thailand energy security...efai energy regulatory commission erc office of permanent secretary ops...
TRANSCRIPT
Tanwan Topoklang
Plan and Policy Analyst Ministry of Energy Thailand
29 March 2018
Thailand
Energy Security
1
Contents
Overview of Energy Situation
Energy System
Energy Security
Summary
Energy Demand Increase
*Jan 2018
Primary Energy Consumption
NG
Oil
Import Coal
Lignite
Hydro/import electricity
Total 2,131 KBD crude oil equivalent
2018*
K B
arr
el
pe
r D
ay c
rud
e o
il e
qu
iva
len
t
Demand Growth 0.9%
Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand
Net Import of Primary and Secondary Energy
Import Coal
Electricity
Oil
Total 1,384 KBD crude oil equivalent
NG and LNG
2018*
K B
arr
el
pe
r D
ay c
rud
e o
il e
qu
iva
len
t
Net Import Growth 1.5%
Net Import Country
*Jan 2018
Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand
Security Challenges
• Decreasing of indigenous energy resource: Natural gas
• High depends on external supply sources: more than 65% mainly crude oil (85%) and LNG (20%)
• Supply shortage could affect enormously to Thailand economy
Domestic Supply
976 KBD*
4.6%
2,131 KBD*
Consumption
0.9%
Net Import
1,384 KBD*
1.5%
*Jan 2018
Source : EPPO, Ministry of Energy, Thailand
Long-term Energy Security Target
Source : Chatchawan Chaichana and Sarawut Kaewtathip. 2016. Emergency Response for Thailand Energy Sector
Import dependency
Energy cost
Energy security
• Fuel diversification
– Reduce Natural gas for Electricity from 64% to 37%
• Renewable and Alternative energy
– Increase RE to 30%
• Energy Efficiency
– Reduce energy intensity (EI) 30%
Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint 20-year masterplan (2015-2036)
Intuitional Arrangement: NESO
*National Emergency Strategy Organization (NESO) is a working group setup by Ministry of Energy (MOEN) chaired by Minister of Energy to prepare and manage Thailand’s energy emergency situation. NESO members consist of representatives from departments under Ministry of ENergy and related organizations, including PTT and EGAT.
As 3 March 2015
Petroleum Executive Management Committee (Chairman : Permanent Secretary of Energy)
Energy Security Management Task Force (Chairman : Inspector General)
NESO*
Crisis Management
Committee
Electricity Generating Authority of
Thailand
EGAT
PTT public company limited
PTT
Energy Fund Administration
Institute
EFAI
Energy Regulatory Commission
ERC
Office of Permanent Secretary
OPS
Department of Mineral Fuels
DMF
Department of Alternative Energy Development and
Efficiency
DEDE
Department of Energy Business
DOEB
Energy Policy and Planning
Office
EPPO
Energy Security Preparedness
Import Oil Oil Stockpiling
Pipeline Extension
Domestic NG Fuel switching
Myanmar NG Demand Response LNG Exercise
Oil Stockpiling
• Legal Framework
– The Fuel Trade Act 2000
– DOEB announcement: Oil Stockpiling 2015
• Private Sector Stockpiling
Oil Stock (39 days)
Commercial Stock (14 days)
Legal Reserve (25 days)
Oil Stockpiling (Above–Ground Tank)
36-45 days oil reserve
Source : DOEB Ministry of Energy, Thailand (March 2018)
Oil product 1% Crude 6%
Oil Pipeline Extension
Source : DOEB Ministry of Energy, Thailand (March 2018)
North and North East pipelines ensure sufficient logistic capability = security of oil supply
Emergency Response Exercise 1-3
• Emergency Exercise Experience Since 2010
• More than 250 participations/year
• Scenario Exercise
Supply disruption
Infrastructure crash
1
Natural Gas
2
Oil
3
Demand Restraint
6
Cooperation
5
Executive
7
Media Strategy
4
Power
• 7 Units 1 Natural Gas 2 Oil 3 Demand Restraint 4 Power 5 Executive 6 Cooperation 7 Media Strategy
Emergency Response Exercise 2-3
1 The structure and command
5. Technology
2. Communication
3. Law
4. Type of fuel switching
Gas dependency Spec of power plant capacity Oil or gas pipeline
• NESO • Line of Command
• One message • Timely communication • Through Media
• The legal restriction: Environmental ’s permission , Transportations permission • The contractual agreement
6. Capacity building
Emergency Response Exercise 3-3
Summary
• Thailand Emergency response system is well prepared and steadily strengthened
• Thailand aware of energy resources limitation / high import dependency
• Energy security management is vital
– Long-term : TIEB
– Short-term : Infrastructure development ex. oil pipeline / Institutional
arrangement (NESO) / Emergency preparation
• Key recommendation to ASEAN
– Share lessons learned and experiences
– Strengthen collaboration in energy security preparedness
ขอบคณุคะ่
Thank you
Policy and Strategy Management Office
Ministry of Energy Thailand
www.energy.go.th
Thailand Energy System
Source : Chatchawan Chaichana and Sarawut Kaewtathip. 2016. Emergency Response for Thailand Energy Sector