tech trends to watch in 2017
TRANSCRIPT
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
A new cloud-based cognitive platform emerges
Bill Chamberlin, Distinguished Market Intelligence Professional, MD&I [email protected] February 15, 2017
Tech Trends to Watch in 2017
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
About This Trend Report
19Feb2017
Purpose: The slides provide an overview of trends impacting the information technology industry in 2017
Content: Summary information about trends in the marketplace, including trends drivers, spending trends, industry business cases, and adoption challenges. Also included are links to additional resources.
How To Use This Report: This report is best read/studied and used as a learning document. You may want to view the slides in slideshow mode so you can easily follow the links
Available on Slideshare: This presentation (and other Trend Reports for 2017) will be available publically on Slideshare at http://www.slideshare.net/horizonwatching
Please Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
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Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
About IBM’s HorizonWatch Trends Research Program
Our focus is on tracking, researching and analyzing emerging trends, business issues, and technologies so we can:
– Develop better IBM strategies for the future– Help our clients develop better strategies for the future
While we do share some research externally, our primary audience is IBM employees
The program has been active since January 2001
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19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
“Segment” Description
2017 Tech Platform Trends
These topics are the current core technology growth categories. These are the topics that make up the '3rd IT Platform' and are all topics that our clients are all focused on.
Emerging Tech TrendsThese emerging (typically 2017-2025) tech trend topics are growing in importance. These trends have the potential to be disruptive to current business processes, business models and entire industries.
Longer Range Tech Trends
These trends are longer-range (2025- 2050). They are all interesting and have the potential to disrupt our industry and our client’s businesses. Have ideas on those types of trends?
Vertical Industry Topics
As the 'Third Platform' matures, vertical solutions are becoming much more important. There will be an explosion of new applications and services built off this new platform.
Business Trends Business trends are important to watch as they can enable and accelerate the adoption of technology trends.
Consumer TrendsConsumer trends can also enable and accelerate the adoption of technology trends within the enterprise. Many business technology trends are a direct result of a consumer technology trend.
There are over 120 topics on the current IBM HorizonWatch Trends Radar List
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"We combine crowdsourcing and secondary research scanning and analysis to identify what is trending"
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
1. Provide context on what we see trending/what trends to be aware of
2. Share our research agenda and focus for 2017– Current Platform - Trends to watch– Emerging Trends - 23 to watch
Objectives of this deck
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19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The current IT Platform (2017) is comprised of the following enabling technologies and capabilities
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1. Cloud Computing2. AI/Cognitive Computing3. (Modern) System Infrastructure4. Mobile Devices5. Internet of Things6. Security7. Big Data Platforms & Tools 8. Analytic Solutions9. Collaboration Platforms & Tools
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Like a tree grows from it’s roots, a whole new set of trends will branch out from this cognitive platform
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Some Examples….1. Conversational Services &
Chatbots2. Blockchain3. Robotic Process Automation (RPA)4. Service Robots5. Industrial Robotics6. Robotic Logistics7. Drones8. Driverless Vehicles9. Enterprise Wearables10.Augmented Reality11.Virtual Reality12.Fog (Edge) Computing13.Quantum Computing14.Affective Computing15.Swarm Computing
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The new IT platform will enable the 4th wave of economic revolution
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1st 2nd 3rd 4thKey Technologies
Steam Engine Combustion Engine, Electricity
