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  • 8/2/2019 Strategic Thinking or Strategic Planning

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    S T R A T E G Y A T T H E L E A D I N G E D G EN E W R E S E A R C H & C O N F E R E N C E R E P O R T S

    Stra tegic T hinking or StrategicPlanning?Loizos Heracleous

    O V E R F IF T EE N Y E A RS A G O M i n t z b e r g a r g u e d t h a tt h e m e a n i n g o f t h e t e r m ' s tr a te g i c p l a n n i n g ' w a sa m b i g u o u s , a n d t h a t t h e r e w a s a n e e d f o r a c le a ru n d e r s t a n d i n g o f t h a t t e r m . 1 N o w n o t o n l y i s " s t r a -t e g ic p l a n n i n g " s t il l u s e d i n a v a r i e t y o f w a y s , b u tt h e s i tu a t i o n i s m a d e e v e n m o r e c o m p l i c a t e d b y t h e

    i n t r o d u c t i o n o f a m o r e r e c e n t t e r m , " s t r a t e g i c t h i n k -i n g " .

    T h e r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e t w o i d e a s o f s t ra t e g icp l a n n i n g a n d s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g i s b y n o m e a n s c l e a ri n th e l i t e r a tu r e , w h i c h i s i n a s t a t e o f c o n f u s i o n o v e rt h i s i s s u e . S t r a t e g ic p l a n n i n g i s o f t e n u s e d t o r e f e rt o a p r o g r a m m a t i c , a n a l y t i c a l t h o u g h t p r o c e s s , a n ds t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g t o r e f e r t o a c r e a t i v e , d i v e r g e n tt h o u g h t p r o c e s s . T h e c o n f u s i o n , h o w e v e r , s t e m s f r o mt h e f a c t t h a t a l t h o u g h t h e r e a r e f r e q u e n t u s a g e s o f t h et e r m s i n t h e a b o v e w a y s , v a r i o u s a u t h o r s s ti ll u s et h e s e t e rm s i n f u n d a m e n t a l l y d i f fe r e n t w a y s . W h i l ef o r s o m e s t ra t e g i c th i n k i n g a n d p l a n n i n g a r e d i s t in c tt h i n k in g m o d e s w h i c h a r e b o t h u s e f u l a t d i f fe r e n ts t a g e s o f t h e s t r a te g i c m a n a g e m e n t p r o c e s s ( e .g .M i n t z b e r g ) , f o r o t h e r s , s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g i s n o t s o

    P e r g a m o n P I I : S 0 0 2 4 - 6 3 0 1 ( 9 8 ) 0 0 0 6 9 - 7L o n g R a n g e P l a n n i n g , V o l . 3 1 , N o . 3 , p p . 4 8 1 t o 4 8 7 , 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 8 E l s e v i e r S c i e n c e L t d . A l l r i g h t s r e s e r v e dP r i n t e d i n G r e a t B r i t a in0 0 2 4 - 6 3 0 1 / 9 8 $ 1 9 . 0 0+ 0 . 0 0

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    m u c h c r e a t i v e a s a n a l y t i c a l ( P o r t e r ) ; f o r s o m e , s t r a -t e gi c p l a n n i n g h a s r e m a i n e d a n a n a l y t i c a l a c t i v it y b u tt h e o r g a n i s a t i o n a l p r a c ti c e s s u r r o u n d i n g i t h a v e b e e nt r a n s f o r m e d ; f o r o t h e r s, t h e r e a l p u r p o s e o f a n a ly t i c a lt o o l s o f s tr a t e g i c p l a n n i n g i s to f a c i l i t a t e c r e a t i v i t y( s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g ) ; a n d l a s t l y f o r o t h e r s , s t r a t e g i cp l a n n i n g i s u s e l e s s a n d s h o u l d b e s c r a p p e d i n fa v o u ro f s tr a t e g i c t h i n k i n g .

    A n e x p l o r a t i o n o f th e l i t e r a t u r e r e v e a l s t h a t t h e r ei s n o a g r e e m e n t o n w h a t s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g i s, w h a ts t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g i s , o r w h a t t h e i r r e l a t i o n s h i ps h o u l d b e . T h i s p a p e r t h e r e f o r e : D i s e n t a n g l e s t h e r e l a t io n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e t e r m s" s t r a te g i c th i n k i n g " a n d " s t r a t e g ic p l a n n i n g " a sf o u n d i n t h e l i te r a t u re , i d e n t i f y i n g f o u r m a i n v a r -i e t i e s o f t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p . C l a r if i es t h e n a t u r e o f s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g a n d s t r a -t e g ic p l a n n i n g b y d e v e l o p i n g t h e a n a l o g y o f st ra -

