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13 March 2015
Ateneo School of Government
Quezon City
The 2015
SWS Survey Review
Mahar Mangahas
The 2015 SWS Survey Review2
The 2015 Survey Review is based on the regular quarterly national SWS Surveys in March, June,
September, and December 2014.
SWS gratefully acknowledges its sponsors and subscribers, and its media partner BusinessWorld, who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed
social surveys in a democratic society.
The 2015 SWS Survey Review3
Mar 27-30 National 1,200 Adults
Jun 27-30 National 1,200 Adults
Sep 26-29 National 1,200 Adults
Nov 27-Dec 1 National 1,800 Adults
Date Coverage Sample size Population
The Social Weather
Surveys of 2014
The 2015 SWS Survey Review4
Outline – 1 of 2
•Pope Francis
•National officials and institutions
•The Governance Report Card
•Super-typhoon Yolanda
•Scarborough Shoal
•Poverty
•Peace agreement with the MILF
The 2015 SWS Survey Review5
Outline – 2 of 2
•The pork barrel scam
•Public safety
•Hunger
•The Ebola virus
•Public morale
•2016 Watch
•SUMMARY
The 2015 SWS Survey Review6
By long tradition, the Pope
of Rome is highly trusted
by Filipinos – and more so
after visiting the Philippines
The 2015 SWS Survey Review7
TRUST IN POPE FRANCIS, SEP 2013 AND DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
Refused responses.
Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay POPE FRANCIS ay NAPAKALAKI,
MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA
KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay POPE FRANCIS?
40 46
31 26
12 136 76 6
10
30
50
70
Sep 2013 Dec 2014
71 72
1212
Very much
Somewhat much
Undecided
Somewhat littleVery little
% of adults
+59 +59 Net *
The 2015 SWS Survey Review8
NET TRUST RATING* OF POPE JOHN PAUL II, POPE
BENEDICT AND POPE FRANCIS, DEC 1994 TO DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
Refused responses.
Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay (name) ay NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO
MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG
NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay (name)?
Pope John Paul II
Pope Benedict
+65+72
+58 +62 +58 +59 +59
Dec 1994 Apr 1995 Dec 2003 Mar 2005 May 2005 Sep 2013 Dec 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
+90
Pope Francis
The 2015 SWS Survey Review9
The quality of national
governance in 2014 was
quite decent.
The 2015 SWS Survey Review10
NATIONAL GOVERNANCE
+70 AND UP = EX for EXCELLENT
+50 TO +69 = VG for VERY GOOD
+30 TO +49 = G for GOOD
+10 TO +29 = M for MODERATE
-9 TO +9 = N for NEUTRAL
-10 TO -29 = P for POOR
-30 TO -49 = B for BAD
-50 TO -69 = VB for VERY BAD
-70 AND BELOW = EXECRABLE
The 2015 SWS Survey Review11
The people’s satisfaction with
the performance of key
officials ranges from Good to
Moderate
The 2015 SWS Survey Review12
1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
-50
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS,
PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2014
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded.Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.
+39
G
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review13
1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS,
OCT 1986 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
+44
Estrada
Arroyo
GuingonaDe Castro
Binay
Laurel
G
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review14
1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS,
APR 1990 TO DEC 2014
+28
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Drilon
Salonga
Gonzales
Angara
GonzalesGonzales
Maceda Drilon
Ople
Pimentel
DrilonVillar
Enrile
Fernan
M
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review15
1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
0
+20
+40
+60
+80
-20
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF
THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2014
+11
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Nograles
Mitra
De Venecia Villar
Fuentebella
BelmonteDe Venecia
M
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review16
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines.
+11
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES
OF THE SUPREME COURT, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2014
Carpio**
SerenoPanganiban
Teehankee
Fernan Narvasa Davide
Puno
Corona
1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
-50
M
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review17
The people’s satisfaction with
the performance of key
institutions is Moderate
The 2015 SWS Survey Review18
1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE
AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys).
+26
+20
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Senate
House of Rep.
M
M
Net Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review19
1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.
NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT
AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2014
SupremeCourt
+26
+ 9Cabinet
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Net Satisfaction
M
N
The 2015 SWS Survey Review20
1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
-50
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE
OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, FEB 1989 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
+34
Net*
Satisfaction
G
The 2015 SWS Survey Review21
Governance Report Card:
The overall grade, and the
grades in the great majority
of subjects rated in 2014 are
Good
Overall performance rating +45 +29 +35 +34
Providing basic elem. and HS education +63
Helping victims of disasters +60 +52 +42
Protecting the environment +46
Transparency in govt. activities +43
Developing science and technology +42
Defending the country's territorial rights +44 +43 +42 +40
Providing enough supply of electricity +45 +41 +38
Promoting the welfare of OFWs +44 +42 +39 +38
Ensuring an efficient transportation system +36
Foreign relations +44 +41 +43 +33
Helping the poor +55 +39 +44 +33
Preparing for climate change +41 +31
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Mar Jun Sep Dec
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 1 of 2)
Good (11)
Very Good
Good
The 2015 SWS Survey Review23
Eradicating graft and corruption +14 +12 +14 +6Fighting crimes +22 +13 +14 +5Ensuring oil firms don’t take advantage of oil prices -3 -19 -7 -8Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry +7 -9 -5 -9
Fighting inflation 4 -18 -7 -12
Resolving the Maguindanao massacre case with justice -41 -44 -36 -41
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 2 of 2)
Neu-tral (4)
Bad (1)
Poor (1)
Reconciliation with Communist rebels +34 +17 +28 +17
Providing jobs +30 +20 +21 +17
Reconciliation with Muslim rebels +38 +22 +27 +15
Fighting terrorism +27 +21 +23 +15
Tax collection +13
Mode-rate (5)
Mar Jun Sep Dec
The 2015 SWS Survey Review24
The best subject in the Report
Card is “helping victims of
disasters”
The 2015 SWS Survey Review25
1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
HELPING VICTIMS OF DISASTERS, DEC 1992 – DEC 2014
+42
Net*
Satisfaction
G
The 2015 SWS Survey Review26
Hope for recovery from
Yolanda remains high;
confidence in governmental
ability to cope with another
super-typhoon is strong
The 2015 SWS Survey Review27
68
60
64
57
67
54
69
74
72
62
27
33
28
35
28
39
26
19
25
31
3
6
6
5
3
7
2
4
2
4
2
1
2
3
1
0.3
3
3
2
2
Very Somewhat Somewhat Not hopeful
hopeful hopeful not hopeful at all
*Net figures (% Hopeful minus % Not hopeful) correctly rounded.
Q: Kayo po ba ay (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI UMAASA)
na lubusang makakabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng Bagyong Yolanda sa trahedya na kanilang sinapit?
HOPE THAT AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON YOLANDA CAN FULLY
RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014
PH
NCR
Luzon
Visayas
Mindanao
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Dec 2013
Sep 2014
The 2015 SWS Survey Review28
36
20
44
18
36
20
40
20
30
22
30
38
28
46
29
37
30
42
35
33
20
26
20
21
17
28
20
23
25
26
12
16
8
15
16
14
10
15
9
19
1-2 yrs 3-4 yrs 5-6 yrs 7+ yrs
Q: Sa inyong palagay, mga gaano katagal pa bago lubusang makabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng
Bagyong Yolanda? (1-2 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 3-4 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 5-6 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo,
7 taon o higit pa pagkalipas ng bagyo)
NUMBER OF YEARS BEFORE AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON
YOLANDA CAN FULLY RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014
PH
NCR
Luzon
Visayas
Mindanao
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Dec 2013
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Dec 2013
Sep 2014
The 2015 SWS Survey Review29
19
20
17
16
44
41
44
42
26
24
27
29
11
14
12
13
10 30 50 70 90
CONFIDENCE IN GOVERNMENT’S ABILITY TO RESPOND
IN CASE OF A TYPHOON AS STRONG AS YOLANDA,
TOTAL PH, DEC 2014
Q78-81. Gaano kalaki o kaliit ang kumpiyansa ninyo sa kakayahan ng (institusyon) na tumugon sapangangailangan ng mga mamamayan kung sakaling magkaroon muli ng isang bagyong kasing-lakas ng Yolanda? Kayo ba ay may NAPAKALAKING KUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALAKINGKUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA O NAPAKALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA?
