th june 2018 mortality and longevity seminar 2018...19th june 2018 mortality and longevity seminar...
TRANSCRIPT
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I N V E S T I N G I N T H E A G E O F L O N G E V I T Y
19th June 2018
Mortality and Longevity Seminar 2018
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“All men are cremated equal.”
-Spike Milligan
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Artificial Intelligence
CURE FOR HEPATITS C In late 2013, sofosbuvir in combination with ribarvirin was approved by the FDA. This combination yielded a ~95% cure rate in HCV genotype 2 infections
Cancer Immunotherapy
CRISPR
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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE In 2012, Geoffrey Hinton of the University of Toronto demonstrated his team was able to halve error rates in image recognition relative to the previous machine learning methods, by using deep learning techniques.
HCV Cure
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“Quietly, over the past few decades, remarkable discoveries have been made about the biology of ageing.”
-Cynthia Kenyon, Calico LLC
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31
72
1900 2015 2040
Four million years produced an 11-year increase from 20 to 31
115 years produced a 41 year increase
100 Developing
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120 Developed
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When wear and tear outruns repair. 9
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An organism is considered to display negligible senescence if it does not exhibit any measurable decline in survival characteristics such as strength or mobility with age, does not have a gradually increasing death rate with age, and also does not exhibit any measurable reduction in reproductive ability with age.
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Source: Journal of Nutrition, April, 116(4), pages 641-54.
*Depending on level of caloric restriction
60%
35%
20%
15%
10%
0%
0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
All above (except CR)
Senescent cell clearance
Calorie Restriction*
Rapamycin
Metformin
Natural lifespan
900%
100%
0%
0% 250% 500% 750% 1000%
Gene mutation (DAF-2)
Gene mutation (DAF-2)
Natural lifespan
+ removal of gonads
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Age is the single biggest risk factor in the deadly quintet of diseases accounting for 70% of all deaths
Source: Figures for United States - 2014
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• Eating consistently less without starvation and malnutrition
• Increases life expectancy and lessens disease burden in aged mammals but unclear whether findings translate into humans
• CR mimetics being investigated include resveratrol, oxaloacetate, rapamycin, rimonabant
• CR increases the production of keytone bodies that are produced when liver uses fat stores rather than sugars – e.g. ketogenic diet
• Mimetic of ketogenic diet is beta-hydroxybutyrate
Certainly makes life FEEL a lot longer!
Protein - 25%
Fat - 70%
Ketogenic Diet
Carbohydrate – 5%
Beta-hydroxybutyrate
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• 60 year old drug derived from French Lilac
• Excitement - diabetics taking metformin showed 15% mortality advantage over matched non-diabetic population
• Targeting Ageing with Metformin (TAME) – first FDA approved trial looking at delaying onset of age related diseases
• Nir Barzilai, Albert Einstein College of Medicine is proponent of the TAME trial
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• NAD+ (Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide ) - coenzyme found in all living cells that decreases with age
• NAD is a critical co-factor, or helper molecule, to a family of proteins called sirtuins
• Two approaches: ‒ Increase NAD+ in cells ‒ Prevent decline in NAD+ - CD38 inhibition
• Eric Verdin, President and CEO of the Buck Institute for Research on Aging a key opinion leader in this area
Nicotinamide riboside
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• Rapamycin is the only compound to extend life in all species studied to date
• Being tested in middle aged dogs in the Dog Aging Project
• Advanced human clinical trials being run by resTORbio (NASDAQ:TORC)
• phase 2b clinical trials with RTB-101 in combination with everolimus (a rapalog)
‒ Enhanced response to influenza vaccine by ~20%
‒ Ameliorated immunosenescence in elderly volunteers
‒ Reduced % of CD4 and CD8 T lymphocytes expressing PD-1 receptor, which inhibits T cell signalling
ility
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• Cellular senescence – Phenomenon by which normal cells
cease to divide – Dormant but metabolically active
state – Promotes inflammation and
accelerates ageing
• Leonard Hayflick observed replicative senescence in 1960s – the Hayflick Limit
• Caused by endogenous and exogenous DNA damage
Senolytic drugs increase maximum lifespan by 35% in mice 24
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• Cardiac hypertrophy • Kyphosis (curvature of spine) • Loss of subcutaneous fat • Reduced locomotion • Cancer
• Live ~35% longer • Dramatic extension of
health span
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• Oldest known attempt to extend lifespan
• Circulatory systems of animals surgically joined
• Used by Kim Il sung to the extend it changed his blood type from AB to B; he died age 82
• Modern version looks at specific “factors” in blood that provide the benefits and administering by transfusion
• Ambrosia sells blood from younger people for USD 8,000 a pop!
