the freight model improvement program t. randall (randy) curlee, ph.d. national transportation...

The Freight Model Improvement Program

www.fmip.gov

T. Randall (Randy) Curlee, Ph.D.

National Transportation Research Center

Talking Freight SeminarNovember 16, 2005

OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORYU. S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

FMIP was launched in 2004 by the US Department of Transportation

Managed by the Office of Freight Management and Operations of the Federal Highway Administration

In collaboration with US Department of Agriculture US Department of Energy US Army Corps of Engineers

Supported by Oak Ridge National Laboratory


Premises upon which FMIP is based

Current methods for forecasting freight are inadequate

Freight demand models typically based on passenger travel demand forecasting; freight is different

Practitioners are calling for improvements in both the state of the art and the state of practice in modeling freight


FMIP was initiated to…

Enhance state of the art and state of practice in freight modeling at national, regional, and local scales

Primary focus on forecasting movements of commodities (trucks, trains, and vessels)

Secondary focus on models of public revenues, environmental consequences, economic consequences, and other societal costs and benefits


Relationship of FMIP to the Freight Analysis Framework (FAF)

FMIP bridges gap between FAF’s national focus with needs of local planning

FMIP is a forum to help practitioners and researchers develop local understanding of freight through local data collection and modeling built on the national picture provided by the FAF


A key component of FMIP is FMIP.GOV

A clearinghouse designed to provide up-to-date information on current developments in freight modeling

Disseminate inventories and assessments of freight modeling strategies and related data collection methods

Develop a library of current research, data, and methods

Encourage discussion and comments on posted items

Encourage customers to submit copies of their own work

Support direct peer-to-peer exchanges


The major features of FMIP.GOV

About -an introduction to FMIP

News, Events, and Courses - keep up with freight modeling news and events

Freight Models and Modeling Studies - an inventory of freight models and studies

Data to Support Freight Models - an inventory of freight model data organized by category

Related Groups and Links - the World Wide Web of freight modeling

Tools - brief descriptions of and links to tools of potential interest to planners and analysts

Discussion - FMIP forums

Contacts - how to contact FMIP staff


FMIP Model Inventory

Inventory of Freight Models

National and International Modeling Studies

State and Regional Freight Modeling Studies

Metropolitan and Local Freight Modeling Studies

Library of Freight Modeling Papers


National and International Freight Modeling Studies

Bureau of Transport and Regional Development, Australia

United Kingdom Department of Transportation Review of Freight Modeling

Great Britain Freight Model - description of methodology

South-East Queensland Intermodal Freight Terminals Study (Australia)

Swedish National Model System for Freight Transport (SAMGODS)


State and Regional Freight Modeling Studies California Goods Movement Colorado Railroad Study I-5 Rail Capacity Corridor Study Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model Oklahoma Intermodal Transportation Plan Oregon Freight Study The Mountain-Plains Consortium (Intermodal and Freight Logistics) State-of-the-Practice In Freight Data: A Review of Available Freight Data in the U.S. (T

exas)

Florida Intermodal Statewide Highway Freight Model Iowa Statewide Freight Transportation Planning Model and Methodology

Development Program Minnesota Office of Freight & Commercial Vehicle Operations Minnesota Statewide Freight Flows Study Freight Impacts on Ohio Roadways Upper Midwest Freight Corridor Study Washington Statewide Freight Transportation Analysis Virginia: Application of a Statewide Intermodal Freight Planning Methodology


Metropolitan and Local Freight Modeling Studies Baltimore Metropolitan Council, MD - Truck Model Chicago Area Transportation Study, IL. Cooperative Highway/Vehicle Auto

mation Study (CVHAS)

Eastern Colorado Mobility Study New York Metropolitan Transportation Council Freight Plan Project North New Jersey Transportation Planning Authority Inc Sarasota-Manatee Freight Movement Study (Florida MPO) Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model Portland Oregon Economic Impacts Study Edmonton (Canada) Commodity Flow Survey and External Truck Trip Proj

ects

Broward County Freight and Goods Movement Study (Florida MPO) Cross-Cascades Corridor Analysis Study (Washington State) Developing a Truck/Freight Model for the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area Los Angeles County MTA truck/freight forecasting model (southern Califor

nia)


Library of Freight Modeling Papers 1) Freight modeling review articles 2) Modeling hazardous freight movements 3) Truck trip generation/attraction modeling 4) Modeling the value of time in freight studies 5) Freight and commodity flow modeling 6) Freight traffic assignment/network flow modeling 7) Modeling freight supply chains 8) Intermodal freight and terminal transfers modeling


Library of Freight Modeling Papers (continued)

9) Multi-step freight planning models 10) Freight corridor and system capacity modeling 11) Dedicated truck lane modeling 12) Truck size and weight modeling 13) Modeling urban freight movements 14) Freight mode choice modeling 15) Freight data collection methods 16) Modeling the energy and environmental impacts of freight 17) Statewide and regional freight planning studies


Keys to Success?


First, understand the basic questions being asked…

What and how much freight will be shipped?

Origins and destinations?

By what mode? Or more appropriately modes…

By what route?

At what cost?

At what transit time?

How will the answer to each question change over time?


And understand why we ask these basic questions… Safety, Health, and Environmental Impacts

National Security

Congestion

Damage to infrastructure caused by freight

Urban Planning and Smart Growth

A better understanding of the relationship between freight transport and the economy – local, state, regional, national, international

Assess the need for and viability of new and improved transportation infrastructure – at local, state, regional, national, and even international levels


Recognize that our perception of freight modeling and the path forward depend in part on our discipline, e.g.

Civil Engineering

Transportation Planning

Geography

Operations Research

Management Science

Economics


On our geographic scale of interest…

Local

State

Regional

National

International


And on the role we play…e.g.

Transportation Analyst

Academic Researcher

Planner

Private Sector Decision Maker

Public Sector Decision Maker


Improvements in freight modeling will depend on Clearly articulating the objectives of freight

models and studies

Adopting Multi-modal and Inter-modal approaches

Multi-disciplinary and Inter-disciplinary collaboration with common terminology

International collaboration

Wisely meshing the theoretical with the empirical; and the ideal with the practical

Making the most of current data, while laying a course for data improvements


In Conclusion…


Please contribute to the FMIP.GOV Forum!!


We Want Your Input!!We Want To Serve Your Needs!!

www.fmip.govContacts Dr. Tianjia Tang, [email protected]

Office of Freight Management and Operations, FHWA

Dr. Randy Curlee, [email protected] Center for Transportation Analysis,

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

the freight model improvement program t. randall (randy) curlee, ph.d. national transportation...

Documents

freight modeling news

inventory of freight

events freight models

support freight models

local understanding

fmip news

office of freight management

national picture