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Texas Demographic
Characteristics and Trends and
the Golden Crescent Region
Bronte Club of
Victoria
October 3, 2012
Victoria, Texas
Growing States, 2000-2010
2000
Population*
2010
Population*
Numerical
Change
2000-2010
Percent
Change
2000-2010
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5%
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6%
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.
2 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count.
65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth
of the Hispanic population
Percent Change
Due to
Year* Population
Numerical
Change
Percent
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- --
1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 24.2 93.91 6.09
1970 11,196,730 1,617,053 16.9 86.74 13.26
1980 14,229,191 3,032,461 27.1 41.58 58.42
1990 16,986,510 2,757,319 19.9 65.85 34.15
2000 20,851,820 3,865,310 22.8 49.65 50.35
2009 24,782,302 3,930,484 18.8 54.04 45.33
2010 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6
2011 25,674,681 529,120 2.1 54.79 44.99
* All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as
estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2011
3
Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity
44%
24% 33%
28%
50% 40%
23% 8% 15%
5% 18% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Net domesticmigration
Internationalmigration
Total
Other
Black
Hispanic
White
67% of all
migrants
4 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international
migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1,
2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau
(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)
52% of all migrants were
international
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010
NH White 53%
NH Black 11%
NH Other
4%
Hispanic or Latino
32%
2000
NH White 45%
NH Black 11%
NH Other
6%
Hispanic or Latino
38%
2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count
Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity
44%
24% 33%
28%
50% 40%
23% 8% 15%
5% 18% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Net domesticmigration
Internationalmigration
Total
Other
Black
Hispanic
White
67% of all
migrants
6 Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international
migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1,
2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau
(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants)
52% of all migrants were
international
Population Change Select Texas Counties, 2010-2011
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County 2010
Census
July 1, 2010
Estimate
July 1, 2011
Estimate
Population Change
2010-2011 Natural Increase
Net Migration
International Migration
Domestic Migration
Calhoun
21,381
21,357
21,442 85 74 11 49 -38
DeWitt
20,097
20,096
20,255 159 29 131 15 116
Goliad
7,210
7,232
7,243 11 8 3 1 2
Gonzales
19,807
19,850
19,904 54 102 -48 67 -115
Jackson
14,075
14,074
14,032 -42 72 -113 1 -114
Lavaca
19,263
19,267
19,347 80 -20 101 41 60
Victoria
86,793
86,846
87,545 699 628 79 144 -65
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Vintage 2011
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9
Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Un
der
1 y
ear
4 y
ears
8 y
ears
12
yea
rs
16
yea
rs
20
yea
rs
24
yea
rs
28
yea
rs
32
yea
rs
36
yea
rs
40
yea
rs
44
yea
rs
48
yea
rs
52
yea
rs
56
yea
rs
60
yea
rs
64
yea
rs
68
yea
rs
72
yea
rs
76
yea
rs
80
yea
rs
84
yea
rs
88
yea
rs
92
yea
rs
96
yea
rs
10
0 t
o 1
04
…
Po
pu
lati
on
Age
White (non-Hispanic)
Hispanic
10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 years
90 years
95 years
100 to 104 years
Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic
Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic
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Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
Total Population by County, 2010
12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Census Counts
Legend
co48_d00
'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop10
82 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,001
100,001 - 500,001
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 4,100,000
Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2010
13
Population increase for
Texas was 20.6%
during this period
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts
Water
'PROJECTIONS X$'.pctch0010
-20%-0%
1%-10%
10.1-25%
25.1%-50%
50.1%-82%
Physicians per 1,000 Population 2010
'PROJECTIONS X$'.difphys
-3 to -0.5
-0.49 to -.001
0
.001 to .5
.51-2.1
Legend
tl_2010_48_tract10
Mean travel time
15 mins or less
16-25 mins
21-25 mins
26-40 mins
41-105 mins
Mean Travel Time
to Work, Texas
Census Tracts,
2006-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community
Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010
Bee
Harris
Matagorda
Nueces
DeWitt
Lavaca
Goliad
Fayette
Wharton
Calhoun
Victoria
Gonzales
Bastrop
Brazoria
Colorado
Austin
Refugio
Jackson
Fort Bend
Lee
Waller
Karnes
Travis
Caldwell
Aransas
San Patricio
Washington
Kleberg
Montgomery
Guadalupe
Hays
Wilson
Grimes
Live Oak
Jim Wells
Burleson
National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community
Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010
Percent Labor Force
Employed in
Professional, Scientific,
Management
Occupations, Texas
Census Tracts, 2006-
2010
Bee
Harris
Matagorda
Nueces
DeWitt
Lavaca
Goliad
Fayette
Wharton
Calhoun
Victoria
Gonzales
Bastrop
Brazoria
Colorado
Austin
Refugio
Jackson
Fort Bend
Lee
Waller
Karnes
Travis
Caldwell
Aransas
San Patricio
Washington
Kleberg
Montgomery
Guadalupe
Hays
Wilson
Grimes
Live Oak
Jim Wells
Burleson
National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC
Legend
tl_2010_48_county10
tl_2010_48_county10
tl_2010_48_tract10
OcMgmtBusSciArts
0-15%
16-30%
31-40%
41-50%
51-60%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community
Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010
Percent Households
Receiving SNAPP
Benefits, Texas Census
Tracts, 2006-2010 Legend
tl_2010_48_tract10
SNAPPct
0-5%
6-10%
11-15%
16-25%
26-30%
Bee
Harris
Matagorda
Nueces
DeWitt
Lavaca
Goliad
Fayette
Wharton
Calhoun
Victoria
Gonzales
Bastrop
Brazoria
Colorado
Austin
Refugio
Jackson
Fort Bend
Lee
Waller
Karnes
Travis
Caldwell
Aransas
San Patricio
Washington
Kleberg
Montgomery
Guadalupe
Hays
Wilson
Grimes
Live Oak
Jim Wells
Burleson
National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community
Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2006-2010
Percent of the Labor
Force Unemployed,
Texas Census Tracts,
2006-2010 Legend
tl_2010_48_tract10
UnemployedPCT
0-3%
3.1-7.5%
7.6-12.5%
12.6-17.5%
17.6-45%
NatGeo_World_Map
Bee
Harris
Matagorda
Nueces
DeWitt
Lavaca
Goliad
Fayette
Wharton
Calhoun
Victoria
Gonzales
Bastrop
Brazoria
Colorado
Austin
Refugio
Jackson
Fort Bend
Lee
Waller
Karnes
Travis
Caldwell
Aransas
San Patricio
Washington
Kleberg
Montgomery
Guadalupe
Hays
Wilson
Grimes
Live Oak
Jim Wells
Burleson
National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA,METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, iPC
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections
Year
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
18
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
20
12
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
20
32
20
34
20
36
20
38
20
40
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2007 Migration Scenario 19
Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040
2040 Population
P_40
36 - 1000
1001 - 10000
10001 - 50000
50001 - 100000
100001 - 500000
500001 - 1000000
1000001 - 8000000
Projected population by county, Texas, 2040
Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).
Demographics and Destiny
21
Contact
Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530
Email: [email protected]
Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H.
22