyclones)

• Illegal fishing activities- Indian poaching

• Sand mining

• Coral mining

• Hydrocarbon exploration activities

Page 5: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Objectives

• To find out the basic trends of the fishery

• To describe the present situation of the fishery in the Mannar basin

• To identify the general matters in the selected fishing communities

• To evaluate the socio-economic situation of the selected fishery

districts

Page 6: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Methodology• Study area- Seven fishery districts in the Mannar basin

• Project period- 15 weeks

• Data collection

Fish production data Annual Marine production data (Year 1981-2015)

Commercial group-wise data (Year 2003-2015)

Fishing fleet data

Fisheries sector’s socio-economic data

N

Page 7: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Data were collected from;

Ministry of Fisheries and Aquatic Resource Development

Relevant district fisheries offices

The Department of Census & Statistics of Sri Lanka

National Aquatic Resources Research & development Agency (NARA

Year books)

Page 8: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Two basic test

• Sequential Mann Kendal test Main turning points in the fish production(1981-2015)

• Simple linear regression test Commercial Fish groups trends(2003-2015)

Marine annual fish production trends(1981-2015)

• SWOT analysis was conducted – with the aid of key informant persons

Analysis Method

Page 9: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Results

Page 10: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Annual marine fish production of fishery districts in the Mannar basin

Kaluthara Galle Colombo NegomboChilaw Puttalam Mannar

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

Page 11: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Marine Fish Production Trend of the Mannar fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti No any significant turning

point

Page 12: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Marine Fish Production Trend of the Puttalam fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 13: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Chillaw District (Mt)

Chilaw

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value 0.00P-value 0.00

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Marine Fish Production Trend of the Chillaw fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 14: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Marine Fish Production Trend of the Negombo fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 15: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811982

19831984

19851986

19871988

19891990

19911992

19931994

19951996

19971998

19992000

20012002

20032004

20052006

20072008

20092010

20112012

20132014

2015-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Marine Fish Production Trend of the Colombo fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 16: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Marine Fish Production Trend of the Kaluthara fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 17: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7Marine Fish Production Trend of the Galle fishery district

u(ti) v(ti) Series3 Series4

Year

Uti &

Vti

Page 18: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Annual Fish production of the Mannar basin

Mannar basin Production

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) Massive dropP-value 0.00

P-value 0.00

Page 19: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Mannar fishery district (Mt)

Mannar

No significant trend

Page 20: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Puttalam fishery district (Mt)

Puttalam

P-value – 0.00

P-value – 0.00

Page 21: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Chillaw fishery district (Mt)

Chilaw

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value – 0.00

P-value – 0.00

Page 22: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

Marine annual production of Negombo fishery District (Mt)

Negombo

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value – 0.00

Page 23: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Colombo fishery district (Mt)

Colombo

P-value – 0.00

P-value – 0.014

Page 24: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000Marine Sector Fish production of Kaluthara fishery district (Mt)

Kaluthara

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value – 0.014

P-value – 0.003

Page 25: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

20012003

20052007

20092011

20132015

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Marine Sector Fish Catch of Galle fishery district (Mt)

Galle

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value – 0.00

P-value – 0.00

Page 26: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Districts annual production (Year 1981-2015)Percentage values of the annual production

Puttalam 19%

Mannar 8%Kaluthara

18%

Galle 16%

Colombo 2%Negombo

21%

Chillaw 16%

Page 27: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Significant trends of commercially important Fish groups

Page 28: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

100001200014000

Large pelagic group of Mannar fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

1000012000

Small pelagic group of Mannar fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Dermasal group of Mannar fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

500

1000

1500

2000

Prawn group of Mannar fishery district

Prawns

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) P-value 0.006

P-value 0.017

Page 29: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

100001200014000

Large pelagic group of Puttalam fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5000

10000

15000

20000

Small pelagic group of Puttalam fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000200030004000500060007000

Dermasal Group of Puttalam district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Prawn Group of Puttalam fishery district

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt)

