sustainable ict networks: the greentouch vision · (csp) networks is forecast to increase by 27%...

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Dr. Thierry E. Klein Head of Green Research at Bell Labs, Alcatel-Lucent Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision

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Page 1: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

Dr. Thierry E. Klein

Head of Green Research at Bell Labs, Alcatel-Lucent

Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision

Page 2: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

GOING GREEN: NEXT REVOLUTION OF 21ST CENTURY

GREEN =

MOTOR FOR INNOVATION +

ECONOMIC DRIVER

Green is the single most important opportunity for the 21st century for all industries and specifically for ICT

“How do we get Green out of the talking shop into reality? Remember the Internet in the 80's? Green can be the same motor for innovation and inspire a new wave of economic growth.”

Ben Verwaayen CEO Alcatel-Lucent

Need new business models and innovation and co-creation frameworks

“I have always believed that IT is an engine of an efficient economy, it can also drive a greener one.”

Michael Dell Founder and CEO Dell, Inc

Forbes Magazine, Nov. 2009

Page 3: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

A NEW WIRELESS WORLD / INTERNET

Page 4: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

MASSIVE DATA TRAFFIC GROWTH

MORE DATA

MEANS MORE

POWER

78 Mtons of CO2

5 000 000 towers = 5 000 000 000

people without broadband

Today Future

17.5 GigaWatts ~ 9 Hoover Dams ~ 15 nuclear power

plants

~ 15M car emissions a year

~ 150,000 Paris to New York round-trip flights

Page 5: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

Microsoft Chicago Data Center: 24000 sq. m housing 400 containers

Each container contains 2500 servers

Integrated computing, networking, power, cooling systems

300 MW supplied from two power substations situated on opposite sides of the datacenter (equivalent to 100,000 person city)

DATACENTERS

Page 6: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

GOOGLE DATA CENTERS

A small number of large data centers

…. BUT GOOGLE IS NOT ALONE

Telco Central Offices, Enterprises, Colocation Data Centers, etc. also have servers… (It‟s not all Google, Facebook and Microsoft).

Large number of small data centers in US central offices

Page 7: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

820m tons CO2

360m tons CO2

260m tons CO2

2007 Worldwide

ICT carbon

footprint:

2% = 830 m tons

CO2

Comparable to the

global aviation

industry

Expected to grow

to 4% by 2020

The Climate Group, GeSI report

“Smart 2020”, 2008

2020 ICT CARBON FOOTPRINT

Page 8: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ICT IMPACT: GREENING BY ICT

Source: GeSI – SMART 2020: Enabling the Low Carbon Economy in the Information Age

ICT today: about 2% of global emissions

ICT can enable a 15% reduction in global emissions by 2020

An opportunity for tremendous

impact on remaining 98%

ICT making a real, positive impact,

but ICT has some direct challenges

Page 9: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

GROWING NETWORK ENERGY GAP

+27% INCREASE

ENERGY

Energy consumption in communications service provider (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016

=5th INTERNET

If the internet was a country: energy consumption is higher than Russia and a little less than Japan

HIGHEST COUNTRY

2010 2015 202010

-2

10-1

100

101

102

103

Tra

ffic

(T

b/s

)

Year

Wireless Data

Total Backbone

Internet Video

Wireless Voice

P2P

Data from: RHK, McKinsey-JPMorgan, AT&T, MINTS, Arbor, ALU, and

Bell Labs Analysis: Linear regression on log(traffic growth rate) versus log(time) with Bayesian learning to compute uncertainty

North America

2010 2015 202010

-2

10-1

100

101

102

103

Tra

ffic

(T

b/s

)

Year

Wireless Data

Total Backbone

Internet Video

Wireless Voice

P2P

2010 2015 202010

-2

10-1

100

101

102

103

Tra

ffic

(T

b/s

)

Year

Wireless Data

Total Backbone

Internet Video

Wireless Voice

P2P

Data from: RHK, McKinsey-JPMorgan, AT&T, MINTS, Arbor, ALU, and

Bell Labs Analysis: Linear regression on log(traffic growth rate) versus log(time) with Bayesian learning to compute uncertainty

North America

2005 2010 2015 2020

10

20

30

40

50

Gro

wth

Year

Mobile Data

Internet Backbone

Mobile Efficiency

WirelineEfficiency

Growing Gap!

