streaming – global flows and the digital age. · •it does not necessarily know about intent ......
TRANSCRIPT
INDONESIAand the world
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Global Flows
• A common thread in economic growth for centuries, since the Silk Road,
– Mercantilist
– Colonial periods
– The Industrial Revolution.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
GDP’s
• Today, the movement of goods, services, finance and people reached previously unimagined levels.
• Creating new degrees of connectedness among economies—and playing an ever-larger role in determining the fate of nations
• Unconnected Companies, and individuals to fall behind.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Trade
• 2014 Flows of goods, services, and finance reached $31 trillion or 36 percent of global GDP,
• 1.5 times the level in 1990.
• one in three goods crosses national borders,
• more than one-third of financial investments are international transactions.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Growth
• In the next decade, global flows could triple,
• Powered by
– rising prosperity and participation in the emerging world and
– the spread of the Internet and digital technologies.
• Global flows could reach $54 trillion to $85 trillion by 2025,
• More than double or triple their current scale.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Global Flows
• It is estimated that Global Flows add between $250 billion and $450 billion to Global GDP “Growth” or 15 to 25 percent of the total. (P.A.)
• Countries with a larger number of connections in the global network of flows increase their GDP growth by up to 40 percent more than less connected countries do.
• The penalty for being left behind is rising.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Global Flows
• New Connectedness Index ranks 131 countrieson total flows of goods, services, finance,people, and data and communication,adjusting for country size.
• Developed economies remain moreconnected than emerging ones:
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Advancing Countries• Ranking
– Germany– Hong Kong– Singapore.
• Emerging economies are less connected to global flows• Some climbing up the ranks rapidly between 1995 – 2012
– Morocco Gained 26 Places– Mauritius gained 28 places– Saudi Arabia rose 19 place (reflecting the rising value of oil
exports and the recycling of oil wealth into global financialmarkets.
– India gained 16 places in this period, (growth in services)– Brazil jumped 15 places (services and financial flows)
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
World Finances
• Financial globalization
• Retreat?
• Reset?
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
TECHNOLOGY
• Disruptive technologies Advances willtransform life, business and the globaleconomy
• Urban world: The shifting to global
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
CHANGING PEOPLE’S LIFE
• What are the main factors that will change the size of Global Flows:– Connectivity
– Communication
– Hardware and Software development (technology)
– The Internet
– Social media
– Traditional Media.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
DO OR DIE?
• Grow Fast or Die slow!!
• Singapore
• Malaysia
• Korea
• China
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Grow or Die Slowly• Growth trumps all.
• 3 pieces of evidence attest to the paramount importance of growth.
1 Growth yields greater returns. High-growth companies offer a return to shareholders five times greater than medium-growth companies.
2 Growth predicts long-term success. “Supergrowers”—companies whose growth was greater than 60 percent when they reached $100 million in revenues—were eight times more likely to reach $1 billion in revenues than those growing less than 20 percent.
3 Growth matters more than margin or cost structure. Increases in revenue growth rates drive twice as much market-capitalization gain as margin improvements for companies with less than $4 billion in revenues.
There seems to be no correlation between cost structure and growth rates.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
WHERE ARE WE.
• Where is Indonesia?
• Where are Indonesia’s Products?
• How do they Compete?
• What do they Need?
• Who can help them?
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Grow or die slowly
• Company leaders understand their growthtrajectory and determine whether theircurrent products and strategy are sufficient toreach their aspiration.
• Domestically, Regionally, Globally?
• Can Indonesia Leap Frog?
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
The Internet (communication)• The Internet puts Marketing in the spot Light
• The world is more connected than ever.
• Unparalleled reach of digital media (particularly Internet-based social media)
• Widespread adoption of mobility devices.
• V.O.I.P.
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
The Internet
• The next five years are likely to bring a threefold increase in the number of computing devices in use
• Consumer adoption of social media will exceed the scale of all previous technologies.
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
The Internet
• The Internet revolution impacted everything from – Consumer video consumption
– to home security.
– Online Trading
– Education
– Online Marketing / Promotion
– Live Entertainment
– Global Sports
– (just ti mention a Few)
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
The Internet (Human Rights)
–Three effects in particular, however, have very specific implications for
• online stores,
• Digital devices,
• Social media.
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
The Internet (Human Rights)
• Twitter, blog postings, mobile Web andmobile device applications have now becomecore.
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Social MediaThe social consumer decision journey.
