strategy rationale

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Strategy Rationale Strategy Rationale Oregon Recovery Plan Washington Recovery Plan NOAA Monitoring Guidance (includes RPAs) Integrated Status & Trends Monitoring (ISTM) Estuary Module

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Strategy Rationale. NOAA Monitoring Guidance (includes RPAs). Oregon Recovery Plan. Washington Recovery Plan. Estuary Module. Integrated Status & Trends Monitoring (ISTM) Recommendations. ISTM STEPS. Ongoing 1. Identify and prioritize decisions, questions, and objectives - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Strategy Rationale

Strategy RationaleStrategy RationaleStrategy RationaleStrategy Rationale

Oregon Recovery

Plan

Washington Recovery

Plan

NOAA Monitoring Guidance

(includes RPAs)

Integrated Status & Trends Monitoring

(ISTM) Recommendations

Estuary Module

Page 2: Strategy Rationale

ISTM STEPS

Ongoing1. Identify and prioritize decisions, questions, and objectives2. Evaluate extent to which existing programs align with these

decisions, questions, and objectives

Proposed3. Identify most appropriate monitoring design to inform priority

decisions, questions, and objectives4. Use trade-off analysis to develop specific recommendations

for monitoring based on outcomes of objectives 1-35. Recommend implementation and reporting mechanisms

Page 3: Strategy Rationale

Mark-Recapture

Area-Under-the-Curve

Peak Count Expansion

Redds

Census

Accuracy Cost

Complete

Random

Peak/Supplemental

Method SamplingDesign

Review & Proposed TradeOff AnalysisReview & Proposed TradeOff Analysis

Page 4: Strategy Rationale

• ODFW• WDFW• LCFRB• OWEB• USFS• Etc.

Collaborative, Integrated, Coordinated, & Efficient Monitoring Plan

PNAMP

Integrated Status & Trend Monitoring Workgroup

Page 5: Strategy Rationale

Monitoring Challenges In LCRMonitoring Challenges In LCR Lost/loosing census (dam counts at Marmot -Sandy,

Powerdale-Hood, & Hemlock -Wind) Poor visibility (glacial runoff & sediment ) in Hood,

Sandy, and Toutle Rivers High elevation (early snow) , difficult access, & safety

concerns in canyons on Sandy & Toutle Rivers preclude coho surveys, and some steelhead and Chinook surveys

Redd surveys for steelhead don’t provide biological data (sex ratio, age, % hatchery spawners) because they no carcass recoveries

Limited Funding

Lost/loosing census (dam counts at Marmot -Sandy, Powerdale-Hood, & Hemlock -Wind)

Poor visibility (glacial runoff & sediment ) in Hood, Sandy, and Toutle Rivers

High elevation (early snow) , difficult access, & safety concerns in canyons on Sandy & Toutle Rivers preclude coho surveys, and some steelhead and Chinook surveys

Redd surveys for steelhead don’t provide biological data (sex ratio, age, % hatchery spawners) because they no carcass recoveries

Limited Funding

Page 6: Strategy Rationale

VSP Monitoring Strategy*VSP Monitoring Strategy*

1. Annual surveys of natural and hatchery origin spawner abundance at population scale – facilitates productivity, diversity, & distribution assessment

Ongoing Oregon Coho (~$268k/year – Oregon Lottery) Fall Chinook (~$93k/year – Mitchell Act) Spring Chinook redds and carcasses census in

Sandy and Clackamas (~$40k/year – SFR) Washington Steelhead (MA) Chinook (MA & BPA) Chum (BPA)

Gaps Oregon - Steelhead & Chum Esc (~$319k/year st

only) Washington – Coho Esc(~$600k/year)

1. Annual surveys of natural and hatchery origin spawner abundance at population scale – facilitates productivity, diversity, & distribution assessment

Ongoing Oregon Coho (~$268k/year – Oregon Lottery) Fall Chinook (~$93k/year – Mitchell Act) Spring Chinook redds and carcasses census in

Sandy and Clackamas (~$40k/year – SFR) Washington Steelhead (MA) Chinook (MA & BPA) Chum (BPA)

Gaps Oregon - Steelhead & Chum Esc (~$319k/year st

only) Washington – Coho Esc(~$600k/year)

