sustainable ict networks: the greentouch vision · (csp) networks is forecast to increase by 27%...
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Dr. Thierry E. Klein
Head of Green Research at Bell Labs, Alcatel-Lucent
Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision
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GOING GREEN: NEXT REVOLUTION OF 21ST CENTURY
GREEN =
MOTOR FOR INNOVATION +
ECONOMIC DRIVER
Green is the single most important opportunity for the 21st century for all industries and specifically for ICT
“How do we get Green out of the talking shop into reality? Remember the Internet in the 80's? Green can be the same motor for innovation and inspire a new wave of economic growth.”
Ben Verwaayen CEO Alcatel-Lucent
Need new business models and innovation and co-creation frameworks
“I have always believed that IT is an engine of an efficient economy, it can also drive a greener one.”
Michael Dell Founder and CEO Dell, Inc
Forbes Magazine, Nov. 2009
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A NEW WIRELESS WORLD / INTERNET
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MASSIVE DATA TRAFFIC GROWTH
MORE DATA
MEANS MORE
POWER
78 Mtons of CO2
5 000 000 towers = 5 000 000 000
people without broadband
Today Future
17.5 GigaWatts ~ 9 Hoover Dams ~ 15 nuclear power
plants
~ 15M car emissions a year
~ 150,000 Paris to New York round-trip flights
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Microsoft Chicago Data Center: 24000 sq. m housing 400 containers
Each container contains 2500 servers
Integrated computing, networking, power, cooling systems
300 MW supplied from two power substations situated on opposite sides of the datacenter (equivalent to 100,000 person city)
DATACENTERS
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GOOGLE DATA CENTERS
A small number of large data centers
…. BUT GOOGLE IS NOT ALONE
Telco Central Offices, Enterprises, Colocation Data Centers, etc. also have servers… (It‟s not all Google, Facebook and Microsoft).
Large number of small data centers in US central offices
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820m tons CO2
360m tons CO2
260m tons CO2
2007 Worldwide
ICT carbon
footprint:
2% = 830 m tons
CO2
Comparable to the
global aviation
industry
Expected to grow
to 4% by 2020
The Climate Group, GeSI report
“Smart 2020”, 2008
2020 ICT CARBON FOOTPRINT
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ICT IMPACT: GREENING BY ICT
Source: GeSI – SMART 2020: Enabling the Low Carbon Economy in the Information Age
ICT today: about 2% of global emissions
ICT can enable a 15% reduction in global emissions by 2020
An opportunity for tremendous
impact on remaining 98%
ICT making a real, positive impact,
but ICT has some direct challenges
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GROWING NETWORK ENERGY GAP
+27% INCREASE
ENERGY
Energy consumption in communications service provider (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016
=5th INTERNET
If the internet was a country: energy consumption is higher than Russia and a little less than Japan
HIGHEST COUNTRY
2010 2015 202010
-2
10-1
100
101
102
103
Tra
ffic
(T
b/s
)
Year
Wireless Data
Total Backbone
Internet Video
Wireless Voice
P2P
Data from: RHK, McKinsey-JPMorgan, AT&T, MINTS, Arbor, ALU, and
Bell Labs Analysis: Linear regression on log(traffic growth rate) versus log(time) with Bayesian learning to compute uncertainty
North America
2010 2015 202010
-2
10-1
100
101
102
103
Tra
ffic
(T
b/s
)
Year
Wireless Data
Total Backbone
Internet Video
Wireless Voice
P2P
2010 2015 202010
-2
10-1
100
101
102
103
Tra
ffic
(T
b/s
)
Year
Wireless Data
Total Backbone
Internet Video
Wireless Voice
P2P
Data from: RHK, McKinsey-JPMorgan, AT&T, MINTS, Arbor, ALU, and
Bell Labs Analysis: Linear regression on log(traffic growth rate) versus log(time) with Bayesian learning to compute uncertainty
North America
2005 2010 2015 2020
10
20
30
40
50
Gro
wth
Year
Mobile Data
Internet Backbone
Mobile Efficiency
WirelineEfficiency
Growing Gap!
