tim stonor_istanbul smart cities workshop
DESCRIPTION
Presentation at the British Business Summit, Istanbul, 18th March 2014.TRANSCRIPT
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionIstanbul, 18th March 2014
Tim StonorArchitect & Urban Planner
[email protected]@Tim_Stonor
Move, interact, transactThe human dimension of Smart Cities
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
What is the city for? The city is for transaction
Social
Economic
Cultural
A natural asset with enormous intrinsic value
Transaction machine
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Congestion
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Cities are under threat
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
1. Resource availability Scarce & diminishing
3. Future visioning Fanciful & un-evidenced
6. Consultation Problematic & uncollaborative
7. Decision-taking Hesitant
5. Impact forecasting Inaccurate
4. Financial backing Short-term & unaccountable
Urban planning in the 21st Century Some challenges
2. Data integration Overloaded & disconnected
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Trafalgar Square, London
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
ObserveObserve ExplainExplain
ForecastForecast DeliverDeliver
Trafalgar Square, London Spatial design process
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Connected layout 建议的布局Dislocated layout 破碎的布局In
tegr
atio
n R
400
High accessibility score 高通达性Low accessibility score 低通达性
Dislocated layout破碎的布局
Connected layout建议的布局
Difference差别
IRR内部收益率
11% 14% + 27%
NPV净现值
£47 Million £ 145 Million + £98 Million
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Millennium Bridge, London
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Olympic Park London 2012
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
People1.Behaviour2.Wealth3.Health4.Safety5.Cultural identity
Resources1.Materials2.Energy3.Finance4.Utilities supply5.Waste handling
Urban Form1.Spatial Form2.Physical Form-capacity-location-condition-value
ddActions
v3
ddDecision-taking
Environment1.Sun 2.Wind3.Rainfall4.Groundform5.Biodiversity
Visualise Urban Data CollectiveIntegrated platform for performance dataHow is the place working?
ddUncertainty
Conceive Urban StrategyIntegrated urban policy and practiceWhat are the opportunities for change?
Forecast Urban Forecast ModelScenario testing & performance forecastingHow will performance be affected by change?
Simulation & Optimisation of OptionsSimulation & Optimisation of Options
Development of Preferred OptionDevelopment of Preferred Option
Explain Urban Performance ModelIntegrated urban diagnostics: spatial analyticsWhy does the place work the way it does?
Urban Baseline Study
Urban Impact Analysis
User interface/state
Behaviour change
Decision groups
Data
Data inputs
1
2
3
4
5
6
IntegratedUrbanModel
Tim StonorPredictive analytics For urban planning, building design & spatial economics
Technology is GREAT, Smart Cities SessionSpace Syntax © 2014
2. Data integration Spatial Accessibility Framework
3. Future visioning Dynamic Urban Modelling
6. Consultation Engaging people around “place”
7. Decision-taking Bold but risk reduced
5. Impact forecasting Focus on human transaction
4. Financial backing Urban Value analysis
Urban planning in the 21st Century Addressing challenges
1. Resource availability Integrated Places Strategy
Space Syntax Limited © 2014
Istanbul Spatial accessibility City-wide scale
Spatial accessibilityhigh
low
5km5km5km5km5km5km5km5km5km000000000 2.52.52.52.52.52.52.52.52.5
Space Syntax Limited © 2014
Istanbul Spatial accessibility Local scale
Spatial accessibilityhigh
low
5km5km5km5km5km5km5km5km5km000000000 2.52.52.52.52.52.52.52.52.5
