table 1 student enrollment data: historical, current, and ......10/22/2019 q:\enrollment...

Table 1

Student Enrollment Data: Historical, Current, and Projected Enrollment 1990 - 2029

SpecialKG 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total % Chg 6th 7th 8th Total % Chg 9th 10th 11th 12th Total % Chg # # # Chg % Chg

1990 3,294 3,517 3,422 3,482 3,397 3,443 20,702 3,096 3,145 3,079 9,320 3,226 3,016 2,654 2,742 11,638 686 42,3461991 3,345 3,595 3,526 3,508 3,506 3,396 20,984 1.4% 3,491 3,199 3,171 9,861 5.8% 3,565 2,902 2,772 2,607 11,846 1.8% 709 43,400 1,054 2.5%1992 3,483 3,794 3,666 3,623 3,580 3,607 21,768 3.7% 3,443 3,523 3,246 10,212 3.6% 3,746 3,047 2,619 2,766 12,178 2.8% 712 44,870 1,470 3.4%1993 3,240 3,704 3,707 3,664 3,678 3,595 21,605 -0.7% 3,618 3,530 3,506 10,654 4.3% 3,866 3,149 2,753 2,733 12,501 2.7% 779 45,539 669 1.5%1994 3,447 3,551 3,715 3,665 3,684 3,764 21,826 1.0% 3,625 3,624 3,484 10,733 0.7% 3,996 3,135 2,821 2,870 12,822 2.6% 900 46,281 742 1.6%1995 3,677 3,818 3,682 3,737 3,752 3,807 22,473 3.0% 3,782 3,666 3,637 11,085 3.3% 4,281 3,304 2,867 2,877 13,329 4.0% 825 47,712 1,431 3.1%1996 3,611 4,051 3,884 3,781 3,775 3,784 22,886 1.8% 3,790 3,857 3,680 11,327 2.2% 4,328 3,511 2,980 3,009 13,828 3.7% 760 48,801 1,089 2.3%1997 3,634 4,103 4,046 3,983 3,909 3,854 23,529 2.8% 3,892 3,830 3,914 11,636 2.7% 4,453 3,574 3,187 3,152 14,366 3.9% 751 50,282 1,481 3.0%1998 3,531 4,119 4,189 4,118 4,105 3,982 24,044 2.2% 3,888 3,957 3,899 11,744 0.9% 4,286 3,893 3,401 3,259 14,839 3.3% 994 51,621 1,339 2.7%1999 3,545 4,188 4,244 4,280 4,254 4,179 24,690 2.7% 4,066 4,024 4,122 12,212 4.0% 4,367 4,022 3,506 3,397 15,292 3.1% 868 53,062 1,441 2.8%2000 3,615 4,303 4,347 4,456 4,461 4,471 25,653 3.9% 4,348 4,184 4,242 12,774 4.6% 4,926 3,995 3,696 3,462 16,079 5.1% 633 55,139 2,077 3.9%2001 3,966 4,494 4,416 4,596 4,640 4,702 26,814 4.5% 4,581 4,525 4,339 13,445 5.3% 5,482 4,082 3,702 3,615 16,881 5.0% 683 57,823 2,684 4.9%2002 4,072 4,772 4,597 4,625 4,815 4,836 27,717 3.4% 4,912 4,705 4,639 14,256 6.0% 5,471 4,503 3,841 3,743 17,558 4.0% 698 60,229 2,406 4.2%2003 4,431 4,901 4,885 4,806 4,845 4,952 28,820 4.0% 5,074 5,063 4,898 15,035 5.5% 5,979 4,546 4,074 3,926 18,525 5.5% 719 63,099 2,870 4.8%2004 4,607 5,315 5,066 5,042 5,034 5,037 30,101 4.4% 5,119 5,197 5,262 15,580 3.6% 6,143 4,975 4,300 4,227 19,652 6.1% 760 66,093 2,994 4.7%2005 5,058 5,507 5,270 5,133 5,161 5,157 31,286 3.9% 5,091 5,236 5,296 15,623 0.3% 6,477 5,084 4,574 4,306 20,448 4.1% 877 68,234 2,141 3.2%2006 5,298 5,844 5,564 5,345 5,333 5,320 32,704 4.5% 5,262 5,155 5,331 15,748 0.8% 6,433 5,498 4,751 4,546 21,228 3.8% 1,003 70,683 2,449 3.6%2007 5,711 5,824 5,833 5,576 5,492 5,422 33,858 3.5% 5,406 5,367 5,267 16,040 1.9% 6,450 5,498 5,051 4,793 21,792 2.7% 964 72,654 1,971 2.8%2008 5,641 6,001 5,857 5,756 5,652 5,521 34,428 1.7% 5,428 5,509 5,336 16,273 1.5% 6,276 5,509 5,091 5,054 21,930 0.6% 1,027 73,657 1,003 1.4%2009 5,925 6,065 6,181 6,003 6,008 5,873 36,055 4.7% 5,697 5,663 5,674 17,034 4.7% 6,428 5,514 5,189 5,197 22,328 1.8% 1,239 76,656 2,999 4.1%2010 5,986 6,377 6,198 6,326 6,192 6,182 37,261 3.3% 6,027 5,877 5,796 17,700 3.9% 6,453 5,752 5,323 5,329 22,857 2.4% 1,298 79,115 2,459 3.2%2011 6,439 6,405 6,482 6,300 6,467 6,343 38,436 3.2% 6,254 6,125 5,972 18,351 3.7% 6,675 5,989 5,485 5,351 23,500 2.8% 1,348 81,635 2,520 3.2%2012 6,459 6,829 6,472 6,552 6,375 6,582 39,269 2.2% 6,417 6,268 6,217 18,902 3.0% 6,734 6,104 5,666 5,511 24,015 2.2% 1,365 83,551 1,916 2.3%2013 6,250 6,806 6,888 6,524 6,619 6,451 39,538 0.7% 6,621 6,444 6,408 19,473 3.0% 6,884 6,227 5,827 5,727 24,665 2.7% 1,379 85,055 1,504 1.8%2014 6,365 6,529 6,888 6,913 6,545 6,680 39,920 1.0% 6,441 6,705 6,557 19,703 1.2% 7,240 6,420 5,706 5,883 25,249 2.4% 1,337 86,209 1,154 1.4%2015 6,271 6,675 6,630 6,899 6,953 6,642 40,070 0.4% 6,724 6,483 6,797 20,004 1.5% 7,162 6,840 6,016 5,843 25,861 2.4% 1,319 87,253 1,045 1.2%2016 6,256 6,611 6,778 6,783 7,071 7,070 40,569 1.2% 6,692 6,839 6,564 20,095 0.5% 7,514 6,957 6,350 6,103 26,923 4.1% 1,333 88,920 1,667 1.9%2017 6,435 6,548 6,675 6,860 6,862 7,102 40,482 -0.2% 7,086 6,748 6,879 20,713 3.1% 7,192 7,291 6,470 6,308 27,261 1.3% 1,405 89,861 941 1.1%2018 6,254 6,691 6,623 6,701 6,913 6,928 40,110 -0.9% 7,112 7,147 6,738 20,997 1.4% 7,392 6,981 6,789 6,448 27,610 1.3% 1,486 90,203 342 0.4%2019 6,303 6,639 6,806 6,745 6,854 7,075 40,422 0.8% 6,960 7,172 7,225 21,357 1.7% 7,497 7,213 6,507 6,841 28,058 1.6% 1,689 91,526 1,323 1.5%2020 6,315 6,662 6,749 6,914 6,879 6,994 40,513 0.2% 7,109 7,026 7,237 21,372 0.1% 7,979 7,312 6,728 6,543 28,562 1.8% 1,600 92,048 522 0.6%2021 6,332 6,674 6,772 6,856 7,051 7,019 40,703 0.5% 7,027 7,176 7,089 21,292 -0.4% 7,991 7,781 6,820 6,764 29,356 2.8% 1,639 92,989 941 1.0%2022 6,397 6,691 6,783 6,878 6,990 7,193 40,933 0.6% 7,051 7,092 7,239 21,383 0.4% 7,827 7,792 7,257 6,856 29,731 1.3% 1,663 93,709 720 0.8%2023 6,460 6,756 6,796 6,886 7,009 7,127 41,034 0.2% 7,222 7,113 7,150 21,485 0.5% 7,988 7,628 7,262 7,291 30,169 1.5% 1,672 94,360 650 0.7%2024 6,522 6,821 6,862 6,898 7,016 7,145 41,265 0.6% 7,155 7,285 7,170 21,610 0.6% 7,889 7,784 7,109 7,296 30,078 -0.3% 1,690 94,644 284 0.3%2025 6,601 6,904 6,945 6,982 7,046 7,170 41,648 0.9% 7,191 7,235 7,361 21,787 0.8% 7,930 7,707 7,272 7,159 30,067 0.0% 1,707 95,208 564 0.6%2026 6,690 6,997 7,039 7,076 7,141 7,211 42,154 1.2% 7,226 7,281 7,321 21,828 0.2% 8,153 7,757 7,209 7,333 30,453 1.3% 1,722 96,157 949 1.0%2027 6,787 7,098 7,140 7,178 7,244 7,315 42,763 1.4% 7,273 7,323 7,374 21,971 0.7% 8,116 7,983 7,264 7,277 30,639 0.6% 1,739 97,111 954 1.0%2028 6,901 7,218 7,261 7,299 7,367 7,438 43,484 1.7% 7,396 7,389 7,435 22,220 1.1% 8,195 7,965 7,492 7,349 31,001 1.2% 1,755 98,460 1,349 1.4%2029 7,028 7,350 7,394 7,433 7,501 7,574 44,280 1.8% 7,531 7,524 7,512 22,567 1.6% 8,274 8,054 7,487 7,591 31,405 1.3% 1,771 100,024 1,564 1.6%