Somewhat SomewhatVery much much little Very littleconfidence confidence confidence confidence
% of adults
City/Municipal Government
Barangay Government
National Government
Provincial Government
The 2015 SWS Survey Review30
Satisfaction with national
administration performance in
foreign relations and in
defending the country’s
territorial rights is Good
The 2015 SWS Survey Review31
1992 1998 .2001 2004 .2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEP 1992 – DEC 2014
+33
RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Net*
Satisfaction
G
The 2015 SWS Survey Review32
ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON DEFENDING THE COUNTRY’S TERRITORIAL RIGHTS,
MAR 1999 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+40
G
1999 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
Net*
Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review33
The public supports
government moves regarding
China in the Scarborough
Shoal, despite many worried
about armed conflict
The 2015 SWS Survey Review34
512
21
40
22
OPINION ON GOVERNMENT’S ACTIONS REGARDING THE
TENSION IN THE SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014
Q119. Sa pangkalahatan, sumasang-ayon po ba kayo o hindi sumasang-ayon sa ikinikilos ng ating gobyerno ukol sa
tensyon sa pagitan ng China at Pilipinas sa Scarborough Shoal? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO
SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)
% o
f a
du
lts
Not enough knowledge
Strongly disapprove
Somewhat
disapprove
Somewhat approve
Strongly approve
The 2015 SWS Survey Review35
Q120. Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng armadong labanan sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at China dahil sa mga pinag-
aawayang mga islang ito sa Scarborough Shoal? Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) (TALAGANG NABABAHALA, MEDYO
NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)?
WORRY ABOUT ARMED CONFLICT WITH CHINA IN
DISPUTED ISLANDS IN SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014
% o
f a
du
lts
Not too worried
Somewhat worried
Worried a great deal
49
35
52
Not worried at all
The 2015 SWS Survey Review36
The people’s grade for
promoting the welfare of
OFWs is Good
The 2015 SWS Survey Review37
2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
PROMOTING WELFARE OF OFW’S, MAR 2000 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+39
Net*
Satisfaction
G
The 2015 SWS Survey Review38
The people’s grade for helping
the poor is still Good, though
not as high as at the start of
the honeymoon
The 2015 SWS Survey Review39
1993 .1998 .2001 2004 ..2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+33
Net*
Satisfaction
G
The 2015 SWS Survey Review40
After falling (bumpily) in 1990-
2003, Self-rated Poverty (SRP)
fluctuated, and now is about
the same as in 2004.
It anticipated the official
downward trend in 2012S1-
2013S1 and upward trend in
2013S1-2014S1
The 2015 SWS Survey Review41
Self-Rated Poverty
SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”,
PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2014
Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)
*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.
MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
% o
f fa
milie
s
Yolanda
“Unrefined” pre-2011
“Refined” in 2011
“Refined” w/o Leyte and Batanes
PSA-NSCB:
18.8%
20.0%
52%
50.5%
2013
Q1-Q2
54.0%
2014
Q1-Q2
1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
7053.0%
2012
Q1-Q2
22.3%
The 2015 SWS Survey Review42
1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
70
SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”,
PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2014
Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)
*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.
Yolanda
“Unrefined” pre-2011
“Refined” in 2011
“Refined” w/o Leyte and Batanes
PSA-NSCB:
Self-Rated Poverty
18.8%
20.0%22.3%
52%
50.5%
2013
Q1-Q2
54.0%
2014
Q1-Q2
53.0%
2012
Q1-Q2
The 2015 SWS Survey Review43
1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015
10
30
50
70
% o
f fa
milie
sSELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE FOOD IS
“MAHIRAP”, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).
Hunger Question: In the last three months, did it happen even once that your family experienced hunger and not have anything to eat? (Yes, No).*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official food poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.
