the gartner hype cycle for education through the nexus lens building the strategic technology map

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© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see " Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity ." Dr.Jan-Martin Lowendahl VP, Research The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

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The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map. Dr.Jan -Martin Lowendahl VP, Research. Adaptive E-Textbooks. Big Data. Gamification. MOOC. Social Software Standards. Learning Stack. Wireless aaS. COBIT. Adaptive Learning. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity."

Dr.Jan-Martin LowendahlVP, Research

The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

Page 2: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

Mashware

Quantum Computing

Education TabletOpen Microcredentials

Campus App StoreAffective Computing

SIS International Data Interoperability Standards

BPOOpen-Source SIS

Student Retention CRMCitizen Developers

Learning Stack

Adaptive E-TextbooksBig DataGamification

MOOC Social Software StandardsWireless aaSCOBITAdaptive LearningDigital Preservation of Research DataBYOD Strategy

Mobile-Learning Low-Range/Midrange HandsetsOpen-Source Financials

EA FrameworksWeb-Based

Office Productivity Suites

ITILSocial Learning Platform for Education

Cloud HPC/CaaSMobile-Learning

SmartphonesOpen-Source Middleware

SuitesE-Textbook

Cloud Email for Staff and Faculty Virtual Environments/Virtual WorldsEmergency/Mass Notification ServicesHosted Virtual DesktopsOpen-Source Learning Repositories

SaaS Administration ApplicationsEnterprise ArchitectureIT Infrastructure Utility

Intellectual Property Rights and Royalties Management Software

Lecture Capture and Retrieval Tools802.11n

Tablets

Game Consoles as Media Hubs

E-Book ReadersSelf-Publishing

Mashups

Unified Communications andCollaboration

From, "Hype Cycle for Education, 2013," 25 July 2013 (G00251104)

Page 3: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Hype Cycle for Education, 2013A CIO Toolbox

Innovation TriggerPeak ofInflated

ExpectationsTrough of

Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

Mashware

Quantum Computing

Education TabletOpen Microcredentials

Campus App StoreAffective Computing

SIS International Data Interoperability Standards

BPOOpen-Source SIS

Student Retention CRMCitizen Developers

Learning Stack

Adaptive E-TextbooksBig DataGamification

MOOC Social Software StandardsWireless aaSCOBITAdaptive LearningDigital Preservation of Research DataBYOD Strategy

Mobile-Learning Low-Range/Midrange HandsetsOpen-Source Financials

EA FrameworksWeb-Based

Office Productivity Suites

ITILSocial Learning Platform for Education

Cloud HPC/CaaSMobile-Learning

SmartphonesOpen-Source Middleware

SuitesE-Textbook

Cloud Email for Staff and Faculty Virtual Environments/Virtual WorldsEmergency/Mass Notification ServicesHosted Virtual DesktopsOpen-Source Learning Repositories

SaaS Administration ApplicationsEnterprise ArchitectureIT Infrastructure Utility

Intellectual Property Rights and Royalties Management Software

Lecture Capture and Retrieval Tools802.11nUnified Communications and

Collaboration

Tablets

Game Consoles as Media Hubs

E-Book ReadersSelf-Publishing

Mashups

Off the Hype Cycle: e-portfolio, User-centric IAM, Organization-centric IAM, SOA, Student Enrollment CRM, Open-Source Portals, Social Media in Education

From, "Hype Cycle for Education, 2013," 25 July 2013 (G00251104)

Years to mainstream adoption:

More than 10 yearsObsolete before plateau

Less than 2 years

5 to 10 years2 to 5 years

As of July 2013

Page 4: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Hype Cycle for Education, 2013A CIO Toolbox

Innovation TriggerPeak ofInflated

ExpectationsTrough of

Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity

time

expectations

As of July 2013

Mashware

Quantum Computing

Education TabletOpen Microcredentials

Campus App StoreAffective Computing

SIS International Data Interoperability Standards

BPOOpen-Source SIS

Student Retention CRMCitizen Developers

Learning Stack

Adaptive E-TextbooksBig DataGamification

MOOC Social Software StandardsWireless aaSCOBITAdaptive LearningDigital Preservation of Research DataBYOD Strategy

Mobile-Learning Low-Range/Midrange HandsetsOpen-Source Financials

EA FrameworksWeb-Based

Office Productivity Suites

ITILSocial Learning Platform for Education

Cloud HPC/CaaSMobile-Learning

SmartphonesOpen-Source Middleware

SuitesE-Textbook

Cloud Email for Staff and Faculty Virtual Environments/Virtual WorldsEmergency/Mass Notification ServicesHosted Virtual DesktopsOpen-Source Learning Repositories