YearPWCS Enrollment

Elementary Middle High Total Enrollment

10/22/2019Q:\Enrollment Forecast\2019-20\Reports\2019-20 Current and Projected Enrollment v1

1

Table 2

Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected EnrollmentElementary School, 2019-2029

Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization

Alvey 838 0 596 242 71.1% 529 309 63.1% 485 353 57.9% 453 385 54.0% 383 455 45.7% 394 444 47.1%Antietam 939 0 795 144 84.7% 792 147 84.3% 785 154 83.6% 779 160 82.9% 786 153 83.7% 810 129 86.3%Ashland 960 0 857 103 89.3% 871 89 90.7% 885 75 92.2% 896 64 93.3% 927 33 96.5% 957 3 99.7%Bel Air 392 2 392 0 100.0% 392 0 100.0% 389 3 99.2% 386 6 98.4% 387 5 98.7% 399 -7 101.8%Belmont 536 0 525 11 97.9% 531 5 99.1% 555 -19 103.5% 578 -42 107.8% 602 -66 112.3% 653 -117 121.8%Bennett 828 0 728 100 87.9% 742 86 89.7% 750 78 90.6% 765 63 92.4% 768 60 92.7% 848 -20 102.4%Bristow Run 828 0 622 206 75.1% 598 230 72.2% 596 232 72.0% 558 270 67.4% 553 275 66.8% 571 257 69.0%Buckland Mills 919 0 700 219 76.2% 685 234 74.5% 685 234 74.5% 693 226 75.4% 705 214 76.7% 749 170 81.5%Cedar Point 838 0 575 263 68.6% 563 275 67.2% 564 274 67.3% 573 265 68.4% 601 237 71.7% 663 175 79.1%Coles 368 3 412 -44 112.0% 429 -61 116.7% 433 -65 117.8% 451 -83 122.5% 478 -110 129.8% 502 -134 136.5%Covington-Harper 783 0 685 98 87.5% 814 -31 104.0% 936 -153 119.6% 1,058 -275 135.2% 1,272 -489 162.4% 1,493 -710 190.7%Dale City 371 3 414 -43 111.6% 412 -41 111.0% 411 -40 110.7% 410 -39 110.6% 409 -38 110.3% 422 -51 113.7%Dumfries 379 5 443 -64 116.9% 450 -71 118.6% 459 -80 121.2% 469 -90 123.7% 539 -160 142.3% 745 -366 196.5%Ellis 492 3 507 -15 103.0% 487 5 98.9% 483 9 98.2% 470 22 95.5% 470 22 95.5% 513 -21 104.2%Enterprise 398 4 359 39 90.2% 351 47 88.2% 345 53 86.7% 332 66 83.4% 320 78 80.3% 330 68 82.8%Featherstone 415 3 485 -70 116.9% 484 -69 116.6% 485 -70 116.8% 466 -51 112.2% 444 -29 107.1% 463 -48 111.5%Fitzgerald 773 2 828 -55 107.1% 838 -65 108.4% 834 -61 107.9% 854 -81 110.4% 849 -76 109.8% 961 -188 124.4%Glenkirk 823 0 736 87 89.4% 674 149 81.9% 642 181 78.1% 609 214 74.0% 553 270 67.2% 570 253 69.3%Gravely 936 0 877 59 93.7% 887 49 94.8% 899 37 96.1% 895 41 95.6% 872 64 93.2% 928 8 99.2%Haymarket 944 2 840 104 89.0% 827 117 87.6% 811 133 85.9% 803 141 85.1% 790 154 83.6% 875 69 92.7%Henderson 915 0 797 118 87.1% 796 119 87.0% 768 147 84.0% 768 147 84.0% 737 178 80.5% 776 139 84.8%Jenkins 662 0 546 116 82.5% 535 127 80.8% 508 154 76.8% 499 163 75.4% 496 166 74.9% 565 97 85.3%Kerrydale 355 1 345 10 97.2% 345 10 97.1% 342 13 96.3% 333 22 93.7% 329 26 92.6% 339 16 95.5%Kilby 684 0 590 94 86.3% 612 72 89.5% 635 49 92.9% 690 -6 100.8% 756 -72 110.5% 841 -157 123.0%King 430 0 442 -12 102.8% 430 0 100.1% 414 16 96.4% 402 28 93.6% 377 53 87.7% 389 41 90.4%Lake Ridge 871 0 667 204 76.6% 671 200 77.1% 693 178 79.6% 706 165 81.0% 714 157 82.0% 737 134 84.6%Leesylvania 760 0 710 50 93.4% 701 59 92.2% 731 29 96.1% 723 37 95.1% 767 -7 100.9% 837 -77 110.1%Loch Lomond 441 6 550 -109 124.7% 550 -109 124.6% 575 -134 130.4% 587 -146 133.0% 630 -189 142.8% 652 -211 147.9%Marshall 738 0 704 34 95.4% 694 44 94.1% 671 67 90.9% 647 91 87.6% 616 122 83.5% 655 83 88.8%Marumsco Hills 579 6 577 2 99.7% 588 -9 101.6% 608 -29 105.0% 628 -49 108.4% 659 -80 113.9% 716 -137 123.7%McAuliffe 446 0 440 6 98.7% 430 16 96.3% 429 17 96.2% 423 23 94.8% 424 22 95.0% 437 9 97.9%Minnieville 612 0 557 55 91.0% 562 50 91.9% 601 11 98.2% 622 -10 101.6% 638 -26 104.2% 657 -45 107.4%Montclair 592 1 670 -78 113.2% 685 -93 115.6% 699 -107 118.2% 