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Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas Srinivas Reddy Geedipally, PhD, PE June 9, 2015

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Page 1: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Systemic Approach to

Safety in Texas Srinivas Reddy Geedipally, PhD, PE

June 9, 2015

Page 2: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

What is “Systemic Approach”?

Focuses on high-risk roadway features Selects low-cost effective countermeasures Reduces fatal/severe crashes in rural areas Also beneficial for crash types less likely clustered

in urban area.

An approach that focuses on roadway safety features to prevent high severe crashes

Page 3: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Severe crashes are widely distributed Few locations experience a high number of

sustained occurrences Crash locations are somewhat random Addresses crashes across the network

Why “Systemic Approach”?

Page 4: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Systemic Project Selection Tool

Page 5: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Systemic Widening Program

Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way Highway ADT ≥ 400 vehicles per day Less than 24 foot paved surface width Widening to a maximum paved surface width of 28 foot

CRITERIA

Page 6: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Systemic Widening Program

Head-On Single Vehicle Run Off Road

K & A Crashes

Page 7: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

SVROR Crashes Single Vehicle

8439

Urban758 (11%)

Rural6030 (89%)

Overturned2485 (37%)

Fixed Object4138 (61%)

Tree, Shrub, Landscaping - 1090 (26%)Fence - 642 (16%)

Culvert-Headwall - 620 (15%)Guardrail - 302 (7%)

Embankment- 260 (6%)Ditch- 259 (6%)

Highway Sign - 224 (5%)Other Fixed Object - 193 (4%)

Utility Pole - 150 (4%)Mailbox - 148 (4%)Others - 250 (6%)

Fatal and Incapacitating Injury Crashes OnlyTwo-lane Two-way Highways

Source: TxDOT CRIS, 2009-2013

Other/Unknown165 (2%)

Minor Arterial - 342 (45%)Collector - 215 (28%)

Principal Arterial - 196 (26%)Others - 5 (1%)

Major Collector - 3327 (55%)Minor arterials - 1386 (23%)Minor Collector - 751 (12%)Principal Arterial - 557 (9%)

Local - 9 (1%)

Total Paved Width18-20: 1187 (20%)21-22: 487 (8%)

23-24: 927 (15%)25-26: 313 (5%)27-28: 483 (8%)29-30: 304 (5%)

31-40: 1142 (19%)>40: 1187 (20%)

On Roadway1651 (20%)

ROR6788 (80%)

Fatal - 2167 (26%)Incap. injury- 6272 (74%)

ADT0-399: 768 (13%)

400-999: 1277 (21%)1000-1999: 1432 (24%)2000-2999: 887 (15%)3000-3999: 554 (9%)4000-4999: 356 (6%)5000-5999: 250 (4%)6000-6999: 182 (3%)7000-7999: 99 (2%)8000-8999: 79 (1%)9000-9999: 46 (1%)>=10000: 100 (2%)

Page 8: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Head-on Crashes Head-on

2023

Fatal and Incapacitating Injury Crashes OnlyTwo-lane Two-way Highways

Source: TxDOT CRIS, 2009-2013

Minor Arterial - 160 (45%)Principal Arterial - 120 (34%)

Collector - 69 (19%)Others - 9 (2%)

Major Collector - 633 (38%)Minor arterials - 584 (35%)

Principal Arterial - 376 (23%)Minor Collector - 72 (4%)

ADT0-399: 37 (2%)

400-999: 113 (7%)1000-1999: 253 (15%)2000-2999: 282 (17%)3000-3999: 229 (14%)4000-4999: 199 (12%)5000-5999: 152 (9%)6000-6999: 141 (8%)7000-7999: 80 (5%)8000-8999: 62 (4%)9000-9999: 31 (2%)>=10000: 86 (5%)

Urban358 (18%)

Rural1665 (82%)

Fatal - 1015 (50%)Incap. injury- 1008 (50%)

Total Paved Width18-20: 139 (8%)21-22: 85 (5%)

23-24: 151 (9%)25-26: 43 (3%)

27-28: 121 (7%)29-30: 66 (4%)

31-40: 413 (25%)>40: 647 (39%)

Page 9: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Average Daily Traffic Highways are categorized into: Low volume: 400 < ADT <700 Moderate volume: 700 < ADT <1500 High volume: ADT > 1500

Page 10: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors Cross-sectional width

- Crash Total

- Crash Over-Representation

a) SVROR crashes b) Head-on crashes

60.7%

6.4%

32.8%

53.3%

6.6%

40.2%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

<=10+0 10+1 11+0

Perc

ent

Lane Width + Shoulder Width (ft)

LengthKA Crashes

60.7%

6.4%

32.8%

63.1%

7.1%

29.8%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

<=10+0 10+1 11+0

Perc

ent

Lane Width + Shoulder Width (ft)

LengthKA Crashes

Page 11: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Truck Volume a) SVROR crashes b) Head-on crashes

49.6%

32.9%

17.5%

56.2%

30.0%

13.8%

0.0%

15.0%

30.0%

45.0%

60.0%

75.0%

0-8% 9-15% >15%

Perc

ent

Truck Presence

Length

KA Crashes

49.6%

32.9%

17.5%

59.8%

18.9% 21.3%

0.0%

15.0%

30.0%

45.0%

60.0%

75.0%

0-8% 9-15% >15%

Perc

ent

Truck Presence

Length

KA Crashes

Page 12: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Alignment a) SVROR crashes b) Head-on crashes

3.7%

18.2%

78.1%

14.8% 22.1%

63.1%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

Curve (R <1000ft) Curve (R >=1000ft) Straight

Perc

ent

Alignment

Length

KA Crashes3.7%

18.2%

78.1%

10.6% 19.0%

70.4%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

Curve (R <1000ft) Curve (R >=1000ft) Straight

Perc

ent

Alignment

Length

KA Crashes

Page 13: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Risk Factor Weights Category