*Pending ISTM project results*Pending ISTM project results

Page 7: Strategy Rationale

2. Annual surveys of juvenile densities and distribution at MPG scaleOngoing

Oregon (~$42k/year – Oregon Lottery)Gaps Washington

2. Annual surveys of juvenile densities and distribution at MPG scaleOngoing

Oregon (~$42k/year – Oregon Lottery)Gaps Washington

VSP Monitoring Strategy*VSP Monitoring Strategy*

*Pending ISTM project results*Pending ISTM project results

Page 8: Strategy Rationale

3. Life cycle (Fish In/Out) monitoring in at least one sub-watershed per MPG

Ongoing NF Scappoose (~$12k/year – Oregon Lottery) River Mill Dam, Clackamas ($? - PGE) Hood River (BPA) Grays & Wind (BPA) MAG, Kalama, Coweeman, Cedar(State, MA,PSC) Tilton & Upper Cowlitz (TPU)

Proposed Clatskanie River (~$60k/year) Cedar Creek, Sandy River (~$50k/year) EF & WF Hood River (~?/year CTWS) Rotating smolt traps in Sandy River (~$50k/yearb) Rotating smolts in unmonitored WA tribs

3. Life cycle (Fish In/Out) monitoring in at least one sub-watershed per MPG

Ongoing NF Scappoose (~$12k/year – Oregon Lottery) River Mill Dam, Clackamas ($? - PGE) Hood River (BPA) Grays & Wind (BPA) MAG, Kalama, Coweeman, Cedar(State, MA,PSC) Tilton & Upper Cowlitz (TPU)

Proposed Clatskanie River (~$60k/year) Cedar Creek, Sandy River (~$50k/year) EF & WF Hood River (~?/year CTWS) Rotating smolt traps in Sandy River (~$50k/yearb) Rotating smolts in unmonitored WA tribs

aAnnual cost will go down once infrastructure is in placebSupplemented by with additional Portland HCP funds?

VSP Monitoring Strategy*VSP Monitoring Strategy*

*Pending ISTM project results*Pending ISTM project results

Page 9: Strategy Rationale

Habitat Monitoring Strategy*Habitat Monitoring Strategy*

1. Annual GRTS-based habitat surveys at MPG scaleOngoing

In wadeable streams (~$68k/year – Oregon Lottery)

Proposed In non-wadeable streams (~$100k/year)

2. Periodic GRTS-based habitat surveys at population scaleOngoing

NoneProposed

Wadeable streams (~$156k/year) Non-wadeable streams (included in

MPG scale estimate)

1. Annual GRTS-based habitat surveys at MPG scaleOngoing

In wadeable streams (~$68k/year – Oregon Lottery)

Proposed In non-wadeable streams (~$100k/year)

2. Periodic GRTS-based habitat surveys at population scaleOngoing

NoneProposed

Wadeable streams (~$156k/year) Non-wadeable streams (included in

MPG scale estimate)

*Pending ISTM project results*Pending ISTM project results

Page 10: Strategy Rationale

Precision & Sample Size Targets*Precision & Sample Size Targets*

+ 30% of estimate 30-40 sites or 30% of sample frame (whichever comes first)

+ 30% of estimate 30-40 sites or 30% of sample frame (whichever comes first)

*Pending ISTM project results*Pending ISTM project results

Page 11: Strategy Rationale

Harvest Monitoring StrategyHarvest Monitoring Strategy Improve precision of harvest estimates. ($?) Needed for VSP productivity estimate Hatchery harvest rates from CWT are used as surrogate for wild fish Consider incorporation of genetic & PIT tag sampling to supplement & compare with CWT CWT recovery program

◦Fund CWT program to achieve 20% sample rate ◦Provided wands/scanners to sample PIT tags

Improve precision of harvest estimates. ($?) Needed for VSP productivity estimate Hatchery harvest rates from CWT are used as surrogate for wild fish Consider incorporation of genetic & PIT tag sampling to supplement & compare with CWT CWT recovery program

◦Fund CWT program to achieve 20% sample rate ◦Provided wands/scanners to sample PIT tags

Page 12: Strategy Rationale

Hatchery Monitoring StrategyHatchery Monitoring StrategySegregated and Integrated ProgramsCWT ProgramRelative Reproductive SuccessVSP AbundanceResidualism/Ecologiocal Interactions from Juvenile Sampling