704 -112 118.9% 697 -105 117.8% 734 -142 124.0%Mountain View 721 0 525 196 72.8% 503 218 69.8% 470 251 65.1% 440 281 61.0% 401 320 55.6% 413 308 57.3%Mullen 709 3 725 -16 102.3% 755 -46 106.4% 767 -58 108.2% 775 -66 109.4% 820 -111 115.6% 849 -140 119.8%Neabsco 716 2 678 38 94.7% 669 47 93.5% 666 50 93.0% 652 64 91.0% 646 70 90.3% 666 50 93.1%Nokesville School, The 641 0 670 -29 104.5% 699 -58 109.1% 718 -77 112.0% 740 -99 115.4% 772 -131 120.4% 949 -308 148.0%Occoquan 498 4 634 -136 127.3% 646 -148 129.7% 657 -159 132.0% 656 -158 131.7% 653 -155 131.1% 708 -210 142.1%Old Bridge 532 0 513 19 96.4% 506 26 95.1% 489 43 92.0% 479 53 90.0% 447 85 84.1% 463 69 87.0%Parks 851 0 679 172 79.8% 648 203 76.1% 642 209 75.4% 634 217 74.6% 636 215 74.8% 704 147 82.8%Pattie 785 0 711 74 90.6% 690 95 87.9% 666 119 84.9% 642 143 81.8% 593 192 75.6% 614 171 78.2%Penn 663 0 657 6 99.1% 671 -8 101.2% 679 -16 102.4% 698 -35 105.3% 714 -51 107.7% 750 -87 113.1%Pennington (ES) 364 0 405 -41 111.3% 405 -41 111.3% 405 -41 111.3% 405 -41 111.3% 405 -41 111.3% 405 -41 111.3%

2021-22 2022-23 2024-25 2029-30

Elementary School

Program Capacity

Portable Class-rooms

2019-20 2020-21


2

Table 2

Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected EnrollmentElementary School, 2019-2029

Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization

2021-22 2022-23 2024-25 2029-30

Elementary School

Program Capacity


2019-20 2020-21

Piney Branch 931 0 777 154 83.5% 779 152 83.6% 769 162 82.6% 746 185 80.2% 735 196 78.9% 757 174 81.4%Porter (ES) 356 0 420 -64 118.0% 420 -64 118.0% 420 -64 118.0% 420 -64 118.0% 420 -64 118.0% 420 -64 118.0%Potomac View 516 4 539 -23 104.5% 572 -56 110.9% 613 -97 118.8% 642 -126 124.3% 689 -173 133.6% 743 -227 144.0%River Oaks 612 1 648 -36 105.9% 660 -48 107.9% 650 -38 106.2% 665 -53 108.6% 646 -34 105.6% 666 -54 108.8%Rockledge 522 1 531 -9 101.7% 515 7 98.8% 517 5 99.1% 523 -1 100.2% 514 8 98.5% 566 -44 108.4%Signal Hill 819 2 687 132 83.9% 673 146 82.2% 654 165 79.8% 645 174 78.8% 623 196 76.0% 697 122 85.1%Sinclair 662 2 792 -130 119.6% 796 -134 120.3% 816 -154 123.2% 837 -175 126.4% 862 -200 130.1% 892 -230 134.8%Springwoods 946 0 796 150 84.1% 799 147 84.4% 794 152 84.0% 795 151 84.0% 803 143 84.9% 828 118 87.5%Sudley 639 1 678 -39 106.1% 660 -21 103.2% 665 -26 104.1% 679 -40 106.2% 683 -44 106.8% 704 -65 110.1%Swans Creek 632 1 629 3 99.5% 646 -14 102.3% 640 -8 101.3% 659 -27 104.2% 642 -10 101.5% 683 -51 108.1%Triangle 752 0 772 -20 102.7% 808 -56 107.4% 819 -67 108.9% 820 -68 109.1% 816 -64 108.4% 942 -190 125.2%Tyler 574 0 482 92 84.0% 478 96 83.3% 498 76 86.8% 507 67 88.3% 566 8 98.7% 628 -54 109.4%Vaughan 585 3 594 -9 101.5% 603 -18 103.1% 609 -24 104.2% 605 -20 103.4% 603 -18 103.1% 622 -37 106.3%Victory 874 0 660 214 75.5% 688 186 78.8% 699 175 80.0% 732 142 83.8% 719 155 82.3% 754 120 86.3%West Gate 497 3 535 -38 107.6% 560 -63 112.7% 581 -84 117.0% 612 -115 123.2% 639 -142 128.6% 659 -162 132.6%Westridge 709 0 697 12 98.3% 704 5 99.3% 700 9 98.8% 714 -5 100.8% 698 11 98.4% 720 -11 101.6%Williams 696 1 726 -30 104.3% 687 9 98.7% 664 32 95.4% 644 52 92.6% 633 63 90.9% 652 44 93.7%Wilson 872 0 898 -26 103.0% 884 -12 101.4% 874 -2 100.3% 887 -15 101.8% 892 -20 102.3% 951 -79 109.1%Wood 950 0 912 38 96.0% 888 62 93.5% 853 97 89.8% 841 109 88.5% 814 136 85.7% 841 109 88.5%Yorkshire 745 3 754 -9 101.2% 780 -35 104.7% 811 -66 108.8% 818 -73 109.8% 823 -78 110.5% 929 -184 124.7%Yung 839 0 727 112 86.7% 738 101 88.0% 763 76 91.0% 766 73 91.3% 786 53 93.7% 897 -58 106.9%

