tim 2 q10 webcast eng
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Relations - Rio de Janeiro, 2nd August 2010
1
Agenda
TIM repositioning path
Economics Q2 2010
Development in 2H 2010
2
…with higher Profitability
“More People”
Generating more Revenues…
“Talking More”
The Q2 in Few
Customer Base, Mln lines
37.8 44.4
June '09 June '10
+19%
+12%
+17%
YoY growth%
Post
Pre
6.2
31.6
6.9
37.5
110
73
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2Q09 2Q10
+81%
In
Out
-23%
+51%
52
21
93
17
QoQ growth %
Total +4.9%
Pos +5.2%
Pre +4.8%
QoQ growth %
Total +10%
Out +14%
In -7%
* 2009: Intelig includes +14.2 mln of non recurring gain
Net Service Revenues, Mln R$
3,317
3,118
2Q09 2Q10
TIM only
Intelig
2,967
165
3,138
208
+5.8%
+25.9%
+6,4%TIM
Consolidated
QoQ growth %
Total +5.5%
TIM only +4.7%
Intelig +20.5% 764
887
2Q09 2Q10
Mln R$, %
TIM only
Intelig
736
28*
859
27
+16.7%
-1.5%
QoQ growth %
Total +9.5%
TIM only +6.6%
Intelig +186%
21.9%25.1%
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA +16.1%
+3.2pp
*
1
3
MoU
2
3
“More People” (1/2)Increase in Customer Base, Pre and Post
Customer Base
Net Adds Post-paid
Net Adds Total
Net Adds Pre-paid
29% 34%
Incremental Market Share
2.11.7
0
1
1
2
2
3
2Q09 2Q10
MM lines
vs. 1.3 Mln in 1Q’10: +64% QoQ
1,7221,687
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2Q09 2Q10
‘000 lines
Vs 1,103 in 1Q’10: +55% QoQ
+19%
+2%
‘000 lines
8x
Vs 150k in 1Q’10: +127% QoQ
Speeding up Customer Base growth
More sales and less churn in Post-paid Voice
Reached 1 mlnLiberty customers, restoring TIM presence in Post-paid voice market
YoY Growth
Mln lines
37.8 44.4
June '09 June '10
23.7% 24.0%
Market Share (% EoP)
QoQ growth %
Total +4.9%
Pos +5.2%
Pre +4.8%
+19%
+12%
+17% +4.9%
Pos
Pre
6.2
31.6
6.9
37.5
1
341
42
-9
41
91
141
191
241
291
341
2Q09 2Q10
Infinity pre-paid up to 27 Mln lines: the largest mobile Community
4
“Talking More”Reshaping Traffic Profile
Incoming volume0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2Q'09 2Q'10
MoU Outgoing On-net
in
out
Off-net
On-net+81%
-23%
Lower MTR risk exposure
F-M substitution on incoming
On-net traffic steering:
Longer calls for local and long distance:
Outgoing volume
-7%
LD
Local
- Reduced ITX costs - F-M substitution on
outgoing- “Community based”
concepts
Bln Minutes
Minutes Minutes Minutes
- “Azul” (local equal to long distance)
- Pay per call (Infinity)- All you can eat on-net
post paid (Liberty)
15x
+125%
-25%
+50%
+125%
Total
On-Net
Fixed Mobile Substitution
Off-Net
-20%
-4%M-TIM
F-TIM
2
Bln Minutes
M-F: - 15% (FMS effect) M-M: - 6% (on-net steering)
>2x
>2.7X
12.2
5.7
2Q'09 2Q'10
- 9%
2.42.1
2Q'09 2Q'10
73
110
2Q'09 2Q'10 2Q'09 2Q'10
+81%+51%
5
(12%)(11%)
(31%) (27%)
(61%)(58%)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2Q'09 2Q'10
“Generating more Revenues”…lowering MTR exposure, increasing profitability
Improved Revenues Mix
Outgoing
Incoming
VAS
Lower MTR Exposure
+123
+188
-65
+55
+198
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
EBITDA
Contribution
Incoming
VAS
Out
2Q10, Incoming Revenues – Interconnection, R$ Mln
2Q Revenues, R$ Mln.
