strong growth in developing economies real gdp annual percent change forecast 2008 source: world...

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0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Strong growth in developing economies Strong growth in developing economies Real GDP annual percent change Forecast 2008 Source: World Bank Average growth rate 1980s 2000s 1990s

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Page 1: Strong growth in developing economies Real GDP annual percent change Forecast 2008 Source: World Bank Average growth rate 1980s 2000s 1990s

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Strong growth in developing economiesStrong growth in developing economies

Real GDP annual percent change

Forecast

2008

Source: World Bank

Average growth rate

1980s

2000s

1990s

Page 2: Strong growth in developing economies Real GDP annual percent change Forecast 2008 Source: World Bank Average growth rate 1980s 2000s 1990s

A turning point in global imbalancesA turning point in global imbalances

Current account balance, billions of dollars, 2002 and 2006, 2008

Source: World Bank.Source: World Bank.

-1000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

USA Europe Japan Other HIC East Asia &Pacific (ex

China)

China Europe &Central Asia

OtherDeveloping

2002

2006

2008

Page 3: Strong growth in developing economies Real GDP annual percent change Forecast 2008 Source: World Bank Average growth rate 1980s 2000s 1990s

Globalization increases developing countries share Globalization increases developing countries share in world tradein world trade

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1980 2005 2030

US$2001 trln.

Source: World Bank simulations with Linkage model.Source: World Bank simulations with Linkage model.

Exports from developing and developed countries, 2005-2030Exports from developing and developed countries, 2005-2030

Developing countries

High-income countries

$27 trln

32%

45%

22%

Page 4: Strong growth in developing economies Real GDP annual percent change Forecast 2008 Source: World Bank Average growth rate 1980s 2000s 1990s

Globalization to triple developing members in global Globalization to triple developing members in global middle classmiddle class

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2000 2030

South Asia

Europe & Central Asia

East-Asia

Individuals residing in a developing country earning a middle income (million)

Latin AmericaLatin America

Middle EastMiddle East

Africa