Total 43,053 72 40,422 2,631 93.9% 40,487 2,566 94.0% 40,678 2,375 94.5% 40,905 2,148 95.0% 41,239 1,814 95.8% 44,254 -1,201 102.8%


3

Table 3Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected Enrollment

Middle School, 2019-2029

Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space UtilizationBenton 1,464 0 1,434 30 98.0% 1,320 144 90.2% 1,315 149 89.8% 1,279 185 87.4% 1,254 210 85.7% 1,354 110 92.5%Beville 1,191 0 1,068 123 89.7% 1,051 140 88.2% 1,076 115 90.3% 1,092 99 91.7% 1,064 127 89.3% 1,047 144 87.9%Bull Run 1,233 0 1,206 27 97.8% 1,194 39 96.8% 1,140 93 92.5% 1,142 91 92.6% 1,135 98 92.1% 1,190 43 96.5%Gainesville 1,233 7 1,427 -194 115.7% 1,442 -209 117.0% 1,398 -165 113.4% 1,444 -211 117.1% 1,419 -186 115.1% 1,310 -77 106.2%Graham Park 867 8 986 -119 113.7% 1,030 -163 118.8% 1,074 -207 123.9% 1,092 -225 126.0% 1,164 -297 134.3% 1,295 -428 149.4%Hampton 982 2 1,052 -70 107.1% 1,066 -84 108.6% 1,018 -36 103.7% 1,033 -51 105.2% 1,039 -57 105.8% 1,080 -98 110.0%Lake Ridge 1,464 0 1,484 -20 101.4% 1,477 -13 100.9% 1,436 28 98.1% 1,413 51 96.5% 1,402 62 95.8% 1,459 5 99.7%Lynn 1,170 10 1,339 -169 114.4% 1,340 -170 114.5% 1,352 -182 115.6% 1,354 -184 115.7% 1,497 -327 127.9% 1,687 -517 144.2%Marsteller 1,233 5 1,286 -53 104.3% 1,264 -31 102.5% 1,215 18 98.5% 1,173 60 95.1% 1,133 100 91.9% 1,186 47 96.2%Nokesville School, The (MS) 439 0 379 60 86.3% 378 61 86.1% 368 71 83.8% 382 57 87.0% 414 25 94.3% 506 -67 115.3%Parkside 1,453 2 1,485 -32 102.2% 1,527 -74 105.1% 1,551 -98 106.7% 1,578 -125 108.6% 1,555 -102 107.0% 1,674 -221 115.2%Pennington (MS) 243 0 246 -3 101.2% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0%Porter (MS) 252 0 265 -13 105.2% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0%Potomac 1,464 0 1,262 202 86.2% 1,301 163 88.9% 1,365 99 93.2% 1,393 71 95.2% 1,491 -27 101.8% 1,546 -82 105.6%Reagan 1,233 5 1,460 -227 118.4% 1,420 -187 115.2% 1,408 -175 114.2% 1,402 -169 113.7% 1,397 -164 113.3% 1,252 -19 101.5%Rippon 1,390 2 1,348 42 97.0% 1,342 48 96.5% 1,402 -12 100.9% 1,429 -39 102.8% 1,507 -117 108.4% 1,591 -201 114.5%Saunders 1,212 0 1,217 -5 100.4% 1,249 -37 103.1% 1,165 47 96.1% 1,138 74 93.9% 1,104 108 91.1% 1,118 94 92.2%Stonewall 1,360 0 1,150 210 84.6% 1,201 159 88.3% 1,209 151 88.9% 1,256 104 92.4% 1,274 86 93.7% 1,436 -76 105.6%Woodbridge 1,066 9 1,263 -197 118.5% 1,260 -194 118.2% 1,286 -220 120.6% 1,272 -206 119.3% 1,255 -189 117.7% 1,329 -263 124.7%

Total 20,949 50 21,357 -408 101.9% 21,358 -409 102.0% 21,275 -326 101.6% 21,367 -418 102.0% 21,596 -647 103.1% 22,554 -1,605 107.7%

Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization13th 2,557 0 0 2,557 0.0% 0 2,557 0.0% 1,650 907 64.5% 2,270 287 88.8% 2,628 -71 102.8% 2,585 -28 101.1%Battlefield 2,053 21 2,949 -896 143.6% 2,986 -933 145.4% 2,421 -368 117.9% 2,170 -117 105.7% 1,919 134 93.5% 1,613 440 78.6%Brentsville 1,110 0 979 131 88.2% 1,009 101 90.9% 1,049 61 94.5% 1,048 62 94.4% 1,088 22 98.1% 1,327 -217 119.5%Colgan 2,053 5 2,786 -733 135.7% 2,809 -756 136.8% 2,738 -685 133.4% 2,711 -658 132.1% 2,592 -539 126.2% 2,531 -478 123.3%Forest Park 2,053 0 2,229 -176 108.6% 2,196 -143 106.9% 2,221 -168 108.2% 2,253 -200 109.7% 2,320 -267 113.0% 2,675 -622 130.3%Freedom 2,053 8 2,131 -78 103.8% 2,204 -151 107.3% 2,260 -207 110.1% 2,396 -343 116.7% 2,421 -368 117.9% 2,834 -781 138.1%Gar-Field 2,839 0 2,319 520 81.7% 2,349 490 82.8% 2,474 365 87.1% 2,472 367 87.1% 2,437 402 85.9% 2,516 323 88.6%Hylton 2,053 0 2,193 -140 106.8% 2,153 -100 104.9% 2,186 -133 106.5% 2,109 -56 102.7% 2,127 -74 103.6% 1,974 79 96.2%Osbourn Park 2,430 0 2,578 -148 106.1% 2,635 -205 108.4% 2,927 -497 120.4% 3,074 -644 126.5% 3,178 -748 130.8% 3,466 -1,036 142.6%Patriot 2,053 20 2,721 -668 132.5% 2,751 -698 134.0% 2,181 -128 106.2% 1,944 109 94.7% 1,833 220 89.3% 1,634 419 79.6%Potomac (HS) 2,357 0 1,867 491 79.2% 1,937 420 82.2% 2,029 328 86.1% 2,156 201 91.5% 2,345 12 99.5% 2,523 -166 107.0%Stonewall Jackson 2,409 7 2,593 -184 107.6% 2,701 -292 112.1% 2,258 151 93.7% 2,096 313 87.0% 2,067 342 85.8% 2,388 21 99.1%Woodbridge (HS) 2,734 0 2,712 22 99.2% 2,833 -99 103.6% 2,963 -229 108.4% 3,032 -298 110.9% 3,122 -388 114.2% 3,339 -605 122.1%

26,1971

28,7542

1 Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2019-20 and 2020-21 school years.

Table 4

2022-23 2024-25 2029-30

Middle School

Planning Capacity

Portable Classrooms

2019-20 2020-21 2021-22

High School, 2019-2029

High School

Planning Capacity

Portable Classrooms

2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2024-25 2029-30

Total HS 61 28,056 -1,859 107.1% 28,562 -2,365 109.0% 29,356 -602 102.1% 29,732 -978 103.4%

2 Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2021-22 through 2029-30 school year.

Notes: (A) Tables 2-4 numbers are rounded up to the nearest whole number; thus totals, may be affected because of rounding.(B) Student enrollment projections for 2021-22 reflect the opening of the 13th HS and the adoption of new attendance areas in the following manner. Rising 9th and 10th grade students will be reassigned, 11th grade students will have a one-time provision to remain at their currently assigned school as transfer students, and rising 12th grade students will not be reassigned. The 13th HS will open without a 12th grade class for its opening year only.

-1,324 104.6% 31,406 -2,652 109.2%30,078

Q:\Enrollment Forecast\2019-20\Reports\2019-20 Current and Projected Enrollment v14

Elementary School Spacewith Approved CIP Solutions

School Years 2019-29

2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30

Total 3,779 9 3,947 113 110 111 88 102 113 92 55 -3 -49 -103

Bel Air 392 2 427 0 0 3 6 1 5 5 4 2 -2 -7

Dale City 371 3 427 -43 -41 -40 -39 -33 -38 -38 -40 -42 -46 -51

Fitzgerald 773 2 812 -55 -65 -61 -81 -76 -76 -89 -111 -151 -169 -188

Henderson 915 915 118 119 147 147 164 178 171 163 156 149 139Minnieville 612 612 55 50 11 -10 -33 -26 -26 -28 -31 -38 -45Neabsco 716 2 753 38 47 50 64 79 70 69 67 64 57 50

Total (After CIP) 113 110 111 88 102 113 92 55 -3 -49 -103Percentage Utilization 97.0% 97.1% 97.1% 97.7% 97.3% 97.0% 97.6% 98.5% 100.1% 101.3% 102.7%

New School - Add'l SpaceAddition - Add'l SpaceAdd'l Space LocationTotal 4,639 8 4,788 25 -116 -195 -318 -388 -501 -670 -845 -1,000 -1,077 -1,156

Covington-Harper 783 783 98 -31 -153 -275 -403 -489 -575 -621 -678 -692 -710Dumfries 379 5 468 -64 -71 -80 -90 -116 -160 -209 -280 -347 -357 -366

Pattie 785 785 74 95 119 143 184 192 191 189 186 179 171

River Oaks 612 1 631 -36 -48 -38 -53 -30 -34 -34 -36 -40 -46 -54Swans Creek 632 1 653 3 -14 -8 -27 -27 -10 -17 -29 -33 -41 -51Triangle 752 752 -20 -56 -67 -68 -63 -64 -90 -129 -146 -171 -190Williams 696 1 717 -30 9 32 52 67 63 63 61 57 51 44

Total (After CIP) 25 -116 -195 -318 362 249 80 -95 -250 -327 344Percentage Utilization 99.5% 102.5% 104.2% 106.9% 93.3% 95.4% 98.5% 101.8% 104.6% 106.1% 94.4%

New School - Add'l Space 750 750 750 750 750 750 1,500

Addition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space LocationPotomac

Shores ES #2

New ES - Rt. 1 (South)

Planning Area Elementary School

2020 Program Capacity


Cardinal

Cherry Hill

Capacity w/ Portables

Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

1/10/2020

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5



2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30






Total 4,917 8 5,079 160 190 194 187 167 166 150 116 74 9 -87Ashland 960 960 103 89 75 64 52 33 33 29 24 15 3Coles 368 3 430 -44 -61 -65 -83 -96 -110 -112 -116 -120 -126 -134Enterprise 398 4 477 39 47 53 66 80 78 78 77 75 72 68King 430 430 -12 0 16 28 38 53 53 52 50 46 41McAuliffe 446 446 6 16 17 23 24 22 22 21 18 14 9Montclair 592 1 613 -78 -93 -107 -112 -109 -105 -109 -116 -125 -132 -142Parks 851 851 172 203 209 217 194 215 215 213 209 188 147Wilson 872 872 -26 -12 -2 -15 -15 -20 -30 -44 -58 -68 -79

Total (After CIP) 160 190 194 187 167 166 150 116 74 9 -87Percentage Utilization 96.7% 96.1% 96.0% 96.2% 96.6% 96.6% 97.0% 97.6% 98.5% 99.8% 101.8%

New School - Add'l SpaceAddition - Add'l SpaceAdd'l Space LocationTotal 4,932 2 4,983 912 1,023 1,084 1,142 1,150 1,215 1,180 1,144 1,109 1,040 945