EBITDA
Net Service Revenues
Incoming
Service Revenues Contribution
Voice Out(net of ITX) +18.0%
+16.6%
-7.1%
+8.0%
+16.1%
Δ% YoY
Incoming Revenues
ITX Costs Margin exposed to MTR
2009
% YoY
0.9 (0.6) 0.3
-7.1% -2.7% -16.3%
0 0 0 0
VAS
Incoming
Outgoing +10.5%
-7.1%
+16.6%
YoY Growth
Generated Business driving Profitability
VAS
YoY Growth
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
Better Revenues contribution
2Q’09 2Q’10
Gross margin (services revenues net of ITX costs)
-7.1%
+17.7%
+8.0%
Service Revenues
ITX Costs
+5.8%
-2.7%
Business received(Incoming)
Business Generated(Outgoing + VAS – ITX)
TIM only; R$ MM
+5.8%
#1 in outgoing voice
R$ Mln, BRGAAP
MTR exposure reduced to ~28% of total EBITDA (vs. 40% in 2Q09)
3
0.80.6
0.2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
6
…and strengthening long-term Competitiveness
June’09 June’10
Preference
Rejection
21
15
25
11
#2
#1
#3
#4
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Drop calls
7.207.72
7
7
7
7
8
8
2Q09 2Q10
% dropped calls
2Q09 2Q10
85 91
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
CSIIDA
Network
Caring
Customer SatisfactionIndex
Caring Performance Index (Anatel)
Quality
2Q09 2Q10
2Q09 2Q10
Ranking ANATEL
99,5%100%
1.06
0.71
Widening the gap
Innovative
Convenient (price)
Closer
Benefits for current customers
Leader
#1
#1
#1
#1
Quality and Reliability
•TIM is the only operator scoring 100% in network quality from March until June
Research of 12th wave
Innovation and Offering
14 12 12 11
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Δ pp YoY -4-2+20
20 2025
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Δ pp YoY -3+4-7+2
#2
3431
2020
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
P-1TIM
P-3P-2
• Continuous improvement in most segments, only LA Premium dropping slightly (2Q09 2Q10): - Pre: 7.41 8.11- Post Co: 6.66 6.83- Business: 5.37 6.29
Rejection: Preference:June ‘10 June ‘10
Player2 Player3 Player1 Player2 Player3 Player1
3229
2622
15 20 25 30 35 40
TIM
P-3
P-1
P-2
352424
215 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
TIM
P-1
P-3
P-2
3333
2824
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
TIM
P-1
P-2
P-3
3634
2828
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
TIM
P-1
P-3
P-2
7
Agenda
TIM repositioning path
Economics Q2 2010
Development in 2H 2010
8
Revenues and Margin: KPIs trends
BRGAAP – TIM (excluding Intelig)
ARPU/MARPU Post PaidR$, Net of visitors
Customer Base and MixMln Customers EoP
Pre Paid: ARPU Out/InR$, Net of visitors
OUT
IN
2Q102Q09
37.8 44.4
June '09 June '10
+19%
+12%
+17%
Pos
Pre
6.2
31.6
6.9
37.5
Mix Post 2Q10 % 16.4% 15.6%
• Incoming reduction due to F-M substitution
• Positive ARPU trend
* Net Service Rev.–Interconnection – Commissioning- Bad Debt-Anatel Taxes
• Price Reduction of Liberty (- 30%)…
• …offset by lower handset subsidy and bad debt reduction (handset driven)
Revenues and Contribution Margin
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2Q09 2Q10
Net Revenues 3,335 3,352
ARPU / MARPU Total
ARPU
MARPU
Net Service Revenues
Mln R$
Contribution Margin*
R$ / Month
+0.5%
+5.8%
+11.5%
-10%
-5%
• Total ARPU reduction affected by mix dilution
Overall improvement of Service Revenues, Contribution Margin and Profitability
Δ% YoY
26.8 24.1
2Q09 2Q102Q102Q09
ARPU
MARPU+6%
9
EBITDA and Net Income
EBITDAMargin
2Q09 includes Intelig pro-forma
763.9
222.3
-58.9
5.2-56.3
10.5
886.7
EBITDA2Q09
Δ Business Generated **
Δ Business Received
(incoming)
Δ Bad Debt
