surviving the 21 st century

Surviving the 21st Century

www.visionofhumanity.com


Progress in 21st Century will be defined by the development of global systems much in the same way that the development of national systems has defined progress in the last 200 years

Major Challenges Facing Humanity

•Climate Change•Decreasing biodiversity•Lack of Fresh Water•Over population

•Other Issues as well



Only through Peace can humanity build the trust, co-operation and the genuine sharing necessary to solve the global issues of today

Peace is the Prerequisite

•Challenges are global•Shared by all Humanity•Solutions

–Inclusive–Equitable–Unparalleled cooperation–Funded–Global structures



If the paradigm of the 20th century was ‘the survival of the fittest’ then the paradigm of the 21st century is ‘survival through interdependence’

New Global Order

•Global Goods and Services–Provided by Global Structure–Peace Keeping–Peace Building–Environmental Services–Development Support–Funding independent of

Nations



As public goods and services are of the highest benefit to a nation so are global public goods and services to humanity

Global Sources of Funding

User Based•Carbon Taxes•Environmental Levies

Global Spending•Directed to Developing Countries to Cut Degradation•0.2% of GDP of 10 largest

economies for 10 years approx $600B



Without measurements it is very difficult to know whether the actions we take help or hinder our goals

Three Key Requirements to be Measured

•Assessing Sustainability– Multi faceted– As new problems emerge new indicators will be required

•Assessing Peace– Separating indicators from drivers

•Assessing Global Governance– Model on National Assessments– Global Goods and services are different than National Goods and Services



Our ability to deal with or avoid ecological collapses will be dependent on the global services that we provide – peace is a prerequisite

Assessing Sustainability

•Many good studies and indicators have been developed•Need common agreement on what to measure•Population underlying most issues•Need agreement on a basic model and needed soon•Probably multiple indices Millennium Ecosystem Assessment www.maweb.org



If we knew the three drivers that created or sustained peace and if they could be taught would the world be a more peaceful place?

Global Peace Index

Number of internal security officers and police 100,000 peopleNumber of homicides per 100,000 people

Number of jailed population per 100,000 peopleEase of access to weapons of minor destructionLevel of organised conflict (internal)Level of violent crimePolitical instabilityRespect for human rightsVolume of transfers of major conventional weapons, as recipient (Imports) per 100,000 peoplePotential for terrorist acts

Number of deaths from organised conflict (internal)

Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP

Number of armed services personnel per 100,000 people

UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)

Non-UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)

Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as supplier (exports) per 100,000 peopleRelations with neighboring countries

Number of external and internal conflicts fought: 2000-05Estimated number of deaths from organized conflict (external)

GPI Ranking

1 Norway 6 Finland2 New Zealand 7 Sweden3 Denmark 8 Canada4 Ireland 9 Portugal5 Japan 10 Austria

GPI Indicators



Without a vision of global interdependency between humanity and nature we will flight over ever dwindling resources

Global Governance

•Clear Independent Charter•Appropriate Responsibilities•Clear Lines of Funding•Transparency•Clearly defined Services•Measured Service Delivery•What can be learnt from the EU



Humanities Choice


surviving the 21 st century

Documents

global services

global issues

global structures

global structure peace

global public goods

century progress

development of global

th century