SaaS Administration ApplicationsEnterprise ArchitectureIT Infrastructure Utility

Intellectual Property Rights and Royalties Management Software

Lecture Capture and Retrieval Tools802.11nUnified Communications and

Collaboration

Tablets

Game Consoles as Media Hubs

E-Book ReadersSelf-Publishing

Mashups

The Capabilities: DigitalizationExostructure

From, "Hype Cycle for Education, 2013," 25 July 2013 (G00251104)

Off the Hype Cycle: e-portfolio, User-centric IAM, Organization-centric IAM, SOA, Student Enrollment CRM, Open-Source Portals, Social Media in Education

Page 5: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Services

Tools

ContinuousOpenClass

CoreHE

LiveMocha

Moodle

Corporate U

MS Certification

2U

Context Content

HiredHand

DIYK-12

FE

Fronter

Statistics.com

X plugjam

You AreHere

OpenCourseWare/MerlotBanner

MyFit

McGraw-Hill

Saf-T-Net

NCAT

Dell "cloud"

InternationalBaccalaureateTegrity

Open Tapestry

StarfishRetention

Kno

Workday

The Expanding Education Ecosystem: A World of Choice (G00228925)

Perceptis

Moodlerooms

Blackboard

Adobe Connect

Facebook/Social

CarnegieLearning

Apollo G

Knewton

Udacity

Connections Education

Pearson

EmbanetCompass

The Expanding Education Ecosystem

Increasing Options and Competition!

Udemy

Kroton StraighterLine

GeorgiaTech

AcademicPubCivitas

TexasA&M

Cool Vendors in Education, 2013 (G00250361)

Importance ofExostructure

OERu

Intel

Gaining Competitive Advantage in the Education

Ecosystem Requires Going Beyond Mere Infrastructure to Exostructure (G00251105)

Page 6: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Higher Education "Business Model" Scenarios — Technological Decisions by Storytelling

Perceived Quality

Everybody's U

Scale

Collectively Defined

Inclusive

Personally Defined

Exclusive

All About UMe, Not U

Only Us U

Oxford

Community College

Wharton

U.K. OpenUniversity

UdacitySource: "Four 'Business Model' Scenarios for Higher Education: An Introduction to Strategic Planning Through Storytelling" (G00167364)

Page 7: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Extreme Networking

Pervasive Access

Global-Class Delivery

"Big" Context

A Nexus of Forces

Page 8: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

The Nexus and Trends in Education

Social LearningOpen Badges

Mobile Learning“Education” Devices

MOOCSaaS Admin Solutions

Big Data Adaptive Learning

Page 9: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Explaining the Strategic Technology Map

Improves Student and Faculty Experience

Impr

oves

Inst

itutio

nal R

OI

Personal Productivity

Org

aniz

atio

nal E

ffici

ency

Cold Case?

CorporateGreen Light. Hot Spot!

People's Choice.

f(xy

z)

€=

People

ProcessStart

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

Start

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

Technology

f(xy

z)

€=

PeoplePeople

ProcessStart

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

Start

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

ProcessStart

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

Start

A ction 1

Dec ision

A ction 2

Result

Technology

Technology n

No New Ideas …"Unsocial Sociability"

Immanuel Kant 1724-1804

Page 10: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Strategic Direction and Timing: Connecting the Dots in the Education HC/STM Mashup

Impr

oves

Inst

itutio

nal R

OI

Org

aniz

atio

nal E

ffici

ency

Improves Student/Faculty ExperiencePersonal Productivity

Improves … Remember "Everything Is Relative"

Hype Cycle Color Key

CRM, Enroll.

SOA

OCIAM

Email

LMS

Web/App.Hosting

FIAM

SocialMedia

E-Textbook

OSSMiddlewareSuites

"Cloud" Office

Social LearningPlatform

MobileLearningSmartphone

CloudEmailFaculty

ITIL

OSSFin.

Tablet

SaaSAdmin App

EA

LectureCapture& Retrieval

Strategic Services:Digitalized Flexible Learning Service(Learning Stack

Service)

SISStandards

SIS DataInteroperability

OSSSIS

BPOCRM, Ret.

OpenMicrocredentials

Mashups

E-BookReaders

WaaS

MOOC

COBIT

LearningStack

Adaptive Learning

AdaptiveE-Textbooks

Page 11: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Surfing the Perfect Wave

Page 12: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Appendix: Top Lists

12

Page 13: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

• “Business” Trends1. Student Experience

2. Outcomes-based Learning3. Competing for Students in a

Globalized Community4. New Business Models

(Figuring out competition and sustainable funding)

5. Data-driven decisions

- ...- Digitalization of Education and

Research

• Technology Trends1. Big Data

(Analytics and Adaptive learning)

2. Mobile3. Cloud

4. Keeping pace with infrastructure/build an exostructure

5. Digital Learning Environment(Mashing up a ...)

- ...- Digitalization of Education and

Research

Education top 10... (just 5 For now...)