Segregated and Integrated ProgramsCWT ProgramRelative Reproductive SuccessVSP AbundanceResidualism/Ecologiocal Interactions from Juvenile Sampling

Page 13: Strategy Rationale

Effectiveness Monitoring StrategyEffectiveness Monitoring Strategy

Pre- & Post- habitat monitoring at restoration sites◦ Ongoing

~15 restoration sites per year ($? – Oregon Lottery)◦ Proposed

Pending ISTM project results

Intensively Monitored Watersheds◦Ongoing

OR (None) & WA (MAG)

◦Proposed Pending ISTM project results

WA (Wind)

Pre- & Post- habitat monitoring at restoration sites◦ Ongoing

~15 restoration sites per year ($? – Oregon Lottery)◦ Proposed

Pending ISTM project results

Intensively Monitored Watersheds◦Ongoing

OR (None) & WA (MAG)

◦Proposed Pending ISTM project results

WA (Wind)

Page 14: Strategy Rationale

Critical Uncertainty ResearchCritical Uncertainty Research

Ongoing: Relative Reproductive Success

◦ Steelhead – Hood, Kalama, & Abernathy (BPA & MA) ISTM

◦ Species Distribution Models for sampling frames (BPA)◦ Master Sample Program for LCR (BPA)

Alternate monitoring◦ DIDSON Sonar (PSC)

Proposed: Chum reintroduction (~$324k/year)

◦ Freshwater survival and performance of hatchery fed-fry, direct planted eyed eggs, and natural production following reintroduction of chum salmon into targeted subbasins

Relative Reproductive Success◦ Tule Fall Chinook

ISTM◦ Integration of fish and habitat monitoring◦ Estimation of precision & accuracy of different Columbia Basin

monitoring programs (Redds, AUC, MR, PCE) based on LCR data◦ TradeOffs ($, Precision, Accuracy) between monitoring approaches

& designs

Ongoing: Relative Reproductive Success

◦ Steelhead – Hood, Kalama, & Abernathy (BPA & MA) ISTM

◦ Species Distribution Models for sampling frames (BPA)◦ Master Sample Program for LCR (BPA)

Alternate monitoring◦ DIDSON Sonar (PSC)

Proposed: Chum reintroduction (~$324k/year)

◦ Freshwater survival and performance of hatchery fed-fry, direct planted eyed eggs, and natural production following reintroduction of chum salmon into targeted subbasins

Relative Reproductive Success◦ Tule Fall Chinook

ISTM◦ Integration of fish and habitat monitoring◦ Estimation of precision & accuracy of different Columbia Basin

monitoring programs (Redds, AUC, MR, PCE) based on LCR data◦ TradeOffs ($, Precision, Accuracy) between monitoring approaches

& designs

Page 15: Strategy Rationale

Data ManagementData Management

Ongoing StreamNet OWEB Oregon Watershed Restoration Inventory WDFW – Spawning Ground Survey (SGS), Age & Scales, &

Smolt Trapping databases Project level data management

Gaps Coordinated region-wide VSP and habitat data management

systems ($?)

Ongoing StreamNet OWEB Oregon Watershed Restoration Inventory WDFW – Spawning Ground Survey (SGS), Age & Scales, &

Smolt Trapping databases Project level data management

Gaps Coordinated region-wide VSP and habitat data management

systems ($?)

Page 16: Strategy Rationale

◦ How it conforms with your strategy Existing monitoring & tradeoffs reviewed through ISTM Current monitoring is early Implementation of ISTM & gaps

◦ How it informs the BIOP RPA’s RPA 62.4,50.6,50.7,63.1

◦ Where there adjustments identified Modify CWT recovery expanded to include PIT tags Modified Chum to address PRA New RRS for Chinook Wind modified for IMW status (Dam Removal & Habitat

Restoration)

◦ Were these adjustments cost plus, cost minus or cost neutral, include total amounts All adjustments are cost plus

Existing monitoring and its relation to strategy and BIOP RPA’sExisting monitoring and its relation to strategy and BIOP RPA’s

Page 17: Strategy Rationale

◦ The only Accord Monitoring in the Lower Columbia Domain occurs in the Hood River By CTWSRO