Alvey 838 838 242 309 353 385 428 455 455 454 452 448 444Buckland Mills 919 919 219 234 234 226 213 214 205 199 187 179 170Gravely 936 936 59 49 37 41 44 64 59 54 47 28 8Haymarket 944 2 995 104 117 133 141 127 154 135 116 108 93 69Mountain View 721 721 196 218 251 281 304 320 320 319 316 312 308Tyler 574 574 92 96 76 67 34 8 6 3 -1 -21 -54

Total (After CIP) 912 1,023 1,084 1,142 1,150 1,215 1,180 1,144 1,109 1,040 945Percentage Utilization 81.5% 79.3% 78.0% 76.8% 76.7% 75.4% 76.1% 76.8% 77.5% 78.9% 80.8%

New School - Add'l SpaceAddition - Add'l SpaceAdd'l Space Location

Haymarket

Ferlazzo

1/10/2020


6



2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30






Total 5,017 5 5,117 384 383 381 365 429 402 388 355 304 243 186Antietam 939 939 144 147 154 160 167 153 153 150 146 138 129Lake Ridge 871 871 204 200 178 165 168 157 156 154 150 143 134Occoquan 498 4 577 -136 -148 -159 -158 -153 -155 -163 -177 -194 -201 -210Old Bridge 532 532 19 26 43 53 73 85 84 82 79 75 69Rockledge 522 1 543 -9 7 5 -1 8 8 4 -4 -18 -37 -44Springwoods 946 946 150 147 152 151 153 143 143 140 136 128 118Westridge 709 709 12 5 9 -5 13 11 11 8 4 -3 -11

Total (After CIP) 384 383 381 365 429 402 745 712 661 600 543Percentage Utilization 92.3% 92.4% 92.4% 92.7% 91.4% 92.0% 86.1% 86.8% 87.7% 88.8% 89.9%

New School - Add'l Space 357 357 357 357 357Addition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space LocationOcc ES -Replace-

ment

Total 6,724 6,724 1,045 1,097 1,119 1,159 1,212 1,191 1,137 1,065 967 861 722Bristow Run 828 828 206 230 232 270 270 275 274 272 269 264 257Cedar Point 838 838 263 275 274 265 265 237 236 234 231 212 175Glenkirk 823 823 87 149 181 214 242 270 270 268 265 260 253Nokesville School (ES) 641 641 -29 -58 -77 -99 -94 -131 -160 -197 -255 -285 -308Piney Branch 931 931 154 152 162 185 192 196 196 194 190 182 174Victory 874 874 214 186 175 142 156 155 146 140 136 129 120Wood 950 950 38 62 97 109 132 136 135 132 128 120 109Yung 839 839 112 101 76 73 49 53 39 21 2 -20 -58

Total (After CIP) 1,045 1,097 1,119 1,159 1,212 1,191 1,137 1,065 967 861 722Percentage Utilization 84.5% 83.7% 83.4% 82.8% 82.0% 82.3% 83.1% 84.2% 85.6% 87.2% 89.3%

New School - Add'l SpaceAddition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space Location

Lake Ridge

Linton Hall

1/10/2020


7



2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30






Total 1,756 1 1,775 50 46 64 79 95 97 88 75 54 34 12Kerrydale 355 1 374 10 10 13 22 19 26 26 25 23 20 16Marshall 738 738 34 44 67 91 120 122 118 112 101 91 83

Penn 663 663 6 -8 -16 -35 -44 -51 -57 -62 -70 -78 -87


New School - Add'l SpaceAddition - Add'l SpaceAdd'l Space LocationTotal 4,737 16 5,021 171 110 -7 -92 -204 -280 -326 -387 -465 -565 -703

Belmont 536 536 11 5 -19 -42 -60 -66 -69 -76 -83 -98 -117Featherstone 415 3 468 -70 -69 -70 -51 -37 -29 -30 -31 -34 -39 -48Jenkins 662 662 116 127 154 163 157 166 163 156 152 140 97Kilby 684 684 94 72 49 -6 -47 -72 -96 -114 -138 -147 -157Leesylvania 760 760 50 59 29 37 22 -7 -9 -14 -20 -46 -77Marumsco Hills 579 6 691 2 -9 -29 -49 -64 -80 -86 -96 -113 -129 -137Potomac View 516 4 579 -23 -56 -97 -126 -141 -173 -180 -192 -207 -215 -227Vaughan 585 3 641 -9 -18 -24 -20 -32 -18 -18 -20 -24 -30 -37

Total (After CIP) 171 110 -7 -92 453 377 331 270 192 92 -46Percentage Utilization 96.4% 97.7% 100.2% 101.9% 91.6% 93.0% 93.9% 95.0% 96.4% 98.3% 100.9%

New School - Add'l Space 657 657 657 657 657 657 657Addition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space LocationOcc/

Woodbdg ES - [Site Needed]

Total 2,999 12 3,213 -238 -259 -314 -374 -437 -474 -476 -488 -508 -553 -618Ellis 492 3 548 -15 5 9 22 21 22 21 19 16 5 -21Mullen 709 3 765 -16 -46 -58 -66 -91 -111 -111 -114 -118 -128 -140Sinclair 662 2 697 -130 -134 -154 -175 -198 -200 -200 -203 -208 -220 -230Sudley 639 1 659 -39 -21 -26 -40 -42 -44 -44 -46 -50 -56 -65West Gate 497 3 544 -38 -63 -84 -115 -126 -142 -142 -144 -148 -154 -162

Total (After CIP) -238 -259 -314 114 51 13 12 -1 -21 313 248Percentage Utilization 107.9% 108.6% 110.5% 96.7% 98.6% 99.6% 99.7% 100.0% 100.6% 91.9% 93.6%

New School - Add'l Space 487 487 487 487 487 487 866 866Addition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space LocationRosemount Lewis ES

(70%)

Yorkshire Area ES

(50%)-Site Needed

Mid-County

Neabsco Mills /Northern Route 1

Stonewall

1/10/2020


8



2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30






Total 2,833 11 3,043 114 88 43 18 24 -10 -28 -60 -110 -242 -293Bennett 828 828 100 86 78 63 64 60 50 32 7 -8 -20Loch Lomond 441 6 547 -109 -109 -134 -146 -163 -189 -189 -191 -194 -203 -211Signal Hill 819 2 870 132 146 165 174 189 196 190 180 164 143 122Yorkshire 745 3 798 -9 -35 -66 -73 -68 -78 -79 -82 -87 -173 -184


New School - Add'l Space 209 209 209 209 209 209 588 588Addition - Add'l Space

Add'l Space LocationRosemount Lewis ES

(30%)

Yorkshire Area ES

(50%)-Site Needed

Total (prior to CIP measures) 42,333 72 43,689 2,736 2,671 2,480 2,253 2,151 1,919 1,535 1,029 421 -300 -1,096

Total (including CIP measures) 2,736 2,671 2,480 2,949 4,254 4,022 3,995 3,489 2,881 2,918 2,872

Percentage Utilization 93.5% 93.7% 94.1% 93.1% 90.4% 90.9% 91.1% 92.2% 93.6% 93.6% 93.8%

New School Space 0 0 0 696 2,103 2,103 2,460 2,460 2,460 3,218 3,968

Addition Space 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Addition Classrooms 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Notes: 1) Classroom additions opening in 2019-20 are factored in the 2019 Program Capacity.2) Target utilization level is 95% of capacity.

