the structural evolution of african easterly waves

57
The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves Matthew A. Janiga and Chris Thorncroft DEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES University at Albany, State University of New York Northeast Tropical Conference 5/18/2011 Supported by NSF Grant: ATM0507976

Upload: lily

Post on 16-Feb-2016

50 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves. Matthew A. Janiga and Chris Thorncroft DEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES University at Albany, State University of New York Northeast Tropical Conference 5/18/2011 Supported by NSF Grant: ATM0507976. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Matthew A. Janiga and Chris ThorncroftDEPARTMENT OF ATMOSPHERIC AND

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCESUniversity at Albany, State University of New York

Northeast Tropical Conference5/18/2011

Supported by NSF Grant: ATM0507976

Page 2: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Much is known about the mean kinematic and thermodynamic structure of African easterly waves (AEWs) (e.g. Reed et al., 1977). However, comparatively little is known about there mean structural evolution.

Relationships between AEWs and organized convection have been observed (Fink and Reiner, 2003). However, the role of the 3D flow and sub-synoptic scale features associated with the AEW in this relationship is poorly understood.

Lastly, while the importance of the upscale impact of convection on AEWs has been demonstrated in case studies (e.g. Berry and Thorncroft, 2005; Schwendike and Jones, 2010), the representativeness of these studies is not known.

Background and Motivation

Page 3: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

The Composite Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Page 4: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Methodology

Tracks of AEWs were determined by tracking long-lived synoptic-scale vorticity maxima at 700 hPa during JAS 1998-2009 (see Hodges et al., 1999).

The composite structural evolution of AEWs was determined by compositing analyses and forecasts from the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) and TRMM 3B42 rainrate estimates.

SV

AEJ

NV

2000-3000 km Wavelength~8 ms-1surface

jet-level

Carlson (1969)

Page 5: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Composite Location for Developing Phase

GATE Array

MIT Radar

20°E

Page 6: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Composite Location for Mature Baroclinic Phase

GATE Array

MIT Radar

5°W

Page 7: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Composite Location for Coastal Transition Phase

GATE Array

MIT Radar

15°W

Page 8: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Composite Location for Oceanic Phase

GATE Array

MIT Radar

30°W

Page 9: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Mid-Level Kinematic Structure: Developing Phase

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded) and Streamfunction (x106m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Page 10: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Mid-Level Kinematic Structure: Mature Baroclinic Phase

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded) and Streamfunction (x106m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Page 11: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Mid-Level Kinematic Structure: Coastal Transition Phase

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded) and Streamfunction (x106m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Page 12: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Mid-Level Kinematic Structure: Oceanic Phase

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded) and Streamfunction (x106m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Page 13: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Kinematic Structure: Developing Phase

925 hPa Vorticity (x10-5 s-1, shaded), Wind (ms-1, vectors), and Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

Page 14: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Kinematic Structure: Mature Baroclinic Phase

925 hPa Vorticity (x10-5 s-1, shaded), Wind (ms-1, vectors), and Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

Page 15: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Kinematic Structure: Coastal Transition Phase

925 hPa Vorticity (x10-5 s-1, shaded), Wind (ms-1, vectors), and Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

Page 16: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Kinematic Structure: Oceanic Phase

925 hPa Vorticity (x10-5 s-1, shaded), Wind (ms-1, vectors), and Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Page 17: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Thermodynamic Structure: Developing Phase

925 hPa 2-10 day Filtered θ (K, shaded), θ (K, contours), and 2-10 day Filtered Wind (ms-1, vectors)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

Page 18: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Thermodynamic Structure: Mature Baroclinic Phase

925 hPa 2-10 day Filtered θ (K, shaded), θ (K, contours), and 2-10 day Filtered Wind (ms-1, vectors)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

Page 19: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Thermodynamic Structure: Coastal Transition Phase

925 hPa 2-10 day Filtered θ (K, shaded), θ (K, contours), and 2-10 day Filtered Wind (ms-1, vectors)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

NV

+θ΄ no longer

ahead of SV

Page 20: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Low-Level Thermodynamic Structure: Oceanic Phase

925 hPa 2-10 day Filtered θ (K, shaded), θ (K, contours), and 2-10 day Filtered Wind (ms-1, vectors)

1.0° CFSR Reanalysis

Northerly flow out of phase with

+θ΄

Page 21: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Sub-Synoptic-Scale Structures in AEWs

Helene AEW (2006)

Page 22: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

N = 925 hPa NV. M = 700 hPa SV. L = 925 hPa SV.Dashed lines denote trough axes defined at 700 hPa.

Except for being stronger than most AEWs the evolution of the AEW associated with Hurricane Helene (2006) was somewhat typical of the composite evolution.

The 0.5° AMMA reanalysis is used to highlight sub-synoptic scale features which are “washed out” in the composites.

