tony allan keynote speech
TRANSCRIPT
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Water in Africa
A political [governance] &
a management challenge
Tony AllanKing’s College & SOAS London
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2
The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa
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Endowments - including water
DemographicsInfrastructureGovernance
Outcomes
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LWRG 2007 4
The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa
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Demographics
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6
65mn
108mn
145mn
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7
65mn
108mn
145mn
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LWRG 2007 8
1268mn
1453mn
1424mn
1004mn
1448mn
1808mn
Consequences of different political cultures
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LWRG 2007 9
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Infrastructure
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11
RESPONSE Global Irrigated Area Map Source IWMI.org
Look at the International Water Management Institute [IWMI] website
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Government and Governance
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Civil society
Government & Governance
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Civil society
Government & Governance
Government
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Civil society
Government & Governance
Government Governance
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Civil society
Governance in a neo-liberal political economies - US, EU etc
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Civil society
DemocracyEmploymentPensionsSubsidies
Laws/regulationWelfare stateConscriptionTaxes
Advocacy
MarketsBranding & advertisingEmploymentPensions
Governance in a neo-liberal political economy
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Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008
.Gov
.Com
.Org
Neo-liberal ‘democratic’ regime
.Org
Government/Governance in different political economies
.Gov
.Com
.Org
.Gov
.Com
Common Southern
Authoritarian
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Outcomes of Africa’s
endowments - including water demographics,infrastructure
levels of development and governance THE KEY ISSUE
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LWRG 2007 20
See FAO website for 1970 to 2000 animation
Data for 2000
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Africa does have some of the most advanced infrastructure and water management and regulation in the world
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$100000 ppy
Adaptive status of the economy & society
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
Waterresourcestatus ofthe economy[m3 ppy asan indicator]
Water richbut
adaptively poor
Water richand
adaptively rich
Water poorand
adaptively poor
Water poorand
adaptively rich
10000m3
1000m3
10m3
$1000 ppy
$10 ppy
The two dimensions of water poverty
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$100000 ppy
Adaptive status of the economy & society
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
Waterresourcestatus ofthe economy[m3 ppy asan indicator]
Water richbut
adaptively poor
Water richand
adaptively rich
Water poorand
adaptively poor
Water poorand
adaptively rich
10000m3
1000m3
10m3
$1000 ppy
$10 ppy
The Malthusian relationship
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Both the water status and the social adaptive capacity are dynamic.
Communities and political economies
have trajectories reflecting worsening local water resource
availability – because of rising populations, and
improving economies – because of adaptive amelioration.
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Waterresourcestatus ofthe economy[m3 ppy asan indicator]
Water richbut
adaptively poor
Water richand
adaptively rich
Water poorand
adaptively poor
Water poorand
adaptively rich
$100000 ppy
10000m3
1000m3
10m3
$1000 ppy
$10 ppy
Adaptive status of the economy & society
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
Socio-economic development not determined by water status
S KoreaIsraelEgypt S.
Africa
1950
2000
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$100000 ppy
Adaptive status of the economy & society
[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]
The focus of WPI monitoring & evaluation
Waterresourcestatus ofthe economy[m3 ppy asan indicator]
Water richbut
adaptively poor
Water richand
adaptively rich
Water poorand
adaptively poor
Water poorand
adaptively rich
10000m3
1000m3
10m3
$1000 ppy
$10 ppy
Water poverty is concerned with the one to two billion facing poor water endowments & poor adaptive capacity
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Poverty determines water poverty
Water poverty does not determine poverty
Adaptive capacity is the key resource
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More crop per drop
More jobs per drop
More care per drop
Concepts from economics
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More crop per drop
More jobs per drop
More care per drop
More stake per drop
Concepts from economics
Environ-metal paradigm
5th paradigm
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A politicians prayer‘Some water for everyone for
ever’Kader Asmal 1996
Africa’s prayer‘Enough water for everyone and for the environment for
ever’