P-value 0.001No significant trend

P-value 0.001

Page 30: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

1000012000

Large pelagic group of Chillaw fishery District

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5000

10000

15000

20000

Small pelagic group of Chillaw fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000200030004000500060007000

Dermasal group of Chillaw fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value 0.00

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5001000150020002500300035004000

Prawn group of Chillaw fishery district

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt) P-value 0.002

P-value 0.006

Page 31: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Large pelagic group of Negombo fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

100001200014000

Small pelagic group of Negombo fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000200030004000500060007000

Dermasal group of Negombo fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

P-value 0.00

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Prawn group of Negombo fishery district

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt)

No significant trend

P-value 0.021

Page 32: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Large pelagic group of Colombo fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

500

1000

1500

2000

Small pelagic group of Colombo fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

500

1000

1500

2000

Dermasal group of Colombo fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

50100150200250300350400

Prawn group of Colombo fishery district

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt) No significant trend

Page 33: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

500010000150002000025000300003500040000

Large pelagic group of Kaluthara fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

2000400060008000

100001200014000

Small pelagic group of Kaluthara fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Dermasal group of Kaluthara fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

100200300400500600700800

Prawn group of Kaluthara fishery District

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt)

No significant trend

Page 34: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

Large pelagic group of Galle fishery district

Large Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) P-value 0.018

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Small pelagic group of Galle fishery district

Small Pelagic

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t)

No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Dermasal group of Galle fishery district

Dermasal

Year

Fish

Pro

ducti

on(M

t) No significant trend

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 20150

50100150200250300

Prawn group of Galle fishery district

Prawns

YearFi

sh P

rodu

ction

(Mt)

No significant trend

Page 35: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Active Fishers by districts

1989 1996 1999 2004 2008 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

Colombo Negombo Chilaw Puttalam Mannar Galle Kaluthara

Year

Num

ber o

f Fis

herm

en

Page 36: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Major fishing crafts

IMUL IDAY NTRB

OFRP MTRB

Page 37: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

SWOT analysis resultsStrengths

Contributes significantly to the Fish production

Well facilitated harbors in districts of Mannar basin

Availability of valuable Fish resourcesGovernment hand to increase

Multiday boats in fishing after the tsunami devastation

Weaknesses

Developed industries are provisioned in western province

By catch issues and black Fish landingsHighest post harvest lossesPoor enforcement of rules &

regulations Lack of infrastructure for large scale

fishing

Page 38: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Opportunities

Vast tuna fishery potential, as there is

a potential for large pelagic fishes

Fish based eco-tourism

Tax relieve for fishery exports

Threats

Oil spills and waste disposal

Illegal fishing

Destructive fishing methods & over

exploitation

Coral & sand mining

Climate changes

Page 39: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Discussion• Study reveals the main trends for the marine annual production since

1981 to 2015 and trends of commercial fish groups since 2003 to 2015• After the tsunami devastation, trend of the annual production of

Mannar basin is taking a positive state until the year 2015• Mannar basin is highly rich and diverse with natural resources• Negombo and Kaluthara fishery districts are the high productive

districts• Natural disasters are directly impact on the production of the Mannar

basin

Page 40: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Conclusion• Negombo fishery district is the highest contributor to the Fish production

of the Mannar basin among all the other districts.

• Colombo fishery district is the least contributor to the Fish production of

the Mannar basin

• Except for Mannar district, all the other districts were showed significant

upward trends for the marine annual production

• Except for Kaluthara and Colombo fishery districts, all other fishery

districts showed positive trends for certain commercial Fish groups

Page 41: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Suggestions• Implemented rules and regulation have to be inspect regularly

• Off fishing seasons has to be announced if possible

• Government has to aware the fishermen about current situations of the fishery

Page 42: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

References• MOFAR 2014, Fisheries Statistics, Ministry of Fishery and Aquatic

Resource• Jayasinghe, J. M. P. K. (2014). Exploratory drilling for hydrocarbon

resources in the Cauvery basin : Potential impacts on artisanal fishery and fishing grounds of Sri Lanka. Journal of the Marine Biological Association of India, 56, 1–5.