Traffic
2005 2010 2015 2020
10
20
30
40
50
Gro
wth
Year
Mobile Data
Internet Backbone
Mobile Efficiency
WirelineEfficiency
Growing Gap!
Traffic
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Global research consortium representing
industry, government and academic organizations
Launched in May 2010
Focus on sustainability and growth
Holistic and ambitious: Goal of 1000x
57 member organizations
300+ leading scientists
Recognized by the World Economic Forum as an
industry-led best practice toward sustainability
DELIVER ARCHITECTURE, SPECIFICATIONS AND SOLUTIONS AND DEMONSTRATE KEY TECHNOLOGIES TO INCREASE NETWORK ENERGY
EFFICIENCY BY A FACTOR 1000 COMPARED TO 2010
GREENTOUCH™ (www.greentouch.org)
Moving from fundamental research into the pre-competitive area through standardization
Leading Green ICT: cooperation with other NGOs such as GeSI, ITU-T, GreenGrid, Carbon
Trust, ITRS
Creating a new innovation model for sustainability
It takes an ecosystem
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GREENTOUCH™ CONSORTIUM 5 YEAR GOAL
Define architectures
Demonstrate technologies
Use models for network in 2020 to set
technology demonstration requirements
2010 2015 2020
1E-4
1E-3
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
Effic
ien
cy (
Mb
/s/W
)
Year
Target Efficiency
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Bits per second
Watts
WHY NETWORK ENERGY EFFICIENCY?
UserperPowerTotal
UsertoDeliveredTrafficTotalEfficiencyNetwork
Increase Growth
Reduce
Green Services
Reduced Carbon
Footprint Reduced
Costs
Increased Revenue from
Services
Makes both Environmental and Economic Sense
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Greenpeace, G. Cook, J.V. Horn, „How dirty is your data‟
2011 Greenpeace, EREC „Energy (R)evolution‟ 2010
13
EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES
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GREENTOUCH STATUS: WHERE ARE WE?
Over 15 research programs and 25 research projects underway
• Wireless and mobile communications
• Wireline access
• Core networks and optical transmission
• Services, applications and trends
New approaches being taken:
• Devices and low power electronics / photonics
• Architectures, algorithms and protocols
• “Power-follows-load” intelligent management
• Service and energy optimized networks
Two major public demonstrations in wireless and fiber-to-the-home technologies
Establish and define common reference architecture and roadmap with strategic research directions
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022
W/s
ub
sc
rib
er Wireless LAN
OLT(/subscriber)
HGW processor
Wireline LAN (Eth.)
PON digital
OE PON
GPONXGPON
EE HW design
Long reach
Virtual HGW
BI PON
Low power electronics
Transparent CPE
Low power Optics
Sleepmode 2
Sleepmode
Short Term Long TermMedium Term
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022
W/s
ub
sc
rib
er Wireless LAN
OLT(/subscriber)
HGW processor
Wireline LAN (Eth.)
PON digital
OE PON
GPONXGPON
EE HW design
Long reach
Virtual HGW
BI PON
Low power electronics
Transparent CPE
Low power Optics
Sleepmode 2
Sleepmode
Short Term Long TermMedium Term
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Beyond Cellular – Green Mobile Networks
Virtual Home Gateway
Optimal End-to-End Resource Allocation
Service Energy Aware Optical Networks
Green Transmission Technologies
Minimum Energy Access Architectures
Single-Chip Linecards
Large-Scale Antenna Systems
Highly-Adaptive Layer Mesh Networks
Massive MIMO
25+
Projects
SOME RESEARCH PROJECTS…
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ICT networks are growing rapidly
• Scaling networks is becoming more difficult
• Bringing focus to energy efficiency
ICT and research communities are organizing to address challenges
• Dramatic, holistic change, but over long term evolution
• Cooperative organizations such as GreenTouch guiding evolution
Several promising research directions and initial results have been obtained
More work remains!
CONCLUSIONS
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Thank you!