top 10 strategic predictions for 2016 and beyond
TRANSCRIPT
Top 10 Strategic Predictions for 2016 and Beyond:
The Future Is a Digital ThingDaryl Plummer
Smart-StartEvolving Nexus"Robos" Rising
Device mesh Information of everything
Adaptive security architecture
New IT Reality
Mesh app and service architecture
IoT architecture and platformsAdvanced systems architecture
Digital Mesh Smart Machines
Continuous and ambient experience
3D printing materials
Machine learning
Autonomous agents and things
Three Things to Consider …
The relationship between people and machines will go
from cooperative, to co-dependent, to competitive1"Smartness" is being applied across the fabric
of the work environment2The Nexus of Forces is evolving into a new set
of scenarios3
It's said that, given enough time, an infinite number of monkeys could write the entire works of Shakespeare
Could robowritersdo it in a matter of hours?
By 2018, 20% of all business content
will be authored by machines1
CIO:
Identify opportunities to adopt automated content generation services now
Near-Term Flag:
Next year, watch for a hiring freeze on copywriters in favor of robowriting solutions
Analysis by: Karen A. Hobert, Martin Kihn
The "Robos" Have Already Begun to Rise
Machines will create significant amounts of business content
Have you ever
wondered how
narrative science
could be used
to enhance
your job?
But how much help can we
afford to give?
A Co-Dependent Relationship Can Be Beneficial
1 MillionNew IoT devices
will be purchased every hour of every
day in 2021
By 2018, 6 billion connected things
will be requesting support2
IT Leaders:
Start viewing "things" as
customers of services
and learn to market to
them and to satisfy their
nonhuman requestsAnalysis by: Jenny Sussin, Jim Tully, Kristin Moyer and Don
Scheibenreif
By 2020, autonomous software agents
outside of human control will participate
in 5% of all economic transactions 3
CIOs: Study technologies
based on crypto-currencies to
become familiar with the
predominant decentralized
value-exchange platforms
Use pattern matching
algorithms to detect
robothievesAnalysis by: Magnus Revang, Ray Valdes, and David
Furlonger
If you found outyour dog was an android,
would you still love it?
If you found outyour boss
was a robot,would you obeyits directives?
By 2018, more than 3 million workers
globally will be supervised by a "roboboss"4
IT Leaders:
Train managers to focus on
"human" issues such as creative
leadership, worker relations and
strategic planningAnalysis by: Whit Andrews, Frances Karamouzis, Ken Brant,
Helen Poitevin, Tom Austin and Diane Morello
Students hacking the school system
Connected Systems Offer More Openings to Attack
Cars remotely hijacked
Smart Systems Exacerbate the Problem
Smart buildings offer multiple interconnected attack
surfaces
By YE18, 20% of smart buildings will
have suffered from digital vandalism 5
Digital Officers:
Commission algorithms to
detect and avoid obscenities
introduced from outside
the business
Technology managers:
Establish firewalls for
HVAC controlsAnalysis by: Richard Marshall and Rob Smith
$10 billion
By 2018, smart machine
technology
revenues will surpass
Talentis the next smart
machine battleground
NO
POACHING
By 2018, 50% of the fastest-growing companies will have fewer employees than instances of smart machines
6
IT leaders: Establish a role for governance and management of a hybrid ecosystem consisting of employees and smart machines
CIOs: Promote the use of smart machine technology for higher leverage as a supplement to hiring peopleAnalysis by: Frances Karamouzis and Magnus Revang
Active biometricsare scary
Our faces and voicesare our signatures
Passwordsare annoying
By YE18, customer digital assistants will
recognize individuals by face and voice
across channels and partners7
CIOs:
Enable customer-led
rules of engagement
with an opt-in "pull
approach" to avoid
perceived privacy
threatsAnalysis by: Adam Sarner
Worries about system data will be dwarfed by concerns over personal behavioral and health data
Monitoring the Employee Another Step Toward Quantifying the "self"
By 2018, 2 million employees will be
required to wear health and fitness tracking
devices as a condition of employment 8
IT leaders:
Establish policies for
gaining employee
permission to share
fitness data with
wellness providersAnalysis by: Angela McIntyre, Sylvain Fabre, and Adrian Leow
From Single Task Apps …
To Complex Human
Interactions …
The Post-Mobile/Post-App Era is Coming
By 2020, smart agents will facilitate 40%
of mobile interactions, and the post-app
era will begin to dominate9
IT leaders:
Evaluate virtual personal assistants (VPAs) for workforce productivity
Develop cloud services with open VPA APIs
Assess security and privacy concerns for potential data leakage
Analysis by: Richard Marshall, Van Baker, Adrian Leow, Charles
Smulders, Ray Valdes and Jason Wong
Today: Stop Blaming Cloud
Security
Cloud service providers
are more secure than
the average enterprise
data center
Tomorrow: Start Growing Your
Cloud Security
Responsibility
Customer errors
and security gaps
have always been
THE key vulnerability
Through 2020, 95% of cloud security
failures will be the customer's fault10
IT leaders:Use cloud access security brokers to discover if your SaaS is exposing sensitive data internally or externally
Security Leaders:Do not assume that the security of small or regional cloud providers is as good as large or global cloud providers Analysis by: Jay Heiser
The Future Is Ours
#GartnerSYM
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Top Strategic Predictions for 2016 and Beyond: The Future is a Digital Thing
Daryl C. Plummer and others (G00291252)
Gartner's Top Strategic Predictions for 2015 and Beyond: Digital Business Is
Driving 'Big Change'
Daryl C. Plummer and others (G00269904)
Smart Machines Demand a Smart Approach to IT Asset Management
Victoria Barber and Hank Marquis (G00274396)
Smart Machines See Major Breakthroughs After Decades of Failure
Tom Austin (G00291251)
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