Page 43: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Acknowledgement• Prof.J.M.P.K.Jayasinghe, Senior professor, Department of Aquaculture

and Fisheries, Wayamba University of Sri Lanka

• Ms.Ursla peiris, lecturer, Biostatistics, Wayamba University of Sri Lanka

• Assistant director of district fisheries office in Mannar district

• President of fishery community in the Mannar district • For my family & friends

Page 44: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin
Page 45: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

DistrictCommercial

group Trend type Trend Duration HPV(Mt) HPV Year LPV(Mt) LPV Year

Puttalam Large Pelagic Upward trend 2005 to 2014 12340 2014 3480 2003

Small Pelagic No trend ****** 18200 2015 4130 2006

Dermasal No trend ****** 6180 2015 780 2005

Prawns No trend ****** 4130 2013 780 2008

Chillaw Large Pelagic Upward trend 2005 to 2013 11020 2013 3610 2005

Small Pelagic No trend ****** 16520 2013 3560 2005

Dermasal Upward trend 2005 to 2013 6220 2013 1690 2005

Prawns Upward trend 2003 to 2009 3370 2013260 & 270

2003 & 2005

Negombo Large Pelagic Upward trend 2003 to 2008 20320 2007 10220 2005

Small Pelagic Upward trend 2003 to 2009 12850 2015 3070 2005

Dermasal Upward trend 2003 to 2011 5880 2014 1830 2005

Prawns No trend ****** 4520 2013 1360 2005

Page 46: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

District Commercial group Trend type Trend Duration HPV(Mt) HPV Year LPV(Mt) LPV Year

Colombo Large Pelagic No trend ****** 4830 2014 90 2007

Small Pelagic No trend ****** 1780 2011 80 2005

Dermasal No trend ****** 1750 2015 130 2007

Prawns No trend ****** 380 2015 10 2004

Mannar Large Pelagic Upward trend 2008 to 2014 11440 2014 1430 2004

Small Pelagic No trend ****** 9980 2004 710 2009

Dermasal No trend ****** 4630 2014 1630 2007

Prawns Upward trend 2008 to 2014 1740 2014 170 2008

Page 47: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

District Commercial group Trend type Trend Duration HPV(Mt) HPV Year LPV(Mt) LPV Year

Galle Large Pelagic Upward & down ward 2003 to 2008/ 2008 to

2014 28420 2014 6100 2008

Small Pelagic Upward trend 2003 to 2008 22710 2015 1610 2003

Dermasal No trend ****** 5480 2015 390 2008

Prawns No trend ****** 240 2014 202006 &

2008

Kaluthara Large Pelagic No trend ****** 34020 2011 9480 2005

Small Pelagic No trend ****** 13120 2011 10 2014

Dermasal No trend ****** 4620 2013 3010 2004

Prawns No trend ****** 690 2014 10 2003&2004

Page 48: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Main fishing crafts

• IMUL - Inboard Multi-day Boats, IDAY - Inboard Single-day Boats,

• OFRP - Out-board engine FiberglassReinforced Plastic Boats,

• MTRB - Motorized Traditional Boats,

• NTRB - Non-motorized Traditional Boats

Page 49: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin
Page 50: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Puttalam10% Chillaw

9%

Negombo22%Colombo

1%Mannar

6%Galle20%

Kaluthara33%

Large Pelagic Production(Year 2003-2015)

Puttalam20%

Chillaw24%

Negombo20%

Colombo1%

Mannar8%

Galle15%

Kaluthara12%

Small Pelagic production(2003-2015)

Puttalam17%

Chillaw21%

Negombo18%

Colombo3%

Mannar16%

Galle11%

Kaluthara14%

Dermasal group production(2003-2015)

Puttalam29%

Chillaw21%

Negombo37%

Colombo1%

Mannar8%

Galle1%Kaluthara

2%

Prawns group production(2003-2015)

Page 51: Trend analysis of commercial fish production in Mannar basin

Commercial group’s production as a percentage

Puttalam10%

Chillaw9%

Negombo22%

Colombo1%

Mannar6%

Galle20%

Kaluthara33%

Large Pelagic Production(Year 2003-2015)