41%
Official (NSCB) Food
Poverty Incidence*, 2009
11%
Self-Rated Food Poverty
The 2015 SWS Survey Review44
1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015
10
30
50
70
90
SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES “MAHIRAP”,
BY AREA, JUL 1985 TO DEC 2014
Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)
MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NCR 43%
Visayas 65% Mindanao 60%
Bal. Luzon 45%
% o
f fa
milie
s
The 2015 SWS Survey Review45
1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
70
90
Visayas 51%Mindanao 52%
Bal. Luzon 37%
NCR 24%
SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE
FOOD IS “MAHIRAP”, BY AREA, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family
on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
% o
f fa
milie
s
The 2015 SWS Survey Review46
The people’s grades for admin
performance in providing jobs,
reconciling with Muslim and
Communist rebel groups, and
fighting terrorism are
Moderate
The 2015 SWS Survey Review47
1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON PROVIDING JOBS, NOV 1998 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+17
ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
M
The 2015 SWS Survey Review48
1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH
MUSLIM REBELS, SEP 1998 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+15
M
Net*
Satisfaction
The 2015 SWS Survey Review49
1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS,
SEP 1998 – DEC 2014
+17
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Net*
Satisfaction
M
The 2015 SWS Survey Review50
2002 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING TERRORISM, NOV 2002 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+15
Net*
Satisfaction
M
The 2015 SWS Survey Review51
Hope of a peace agreement
between the GPH and the MILF
is strong, though many expect it
after 2016.
Most approve the Framework
Agreement on the Bangsamoro,
despite knowing little about it
The 2015 SWS Survey Review52
STEADY HOPE FOR A PEACE AGREEMENT BETWEEN GOP
AND MILF, PHILIPPINES, JUN 2011 – MAR 2014
Q. Kayo po ba ay… (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI
UMAASA) na magkakaroon pa ng kasunduang pang-kapayapaan sa pagitan ng pamahalaan at ng mga rebeldeng
Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF?
Not
Somewhat Somewhat Hopeful
Very hopeful hopeful not hopeful at all
Jun 2011
Sep 2011
Dec 2011
Aug 2012
Mar 2012
May 2012
Dec 2012
Mar 2013
Jun 2013
Sep 2013
38
26
29
26
21
26
39
41
28
42
32
45
45
33
37
37
38
39
38
42
36
43
8
15
15
14
17
14
11
10
14
10
13
9
14
24
23
23
22
11
11
16
12
12Mar 2014
The 2015 SWS Survey Review53
EXPECTED YEAR OF REACHING A PEACE AGREEMENT
BETWEEN GOP AND MILF, BY AREA, MAR 2014
Q. Sa inyong palagay, kailan kaya magkakaroon ng kasunduang pangkapayapaan ang Moro Islamic Liberation
Front o MILF at ang gobyerno? (SHOWCARD) SA 2014-2016 HABANG PANGULO PA SI PANG. NOYNOY AQUINO,
SA PANAHON NG SUSUNOD NA ADMINISTRASYON, 2016-2022, SA NALALAPIT NA HINAHARAP, HINDI
KAILANMAN
Philippines 27 27 25 20
Mindanao 34 22 24 20
In 2014- In 2016- In the near Not2016 2022 future ever
The 2015 SWS Survey Review54
NATIONWIDE APPROVAL OF THE FRAMEWORK
AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014
*Net figures (% Approve minus % Disapprove) correctly rounded.
Q: Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pinirmahang paunang kasunduan o Framework Agreement on the
Bangsamoro sa pagitan ng gobyerno at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF)? (SHOWCARD)
Approve Undecided Disapprove Net*
45
49
30
28
23
23
Philippines
Dec 12
Mar 14
+22
+26
53
56
18
18
29
26
MindanaoDec 12
Mar 14
+24
+30
The 2015 SWS Survey Review55
THE LIMITED KNOWLEDGE OF THE FRAMEWORK
AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014
Partial butExtensive sufficient Only a little Almost none
Q: Noong nakaraang Oktubre 15, 2012 pinirmahan ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF ang
paunang kasundang pangkapayapaan o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro na kung saan naglalayon ng isang mas
pinalawak na lugar ng awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro. Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa
paunang kasundang ito o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro? Kayo po ba ay may… (SHOWCARD) na kaalaman?