◦ Accord monitoring addresses RPA 50.4, 50.6, 50.7, 56.1, 62.1, 62.4, 64.1, 64.2

◦ M&E was projected to be $499k and proposed to be $502K◦ Habitat monitoring $50K out of $323K annually◦ Does not include ODFW monitoring and OSU RRS steelhead

monitoring

Summarize any Accord monitoring within Summarize any Accord monitoring within your strategyyour strategy

Page 18: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new monitoring Summarize, by priority, the new monitoring efforts needed to meet the RPA requirementsefforts needed to meet the RPA requirements

ISTM Project funded through PNAMP to complete a comprehensive review of fish monitoring in the LCR and develop an integrated status and trend monitoring program for habitat. (ODFW & WDFW)

Coded Wire Tag Recovery Project This project includes fisheries sampling and spawning ground surveys to recovery coded wire tags. Both of which are needed for estimate VSP parameters of abundance, diversity, and productivity. Scope increased to include PIT tag sampling and achievement of recommended sampling rates. (ODFW & WDFW)

Chum salmon enhancement in the LCR (includes monitoring, restoration, rebuilding, and reintroduction). Funding already secured for planning & development of integrated monitoring plan and habitat restoration in FY10 ($497K). In FY11 Duncan Cr project (200105300) & Below the Dams project (199900301) to be combined into one project ($1.1M) for full implementation. Includes smolt trapping for multiply listed species on Grays & possibly Hamilton Creek. (ODFW & WDFW)

Page 19: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new monitoring Summarize, by priority, the new monitoring efforts needed to meet the RPA requirementsefforts needed to meet the RPA requirements(continued)(continued)

Hood River M&E and Habitat Programs (ODFW and CTWSRO)

Wind River Watershed Assessment. Funding for BACI design in Wind River to assess removal of Hemlock Dam on USFS land per contract #199801900. Modification is intended is to elevate Wind River monitoring to IMW-level intensity. Also provides information on other species (Coho & Chinook). Budget includes only fish monitoring (WDFW).

Page 20: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new additional Summarize, by priority, the new additional monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.

OREGON (Highest Priority) Implementation of ISTM Recommendations GRTS-based steelhead redd surveys. Cost: $319k/year Periodic GRTS-based habitat monitoring at population scale in

wadeable streams. Cost/year: $156k (for all pops and all MPGs in LCR)

Habitat monitoring in non-wadeable streams. Cost: $100k/year (includes all pops and MPGs in LCR)

Life cycle monitoring site in Cedar Creek (Sandy River) and rotating outmigrant traps in the Sandy. Cost: $100k/year

Page 21: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new additional Summarize, by priority, the new additional monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.

WASHINGTON (Highest Priority) Implementation of ISTM Recommendations LCR adult coho monitoring of distribution, escapement. Included in

WDFW MOA proposal to BPA. Includes development and implementation of "Accuracy & Precision" project to develop LCR-specific apparent residence time estimate. Should also include completion of Coweeman coho survey project (2005-2008)

Page 22: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new additional Summarize, by priority, the new additional monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.

OREGON (High Priority) Develop new hatchery database system that is compatible with the

proposed databases for production planning and marking (Istar) has the ability to store new data fields and expand as need arises, and is readily available to all personnel in ODFW. Cost: $

Juvenile outmigrant trapping at NF Klaskanine and Big Creek to obtain additional information on marine and freshwater survival rates and gather information needed to develop and test habitat capacity models. Cost: $60k/year

GRTS-based surveys above fish counting/passage facilities to evaluate precision and bias. Cost: $60k/year

Macroinvertebrate monitoring at MPG scale. Cost: $50k/year (includes all MPGs in LCR)

Life cycle monitoring site in Neal Cr. (Hood). Cost/year: $100k

Page 23: Strategy Rationale

Summarize, by priority, the new additional Summarize, by priority, the new additional monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.monitoring efforts needed to meet the strategy.

WASHINGTON (High Priority) Fall Chinook Productivity Monitoring Two estimates of

RRS for Chinook (one each in strata coast and casacde). Washougal Weir Construction and Operation of a weir on the

Washougal for hatchery tule fall Chinook escapement Fish In/out Monitoring. Statewide strategy for the high quality

escapement and smolt estimates for both fisheries and habitat monitoring

Coweeman Fish In/Out Juvenile trapping and adult escapement estimates for all salmonids.

Kalama River 2nd Generation RRS RRS of naturally produced steelhead with varying degrees of hatchery ancestry.