• Companies have learned that social media works:
– 39 percent of Multinational companies use social-media services as their primary digital tool to reachcustomers,
– Expected to rise to 47 percent within the next four years.
(Fueling this growth is a growing list of success stories.)
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
• Facebook owns social data, it knows the interests and motivations of the entire consumer web.
• It does not necessarily know about intent —the real time intentions of users. (Agencies do?)
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
INDONESIA
An Emerging Economic Powerhouse in Asia
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Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaPOLAND - INDONESIA
Desk Top vs. Mobile ad Spending.
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
25Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
General demographics : INDONESIATabel 1. Luas Daerah dan Jumlah Penduduk Berdasarkan
Pulau-Pulau Besar
Population 218.886.791Land Area 1.904.569 M2
Sea Area 3.288.683 M2
#Islands 17.500 Pulau
Shore Line 80.000 Km
Dialects 67 Bahasa
Ethnic Groups 370 Suku Bangsa
Island Luas Pulau Jumlah penduduk
Jawa 127.569 Km2 128.470.536
Sumatra 480.847 Km2 46.029.906
Kalimantan 539.460 Km2 12.098.036
Sulawesi 189.216 Km2 15.787.955
Bali 5.561 Km2 383.272
Irian 422.981 Km2 2.518.400
Sumber : http://www.datastatistik-indonesia.com26
Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Tabel 2. Data Statistik Penduduk Indonesia tahun 1990 – 2005
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
INDONESIA is known as:• A Rich Country• The Pearl on the Equator• A Milk Pond• A stick that can turn into a bar of Gold• Our Anchestors were sailors
INDONESIA’s Richness:
• Among the 10th richest countries that has Natural Resources.
• Has 325.350 Fauna and Flora Spieces
• Startegicly located among 4 Continents and 2 Oceans
• The 4th largest Market with 240 million people
• The second longest shore line on the globe
• The biggest Tourism Potential in the world.
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
Categories of Nations
1. Rich Nations where the people are rich.
USA, Australia, Canada etc.
2. Poor Nations where the People are poor.
Uganda, Ethiopia,Bangladesh etc.
3. Poor Nation where the people are rich.
Japan,Korea,Switzerland,Singapore,etc.
4. Rich Nations where the People are poor.
????
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
Agricultur and Sea Potentials:
• 15th largets in the world Land Wise• 4th Largest population• 6th Largest seed Base Agricilture• 6th largest Producer of Tea• 4th Largest Producer of Coffee• 3rd Largest Producers of Coffee• 2nd Largest Producer of C.P.O.• 1st Largest Producer of Spices (White and Black)• Largest Prouducer of Nutmeg.• 2nd largest Producers of Rubber• 4th Largest producer od Sybtetic Rubber• Largest Plywood Producers in the world• 6th largest producer of Fish (Suppossedly #1)
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Embassy of the Republic of IndonesiaMoscow – INDONESIA
March 24, 2015
Oil / Gas and Natural resources Potential
• Tin # 2 • Coal # 9• Ore # 3• Oil # 11• Natural # 6 • LNG # 3• Gold # 8• Aspal, Bauxit, Nikel, Granit, Silver, Uranium Marbel Penghasil
Marmer serta Mineral ikutan lainnya
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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Indonesian Energi Potentials and the Asean Nations
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
INDONESIA the “LUNGS” of earth.
• Indonesia , Brazil and Central Africa is where most of the Active Clouds are formed, and will determine the Global Climate.
• The Environmental condition in these area will determine global climate.
• Indonesia more than Brazil and Central Africa, due to it shallow waters and sun rays that converts more see water than any other country on the globe.
• Indonisian Rain Forest and the Amzone are the Lungs of the World and can absorb more CARBON DIOKSIDA (CO2 up to 2,5 KG METER3 / annum. Indonesia could make it as a negotiation trump card in any world agreement
• Howeever re Forestration is now a must and Indonesia will have to do its home work to correct thesituation.
33Embassy of the Republic of
Indonesia MoscowMarch 24, 2015
Social Realities that are of concern
• Poor peopla 28,1 Million.
• Almost Poor 70,6 Million.
• Unemployed 11,1 Million.
• Half Unemployed 9,4 Million.
• (total 40,5 million of the 38% productive work force (107 million or 18,5% of the Population).