Δ Commercial + Handset
Contribution
EBITDA2Q10
25.1%+3.2 pp
21.9%
EBITDA evolution (in R$ Mln)
101.4
886.7
214.2
-672.5
-62.1
-50.7
EBITDA2Q10
Depreciation and
Amortization
EBIT Net Financial Expenses
Taxes and Others
Net Income
2Q09 (678.4) 85.5 265.4 (38.0)763.9 313.0
122.8 5.9 (327.5) (12.7) (211.6)YoY 128.7
From EBITDA to Net Income (in R$ Mln)
+16%
R$ 343.3 was the positive impact from FX variation on
Intelig’s 2Q09 results
IFRS: 28.4%
IFRS*:R$ 1,012 Mln(+15% YoY)
* IFRS figure according to controlling shr..report** Outgoing + VAS – Interconnection/Network Costs
Δ Other expenses
Service Contribution
+163.4
TIM only: --R$15.2
TIM only: R$106.7
10
Free Cash Flow and Net Financial Position
2.520
2Q09* 2Q10
Net Financial Position – Jun10R$ Mln
R$ 4.2 Bln (of which 62% on long term)
~27% of debt is denominated in foreign currency (100% hedged)
10.0% no 2Q10 vs. 10.9% no 2Q09 e 9.9% no 1Q10
Gross Debt
Average Annual Cost
2.5572.900
887 -436
-221
229
EBITDA Δ Working capital
CAPEX Oper.FCL
R$ Mln
Operational Free Cash Flow in 2Q10
2.520
-229
1Q10
Oper. FCF
192
-13%
Non-operFCF**
773 1,521 1,703
Cash
* TIM excluding Intelig** Payment of R$ 204 Mln in dividends in June
11
Agenda
TIM repositioning path
Economics Q2 2010
Development in 2H 2010
12
172
208
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Multiple Play via Intelig
Force FMS (Voice)
TIM Growth Strategy: opportunities in the TLC market
A pure mobile attacker with a solid property backbone 1
3
Monthly fee (R$)
•200 min F-F Local
•Unlimited on-net (Local + LD)
Fixed incumbents
Liberty
40 39
MM people
Internet experience via Mobile2
MOU LD
X 10
1Q 09 1Q 10
14
14
14
15
15
15
15
15
16
16
16
1Q09 1Q10
MOU LD
X 15
2Q 09 2Q 10
Fixed IncumbentsRevenues
~ -3%
15k Km Fibers
Metropolitan rings
Selective last miles
Partnerships
-AES-Copel-Sky
15,000 Km FibersMobileConvergent
Def
ende
rAt
tack
erPo
sitio
ning
Fix
ed
Positioning Mobile
14% 26%
Revenues, Delta % YoY
162
69.6 43.7
25.9
92.4
Population
>10yr
Don't Use Used in Last
3 Months
Used BUT
Don't Possess
Use AND
Possess
LAN House substitutionSmartphone penetrationInternet key penetration
BRGAAP
13
Forcing Fixed-Mobile Substitution
MOU Total Market share long distance
=Pre Infinity:
Long calls for class C customers
Long distance via mobile (untapped market)
Liberty Post:
All you can eat on net: R$ 39
Off-net plug-in:
•50 min – R$ 49
•100 min – R$ 69/89
Convenience and simplicity
Save the wireline monthly feeFree to call LD/TIM communityPlug-in for off-netPhase-out of subsidized model
Chip-only Handsets Free
No penalty / Unlocked handsets Paid in 12x
TIM 41 National LDN traffic market share
6.9%26.8%
Minutes
0
10
20
30
MOU Pre
MOU Post
Other Pre Infinity
0
10
20
30
Other Post(consumer)
Liberty
Boost mobile usage
Attractive to customers
Profitable for TIM
0
28 Mln
2Q09 2Q10
0
1 Mln
YE09 2Q10
CB Infinity CB Liberty
Combo
5.0%
26.8%
6.9%
27.0%
24.0% 24.9%
17.1%
27.5%
24.3%
YE08 Jun/09 YE09
x6
x40
New
Price-up
TIM #1
1
73
110
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2Q09 2Q10 YE2010
Player-1
Player-2
Out
In
~140
14
59
85
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Experiencing Internet via Mobile
Internet Penetration
SmartphonePenetration
Internet for class C –Pre-paid
(LAN House substitution)
Smartphones + unlimited internet post-paid
Enablers
~3,500
>15,000
>4,000
2010
3G Coverage (# antennas)
2G Capacity (# TRX)
Radio back-hauling
2009 2010MW replacing leased lines
Buy
Make
65%
35% 65%
35%vs.
Buy
Makevs.