Computers, Internet Cloud, AI, Quantum Computing, Nanotechnology, Blockchain
Key Resource Coal / Iron Steel / Oil Silicon / Internet Sensors, Data, Renewables, Next-Gen Nuclear
Manufacturing
Machinery, Tooling, Interchangeable parts
Assembly Line Just in Time, Programmable machines
Intelligent Automation, Robots, Robotics
Transportation
Trains, Canals, Ships Bikes, Cars, Buses, Planes
Commercial, Infrastructure, Electrification
On demand, Swarming
Communication
Telegraph / Newspapers
Phone, Radio, Printed Ads
TV, Screens, Internet, SmartPhone, Wireless, Social
Cryptography, AR/VR, Holographic, Photonics
Financial Services
Paper Money, Stock Exchanges
Checks Credit, Funds, Credit Cards, online payments
Blockchain, Digital Currency
Healthcare Traditional / Medical Classification
Organic Chemistry, Microbiology
Drug Development, Molecular, DNA
Life enhancement & extension, Bio-Printing
Food Crops, Ranches Machinery, Fertilizers, Irrigation
Science, Chemistry, Corporations
3D Printed, Plant based
Clothing Cotton, Power Loom Synthetics Large Retailers Custom, 3D Printed
Companies / Sectors
Banks, Railways Ford, GM, US Steel, GE, Chrysler, Standard Oil, Amoco, CBS, AT&T
Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Comcast, Cisco, Facebook, IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Samsung
?? ?? ??Source: Morgan Stanley: Technology: Disruptions and productivity growth in the next decade of the digital revolution, IBM HorizonWatch
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.9
Industrial Intelligent Automation will be enabled by IoT, Cognitive/AI, Analytics, Intelligent Machines and Assembly Lines, Robots and Robotics, Edge (Fog) Computing and Swarming Technology
The future of manufacturing is intelligent automation
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
We are seeing an increased number of robots designed for industry specific applications
Connie (Concierge)
Tug (Hospitals)Fetch (warehouse)Botlr (Hotel supplies)
Robonaut (NASA)
Kompaï (elder care)
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Tally (Retail) LoweBot (Retail)
Molly (Kitchen)
Pepper (emotion detection / advisor) Baxter (repetitive tasks)
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The future of farming involves robots and drones
Hortibot (weeding)
Bonirob (weeding & fertilizing)
LettuceBot (thinning)
Precision Farming
Yamaha RMAX (Fertilizing)
Image sources: see speaker notes 11 19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.12
Technologies such as IoT, Cognitive/AI, analytics, advanced vehicle communications, edge (fog) computing and swarming technology, will enable driverless on-demand vehicles… virtually eliminating accidents, reducing congestion and pollution, while increasing productivity.
Source: US Department of Transportation
Intelligent Automated Transportation Systems
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Driverless cars get all the press but think about all the other autonomous vehicles that are coming…
Semi’s Construction Equipment
Cargo Ships
Cargo Planes
TrainsDelivery vehicles
13 19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.14
Enabling technologies will include IoT, AI, Cloud, Fog Computing, Swarming Technology, Quantum Computing technology.
Companies to watch: • Uber• Airbus• Kitty Hawk / Zee.Aero• Joby Aviation• Urban Aeronautics• Lilium Aviation• AeroMobile• Volocopter
Image by: Chris J Magdalenski
The future of air transportation will be autonomous and on demand
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The Future of Work: The organizational structure will look something like this….
Management
Smart Robots, Vehicles &
ThingsEmployees
Smart Robots & Things
Cognitive Coach
Customers
Smart Robots & Things
Cognitive Coach
Other Stakeholders
and their “Coaches”
Cognitive Coach
15 19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The Future of Work will involve a partnership between humans and cognitive systems technology
Cognitive Systems will excel at Locating Knowledge Pattern Identification Natural Language Machine Learning Eliminating Bias / Emotion Endless Capacity
Humans will excel at Common Sense Morals Imagination Compassion Abstraction Dilemmas Dreaming Creativity Generalization Judgement
16 19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
The future (2040-50) IT platform will be very fast and optimized for distributed cloud-based cognitive apps
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Characteristics:• Distributed / Edge Computing• Secure• Data as an Asset• Blockchain• Analytics• Cognitive• UX by Design• Very Fast Zettascale computing (1021)?