Traffic

2005 2010 2015 2020

10

20

30

40

50

Gro

wth

Year

Mobile Data

Internet Backbone

Mobile Efficiency

WirelineEfficiency

Growing Gap!

Traffic

Page 10: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

Global research consortium representing

industry, government and academic organizations

Launched in May 2010

Focus on sustainability and growth

Holistic and ambitious: Goal of 1000x

57 member organizations

300+ leading scientists

Recognized by the World Economic Forum as an

industry-led best practice toward sustainability

DELIVER ARCHITECTURE, SPECIFICATIONS AND SOLUTIONS AND DEMONSTRATE KEY TECHNOLOGIES TO INCREASE NETWORK ENERGY

EFFICIENCY BY A FACTOR 1000 COMPARED TO 2010

GREENTOUCH™ (www.greentouch.org)

Moving from fundamental research into the pre-competitive area through standardization

Leading Green ICT: cooperation with other NGOs such as GeSI, ITU-T, GreenGrid, Carbon

Trust, ITRS

Creating a new innovation model for sustainability

It takes an ecosystem

Page 11: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

GREENTOUCH™ CONSORTIUM 5 YEAR GOAL

Define architectures

Demonstrate technologies

Use models for network in 2020 to set

technology demonstration requirements

2010 2015 2020

1E-4

1E-3

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

Effic

ien

cy (

Mb

/s/W

)

Year

Target Efficiency

Page 12: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

Bits per second

Watts

WHY NETWORK ENERGY EFFICIENCY?

UserperPowerTotal

UsertoDeliveredTrafficTotalEfficiencyNetwork

Increase Growth

Reduce

Green Services

Reduced Carbon

Footprint Reduced

Costs

Increased Revenue from

Services

Makes both Environmental and Economic Sense

Page 13: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

Greenpeace, G. Cook, J.V. Horn, „How dirty is your data‟

2011 Greenpeace, EREC „Energy (R)evolution‟ 2010

13

EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

Page 14: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

GREENTOUCH STATUS: WHERE ARE WE?

Over 15 research programs and 25 research projects underway

• Wireless and mobile communications

• Wireline access

• Core networks and optical transmission

• Services, applications and trends

New approaches being taken:

• Devices and low power electronics / photonics

• Architectures, algorithms and protocols

• “Power-follows-load” intelligent management

• Service and energy optimized networks

Two major public demonstrations in wireless and fiber-to-the-home technologies

Establish and define common reference architecture and roadmap with strategic research directions

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022

W/s

ub

sc

rib

er Wireless LAN

OLT(/subscriber)

HGW processor

Wireline LAN (Eth.)

PON digital

OE PON

GPONXGPON

EE HW design

Long reach

Virtual HGW

BI PON

Low power electronics

Transparent CPE

Low power Optics

Sleepmode 2

Sleepmode

Short Term Long TermMedium Term

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022

W/s

ub

sc

rib

er Wireless LAN

OLT(/subscriber)

HGW processor

Wireline LAN (Eth.)

PON digital

OE PON

GPONXGPON

EE HW design

Long reach

Virtual HGW

BI PON

Low power electronics

Transparent CPE

Low power Optics

Sleepmode 2

Sleepmode

Short Term Long TermMedium Term

Page 15: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

Beyond Cellular – Green Mobile Networks

Virtual Home Gateway

Optimal End-to-End Resource Allocation

Service Energy Aware Optical Networks

Green Transmission Technologies

Minimum Energy Access Architectures

Single-Chip Linecards

Large-Scale Antenna Systems

Highly-Adaptive Layer Mesh Networks

Massive MIMO

25+

Projects

SOME RESEARCH PROJECTS…

Page 16: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

ICT networks are growing rapidly

• Scaling networks is becoming more difficult

• Bringing focus to energy efficiency

ICT and research communities are organizing to address challenges

• Dramatic, holistic change, but over long term evolution

• Cooperative organizations such as GreenTouch guiding evolution

Several promising research directions and initial results have been obtained

More work remains!

CONCLUSIONS

Page 17: Sustainable ICT Networks: The GreenTouch Vision · (CSP) networks is forecast to increase by 27% from 2012 to 2016 =5th INTERNET If the internet was a country: energy consumption

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © ALCATEL-LUCENT 2011.

Thank you!