Philippines
5
6
20
21
42
45
32
27
Dec 12
Mar 14
4
9
19
29
52
44
24
18
Mindanao
Dec 12
Mar 14
The 2015 SWS Survey Review56
The people’s grade for fighting
corruption (Neutral +6) has
stayed positive since 2010
The 2015 SWS Survey Review57
1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+70
-10
-30
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND
CORRUPTION, MAR 1987 – DEC 2014
+ 6
Net*
Satisfaction
N
The 2015 SWS Survey Review58
THE PORK BARREL SCAM:
Two-thirds believe the
allegations against the three
detained Senators; opinions
about the handling of the
Napoles case range from
favorable to neutral
The 2015 SWS Survey Review59
BELIEVABILITY OF ALLEGATIONS AGAINST PERSONS IN
THE PORK BARREL SCAM, JUN 2014
* Net figures (% Definitely/ somewhat true minus % Somewhat/ definitely not true) correctly rounded.No Answer and Refused responses are not shown.Narito po ang ilang mga personalidad na di-umano’y nakinabang sa “pork barrel scam” ni Janet Lim Napoles. Sa inyong palagay, ang mga akusasyon po bang ito ay TALAGANG TOTOO, MALAMANG NA TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG
TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG NA HINDI TOTOO, TALAGANG HINDI TOTOO, O WALA PO KAYONG SAPAT NA KAALAMAN UPANG MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON TUNGKOL DITO?
Definitely True
Und.
Definitely/Somewhat
not true Net*
Don’t know
+57
+61
+56
+9
+8
0
+5
-4
-6
-16
-13
Somewhat True
The 2015 SWS Survey Review60
1. 64% say the case is moving too slowly
2. 66% say the govt. is treating the case fairly,
neither pro- nor anti-Napoles
3. 74% want Napoles put in a regular prison
4. 40% are satisfied, 44% are dissatisfied with
govt. actions to resolve the case
5. 65% are hopeful that all those involved in the
case will be punished
6. 52% believe, but 26% do not believe, that the
P-Noy admin will file charges against allies
involved
Opinions about the Janet Lim Napoles case:
The 2015 SWS Survey Review61
The grade on fighting crime
has stayed positive (now at
Neutral +5) since 2010, but
is flagging
The 2015 SWS Survey Review62
1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
+-10
+-30
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING CRIMES, NOV 1990 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+ 5
Net*
Satisfaction
N
The 2015 SWS Survey Review63
PUBLIC SAFETY: Victimization
by crime is declining slightly,
but feelings of neighborhood-
insecurity are rising
The 2015 SWS Survey Review64
CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE
PAST 6 MONTHS: PHILIPPINES, 1989 TO 2014
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)?
Break-in, 2.6%
Physicalviolence, 1.2%
Carnap, 0.9%
Pickpocket/Robbery,5.5%
The 2015 SWS Survey Review65
Streets unsafe at night
Fear of burglary
Many drug addicts
INSECURITY IN NEIGHBORHOODS, 1985 TO 2014
MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
% F
EA
RF
UL
Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ... * “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”; ** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”; *** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.”
52%
60%
51%
'85*'86*'87*'88*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*
20
30
40
50
60
70
The 2015 SWS Survey Review66
There has been weakening of
grades on fighting oil prices
(Neutral -8) and fighting
inflation (Poor -12)
The 2015 SWS Survey Review67
* 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON ENSURING THAT OIL FIRMS DON'T TAKE ADVANTAGE OF
OIL PRICES, JUN 2011 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
- 8
Net*
Satisfaction
N
The 2015 SWS Survey Review68
1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
-50
C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING INFLATION, NOV 1991 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
-12
Net*
Satisfaction
P
The 2015 SWS Survey Review69
The grade on fighting hunger
is weak (Neutral -9).