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Let’s look at the some trends happening around the cognitive era platform
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• Security• System Infrastructure• Cloud Computing• AI/Cognitive Computing• Mobile Devices• Internet of Things• Analytics
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Security: Trends to watch in 2017… and beyond
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Increased pressure on CISOs
Security services in demand
Focus turns to “Response and Remediation”
Growth in SIEM, IAM, mobile security and services
Edge of IoT devices and apps create new security revenue opportunities
Cognitive security
IBM: Step up to the Cognitive Era with Watson for Cyber Security
“Built upon security intelligence, cognitive solutions generate not just answers, but hypotheses, evidence-based reasoning and recommendations for improved decision making in real time. As a result, cognitive security will help address the current skills gap, accelerate responses and help reduce the cost and complexity of dealing with cybercrime.” IBM
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Systems Infrastructure: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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Migration to Cloud continues
Shifts in vendor landscape
Popularity of x86 and Linux OS
Emerging tech to watch
Hyperconverged infrastructure
Blog: IBM Systems Blog
451 Research: 40% of Enterprises Are Using Hyperconverged Infrastructure
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Cloud Computing: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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Convergence of IaaS and PaaS Cloud services
AI and IoT use cases drive cloud adoption
Industry Clouds will be one of the fastest growing segments
Containers will alter cloud platform and management strategies
Cloud hyperscale providers growth creates virtuous cycle
IBM developerWorks: 5 Things to Know about Shifts in Key Business Drivers for Cloud Computing Usage
“As enterprises continue to focus on implementing a cloud infrastructure, many still face roadblocks when it comes to hiring candidates with the right skills.” CIO
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Mobile Enterprise: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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Incorporating new technologies
IoT projects drive mobile initiatives
Developers demand better tools and UX
Self-Service analytics capabilities
Managing apps and information
Security and real-time risk awareness are top concerns
IBM: How a mobile development platform can help IT pros cut through clutter
IBM & SMG: 2016 Mobile Security & Business Transformation Study
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Internet of Things: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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IoT drives demand new technologies
Early adopters move to larger projects
Innovation occurs with IT & Operational Technology Integration
Increased focus on “Edge Computing”
IoT is a solutions play, driven by consulting
IoT drives “data economy”
Security issues remain
IoT is a solutions play, driven by consulting
IBM 3 trends driving IoT innovation
“The Internet of Things will be one of the primary drivers of the digital transformation that enterprises will undergo in the coming years, creating a self-learning environment that will drive digital disruption in physical world.” IBM: Top five Internet of Things trends for 2017
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Analytics: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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Key driver is IoT data
Focus on data and source agnostic analytic tools
Emergence of data lakes
Spark / Hadoop growth continues
Rise of machine learning
LOB influence grows
Self service analytics
Forbes Driving Value By Monetizing Data From The Internet Of Things
IBM: Analytics: Dawn of the cognitive era
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
AI/Cognitive Computing: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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VCs and startups
Patents
Acquisitions continue to accelerate
Vendors court developers to their platforms
Consumer AI tech drives market
Conversational services explode
World of Watson: Ginni Rometty keynote
IBM: The cognitive advantage report
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Other trends we are watching in 2017
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1. Conversational Services & Chatbots2. Blockchain3. Augmented Reality4. Virtual Reality5. Enterprise Wearables6. Industrial IoT7. Fog (Edge) Computing8. Industrial Robotics9. Robotic Logistics10.Enterprise Service Robots11.Enterprise Drones12.Driverless Vehicles13.Vehicle to Vehicle Communications
14. Intelligent Vehicle Transportation15.On Demand Aviation16.Swarm Computing17.Cognitive Computing & Education18.Healthcare Analytics19.Sports Technology20.Data Monetization21.Digital Marketing22.The API economy23.Robotic Process Automation24.Affective Computing25.Quantum Computing26.Software Development
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
Conversational Services and Chatbots: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
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Experimentation accelerates
Potential benefits attract adopters
Awareness grows of top industries & use cases
Characteristics of best services
Vendors court developers
VentureBeat: The state of bots: 11 examples of conversational commerce in 2016
“User experiences with such applications remain disappointing. Although it is easy to get a system to produce words, none of the current agents or bots display general conversational competence.” IBM Research Conversational UX Design CHI 2017 Workshop
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
BlockChain: Trends to watch in 2017 … and beyond
Activity builds in Financial Services
Awareness / activity also builds across other verticals
Standards
Blockchain will enable a secure IoT
Apps developed with an eye for vertical clouds
Regulation
Technical challenges
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“Blockchain is beginning to play a major part in the Internet of Things by enhancing security, enabling inclusion of low-value devices to be increasingly viable and making managing a device easier for decades to come.” IBM: What blockchain means for you, and the Internet of Things
Forbes: How Blockchain Will Evolve In 2017
CB Insights: Banking Is Only The Start: 27 Big Industries Where Blockchain Could Be Used
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)
Note: This report is based on internal IBM analysis and is not meant to be a statement of direction by IBM nor is IBM committing to any particular technology or solution.
More Insights on technology trends are available
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Other slide decks in this 2017 Trend Report series will be posted to Slideshare
You are also invited to check out the following IBM websites and resources– IBM Academy of Technology– IBM Institute for Business Value– IBM Research and Research News and 5 in 5– IBM’s THINK blog– IBM Think Academy on YouTube
19Feb2017 Tech Trends to Watch in 2017 (External Version)