Backbone
MAN
3G / 2G antenna
Efficiency & reliability in Back-Hauling
Fast roll-outHigh qualityHSDPA SP, RJ and main capitals
Low cost devices and
customer experienceSimple and accessible
monthly fees and plans
Solid communication
support and sales force
training
1H09 1H10
x4
3G towers activated# of Node-B
3G Coverage
EoY09 Jun 10
2,4x
# of cities
Liberty + 100
199
820
50
100
150
200
R$, monthly fee
Smartphone(Class A)
“Internetphone”
(Class B)
Apple iPhone
Samsung Corby
New
New
Father’s Day
As of 20 July
New
6 months of free internet
TIM Web: per time pricing
2
Internet pre-paid - via celular
144
15
Intelig: a new turnaround started
14.4%
19.7%
11.3%
44.8%
25.9%
15.7%
19.4%
15.8%
65.7%
% Growth YoY
Total
Wholesale
Corporate
SME
Residential
-1,8%
Q2
Q1
* Benefit from non-organic bad debt recovery (dispute with Vivo)
Key Revenues Drivers
ServiceRevenues
EBITDAand
Profitability
QoQ Growth YoY Growth
1Q10 2Q10
172.3207.5
+20%
BRGAAP, R$ MM
2Q09 2Q10
164.9207.5
+26%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2Q09 2Q10
Organic
Non-organic
13.7
14.2
27.9*
EBITDA margin
16.8%*
8.2%
13.2%
27.4
Organic
+5.0pp
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1Q10 2Q10
5.6%
13.2%
EBITDA margin
EBITDA
27.4
9.6
+7.7pp
3
16
Moving Towards IFRS Standards
BR-GAAP
IFRS asReported by
Telecom Italia
R$ MM
Net Serv. Rev.
Net Handset Rev.
Total Net Rev.
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
R$ MM
6.463 6.103 5,9%
337 557 -39,5%
6.800 6.660 2,1%
1.697 1.379 23,1%
24,9% 20,7% 4,2pp
Net Serv. Revenue
Net Handset Rev.
Net Revenue
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
1H10 1H09 %YoY
6.526 6.167 5,9%
329 544 -39,6%
6.855 6.711 2,2%
1.961 1.649 18,9%
28,6% 24,6% 4,0pp
2Q10 %YoY %QoQIFRS
(re-stated)IFRS
(re-stated)
3.350 3.152 3.176 6,3% 5,4%
209 361 120 -42,2% 74,2%
3.559 3.513 3.296 1,3% 7,9%
1.012 879 949 15,1% 6,6%
28,4% 25,0% 28,8% 3,4pp -0,3pp
2Q09 1Q10
3.531 3.486 3.269 1,3% 8,0%
3.317 3.118 3.146 6,4% 5,5%
213 368 124 -42,1% 72,7%
887 764 810 16,1% 9,5%
25,1% 21,9% 24,8% 3,2pp 0,3pp
2Q10 %YoY %QoQ2Q09 1Q10 1H10 1H09 %YoY
Results On Track to Guidance
• Net Serv. Rev. > 5%
•Ebitda Margin > 25%
17
Statements in this presentation, as well as oral statements made by the management of TIM Participações S.A. (the “Company”, or “TIM”), that are not historical fact constitute “forward looking statements” that involve factors that could cause the actual results of the Company to differ materially from historical results or from any results expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. The Company cautions users of this presentation not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements, which may be based on assumptions and anticipated events that do not materialize.
Statements in this presentation, as well as oral statements made by the management of TIM Participações S.A. (the “Company”, or “TIM”), that are not historical fact constitute “forward looking statements” that involve factors that could cause the actual results of the Company to differ materially from historical results or from any results expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. The Company cautions users of this presentation not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements, which may be based on assumptions and anticipated events that do not materialize.
Investor Relations
Avenida das Américas, 3434 - Bloco 016° andar – Barra da Tijuca22640-102 Rio de Janeiro, RJPhone: +55 21 4009-3742 / 4009-3446 / 4009-3751Fax: +55 21 4009-3990
Investor Relations
Avenida das Américas, 3434 - Bloco 016° andar – Barra da Tijuca22640-102 Rio de Janeiro, RJPhone: +55 21 4009-3742 / 4009-3446 / 4009-3751Fax: +55 21 4009-3990
Visit our Website
http://www.tim.com.br/ir
“Safe Harbor” Statements