techniques of manpower planning

8/3/2019 Techniques of Manpower Planning

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TECHNIQUES FOR SCANNING

TREND ANALYSIS

Is a quantitative approach that attempts toforecast future personnel needs based onextrapolating information from historicalchanges in one or more organizationalindices


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TECHNIQUES

INDEX / TREND ANALYSIS

Historical relationship between anoperational business index and thenumber of employees required by theorganization (demand for labour)


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Operational Index:

Sales level

Number of units produced

Number of clients serviced

Production hours


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Steps to conducting Index / TrendAnalysis

1.0 SELECT THE APPROPRIATEBUSINESS / OPERATIONAL INDEX

Direct influence on the organizational demandfor labour

Subjected to future forecasting as a result ofthe normal business planning process


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2.0 TRACK THE BUSINESS INDEXOVER TIME

At least four to five years to record thequantitative or numerical levels of the indexover time


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3.0 TRACK THE WORKFORCE SIZEOVER TIME

Record the historical figures of the total

number of employees for exactly the sameperiod used for the business index


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4.0 CALCULATE THE AVERAGERATIO OF THE BUSINESS INDEX TOTHE WORKFORCE SIZE

Ratio of the number of employees required foreach lakh of sales =

Level of sales / number of employees (each

year) Employee requirement ratio


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5.0 CALCULATE THE FORECASTEDDEMAND FOR LABOUR


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EXPERT FORECASTS

Organizations own line managers

Organizations HR & Business PlanningStaffs

Business Consultants / Financial Analysts/ University Researchers / industryspokespersons

Governmental ministries


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DELPHI TECHNIQUE

Delphi technique is a carefully designedprogram of sequential individualinterrogations (usually conducted through

questionnaires) interspersed withinformation feedback on the opinionsexpressed by other participants in

previous rounds.


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Six steps used in Delphi techniquefor HR Demand forecasting

Define & Refine the Issue or Question

Identify the Experts, terms & time horizon

Orient the Experts Issue the First Round Questionnaire

Issue the First Round Questionnaire

summary and the Second Round ofQuestionnaires

Continue Issuing Questionnaires


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NOMINAL GROUP TECHNIQUE

1. DEFINE & REFINE THE ISSUE ORQUESTION & THE RELEVANT TIMEHORIZONEg. What will Printomagic

Ltd.s demand for manpower in aparticular category be in the year 2015?Please provide your demand estimate &

the explicit assumptions and rationalesupporting your forecast.


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2. Select the Experts

3. Issue the HR Demand Statement to theExperts

4. Apply Expert Knowledge, state assumptionsand prepare an estimate

5. Meet face to face

6. Discuss the demand estimates & assumptions7. Vote secretly to determine the expert demand

assessment


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HR BUDGETS : Staffing orManning Table

HR budgets are quantitative, operationalor short-run, demand estimates thatcontain the number & types of personnel

required by the organization as a whole foreach sub-unit, division or department

It contains information related to a specific

set of operational assumptions or levels ofactivity.


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REGRESSION ANALYSIS

Regression analysis is a very effectivequantitative forecasting technique forshort, medium and long-range time

horizons and can be easily updated andchanged.

techniques of manpower planning

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