three traps to avoid & bioinformatics advantage 1.) in the discovery phase its ok to “fish”...

9

Upload: barnaby-nicholson

Post on 30-Dec-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at
Page 2: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

Three Traps to Avoid

&

Bioinformatics Advantage

Page 3: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

1.) In the Discovery Phase

Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at correlations across all my variables and then report the significant ones that you find).

Page 4: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

With alpha=0.05, after 20 correlations you can expect to make a spurious correlation. Data Mining is a bioinformatics tool, you just need to know the rules.

Page 5: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

2.) In an Early Phase Trial

I can only afford to have 25 patients in this first

trial, I don’t need a “power” calculation.

Page 6: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

Even when you know how many patients you can afford, changing the design slightly or balancing the study arms differently can increase your ability to observe true differences.

Model various scenarios to optimize your design.

Page 7: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

3.) In a Phase 3 Trial

Having “enough” patients in each arm is most

important to demonstrate efficacy and safety.

Page 8: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

Genotyping and biomarkers can identify the appropriate patient population to:

Reduce Safety Risks and

Improve Efficacy

Page 9: Three Traps to Avoid & Bioinformatics Advantage 1.) In the Discovery Phase Its ok to “Fish” for significant relationships in your data (i.e. look at

A Boutique Statistical Consulting Firm

Serving Industry and Academia in Clinical Trials and Drug Discovery