strucen trud_menadzment na rizik i analiza na rizik vo proekten menadzment_suzana dzepic (2)
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2012,
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The major difference between a thing that might go wrong and a thing that cannot
poss ib ly go wron g is tha t when a th in g th at cann ot pos sibly go wr on g goes wr on g it
usually turns out to be impossible to getat or repair
Douglas Adams
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...........................................................................................................................................................6
...............................................................................................................................8
1. ................................................................................................................................... 102. ISO 31000:2009........................................................................................................ 13
3. ..................... 14
4. ............................................. 15
5. ............................................................................................ 16
6. .......................................................................... 17
7. ................................................................................................................... 19
7.1. - ............................................................................... 19
7.2. ................................................................................................ 20
7.3. ...................................................................................................................... 20
7.4. 2 (PRINCE2)................................................................................................................................ 21
7.5. ................................................................................................................ 21
7.5.1. ....................................................................................................................................... 21
7.5.2. ........................................................................................................................ 22
7.5.3. ..................................................................................................................................... 22
7.5.4. .................................................................................................................. 22
7.5.5. ......................................................................................................................................... 23
7.6. ........................................................................................................... 24
8. ( ) ..................................................................................... 25
9. .................................................................................................................... 26
10. .......................................................................................................... 27
11. .................... 28
12. (Risk Manager) ............................................................................... 28
13. (Risk Management) ......................................................................... 30
14. ......................................................................................... 32
15. ......................................................... 34
16. .................................................................................................. 35
16.1. .................................... 36
16.2. ..................................................................................................... 37
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16.2.1. .......................................................................................... 38
16.2.2. (Risk Analysis) ................................................................................ 38
16.2.3. ................................................................................................... 43
16.3. ....................................................................................................... 46
16.4. ............................................................................. 47
16.5. ....................................................................................... 47
17. ..................................................................... 48
18. .............................................................................................................. 48
19. .................................................................................................................................. 50
20. ................................................................................................................................ 51
21. , .......................................... 52
22. ............................................. 52
............................................................................................................................................................. 54
......................................................................................................................................... 55
................................................................................................................................................................. 56
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13. 31
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;
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John Schuyler, Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects, Second Edition, PMI, Aurora, Colorado, 2000;
Glenn Koller , Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry, A practical Guide, CRC Press, New
York, 1999;
Erik W. Larson and Clifford F. Gray, Project Management - Managing Risk, The Managerial Process, Fifth
Edition, Oregon State University, 2011
Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify, mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any
project, Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995;
Tim Boyce, Successful Contract Administration, Hawksmere plc, London, 1994;
http://www.focusedperformance.com/
http://www.prres.net/Papers/Rossini_USING_SIMULATION_FOR_REAL_ESTATE_DECISION_MAKING.PDF,
http://www.ibm.com/developerworks/
http://www.mk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A0%D0%B0%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B5%D1
%9A%D0%B5_%D1%81%D0%BE_%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%82%D0%B8#cite_note-0
ISO/FDIS 31000 Risk management - Principles and guidelines, 2009;
ISO - Risk Management 31000 Standard, Ottawa February 27, 2008 -John Shortreed, Director, Institute for Risk
Research, University of Waterloo;
AS/NZS 4360 Risk Management, Cambera, 2004;
ISO Guide 73 - Risk Management - Vocabulary - Guidelines for Use in Standards, Geneva, 2002;
VesnaVrga, Upravljanje projektom, Hrvatska akademska i istraivaka mrea -CARNet ;
ISO - International Organization for Standardization, [http://www.iso.org/iso/home.html];
.
http://www.prres.net/Papers/Rossini_USING_SIMULATION_FOR_REAL_ESTATE_DECISION_MAKING.PDFhttp://www.ibm.com/developerworks/http://www.ibm.com/developerworks/http://www.prres.net/Papers/Rossini_USING_SIMULATION_FOR_REAL_ESTATE_DECISION_MAKING.PDF -
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1Erik W. Larson and Clifford F. Gray, Project Management - Managing Risk, The Managerial Process Fifth Edition, Oregon
State University, 2011, Page 210;2
www.wikipedia.org3
ISO/FDIS 31000 Risk management - Principles and guidelines, 2009 ;4
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 45
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 46
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 57http://www.ibm.com/developerworks/
8Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 99
ISO Guide 73 - Risk Management - Vocabulary - Guidelines for Use in Standards, Geneva, 2002; Page 12010
VesnaVrga, Upravljanje projektom, Hrvatska akademska i istraivaka mrea -CARNet;11
Tim Boyce, Successful Contract Administration, Hawksmere plc, London, 1994, Page 2012
Commercial Risk Management, How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project Tim Boyce,Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995Page 1113
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 2914
David I. Cleland, Roland Gareis (2006). Global project management handbook. McGraw-Hill Professional, 2006. ISBN 0-
07-146045-4. p.1-4": Project management was formally recognized in the 1950s as a distinct discipline arising from the
management discipline15
Paul C. Dinsmore et al (2005) The right projects done right! John Wiley and Sons, 2005. ISBN 0-7879-7113-8. p.82 and
further.16
Lewis R. Ireland (2006) Project Management. McGraw-Hill Professional, 2006. ISBN 0-07-147160-X. p.110.17
Winston W. Royce (1970). "Managing the Development of Large Software Systems" in: In: Technical Papers of Western
Electronic Show and Convention (WesCon) August 25-28, 1970, Los Angeles, USA.18
OGC - PRINCE2 - Background19
VA Office of Information and Technology (2003) Project Management Guide US DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS. 3
March, 200520
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 3121
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 4122
http://www.focusedperformance.com/23
ISO/IEC guide 7324
http://www.focusedperformance.com/25
http://www.focusedperformance.com/26
Glenn Koller, Risk assessment and decision making in Business and Industry A practical Guide, CRC Press, New York,
1999, Page 6527
Tim Boyce, Successful Contract Administration, Hawksmere plc, London, 1994, Page 4928
Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project ,
Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995, Page 5029
Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project ,
Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995, Page 5730
Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project ,
Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995, Page 59-6031
Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project ,
Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995 Page 62
-
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32Tim Boyce, Commercial Risk Management - How to identify,mitigate and avoid the principal risks in any project ,
Thorogood Ltd, London, 1995 Page 9033
John Schuyler, Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects , Second Edition, PMI, Aurora, Colorado, 2000, Page 4834
John Schuyler, Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects , Second Edition, PMI, Aurora, Colorado, 2000, Page 5335
John Schuyler, Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects , Second Edition, PMI, Aurora, Colorado, 2000, Page 5436
John Schuyler, Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects , Second Edition, PMI, Aurora, Colorado, 2000, Page 6537
ISO - International Organization for Standardization, [http://www.iso.org/iso/home.html]