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© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
Thinking Small
in a Big Way
Mike VanNieuwkuyk Executive Director, Global Automotive
J.D. Power and Associates
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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"The bigger, the better"
Luxurious Roomy
Expensive Well-Equipped
Style Status
Grand
Best Comfortable
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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“Good things come in
small packages”
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Why small cars are suddenly big business Get better mileage, or else! That’s the U.S. government’s mandate to automakers, who must raise the average
car’s fuel efficiency to 54.5 MPG by 2025 – a whopping 100% increase over existing standards – to curb oil
consumption.
Small engines are transforming auto industry "Americans are willing to accept smaller engines as long as there's power," IHS analyst Aaron Bragman said.
"This is where the industry is headed."
Will Detroit three excel building smaller cars High gasoline prices and changing consumer preferences are fundamentally altering the way the U.S. car
business works. The decades-old trend towards buying more pickups and sport-utility vehicles has reversed.
Mercedes-Benz gets small; but not too small “We are going aggressively into compact cars… We have to enlarge our audience. There is no chance to be
competitive in unit sales unless you do this.” - Joachim Schmidt, executive vice president Mercedes-Benz
Cars, sales and marketing
Ward’s 2012 “10 Best Interiors” List Includes Four Compact Cars WardsAuto editors “10 Best Interiors” list for 2012 includes four subcompact or compact models, suggesting
yet again that driving a cheap car doesn’t always mean settling for a cheap cabin.
“Small Talk”
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Market Drivers
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Getting to 2025…
2016 model year:
35.5 mpg fleet average
39 mpg for cars
30 mpg for light trucks
2012 model year:
30.1 mpg fleet average
33.8 mpg for cars
25.7 mpg for light trucks
…will require a 4.87%
annual increase in MPG
2016 35.5
2017 37.2
2018 39.0
2019 40.9
2020 42.9
2021 45.0
2022 47.2
2023 49.5
2024 51.9
2025 54.5
CAFE Standards
Market Drivers
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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The peak in gas prices in summer of 2008 sparked great
activity in sale of hybrid and midsize to small vehicle
Slow steady rise in prices is keeping consumer’s focused on
fuel economy
Gas Prices
Market Drivers
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Expanding needs
Increased flexibility
Increased functionality
Weekday Weekend
Average Daily Time In Vehicle
2 hours 52 minutes* 2 hours 7 minutes*
*2009 Arbitron National In-Car Survey
18:34 per
Week
Time In Vehicle
Market Drivers
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Small Vehicle Data
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Importance of the Interior
Source: 2008-2011 J.D. Power and Associates APEAL Study – Compact and Small Vehicle Segment Owners
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2008 2009 2010 2011
Percent indicating most important factors in your choice of make/model
37%
41% Interior comfort: 5th of 19
63% 60% Gas mileage: 1st of 19
33%
37% Price/payment: 7th of 19
22%
26% Advanced Tech: 13th of 19
16%
20% The “deal”: 14th of 19 18%
12% Environmental impact: 19th of 19
Small Vehicle Data
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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9%
36%
31%
20%
4%
0%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Under -
$15,000
$15,000 -
$19,999
$20,000 -
$24,999
$25,000 -
$29,999
$30,000 -
$34,999
$35,000 -
$39,999
2008 2011
Price of Vehicle
Percent indicating range of price paid for small vehicle
Average: $20,977
Small Vehicle Data
Source: 2008 J.D. Power and Associates APEAL Study – Compact and Small Vehicle Segment Owners
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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9%
36%
31%
20%
4%
0%
4%
25%
34%
27%
8%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Under -
$15,000
$15,000 -
$19,999
$20,000 -
$24,999
$25,000 -
$29,999
$30,000 -
$34,999
$35,000 -
$39,999
2008 2011
Price of Vehicle
Percent indicating range of price paid for small vehicle
Average: $20,977 $23,078
Small Vehicle Data
Source: 2008-2011 J.D. Power and Associates APEAL Study – Compact and Small Vehicle Segment Owners
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Interior Design and Materials 2008
Ford
Dodge
Honda
Volkswagen
Small Vehicle Data
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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2012 Interior Design and Material Upgrades
Ford
Dodge
Honda
Volkswagen
Small Vehicle Data
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Increase in Feature Take Rate* from 2008 to 2011
*Self-reported by owners of new 2008 and 2011 vehicle owners after 3 months of ownership
Source: 2008-2011 J.D. Power and Associates APEAL Study – Compact and Small Vehicle Segment Owners
Safety Features
201% Rear View Camera
77% Telescopic Steering Wheel
52% Heated/Defrost Side Mirrors
26% Automatically Dimming Rear View Mirror
24% All-Wheel Drive (AWD)
Entertainment Features
68% Satellite Radio
19% DVD-Audio Capable Sound System
9% MP3 Capable CD Player
Information Features
121% Navigation System
71% Compass
31% Trip Computer
18% Exterior Thermometer Gauge
Convenience Features
71% Remote Engine Start-Up
59% Audio Steering Wheel Controls
46% Bottle Holders In Door Panels
25% Power Liftgate/Trunk/Hatch
Comfort Features
90% Heated Seats
70% Power Lumbar Adjustment
44% Leather Seats
42% Power Adjustable Passenger Seat
37% Adjustable Sliding Rear Seats
Climate Control Features
88% Automatic Climate Control
38% Dual-Zone Temperature Control
Small Vehicle Data
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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(1.31)
(0.67)
8.15
10.46
10.58
12.48
14.62
14.87
17.03
17.57
9.49APEAL Index
Interior
Seats
Driving Dynamics
Exterior
Audio/Ent/Nav
HVAC
Visibility/Driving Safety
Storage and Space
Fuel Economy
Engine/Trans(1.31)
(0.67)
8.15
10.46
10.58
12.48
14.62
14.87
17.03
17.57
9.49APEAL Index
Interior
Seats
Driving Dynamics
Exterior
Audio/Ent/Nav
HVAC
Visibility/Driving Safety
Storage and Space
Fuel Economy
Engine/Trans
APEAL Index Points: 2011 Better / (Worse) than 2008
Small Vehicle Data
Improved Satisfaction: 2008 to 2011
Source: 2008-2011 J.D. Power and Associates APEAL Study – Compact and Small Vehicle Segment Owners
Most Improved Interior Attributes
Pleasantness of audible signals
Attractiveness of interior lighting
Interior materials convey impression of high quality
Usefulness of courtesy lights
Overall interior quietness
Most Improved Seat Attributes
Comfort of driver's seat back/lumbar support
Seat material conveys impression of high quality
Styling of the seats
Ability of seat surfaces to resist soil/lint
Comfort of driver's bottom seat cushion
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Small Cars Only?...
…no, but gas prices, CAFE requirements and the integration of
automotive features and technologies will continue to position
small vehicles as a viable choice for consumers
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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17.016.5 16.1
13.2
10.4
11.6
12.7
14.315.2
16.016.4
4.0 4.4 4.6 4.23.5 3.8
4.35.1 5.4 5.7 5.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
US Industry Small VehiclesMillions
U.S. Market: Small Vehicle Sales
Small Vehicle Market Share 23.6% 26.6% 28.3% 32.0% 33.9% 32.6% 33.6% 35.5% 35.5% 35.4% 35.5%
Source:
LMC Automotive
In 2011, small vehicles, sub-compact and compact cars, CUVs, MPVs
and SUVs, accounted for 1 in every 3 vehicles sold in the U.S.
© 2012 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL—FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY
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Thank You!
Mike VanNieuwkuyk Executive Director, Global Automotive
J.D. Power and Associates