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A talk given at the "Gartner Predicts 2010" at the Conrad Hotel, Bangkok. January 29, 2010

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  • 1. Gartner Predicts 2010 Local Program Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool Vice President, National Science and Technology Development Agency 29 January 2010 Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010
  • 2. Agenda General Trends facing Thailand Thailand quick and slow Gartner's Hype Cycle and Thailand Social Media Concerns Challenges for Thailand's Broadband development Other little BIG issues Security, Privacy, Digital Rights Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 2
  • 3. General Trends facing Thailand Climate Change Concerns for food, water and energy/fuels Aging Societies Economic Regionalization AFTA Asia Community (ASEAN+3,+6) Broadband access (wired/wireless) Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 3
  • 4. Thailand quick and slow adopter Quick adopter of many technologies Color TV introduced before UK Slow adopter of many regulatory practices ISDN (slow, late, short-lived, unproductive) Establishing Regulatory Body WIFI (slow regulatory announcement) 3G (sluggish and unclear plan) WiMAX (too many reservations) Digital Broadcast (slow, private sector driven) Freeing spectrum for Digital Communications (unheard of) Last-mile unbundling (hardly happens) Number portability, TLS, USO, etc... Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 4
  • 5. Gartner Hype Cycle 2009 Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 5
  • 6. From Smart phone to an ebook reader, web browser and game Apple iPad, launched Jan 28, 2010 Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 6
  • 7. Mobile Device plays all matured applications in Gartner's Hype Cycle Speech Recognition Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 7
  • 8. Mobile Device plays all matured applications in Gartner's Hype Cycle Schmap Geo Tweeter Schmap.com Location Another fine Geo Social tool comes Aware from the developers of the amazing Apps local search service Schmap. Schmap publishes local guides, providing a wealth of information to visitors of many major urban centers around the Globe... access information, photos, reviews and ratings on places of interest and much more. The company also has developed a number of location sharing tools, widgets, and services including the Schmap Geo-Tweet utility. Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 8
  • 9. Mobile Device plays all matured applications in Gartner's Hype Cycle Location Aware Apps Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 9
  • 10. Mobile Device plays all matured applications in Gartner's Hype Cycle Social Networking Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 10
  • 11. Which screen will you be using? Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 11
  • 12. It all depends on the bandwidth... Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 12
  • 13. Broadband status: World Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 13
  • 14. Does broadband availability contribute to economy? Economy Broadband Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 14
  • 15. Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 15
  • 16. Take a closer look into mobile technology Transistor radios Cassette tape, Walkman [TM] Mobile phones Bluetooth earphones Television in smart phones Everything in smart phone Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 16
  • 17. Applications, Bandwidth and Technology Source: Verizon Source: http://www.engineersireland.ie/sector_papers/Next_Generation_Broadband.pdf Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 17
  • 18. Do we end up with three screens? / All capable of IP connection? Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 18
  • 19. Thailand is a fast adopter of Social Media Social media needs always-on everywhere services. Speed is optional... Picture source: slideshare.net Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 19
  • 20. Thais hardly concern with the hidden and potential problems Five scary things That Facebook Knows About You 1. Facebook Saves Things That Have Been Deleted Whatever status updates or unglamorous pictures of you are still inside the server somewhere. A word of advice, think carefully and be tactful when uploading photos or making a status update. 2. Facebook Knows Your Viewing History Log of clicks are used by Facebook to determine your viewing history. Hence, it knows whose photos you are going through. 3. Facebook Knows How Often You Interact With Or Click On The Profile Of A Given Person Depending on the number of visits you made on your friends profile, Facebook uses this data as a method to judge who your good friends are. This is visible through Facebook search where your friends are not listed in alphabetical order but by the people who you interact most with. important is that people should be more tactful when they are online. In the real world, people may forgive and forget but in the virtual world, there are always traces of data that could be used against you. Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 20
  • 21. We hardly concern with the hidden and potential problems Five scary things That Facebook Knows About You 4. Facebook Carries Out Psychological Tests On New Features Instead of doing group sampling or beta testing on their new features, Facebook does the above plus eye ball tracking to get an idea of where you are looking at. 5. Facebook Employees Are Able To Retrieve Any Message Youve Sent Out Since all data are stored in the server, employees have the clearance to pull out any data about you through a simple query on your profile. Whether the interview was a hoax or made-up, I think whats more important is that people should be more tactful when they are online. In the real world, people may forgive and forget but in the virtual world, there are always traces of data that could be used against you. Source: http://therumpus.net/2010/01/conversations-about-the-internet-5- anonymous-facebook-employee/?full=yes Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 21
  • 22. From GSM to LTE to Femtocell WiMAX Femtocell http://wimaxcomnet.blogspot.com/2008_02_01_archive.html Thailand and Technology Trends Thaweesak Koanantakool, 29 January 2010 22
  • 23.