Elementary School Total

3) Projected Program Capacity of schools to be built in out years is calculated by the following equation: Avg. Net Effective K-5 Class Size of Planning Region in which largest portion of space dedicated * (46 classrooms *(1-Avg. Pct. Of Reg. Rooms for Specialized Use))

Yorkshire

1/10/2020


9

Middle School Spacewith Approved CIP Solutions


2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30

Total 20,949 50 21,999 -408 -409 -326 -418 -524 -647 -823 -864 -1,008 -1,258 -1,605Reagan 1,233 5 1,338 -227 -187 -175 -169 -131 -164 -102 -69 14 2 -19Bull Run 1,233 1,233 27 39 93 91 107 98 113 95 93 73 43Gainesville 1,233 7 1,380 -194 -209 -165 -211 -162 -186 -118 -103 -53 -58 -77Marsteller 1,233 5 1,338 -53 -31 18 60 57 100 91 122 101 88 47Nokesville School (MS) 439 439 60 61 71 57 28 25 4 1 -42 -56 -67Stonewall 1,360 1,360 210 159 151 104 121 86 28 -25 -56 -63 -76Parkside 1,453 2 1,495 -32 -74 -98 -125 -126 -102 -100 -86 -129 -198 -221

Benton 1,464 1,464 30 144 149 185 168 210 186 186 133 124 110

Saunders 1,212 1,212 -5 -37 47 74 104 108 113 123 126 116 94Beville 1,191 1,191 123 140 115 99 112 127 131 137 157 153 144Hampton 982 2 1,024 -70 -84 -36 -51 -25 -57 -62 -87 -84 -88 -98Lake Ridge 1,464 1,464 -20 -13 28 51 36 62 39 59 24 18 5Lynn 1,170 10 1,380 -169 -170 -182 -184 -251 -327 -406 -457 -487 -498 -517Woodbridge 1,066 9 1,255 -197 -194 -220 -206 -203 -189 -209 -208 -202 -226 -263Rippon 1,390 2 1,432 42 48 -12 -39 -92 -117 -121 -120 -144 -167 -201Potomac 1,464 1,464 202 163 99 71 0 -27 -79 -65 -61 -67 -82Graham Park 867 8 1,035 -119 -163 -207 -225 -266 -297 -331 -365 -398 -413 -428Pennington (MS) 243 243 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Porter (MS) 252 252 -13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

-408 -409 1,138 1,403 1,297 1,174 998 957 813 563 216101.9% 102.0% 94.9% 93.8% 94.3% 94.8% 95.6% 95.8% 96.4% 97.5% 99.0%

Potomac Shores MS

1,464 1,464 1,464 1,464 1,464 1,464 1,464 1,464 1,46411- rm at Bull

Run, Gainesville,

Marsteller and 6 - room at

Reagan

357 357 357 357 357 357 357 3571 Target utilization level is 95% of capacity.

Location

Add'l Space

Total (including CIP measures)Percentage Utilization1

Proposed and Approved CIP Solutions

New Schools Location

Add'l Space

Middle School CapacityPortable Class-rooms


Space Available

Additions

1/13/2020Page 6 of 7

Q:\Enrollment Forecast\2019-20\CIP\Overall_Space_Needs_2019\Copy of Overall_Space_Needs_2019_v3

High School Spacewith Approved CIP Solutions


2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30

Total 28,754 61 30,035 -1,859 -2,365 -602 -978 -1,415 -1,324 -1,314 -1,698 -1,886 -2,247 -2,652

Battlefield 2,053 21 2,494 -896 -933 -368 -117 0 134 203 284 309 370 44013th2 2,557 2,557 907 287 -89 -71 -66 -40 -47 -45 -28Patriot 2,053 20 2,473 -668 -698 -128 109 182 220 270 290 376 403 419Brentsville 1,110 1,110 131 101 61 62 42 22 13 -68 -121 -149 -217Stonewall Jackson 2,409 7 2,556 -184 -292 151 313 380 342 283 235 216 112 21Osbourn Park 2,430 2,430 -148 -205 -497 -644 -746 -748 -764 -854 -862 -1,009 -1,036Colgan 2,053 5 2,158 -733 -756 -685 -658 -625 -539 -504 -506 -461 -445 -478Hylton 2,053 2,053 -140 -100 -133 -56 -103 -74 22 31 82 106 79Forest Park 2,053 2,053 -176 -143 -168 -200 -155 -267 -346 -471 -575 -596 -622Woodbridge 2,734 2,734 22 -99 -229 -298 -389 -388 -352 -431 -473 -528 -605Gar-Field 2,839 2,839 520 490 365 367 365 402 421 419 395 356 323Freedom 2,053 8 2,221 -78 -151 -207 -343 -388 -368 -466 -484 -557 -687 -781Potomac 2,357 2,357 491 420 328 201 109 12 -27 -103 -167 -133 -166

-1,859 -2,365 -602 -978 -1,415 -1,324 1,243 859 671 310 -95107.1% 109.0% 102.1% 103.4% 104.9% 104.6% 96.0% 97.3% 97.9% 99.0% 100.3%

Location14th HS

(Mid-County)

14th HS (Mid-

County)

Add'l Space 2,557 2,557 2,557 2,557 2,557

Location

Add'l Space

1 Target utilization level is 95% of capacity.2Calculations including the 13th High School begin in 2021-22 school year.

High School CapacityPortable Class-rooms


Additions

Total (including CIP measures)Percentage Utilization1

Proposed and Approved CIP Solutions

New Schools

Space Available

1/10/2020Page 7 of 7

Q:\Enrollment Forecast\2019-20\CIP\Overall_Space_Needs_2019\Copy of Overall_Space_Needs_2019_v311

