top 8 emerging trends - · pdf file© 2014 gartner, inc. and/or its affiliates. all rights...

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Andrew Butler@pandalf

Top 8 Emerging Trends

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© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Access to Everything, All the Time, From Any Device, From Anywhere

Did You Know

90%Texts Read in 3 Minutes.

2.9Devices

per Person.

3.3BGoogle

Searches Daily.

60BEmails Daily97% Spam.


Software-Defined Infrastructures1

Trends You Need to Watch

Integrated Systems2Disaggregated Systems3The Internet of Things4Hyperconnectivity5Non-stop Demand6Bimodal IT7Scarcity of New I&O Skills8


• Managed at the control plane

• On and off-premise processing

• Relies on automation and orchestration

• Rules based workflows

• Organizationally disruptive

1. Software-defined Infrastructures

NetworkStorage

Servers

SDN

SDS

SDC — Compute


• Integrated one or many vendor products.

• "Stack" sale versus component sale.

• Competes with general purpose designs.

• Optimized for single purpose.

• Best of brand versus best of breed.

2. Integrated Systems


Pre-evolved: Evolving: Highly Evolved:

Pre 2010 2010 - 2020 Post 2020

• Take it or leave it

• You get what you pay for

• Upgrade/replace when outgrown or obsolete

• Employ an integrator or DIY

• Prebuilt & proprietary

• Integrated compute-network-storage

• Virtualization, management automation and policy provisioning

• “Hyperconvergence”

• Adaptable

• Frequent and continuous upgrade

• Software-defined

• Intelligent-aware

• Bi-modal IT, IoT and Nexus of forces

2. Integrated Systems Evolution


3. Disaggregated Systems• Shared interconnects, power,

fans• Pluggable modules,

cartridges• Component open connect• OpenCompute, Project

Scorpio• Extreme innovation (silicon

photonics, persistent memory (NVM)


Did You Know?

In 1984 the number of internet devices was 1,000By 2012 internet devices exceed

17,000,000,000By 2020 it will exceed

50 Billion


• Small devices• Self-aware• Self-assembling

networks• Location-aware• Batteries not

required …

4. The Internet of Things


Not a single technology, but a concept:• Driving the trend: Embedded

sensors

• Social impact: Real-time support and learning

• Business opportunities: Situational decision support and remote sensing

4. The Internet of Things


Researchers Have Successfully Pushed 14 Trillion Bits per Second

Down a Single Strand of Fiber Cable.

Did You Know?


Personal Productivity

Office SuitesIndividual ContentFiling CabinetsPersonal

Knowledge Distribution

Email AttachmentsContent DistributionComputer NetworksTeams

Collective Empowerment

Social MediaMass CollaborationPeople NetworksCollectivesLocation Independence

Are You Prepared for This Fundamental Empowerment Shift?

1985 1995 2013

5. Hyper Connectivity

© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Sources: Toyota, Asus, Apple, Samsung, Amazon, Sony, San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency and Proteus Digital Health

DesktopLaptop

TabletMini-tablet

Laptop/Tablet Hybrid

E-book readerSmartphoneWearables

Implantables

Smart Car

Internet of Things

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

5. Hyper Connectivity


Did You Know?

The first commercial text message was sent in December 1992.

Today, daily text message traffic exceeds the total population of the planet!


6. Non-Stop Demand50%

0%

Annual Average Growth Rate

• Storage capacity: 50% AAGR

• Network bandwidth: 35% AAGR

• Power costs: 20% AAGR

• Server workloads: 10% AAGR


By 2017, 75% of IT organizations will have a bimodal capability.

50% will make a mess of IT.

Did You Know?

Bimodal IT is NOT a "nice to have."


Bimodal IT means —having two modes of IT, each designed

to address different information and technology goals:

Mode 1is traditional

Mode 2is exploratory

7. Bimodal IT

I&O leaders should care about becoming bimodal because they cannot confront the rangeof needs presented by digital business with a single, conventional mode of IT.


27

• Systems of Record

• Waterfall development

• Known vendors

• Strong governance

• Minimized risk

• Technology teams

TraditionalMode

NonlinearMode

• Systems of Innovation

• Agile development

• Innovative partners

• Lightweight

• "Just good enough" governance

• Managed risk

• Multidisciplinary teams

Stuck in the middle"Fit for no one"

Tomorrow’s Data Center?

7. Bimodal IT Offers a Way Out


7. Bimodal IT Changes EverythingSoftware NetworksServers

Operations StorageData Centers


Unable to match salaries

Enterprise culture does not reward innovationand riskLack of leading edge projects

74%

Why are webscale companies so much better than enterprises at recruiting and retaining key talent? • Growth in IT Complexity

• Skills Shift• Cloud Services• Reduced Budgets• 24/7 Support• Faster Change Cycles• End User Driving IT• Shorter Development

Timelines

8. Scarcity of New I&O Skills


Action PlanMonday morning:

- Drive Integrated Systems Revenues

Your next 90 days:- Prepare for organizational disruptions — externally and internally

generated.- Develop staff skills in Cloud, IoT, DevOps, and Webscale.

Your next 12 months:- Identify Bimodal opportunities- Understand the IoT impact on your customer business plans.

Action Plan

top 8 emerging trends - · pdf file© 2014 gartner, inc. and/or its affiliates. all rights...

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