Page 23: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 5, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 24: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 6, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 25: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 7, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 26: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 8, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 27: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 9, 0000ZMature Baroclinic

Page 28: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 10, 0000ZMature Baroclinic

Page 29: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 11, 0000ZCoastal Transition

Page 30: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

700 hPa PV (0.1 PVU, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours),

and Winds (ms-1, vectors)

Sep. 12, 0000ZCoastal Transition

Page 31: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 925hPa Streamfunction

(x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 5, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 32: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 6, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 33: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 7, 0000ZDeveloping

Page 34: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 8, 0000ZDeveloping Modified

Monsoon Dry

Moist

Page 35: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 9, 0000ZMature Baroclinic

Page 36: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 10, 0000ZMature Baroclinic

SV

NV

Page 37: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 11, 0000ZCoastal Transition

SV

NV

Page 38: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

IR (shaded) and 700 hPa Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours)

925 hPa θv (K, shaded), Streamfunction (x106 m2s-1, contours), Winds (ms-1, vectors), and

Vorticity (> 2.5x10-5 s-1, pattern)

Sep. 12, 0000ZCoastal Transition

SVNV

Page 39: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Upscale Impact of Moist Convection on AEWs

Page 40: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Climatological Latent Heating and PV Generation in CFSR

TRMM 3B42 Rainrate (mm day-1, shaded)

CFSR Rainrate Bias (mm day-1, shaded)

Relative to 3B42

[mm day-1]

[mm day-1]

Page 41: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Climatological Latent Heating and PV Generation in CFSR

Resolved heating (K day-1, shaded) and ω (hPa hr-1,

contours)

PV Tendency due to resolved latent heating (PVU day-1, shaded)

Cross-Sections 5-15°N JAS 1998-2009

Total PV tendency (PVU day-1, shaded)

Page 42: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Heating over Land: Comparison with Radar Observations

Pre

ssur

e (h

Pa)

Regression between rain rate (derived from ZR relationship, Russell et al., 2010) and divergence estimated from the radial wind (Mapes and Lin, 2005).

Divergence (x10-5 s-1 per mm hr-1)

JAS 2006-2007

MIT C-Band radar operated in Niamey, Niger during JAS 2006-2007.

Radar observations suggest a peak heating rate ~300-500 hPa.

Low-level divergence was much stronger than other tropical sites examined in Mapes and Lin, (2005).

Approx. Peak Heating

Page 43: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Heating over East Atlantic: Comparison with GATE

Apparent heat source (Q1) derived from Global Atmospheric Research Program Atlantic Tropical Experiment

During Aug. 30 Sep. 18, 1974.

The level of peak heating over the East Atlantic is also qualitatively similar to the results from GATE.

Peak heating near ~600 hPa.

Page 44: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Rainrate in CFSR and TRMM: Developing Phase

TRMM 3B42 CFSR F06 h

Total Rainrate (mm day-1, shaded), 2-10 day Filtered Rainrate (contours at 0.5, 2.5, 5, 10 mm day-1)

Page 45: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Rainrate in CFSR and TRMM: Mature Baroclinic Phase

TRMM 3B42 CFSR F06 h

Total Rainrate (mm day-1, shaded), 2-10 day Filtered Rainrate (contours at 0.5, 2.5, 5, 10 mm day-1)

Page 46: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Rainrate in CFSR and TRMM: Coastal Transition Phase

TRMM 3B42 CFSR F06 h

Total Rainrate (mm day-1, shaded), 2-10 day Filtered Rainrate (contours at 0.5, 2.5, 5, 10 mm day-1)

Page 47: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Rainrate in CFSR and TRMM: Oceanic Phase

TRMM 3B42 CFSR F06 h

Total Rainrate (mm day-1, shaded), 2-10 day Filtered Rainrate (contours at 0.5, 2.5, 5, 10 mm day-1)

Page 48: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

PV Production Sources: Developing Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

Underground

~600-750

700 hPa Diabatic PV Tendency (PVU day-1) and 700 hPa Streamfunction

(x106 m2s-1, contours),

Circle defines averaging domainof profile (3° radius from SV).

Page 49: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

PV Production Sources: Mature Baroclinic Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

900 hPa Diabatic PV Tendency (PVU day-1) and 700 hPa Streamfunction

(x106 m2s-1, contours),

Circle defines averaging domainof profile (3° radius from SV).

Page 50: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

PV Production Sources : Coastal Transition Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

~850

850 hPa Diabatic PV Tendency (PVU day-1) and 700 hPa Streamfunction

(x106 m2s-1, contours),

Circle defines averaging domainof profile (3° radius from SV).

Page 51: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

PV Production Sources: Oceanic Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

~950

950 hPa Diabatic PV Tendency (PVU day-1) and 700 hPa Streamfunction

(x106 m2s-1, contours),

Circle defines averaging domainof profile (3° radius from SV).

Page 52: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Summary and Conclusions

Recent observations show a much richer structure in AEWs. These results highlight sub-synoptic scale structures within AEWs.

A qualitative picture of the upscale impact of moist convection on AEWs is beginning to emerge. There are strong contrasts between convection over interior Africa and the East Atlantic. These effect the levels that PV production occurs at.

Future work will focus on quantitative estimates of the upscale impact of convection on AEWs and exploring the variability of AEW-convection relationships.

Page 53: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Total

Radiation

Heat Diffusion

CumulusMomentum

Friction

Advection

Cumulus

Microphysics

Page 54: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Time Tendency DiabaticResidualAdvection

PV Budget: Developing Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

Underground Underground

~600-750

Page 55: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Time Tendency DiabaticResidualAdvection

PV Budget: Mature Baroclinic Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

~750-1000

Page 56: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Time Tendency DiabaticResidualAdvection

PV Budget: Developing Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

~850

Page 57: The Structural Evolution of African Easterly Waves

Time Tendency DiabaticResidualAdvection

PV Budget: Developing Phase

Cumulus + Diff DiabaticFriction + Mom. FluxResolved LHRadiation

~950