topic 1 - intro to macroeconomics

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    TOPIC 1

    ABC: Ch. 1

    Introduction to

    Macroeconomics

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    OUTLINE

    What Macroeconomics Is About

    Leading Macroeconomists

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Macroeconomics:

    The study of structure and performance of nationaleconomies and government policies that affect economicperformance

    Issues addressed by macroeconomists: Long-run economic growth

    Business cycles

    Unemployment

    Inflation

    The international economy

    Macroeconomic policy

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Long-run economic growth

    The extremes of rich and poor

    World Bank:DR of Congo has the second-lowest GDP per head of $163

    in the world, and a quarter of the population live on less

    than $1.25 a dayMonaco has the highest GDP per head in the world -

    $211,501, according to 2008 figures

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

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    Long-run economic growth

    Long-run growth makes a huge difference

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Long-run economic growth

    Growth of output over time

    Figure 1.1: Output of United States since 1869

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    Figure 1.1 Output of the U.S. economy, 1869-2008

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Long-run economic growth Main source of growth

    Increases in average labor productivity

    Average labor productivity

    Output produced per unit of labor input

    Figure 1.2

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    Figure 1.2 Average labor productivity in the UnitedStates, 1900-2008

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Business cycles Business cycle: short-run contractions and

    expansions in economic activity

    Downward phase is called a recession

    Unemployment

    Unemployment: the number of people who are

    available for work and actively seeking work but

    cannot find jobs

    U.S. experience shown in Fig. 1.3

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    Figure 1.3 The U.S. unemployment rate, 1890-2008

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Percentage change in the level of prices

    Inflation rate: the percentage increase in the average

    level of prices over a year

    Hyperinflation: an extremely high rate of inflation

    Deflation: when prices of most goods and services

    decline

    U.S. experience shown in Fig. 1.4

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    Figure 1.4 Consumer prices in the UnitedStates, 1800-2008

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Example: hyperinflation in Zimbabwe

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    AUSTRALIAVS. US

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Macroeconomic Policy

    Fiscal policy: government spending and taxation

    U.S. experience in Fig. 1.6

    Monetary policy: growth of money supply;determined by central bank; the Fed in U.S.

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    Figure 1.6 U.S. Federal government spendingand tax collections, 1869-2008

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    Big questions Thinking about the economy as a whole. General

    Equilibrium

    What determine output and long-run economic growth?

    What are the causes of business cycles? Can governmenthelp to stabilize the macroeconomy?

    Why causes unemployment, and why does theunemployment rate fluctuate so much?

    What causes inflation? Can central banks controlinflation?

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    WHAT MACROECONOMICS IS ABOUT

    A Model of Macroeconomy:

    Three markets: labor, goods, and assets (money and bonds)

    Three prices: the wage, the price level, and the interestrate

    Three equations: The aggregate supply curve (equilibrium in the labor market)

    The IS curve (equilibrium in the goods market)

    The LM curve (equilibrium in the asset market)

    Keynesian vs. Classical How quickly does the economy adjust to shocks?

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    LEADING KEYNESIAN

    MACROECONOMISTS

    John Maynard Keynes (18831946)

    Created the field of macroeconomics

    Sir John Hicks (19041989)

    Nobel Prize winner in 1972. Developed the IS-LM

    model as a way of explaining Keynes ideas

    James Tobin (19182002)

    Nobel Prize winner in 1981. Tried to reconcile

    Keynesian macroeconomics with modern

    microeconomic theory

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    LEADING NEW CLASSICAL

    MACROECONOMISTS

    Robert E. Lucas, Jr., Thomas J. Sargent

    Leaders of the new classical revolution in the

    1970s. Lucas won the Nobel Prize in 1995.

    Finn E. Kydland, Edward C. Prescott

    Nobel Prize winners in 2004. Pioneers of real

    business cycle theory

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    NEXTTOPIC:

    The Labor Market and the FE line

    Chapter 3, Section 9.1, Appendix 9.B.

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