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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Largest Archipelago: 17.508 islands (5 main islands, 6000 islands inhabited)
Stretching east to west in the equator for 5.150km (±3200 miles)
Abundance of Natural Resources & Fertile Soil
A vast, huge, diverse and polyglot nation with 250 million population, 500 ethnic groups and 700 dialects
(33 Provinces)
INDONESIA IN ASEAN
Facts and Figures
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AGE STRUCTURE
43.3% 42.3% 14.3%
0-24 25-54 55+
LIFE EXPECTANCY
INDONESIA 62.17
WORLD 70.8
LITERACY RATE
INDONESIA 92.8%
WORLD 84%
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
INDONESIA 6.6%
WORLD 5.86%
INTERNET USERS
INDONESIA 15.82%
WORLD 35.6%
GDP PER CAPITA
INDONESIA US$ 5,200
WORLD US$ 13,100
SECTOR OF ECONOMY
46.6% 39.1% 14.3%
INDUSTRY SERVICES AGRICULTURE
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
Demographic and Economic Distribution
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Jakarta
(9,79mn)
Surabaya
(2,78mn)
Bandung
(2,49mn)
Medan
(2,11mn)
Semarang
(1,57mn)
50,7% population live in urban areas
8,8%
2,3%
13,6%
16,4%
5,2%
53,7%
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
2010 - 2014
Economic Growth Avarage 5 – 6% annually
Inflations Avarage 4 - 6 % annually
Unemployment Rate 5 – 6 % in the end of 2014
Poverty Rate 8 – 10 % in the end of 2014
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2010
GDP: USD 700 Billion
Income/capita: USD 3,005
2011
GDP: USD 800 Billion
Income/capita: USD 3,543
2014
GDP: USD 1,3 Trillion
Income/capita: USD 5,200
2015
GDP: USD 1,7 Trillion
Income/capita: USD 5,500-6000
INDONESIA ECONOMIC PROFILE
2016
GDP: ?
Income/capita : ?
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
Indonesian Economic Growthand the World
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Economic Growth 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
The Economic Growth ofthe World
5.1 3.9 3.2 3.5 3.3*
Central and Eastern Europe 4.6 5.3 1.8 2.4 2.6*
ASEAN 5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam)
7.0 4.5 5.7 5.5 5.2
The Economic Growth ofIndonesia
6.2 6.5 6.3 6.8 5.1
* Estimation (IMF, 2014)
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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INDONESIA’S INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE
US$ 10.9bn (50%)
US$ 4.9 bn (23%)
US$ 2 bn (9%)
US$ 1.5 bn ( 7%)
US$ 1.4 bn (6%) US$ 1bn (5%)
Investment Realization: Country OriginOthers Singapore Japan Netherlands UK Malaysia
Poland ranked 49th
(US$ 20 mn)
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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• Russia is one of Indonesia’s major trading partners. The trade volume between the two countries in 2011 reached $1.8 billion in the year’s first nine months, an increase of 50 percent from the same period in 2010.
• Russia, Indonesia are expecting a $5 Billion in Trade
The History of our Relationship with Rusia
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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INDONESIA’S
MARITIME &
FISHERIES
POTENTIAL
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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• Creating Sea Highways• Improving, revitalizing country’s shipyards.• Building new shipping vessels and fishing motherships• Construction of new prime and secondary ports.
Government of Indonesia Policy on Maritime
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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Port : - 100 Commercial ports throughout the country- Only14 ports handle the international traffic- Expansion of ports capacity to handle 18.000 TEU
Vessels:- 12.536 ships (2013, Indonesia Ship Owners
Association)- 17,89 million Gross Ton
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
INDONESIAN FISHERIES
2010 - 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
PRODUCTION (million ton) 10.76 12.26 1485 18.49 22.39
Capture(million ton)
5.38 5.41 5.44 5.47 5.50
Farming(million ton)
5.38 6.85 9.41 13.02 16.89
CONSUMPTION
(kg/capita)30.47 31.57 34.09 36.31 38.67
EXPORT
($ Billion)2.9 3.2 3.6 4.2 5.0
Source ; MOMAF-RI45
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
Indonesian Fishing Grounds
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Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
CONCLUSSION:
• In other words, the future Of Indonesia is to become an integrated digital marketing world, that is based on :
• INFORMATION
• TECHNOLOGY
• COMMUNICATION
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia Moscow
March 24, 2015
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Большоеспасибо
Bol'shoye spasibo
Embassy of the Republic of Indonesia