tetuan valley startup school v - fall 2011 - week 3

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Tetuan alley Tetuan Valley, October 2011 Startup School Fall 2011 This is the Land of Do-as-you- please-and-take-what-you-want Week 3

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Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Page 1: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

Tetuan alley

Tetuan Valley, October 2011

Startup School Fall 2011

This is the Land of Do-as-you-please-and-take-what-you-want Week  3  

Page 2: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

Sponsors Collaborators

Page 3: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

Finance  for  Entrepreneurs  

11/3/11  

Objec3ve    

Introduce    students  with  tehcnological  backgrounds  to  key  financial  concepts  that  are  esen;al  at  the  hour  of  star;ng  a  business    Result    

• Comprehension  of    key  financial  indicators  • Ability  to  parameterize  the  models  given  the  face  value  of  a  startup  and    to  make  financial    projec;ons  to  investors    Dura3on    

2  sessions,  4hr      

Session  1  •  Concepts  •  Principals  •  Equa;ons  •  Investors;  Objec;ves  and  restric;ons,  stages,  “Venture  Capital”  and  

Value  Levers  •  Conclusions    for  the  entpreneur  

Session  2  •  Business  Plan  •  Price  •  Business  Model  •  Other  tools    

   

Page 4: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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TIME  VALUE  OF  MONEY  Effect  of  compound  interest  

“A  bird  in  the  hand  is  worth  two  in  the  bush”  

=  

Page 5: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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DIVERSIFICATION  Market  vs.  Company  Risk  

“Don´t  put  all  your  eggs  in  one  basket”  

Page 6: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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PRICE  OF  RISK  Correla;on  of  Risk  &  Return    

“There´s  no  such  thing  as  a  free  lunch”  

Page 7: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Time  value  of  money  

Diversifica3on  

Price  of  risk  (Sharpe  ra3o)  

Effect  of  compound  interest  “A  bird  in  the  hand  is  worth  two  in  the  bush”  

Market  vs.  Company  Risk  “Don´t  put  all  your  eggs  in  one  basket”  

Correla;on  of  risk  &  return  “There´s  no  such  thing  as  a  free  lunch”    

IN  GRAPHS  

Page 8: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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BALANCE  SHEET  

STATEMENTS  OF  ANY  COMPANY  

Page 9: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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RELATIONSHIP  BETWEEN  ACCOUNTS  

Page 10: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Company  with  increasing  profits  

Page 11: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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But  if  the  same  company  sells  with  a  difference  of  payments  above  5  months  the  company  can  go  bankrupt  

-­‐100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Year  1 Year  2 Year  3 Year  4

MargenCobrosPagosCaja

Margin  

Collec;ons  

Payments  

Cash  balance  

Page 12: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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PROFIT  AND  LOSS  

Earnings  

COGS  

Overhead  Expenses  

EBITDA  

Deprecia;ons  and  amor;za;ons  

Contribu3on  Margin    

EBIT  

Financial  result    

EBT  

Taxes  

Net  Result  

+  

-­‐  

-­‐  

-­‐  

-­‐  

Page 13: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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CASH  FLOW  STATEMENT  

Collec;bles  

Payments  (Direct  /  Overhead)  

Opera3ng  Cash  -­‐  

Annual  Cash  Balance  

Investments  

Temporary  financial  earnings  

Investment  Cash  

-­‐  +  

Capital  Subscrip;ons  

-­‐  New  Debt  

Principal  of  debt  

Dividends  

Financial  Cash  

-­‐  

+  

Page 14: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Ac3ve  à  where  is  my  money   Passive  à  where  does  it  come  from  

Long-­‐Term  Outside  Capital  

Tangible  Equity  Long-­‐Term  Assets  

Short-­‐Term  Assets  

Short-­‐Term  Outside  Capital  

Working  Capital  

BALANCE  SHEET  

Investments  Deprecia3ons  

Debt  Treasury  Inventory  

Creditors  Short-­‐term  bank  VAT  

Banks  

Social  Capital  Net  Results  Earnings  

Page 15: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Price  is  what  you  pay.  Value  is  what  you  get  Warren  Buffea  

94  M  EUR  

VS  

1  M  Tshirt+    1st  liga  

Page 16: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Earnings   Expenses   EBITDA   Amort.   EBIT   T  in  EBIT   Varia3on    WC  

CAPEX   FCF  

FCF:  what  is  it?  

l  CAPM:  r%  =  α  +  βp  =  Rf  +(β*MRP)  l  WACC=  Ke  *  (E  /  (D+E))  +  Kd  (D  /  (D+E))  l  FCF  =  Net  income  +  deprecia;on  –  changes  in  working  capital  

–  Capital  expenditures  

   

NOPLAT  Amort.  

Page 17: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Brokers  

Family  offices  SICAVs  

CVC  

Private  Banking  

Insurance  &  Pension  Funds  

Funds  of  Funds   Investment  

Banking  

Angel  Funds  

Hedge  Funds  

Comercial  Banks  

Grants  and  Subsidies  

Endowments  

¿?  Sovereign  Funds  

WHO  IS  WHO  

Page 18: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

Involvement  

Financial  Purity  

Industrialists  

Venture    Capital  

Friends  and  

family  

Business  Angels  

Family  Office  

Own  Money  

Others  Money  

Funds  Origin  3  

2  

1  

Source:  Perennius  

HOW  PLAYERS  INVEST  

Page 19: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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INVESTMENT  STAGES  

Page 20: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

THE  CHASM  

Page 21: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

Why  they  Invest   What  they  Measure   Decision  Time  

Family,  Friends  and  Fools   Confidence   Personal  

Commitment   Fast  

Subsidies  and  Public  Assistence  

Policy  alignments  

Compliance  merits   Slow  

Business  Angels   Personal  affinity   Profitability   Fast  

Venture  Capitalists   Investment  criteria   Profitability   Slow  

Industrial  Partners   Strategic  criteria   Contribu;on  to  business   Slow  

Source:  HighGrowth;  Elaboración  Okuri  Ventures  

INVESTMENT  CRITERIA  

Page 22: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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Target  yearly  return  

Holding  period  (years)  

Investment  death  rate  

Entry/exit  mul3plier  

25%+   3-­‐5   <20%   x3,5  

25%+   3-­‐5   >60%   x10+  

PE  

VC  

15%+   4-­‐7   >80%   x20+  BA  

DESIRED  RETURN  

Page 23: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

0

5

10

15

20

25

Sales Margin Debt Arbitration Total

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Shareholder  Return  

Investment  Mul3plier  

PE  

VC  

Source:  Cifras  orientaGvas  

ORIGIN  OF  MULTIPLIERS-­‐LEVERS  

Page 24: Tetuan Valley Startup School V - Fall 2011 - Week 3

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1  /  (1-­‐n)  Source: http://www.paulgraham.com/equity.html

CONCLUSION