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Κ
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Autophagy
• Cellular disposal system that clears unwanted components to lysosome such as dysfunctional mitochondria
• System becomes less efficient with age
• Mice with high expression of autophagy-associated protein beclin-1 live 10% longer, and have a lower incidence of cancer and heart disease than wildtype
• Metformin induces autophagy under certain conditions
• Inhibition of CoX7a1 leads to increased autophagy
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WNT Pathway
• Wingless-related integration site
• Signalling pathway that regulates self-renewal and differentiation of adult stem cells
• Dysregulation of WNT in a specific tissue almost always leads to disease
• Implicated in cancer and degenerative conditions
• Significant capital raised by Samumed (US $12b private market valuation) with lead indications in osteoarthritis and alopecia
FOXO
• Forkhead box family of transcription factors – FOXO1 – insulin signalling – FOXO3 – tumour genesis – FOXO4 – Judith Campisi
• Play a role in expression of genes involved in cell growth, proliferation, differentiation and longevity
• Believed to contribute significantly to the immortality of the hydra
• Evolutionarily conserved in humans
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2020 AI based medical diagnostics & therapy recommendations are used in the majority of US healthcare
2028 Robots will have real relationships with people, supporting care of aging, personal hygiene and food preparation. Sex bots become popular.
2030 Humanity has achieved “Longevity Escape Velocity” for the wealthiest
2032 Medical nanorobots demonstrated in humans are able to extend the immune system.
2036 Longevity treatments are routinely available and covered by life insurance policies, extending the average human lifespan 30 – 40 years.
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Cox7a1 Gene:
• Expression after the embryonic-foetal transition inhibits regeneration of organs
• Not expressed in liver which allows it to regenerate
• Inhibition leads to reversion to embryonic state and increased autophagy
• 90% of cancers inhibit its expression
• Mexican salamander stuck in developmental larval state does not express
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• Lygenesis, Inc. novel technology to use lymph nodes as mini-bioreactors
• When lymph nodes are seeded with purified hepatocytes (liver cells), the cells engraft and grow into small, functional ectopic livers
• Livers only grow to size required by body
• Bridge patients to transplant or completely supplanting the need for a transplant
• Applications in other organs including the thymus and pancreas
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Gone are the days when you’re born, learn, earn, burn out, retire and expire!
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Fert
ility
Rat
e p
er W
om
an
World Africa
Asia Europe
Latin Amer. & Carib. Northern America
Oceania
Source: UN World Population Prospects
• Plateau and decline
• In 2015, 46% of world’s pop. (in 86 countries) below replacement level of 2.1
• 2017 – 2050
– half the world’s population growth will occur in 9 countries
• “Peak Children” – 1960 / 1 billion / 35% – 2011 / 1.9 billion / 27% – 2050 / 1.9 billion / 20%
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• Pensions
• Life insurance
• Healthcare – BUT burden of care likely to decline
• Leisure industry
• Social care
• Education
“I’ve crunched the numbers in your retirement account. It’s time to figure out who will be wearing the mask and who will be driving the getaway car.” 40
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Computing Internet Longevity
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Global drug spend to hit USD $1.4 trillion in 2020
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$0b
$20b
$40b
$60b
$80b
2013 2015 2022
Re
ven
ue
pe
r ye
ar
Cancer Immunotherapy
Source: GBI Research
$0b
$100b
$200b
$300b
$400b
1995 2015 2022
Re
ven
ue
pe
r ye
ar
Biologics
Source: Grand View Research 46
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TOTAL ADULT POPULATION
GLOBAL MEDIAN INCOME
GLOBAL MARKET FOR LONGEVITY
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• Founded by Jim Mellon, Greg Bailey and Declan Doogan
• Highly experienced investors, entrepreneurs and drug developers
• Combination of artificial intelligence and classical drug development
• Company has raised US $63m to date – US $50m Series A
• Contemplating IPO in 2019
• Portfolio and collaborations includes:
– Insilico Medicine, Inc.
– Juvenescence AI
– NetraPharma
– Lygenesis, Inc.
– AgeX Therapeutics, Inc.
– Buck Institute for Research on Aging
• Multiple deals in pipeline
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WWW.JUVENESCENCE-BOOK.COM
The market for anti-ageing treatments is currently worth USD 140 billion annually.
Imagine how much they’ll be worth when they actually work.
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