68,2

34

70,6

83

72,6

54

73,6

57

76,6

56

79,1

15

81,6

35

83,5

51

85,0

55

86,2

09

87,2

53

88,9

20

89,8

61

90,2

03

91,5

26

92,0

48

92,9

89

93,7

09

94,3

60

94,6

44

95,2

08

96,1

57

97,1

11

98,4

60

100,

024

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Prince William County Public Schools

Historical and Projected Enrollment

Historical Projected

12

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000


Historical and Projected Enrollment by School Level

Elementary

Middle

High


13

1,464 1,446

1,976

2,342

3,895

3,179

2,761 2,708 2,912

4,151 4,153

4,734

4,293

5,129

6,343

3,518

2,615

2,868

2,093 2,128

1,551

1,964

1,296

2,955

2,177 2,238

532

1,484 1,468 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525 1,525

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Prince William County

Historical and Projected Annual Housing Unit Change


14

0.100

0.150

0.200

0.250

0.300

Stud

ents

per

Hou

sing

Uni

tPrince William County Public Schools

Student Generation Factors by School Level

ES GenFact

MS GenFact

HS GenFact


15


Change in Enrollment Projections 2018-19 to 2019-20

Housing Units ES MS HS SE Total



Annual Incremental

Change2018 149,987 40,110 20,997 27,610 1,486 90,203 2019 151,466 40,152 21,463 27,980 1,501 91,095 2019 151,455 40,422 21,357 28,058 1,689 91,526 2019 (11) 270 (106) 78 188 431 431 2020 152,766 40,421 21,495 28,462 1,514 91,891 2020 153,055 40,513 21,372 28,562 1,600 92,048 2020 289 92 (123) 100 87 156 (275) 2021 154,066 40,767 21,279 29,184 1,526 92,756 2021 154,655 40,703 21,292 29,356 1,639 92,989 2021 589 (65) 13 172 112 233 77 2022 155,535 41,253 21,223 29,535 1,541 93,552 2022 156,255 40,933 21,383 29,731 1,663 93,709 2022 720 (320) 160 196 122 158 (75) 2023 157,060 41,607 21,389 29,985 1,556 94,537 2023 157,780 41,034 21,485 30,169 1,672 94,360 2023 720 (573) 97 184 116 (177) (335) 2024 158,585 42,206 21,531 29,865 1,571 95,172 2024 159,305 41,265 21,610 30,078 1,690 94,644 2024 720 (941) 80 213 119 (529) (351) 2025 160,110 42,860 21,718 29,677 1,586 95,842 2025 160,830 41,648 21,787 30,067 1,707 95,208 2025 720 (1,213) 69 390 120 (634) (105) 2026 161,635 43,572 21,767 29,935 1,601 96,876 2026 162,355 42,154 21,828 30,453 1,722 96,157 2026 720 (1,418) 60 518 121 (719) (85) 2027 163,160 44,334 22,089 30,026 1,617 98,067 2027 163,880 42,763 21,971 30,639 1,739 97,111 2027 720 (1,572) (119) 612 122 (956) (237) 2028 164,685 45,152 22,489 30,305 1,632 99,578 2028 165,405 43,484 22,220 31,001 1,755 98,460 2028 720 (1,667) (269) 696 123 (1,118) (162)

2029 166,930 44,280 22,567 31,405 1,771 100,024

Year

2018Enrollment Projections

Year

2019Enrollment Projections

Year

Change 2018 to 2019

10/31/2019Q:\Enrollment Forecast\2019-20\County-Wide\PWC Growth_2019

16

2.5%

3.4%

1.5%1.6%

3.1%

2.3%

3.0%

2.7%2.8%

3.9%

4.9%

4.2%

4.8%4.7%

3.2%

3.6%

2.8%

1.4%

4.1%

3.2%3.2%

2.3%

1.8%

1.4%1.2%

1.9%

1.1%

0.4%

1.5%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%


Annual Percentage Change in Enrollment

17

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

Prince William County Public SchoolsAnnual Percentage Change in Enrollment by School Level

Elementary

Middle

High

Total Enrollment

18

Portable Classrooms Totals By Year and School Type

Year Elementary Middle High Alternative Special Education Total

1998 101 21 28 0 5 1551999 109 25 25 0 5 1642000 118 31 5 10 5 1692001 122 37 2 10 5 1762002 130 26 2 10 5 1732003 141 16 2 10 5 1742004 168 19 2 10 5 2042005 185 40 5 10 5 2452006 179 27 8 10 5 2292007 184 20 14 10 10 2382008 171 20 21 10 10 2322009 150 21 36 10 7 2242010 145 21 37 10 10 2232011 132 31 21 10 10 2042012 136 29 18 10 9 2022013 126 23 30 11 9 1992014 121 22 37 11 9 2002015 122 27 46 11 9 2152016 128 30 41 11 1 2112017 110 36 49 11 1 2072018 107 47 51 0 1 2062019 72 50 61 0 0 183

Note: Portable classrooms used for instruction.

1/6/2020Q:\School Facilities\Trailers\Trailers_Historical19

66

r15

29

r15

29

s619s234

s234BUS

s234 s294

s234

s234BUS

s294

s294

95r1

r1

95

95

r1

95r1

s28

s234

s234

s28

s55

s55

r15

s234

66

66

s28

Fairfax city

StaffordCounty

LoudounCounty

FairfaxCounty

FauquierCounty

Cardinal

Cherry Hill

Ferlazzo

Haymarket

Lake Ridge

Linton Hall

Mid-County

Neabsco Mills

Stonewall

Yorkshire

Students Generated per Built-Out Development

Office of Facilities Services0 4 82 Miles

Students Generated by DevelopmentLess than 26 Students26 - 50 Students51 - 75 Students76 - 100 StudentsGreater than 100 StudentsCIP Geographic Area

January 2020

¯20

2019 2024 2029

Elementary School Capacity Utilization

Prepared by Scott Halsey, Senior GIS AnalystPrince William County Public Schools

Office of Facilities ServicesJanuary 2020

Data:ES19aSchool_Cap

Path: C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\ArcGIS\Projects\CIP_Backup\CIP_Backup.aprx

Less than 90% 90% - 100% 100% - 110% 110% - 120% Greater than 120%

21

2019 2024 2029

Middle School Capacity Utilization



Data:MS18bSchool_Cap


Less than 90% 90% - 100% 100 - 110% 110% - 120% Greater than 120%

22

2019 2024 2029

High School Capacity Utilization



Data:HS18aHS21aSchool_Cap


Less than 90% 90% - 100% 100% - 110% 110% 120% Greater than 120%

23

ES_Space_2019MS_Space_2019HS_Space_2019