technology opportunities for regional mobility · key takeaway #3 • adapting the planning...

Technology Opportunities for Regional Mobility

Shannon Warchol, P.E.Kittelson & Associates, Inc.

Transportation Engineering & Safety ConferenceState College, PADecember 11, 2019

1

Agenda

• Defining terms• Impacts of transformational technologies• The main issues• Lessons learned from new national research

2

• Regional Mobility• Transformational Technologies

3

What are we talking about?

Automated

Telecommunicationsalternative‐fuel

shared vehiclesapps

ride‐hailing

Big‐datasmartconnectedanalytics V2V

communitieswirelessInternet‐of‐things

3‐D printingdrones

Successful in market placeTransformational

Superior and/or cheaper serviceSuccessful

Sustainable price range for tech applicationsUnknowns

4

What is Transformational?

5

What are Transformational Technologies?

6

Focus Technologies of NCHRP 8‐117

Technologies that Impact Land Use and Transportation Planning

Transformational Technologies: Considerations for Land Use & Transportation Planning

Internet of Things (IoT)

Internet, smartphone

applications that affect travel

demand

Passenger Vehicle

TechnologiesDeployed in passenger

motor vehicles

Infrastructure TechnologiesDeployed on urban

ground transportation infrastructure

(highways, rail, bus)

Logistics Technologies

Focus on goods movement vehicles,

applications and logistics infrastructure

The technologies with the greatest impacts usually overlap 2 or more of these

categories

7

8

What are the impacts on regional mobility?

Replace the need for personal travel

Enable better use of system resources

Support better management of systems

Replace

Enable

Support

• Replace the need for personal travel

• E-commerce• 3D printing• Internet of Things

9

Transformational Technologies

Photo: gsa.gov

Graphic: Kittelson &

Assoc., Inc.

10


• Enable better use of system resources

• Mobility as a Service (Maas)• Route Guidance apps

11



• Land use applications


• Emergency Response

12


Photo: suasnews.com

• Support better management of systems

• Freight logistics applications

13


• Support better management of systems• Parking management systems

14


parkDC Parking Management System Concept of Operations, Kittelson & Assoc., Inc.

What are the impacts?

• It depends.• The applications of the technologies will have a greater impact than the

technologies themselves.• Applications evolve daily. • The market is still trying to figure out which applications will win.• Study predictions range widely.

• Best approach:• Monitor, monitor, monitor

15

Inter‐Regional Land Use Impacts

16

17

Local Land Use Impacts: Parking

• Conversions: • Parking garage• Street parking

• Curbside management: • Pick up/drop off zones

• Currently about 25,000 sq. miles of parking space (roughly the size of WV)• Could decrease by up to 80%

18

What are the Main Issues?

• Some technologies are causing problems today.

• Parking of shared bicycles, e‐bikes, e‐scooters

• Some desirable technologies may not succeed without some public agency help.

• Electric vehicle charging stations

• Other technologies may cause problems in future.

• Automated vehicle mode shift implications

• The greatest uncertainty is the sustainable price point of new technologies.

• We don’t know enough currently to assign probabilities to potential future scenarios.

19

What are the main issues?

How do I monitor the impacts?

What are transformational technologies?

Why should we plan for them?

What do we know about their likely impacts?

What do I need to do today? What can wait?

Who do I involve? Who do I partner

with?

How best to get information out to

agencies?

How fast are they coming?

20

What are agencies asking?

How can planning/collaboration facilitate use of new tech and overcome implementation hurdles?

• Adapting the Planning Process:• Self-assess. Develop a Technology Transition Plan for the agency.• Get data. Acquire more data on the day-to-day impacts of new

technologies. MONITOR, MONITOR, MONITOR!• Get smart. Smarten up staff on new technologies.• Be nimble. Adopt a nimbler planning and policy response to the

challenges of new technologies.

BENIMBLE

21

DDOT DistrictMobility.org 22

How can we optimize existing infrastructure to serve expanding regional mobility needs?

Monitor mobility performance Prioritize investments Inform decision making

Data-Driven Decision Making

How does mobility on demand (MOD) or mobility as a service (MaaS) apply to regional travel?

• Monitor the impacts to understand the benefits and costs

2323

Increased pick‐up and drop‐off needs

Trends Downstream Effects

Reduced parking needs

Increased electric vehicle charging needs

City Ordinance Changes

Source: hobokennj.gov24

Source: twitter.com

Key Takeaway #1

• Potential Impacts on Travel and Land Use:

• We do not yet know with certainty the long-term impacts of transformational technologies due to unknows in sustainable price points of technologies and services.

• We can create multiple 20-year future scenarios for planning purposes, but we do not even know enough at this time to assign a probability to each scenario.

25

Key Takeaway #2

• Policy and Planning Challenges:

• New technologies and applications will affect an agency’s traditional funding stream.

• Look for potential new revenue streams.• Dynamic tolling based on usage• Tiered licensing fees for MaaS providers• Monetizing the mobility data streams that agencies control• Entering in to public-private partnerships (PPPs)

26

Key Takeaway #3

• Adapting the Planning Process:

• First, an agency should determine its goals and vision for planning and regulating transformational technologies affecting land use and transportation.

• Then conduct a self-assessment of its ability to achieve its vision and goals.

• Bring new data sources into the planning process.• Get staff smart on the new technologies.• Update plans and regulations so they are more flexible in dealing with new

technologies.• Become nimbler in how it responds to new technologies as they hit the streets.

27

BENIMBLE

28

Shannon Warchol, P.E., Senior Engineer Kittelson & Associates, Inc.

[email protected]

Thank you!

NCHRP Report 924: Foreseeing the Impacts of Transformational Technologies

on Land Use and Transportation

Abby Morgan Rick Dowling

technology opportunities for regional mobility · key takeaway #3 • adapting the planning...

Documents