But Self-reported Hunger
might be getting over the
hump
The 2015 SWS Survey Review70
2004 * 2005 * 2006 * 2007 * 2008 * 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY
WILL BE HUNGRY, DEC 2004 – DEC 2014
- 9
Net*
Satisfaction
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
N
The 2015 SWS Survey Review71
1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
5
10
15
20
Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?
DEGREE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS,
PHILIPPINES: JUL 1998 TO DEC 2014
17.2%
13.2%
4.1%
% o
f h
ou
seh
old
s
Total Hunger
Severe
Moderate
ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO
The 2015 SWS Survey Review72
11.0
8.3
10.811.410.1
7.0
11.8
14.3
16.717.918.519.119.1
19.919.919.518.3
4.12.6
4.6 4.2
2.51.5
3.0 3.04.0 3.4 4.0 4.0
3.3 3.7 4.33.6 3.5
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
5
10
15
20
7.0
5.8
6.2 7.37.6
5.5
8.711.0
12.6 14.414.6 15.115.816.115.6 15.9
14.8
Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?
IS HUNGER GETTING OVER THE HUMP?
Moderate
Hunger
Severe
Hunger
TotalHunger
Annual average %
of households
The 2015 SWS Survey Review73
The grade on resolving the
Maguindanao massacre
remains Bad
The 2015 SWS Survey Review74
* 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *
+10
+30
+50
-10
-30
-50
ARROYO B. AQUINO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NAT. ADMINISTRATION ON RESOLVING THE MAGUINDANAO MASSACRE WITH JUSTICE,
DEC 2009 – DEC 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Net*
Satisfaction
-41
B
The 2015 SWS Survey Review75
The Ebola virus: Public
feelings are similar to those in
previous scares of viral
infection
The 2015 SWS Survey Review76
EXTENT OF KNOWLEDGE OF THE EBOLA VIRUS,
PHILIPPINES, SEP 2014
Q: Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa Ebola Virus? (SHOWCARD) [Malawak ang kaalaman , Sapat ang kaalaman, Bahagya
ang kaalaman, Walang kaalaman ]
No knowledge
“Walang kaalaman”
A little knowledge
“Bahagya ang
kaalaman”
Adequate knowledge
“Sapat ang kaalaman”
Extensive knowledge
“Malawak ang kaalaman”
23%
44%
27%
6%
The 2015 SWS Survey Review77
“HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT YOU OR SOMEONE IN
YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY MIGHT CATCH THE EBOLA
VIRUS?” SEP 2014
Base: Total Aware of Ebola Virus, 73%Not worried at all
“Talagang hindi nababahala”
Not worried too much
“Medyo hindi nababahala”
Somewhat worried
“Medyo nababahala “
Worried a great deal
“Lubos na nababahala”49%
33%
13%
5%
Q:Gaano po kayo nababahala na kayo o sino man sa inyong pamilya ay makakuha ng Ebola virus? Kayo po ba ay (SHOWCARD)? [Lubos na
nababahala, Medyo nababahala , Medyo hindi nababahala , Talagang hindi nababahala ]
The 2015 SWS Survey Review78
WORRY OF CATCHING VIRAL INFECTIONS, 2003 - 2014
a Among the 73% with at least Little knowledge of the Ebola virusb Among all adults
Worried Somewhat Not worried Not at alla great deal worried too much worried
Ebola virus (2014)a
A(H1N1) swine flu
(2009)b
Bird flu (2006)b
SARS (2003)b
49
56
48
54
33
26
35
24
13
10
11
10
5
8
6
4
The 2015 SWS Survey Review79
PUBLIC MORALE
CONTINUES TO BE
VERY HIGH
The 2015 SWS Survey Review80
1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
70
MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO
Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON]Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon”
CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE OVER PAST 12 MONTHS,
APR 1983 TO DEC 2014
% of adults
29%30%
GAINERS
LOSERS
First Quarter 2014 Social Weather ReportMarch 27-30, 2014 National Survey
1984 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
70
EXPECTED CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE IN NEXT 12 MONTHS,
APR 1984 TO DEC 2014
MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO III
Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan?Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama”
41%
6%
% of adults
OPTIMISTS
PESSIMISTS
The 2015 SWS Survey Review82
1998 2001 2004 2010 2014
10
30
50
ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO
EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY,
SEP 1998 TO DEC 2014
% of adults
Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas?Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?