Weight (points)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Crash Total

≥0%

and

<10%

≥10

and

<20%

≥20

and

<30%

≥30

and

<40%

≥40

and

<50%

≥50

and

<60%

≥60

and

<70%

≥70

and

<80%

≥80

and

<90%

≥90

and

<100%

100%

Crash Over-

Representation 0%

>0%

and

<2%

≥2%

and

<3%

≥3%

and

<4%

≥4%

and

<5%

≥5%

and

<6%

≥6%

and

<7%

≥7%

and

<8%

≥8%

and

<9%

≥9%

and

<10%

≥10%

and

≤100%

Page 14: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

SVROR Risk Factor

Weight (points)

Low Volume

(400≤ADT≤700)

Moderate

Volume

(700<ADT≤1,500)

High Volume

(ADT>1,500)

Lane & Shoulder

Width

10+0 7 8 8

10+1 0 1 1

11+0 6 2 2

Truck Percentage

≤8% 2 7 11

9-15% 10 3 3

>15% 3 2 1

Alignment

Curve (R

<1000ft) 8 8 7

Curve (R

≥1000ft) 1 3 2

Straight 7 6 7

Page 15: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors Head-on Risk Factor

Weight (points)

Low Volume

(400≤ADT≤700)

Moderate Volume

(700<ADT≤1,500)

High Volume

(ADT>1,500)

Lane & Shoulder

Width

10+0 7 6 5

10+1 4 2 1

11+0 2 6 11

Truck Percentage

≤8% 2 2 15

9-15% 4 6 1

>15% 6 2 5

Alignment

Curve (R

<1000ft) 12 11 11

Curve (R

≥1000ft) 1 2 5

Straight 6 6 6

Page 16: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors We now have Weight for SVROR (Ws) Weight for Head-on (Wh) Total Weight

𝑊𝑡 = 𝑊𝑠 + 𝑝 ∗ 𝐶 ∗ 𝑊ℎ Where • 𝑝= proportion of the number of head-on crashes with respect to

SVROR and • 𝐶 = proportion of the crash cost of head-on crashes with respect

to SVROR.

Page 17: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Combined Risk Factor

Weight (points)

Low Volume

(400≤ADT≤700)

Moderate

Volume

(700<ADT≤1,500)

High Volume

(ADT>1,500)

Lane & Shoulder

Width

≤10+0 8.93 9.66 9.38

10+1 1.10 1.55 1.28

11+0 6.55 3.66 5.04

Truck Presence

≤8% 2.55 7.55 15.14

9-15% 11.10 4.66 3.28

>15% 4.66 2.55 2.38

Alignment

Curve (R

<1000ft) 11.31 11.04 10.04

Curve (R

≥1000ft) 1.28 3.55 3.38

Straight 8.66 7.66 8.66

Page 18: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Practical Application

DFO = 1.68

DFO = 1.73

DFO = 1.76

DFO = 1.8

𝐿𝑐 = 0.03 mi

𝐿𝑡1 = 0.05 mi

𝐿𝑡2 = 0.04 mi Highway: BS0121D District: Paris County: Fayette DFO: 1.68 to 1.8 Total Length :0.12 miles ADT (in 2013): 516 vpd Truck %: 8.9 Lane Width: 10 ft Shoulder Width: 0 ft

R = 110 ft

Page 19: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Evaluate Risk Factors

Combined Risk Factor

Weight (points)

Low Volume

(400≤ADT≤700)

Moderate

Volume

(700<ADT≤1,500)

High Volume

(ADT>1,500)

Lane & Shoulder

Width

≤10+0 8.93 9.66 9.38

10+1 1.10 1.55 1.28

11+0 6.55 3.66 5.04

Truck Presence

≤8% 2.55 7.55 15.14

9-15% 11.10 4.66 3.28

>15% 4.66 2.55 2.38

Alignment

Curve (R

<1000ft) 11.31 11.04 10.04

Curve (R

≥1000ft) 1.28 3.55 3.38

Straight 8.66 7.66 8.66

Page 20: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Weight Calculations

Section Weight Curve (𝐿𝑐 = 0.03 mi) 𝑊𝑐 = 8.93+11.10+11.31

= 31.34 Tangent (𝐿𝑇 = 0.09 mi) 𝑊𝑇 = 8.93+11.10+8.66

= 28.69 Total (𝐿 = 0.12 mi) 𝑊 = 𝑊𝑐𝐿𝑐+𝑊𝑇𝐿𝑇

𝐿=29.35

Page 21: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

Prioritize Locations

DI CO HWY ADT_CUR TRK_AADT FRM_DFO TO_DFO PAVED_WID length weight 1 75 BS0121D 516 8.9 1.68 1.8 20 0.12 29.35 1 75 BU0069B 1101 22.7 0.52 0.61 20 0.09 19.87 1 75 BU0069B 1101 22.7 0.61 0.96 20 0.35 19.87 1 194 BU0271D 1100 9 1.07 1.15 21 0.08 21.98 1 194 BU0271D 1100 9 1.64 1.65 20 0.01 13.87 1 92 BU0377B 2164 3.1 1.28 1.51 22 0.23 27.98 1 92 BU0377B 2164 3.1 1.51 4.29 22 2.78 28.41 1 92 BU0377B 2164 3.1 4.29 4.89 22 0.6 28.93 1 117 FM0006 2387 4.4 7.88 8.52 20 0.64 33.18

Page 22: Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas · 2017. 1. 4. · Systemic Approach to Safety in Texas ... Systemic Project Selection Tool . Systemic Widening Program Rural 2-Lane – 2-Way

THANK YOU