Page 14: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

CIO Agenda: Technology Focus – Top spending

Ranking Based on How Many CIOs Cited Each as a Top-Three New Spending Priority for 2014

From draft of “CIO World in 2014: An Education Perspective”

1 BI/ANALYTICS2 INFRASTRUCTURE & DATACENTER3 MOBILE4 ERP5 CLOUD6 NETWORKING, VOICE AND DATA COMMS7 DIGITALIZATION/DIGITAL MKTG8 SECURITY9 INDUSTRY SPECIFIC APPLICATIONS

10 CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT11 LEGACY MODERNIZATION12 COLLABORATION

Global

1 INFRASTRUCTURE & DATACENTER2 BI/ANALYTICS3 CLOUD4 ERP5 MOBILE6 NETWORKING, VOICE AND DATA COMMS7 SECURITY8 CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT9 INDUSTRY SPECIFIC APPLICATIONS

10 LMS11 DIGITALIZATION/DIGITAL MKTG12 DESKTOP

Education

Page 15: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Educause top 10 trends, 2013 (2014 in March)

1. Access demand2. Improving student outcomes3. Cloud strategy4. IT staffing models5. Information security6. Funding IT strategically7. Sustainable online learning8. IT consumerization and BYOD9. Using IT transformatively10.Analytics to support institutional outcome

Page 16: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Educause Strategic Technologies for 2014

1. Business intelligence reporting dashboards 2. Mobile apps for enterprise applications 3. Mobile app development 4. Enterprise identity and access management solutions 5. Learning analytics: Course level 6. Administrative or business performance analytics 7. Unified communications and collaboration 8. 802.11ac wireless networking standard 9. Virtual desktops or virtual PC applications 10. Learning analytics: Degree advising

Page 17: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Horizon Report 2014

• Fast moving trends (1-2 years)- Online, hybrid, and collaborative learning- Social media use in learning

• Mid-range trends (3-5 years)- The creator society- Data-driven learning and assessment

• Slow trends (5 years and beyond)- Agile approaches to change- Making online learning natural

Page 18: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Horizon Report Educational Technology 2014

• Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less - Flipped Classroom- Learning Analytics

• Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Two to Three Years - 3D Printing- Games and Gamification

• Time-to-Adoption Horizon: Four to Five Years - Quantified Self- Virtual Assistants

Page 19: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

IEEE 20141. Mobile cloud convergence will lead to an explosion of new services.2. Internet of Things will evolve into the Web of Things, increasing the

coordination between things in the real world and their counterparts on the Web.

3. New analytics tools will emerge to handle the big data deluge and new leaders will emerge in this arena in 2014.

4. New tools and techniques will bring 3D printing power to corporations and the masses.

5. Online courses demand new technological approaches.6. Mobile infrastructure must catch up with user needs and demands.7. New risks and concerns about social network privacy.8. Intelligent systems and assistive devices will advance smart

healthcare.9. Agencies will attempt to tackle e-government interoperability issues.10.Scientific cloud computing will further change how science is done to

help solve "grand challenges."

Page 20: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

IBM 5 in 5• The classroom will learn you. The classroom of the future will give

educators the tools to learn about every student, and provide students with a tailored curriculum from kindergarten to high school and on to employment.  

• Your local store will be better than a store on the web.  Your local store will use the immediacy of the store experience and proximity to customers to create experiences that cannot be replicated by online-only retail.   

• Doctors will use your DNA to keep you well.  Doctors will create individualized treatment plans for thousands of patients based on genome sequencing.

• The city will help you live in it.  Cities will better understand in real time how to better manage billions of events occurring within their boundaries to make themselves more liveable and sustainable environments for their citizens.    

• A digital guardian angel will protect you online.  Your digital security bodyguard will act as an intelligent agent across all your devices, IDs and transactions to help determine what’s legitimate and what’s not.

Page 21: The Gartner Hype Cycle for Education Through the Nexus Lens Building the Strategic Technology Map

© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

#GartnerSYM

Recommended Gartner Research Agenda Overview for Higher Education, 2014 (G00258317) Hype Cycle for Education, 2013 (G00251104) IT Market Clock for Higher Education, 2013 (G00251103) Predicts 2014: Technology Drives Education Toward Transformation

(G00258319 ) The Expanding Education Ecosystem: A World

of Choice (G00228925) The Gartner Higher Education Business Model Scenarios: Digitalization

Drives Disruptive Innovation and Changes the Balance (G00247129) Cool Vendors in Education, 2011-13 A Quick Look at the Nexus of Forces in Education (G00255220) A Quick Look at Big Data in Education, 2012 (G00236687) Gaining Competitive Advantage in the Education Ecosystem Requires

Going Beyond Mere Infrastructure to Exostructure (G00251105)