15% it will
deteriorate
31% it will
improve
The 2015 SWS Survey Review83
“UP TO 3 BEST LEADERS
TO SUCCEED P-NOY” –
the SWS 2016 election-
race watch starts
The 2015 SWS Survey Review84
BEST LEADERS TO SUCCEED PRES. NOYNOY AQUINO
IN 2016, PH, DEC 2014 (Open-ended; up to 3 names allowed)
Note: Responses below 0.5% are not shown.
Q15. Ayon sa Konstitusyon, ang termino ni Pang. Noynoy Aquino ay hanggang sa taong 2016 lamang at
magkakaroon ng halalan para sa pagka-pangulo sa Mayo 2016. Sinu-sino sa palagay ninyo ang mga
magagaling na lider na dapat pumalit kay Pang. Aquino bilang Presidente? Maaari po kayong magbanggit
ng hanggang tatlong sagot.
Jejomar Binay 37%
Grace Poe 21
Mar Roxas 19
Miriam Defensor-Santiago 10
Chiz Escudero 9
Joseph Estrada 9
Rodrigo Duterte 5
Antonio Trillanes IV 5
Bongbong Marcos 3
Alan Peter Cayetano 3
Manny Villar 2
Bong Revilla Jr. 2
Panfilo 'Ping' Lacson 2
Loren Legarda 1%
Franklin Drilon 1
Francis 'Kiko' Pangilinan 1
Manny Pacquiao 1
Others (below 0.5%) 5
None 8
Don't know/Refused 15
The 2015 SWS Survey Review85
But bear in mind the
experience of 2007-09 --
many changes can happen
The 2015 SWS Survey Review86
4. Aquino III
3. Villar 2. De Castro
1. Legarda
Escudero
Lacson
BinayFernando Gordon
Roxas
Estrada
Teodoro
FLASHBACK, 2007-2009: (OPEN-ENDED) NAME UP TO
THREE BEST SUCCESSORS OF PRES. ARROYO IN 2010
The 2015 SWS Survey Review87
SUMMARY-1
• Pope Francis is highly trusted, like earlier
Popes.
• The quality of national governance has been
quite decent.
• Grades of the admin are Good in most subjects,
especially “helping victims of disasters.”
• The government has strong public support on
its policies relating to China.
• Poverty, having lost some ground to Yolanda, is
still roughly the same as in 2004; hunger may
be getting over the hump.
The 2015 SWS Survey Review88
SUMMARY-2
• The admin’s grade for fighting corruption has
been consistently positive since 2010; this rarely
happened in previous admins.
• The pork barrel scam: two-thirds believe the
allegations against the detained Senators.
• Believers that the admin. will file pork barrel
charges against its allies are 2X the unbelievers.
• The admin’s worst grade is in resolving the
Maguindanao massacre case: Bad.
• Crime victimization is declining slightly; but
feelings of neighborhood insecurity are rising.
The 2015 SWS Survey Review89
SUMMARY-3• Most people approve the Framework Agreement
on the Bangsamoro; optimism for peace is
strong.
• Ebola is like earlier health scares – 1/2 are very
worried; but 3/4 know hardly anything about it.
• Public morale is very high, like it has been ever
since 2010.
• The SWS 2016 election-watch is newly started;
the lesson from the 2010 election-watch is that
many changes can still happen.
www.sws.org.ph#52 Malingap Street,
Sikatuna Village, Quezon City
Tels: 926-4308, 924-4456, 924-4458, 924-4465 E-mail: [email protected]
The SWS
Annual Survey
Reviews
2015 Edition
containing the full presentations of
the SWS Survey Reviews from
2001 to 2015 is available in CD-
ROM at the SWS Survey Data
Archives and Library.
Inquire with Leo Laroza
at 924-4456 or 924-4458.
As of
today…
Photo credits: Mae Labucay