    t e g i c p l a n n i n g a s s i n g l e - l o o p l e a r n i n g a n d s t r a t e g i ct h i n k i n g a s d o u b l e - l o o p l e a rn i n g . P r o p o s e s a d i a l e c ti c a l v i e w o f th e r e l a t i o n s h i pb e t w e e n s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g a n d s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n gw h i c h s e e s t h e m a s d i s t i n c t , b u t i n t e r r e l a t e d a n dc o m p l e m e n t a r y t h o u g h t p r o c e s se s .T h e f o l l o w i n g v i e w s o n t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n s t ra -t e g ic t h i n k i n g a n d s t ra t eg i c p l a n n i n g a r e f o u n d i n t h el i t e r a t u r e :Stra teg ic Planning and S tra teg ic Think ing areT w o D i s t i n c t T h i n k i n g M o d e s , a n d S t r a te g i cT h i n k i n g S h o u l d P r e c e d e S tr a t eg i c P l a n n i n gA c c o r d i n g to th i s v i e w , p l a n n i n g c a n n o t p r o d u c es t r a t e g i e s b e c a u s e i t i s a p r o g r a m m a t i c , f o r m a l i s e da n d a n a l y t i c a l p r o c e s s ; it is r a t h e r w h a t h a p p e n s a f te rs t ra t e g ie s a r e d e c i d e d , d i s c o v e r e d o r s i m p l y e m e r g e .T h i s i s a v i e w a s s o c i a t e d w i t h H e n r y M i n t z b e rg , a r g u -a b l y t h e m o s t t r e n c h a n t c r i t ic o f p l a n n i n g . M i n t z b e r gh a s s o u g h t t o l i m i t th e t h e o r e t i c a l s p a c e o c c u p i e d b yt h e c o n c e p t o f st r at e g ic p l a n n i n g b y s u g g e s ti n g t h a t i ti s b a s e d o n c e r t a i n f a l l a c i e s . F i r s t l y , t h e f a l l a c y o fp r e d i c t i o n , t h e b e l i e f t h a t p l a n n e r s c a n p r e d i c t w h a tw i l l h a p p e n i n t h e m a r k e t p l a c e . S e c o n d l y , t h e f a l la c yo f d e t a c h m e n t , t h e p r e m i s e t h a t e f f e c ti v e st r at e g ie sc a n b e p r o d u c e d t h r o u g h f o r m a l i s e d p r o c e s s e s b yp l a n n e r s w h o a r e d e t a c h e d f r o m t h e b u s in e s s o p e r -a t i o n s a n d t h e m a r k e t c o n t e x t . L a s tl y , t h e f a l l a c y o ff o r m a l i s a t i o n , t h e q u e s t i o n a b l e i d e a t h a t f o r m a l i s e dp r o c e d u r e s c a n i n f a c t p r o d u c e s t r a t e g i e s , w h e r e a st h e i r p r o p e r f u n c t i o n i s t o o p e r a t i o n a l i s e a l r e a d ye x i s t i n g s t r a t e g i e s . 2

    C r i ti q u e s o f p l a n n i n g i n a s i m i l a r v e i n h a v e b e e nw i d e s p r e a d i n t h e p o p u l a r m a n a g e m e n t l i t e ra t u r e . 3'4O t h e r a u t h o r s w i t h i n t h i s l i t e r at u r e h a v e a c c e p t e d t h ec o n v e n t i o n a l c r i t i q u e s o f s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g ( e. g. t h ef a l la c i e s e x p l i c a t e d b y M i n t zb e r g ) , b u t h a v e g o n e f a rb e y o n d t h e m t o f i n d n o p l a c e f o r p l a n n i n g i n o r g a n i s a t io n s , a r g u i n g t h a t s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g s h o u l d b e

    s c r a p p e d c o m p l e t e l y a n d s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g s h o u l do c c u r i n s t e a d . 5'6T h i s v i e w , t h e r e f o r e , e m p h a s i s e s t h a t s t r a t e g i ct h i n k i n g a n d s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g i n v o l v e d i s t i n c tt h o u g h t p r o c e s s e s , w h e r e s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g i s a n a -l y t ic a l a n d c o n v e r g e n t , w h e r e a s s t ra t e g ic t h i n k i n g i s

    s y n t h e t i c a n d d i v e r g e n t . It q u e s t io n s s t r o n g l y t h e p r o -m i n e n c e a n d p r o m i s e a c c o r d e d t o s t ra t e g ic p l a n n i n g ,s e e k i n g to l i m i t p l a n n i n g t o t h e o p e r a t i o n a l i s a t io n o fe x i s t i n g s t r a t e g i e s r a t h e r t h a n b e i n g a b l e t o g e n e r a t er a d i c a l l y n e w a n d c r e a t iv e s t r at e g ie s .S t r a te g i c T h i n k i n g I s ( a n d S h o u l d B e )A n a l y t i c a lT h i s i s a v i e w a s s o c i a t e d m a i n l y w i t h M i c h a e l P o r t er ,w h o s e a n a l y t i c a l f r a m e w o r k s o f fi ve f o r c es a n a l y s is ,t h e v a l u e c h a in , t h e d i a m o n d m o d e l o f n a t i o n a l c o m -p e t i t i v e a d v a n t a g e a n d s t r a t e g y a s a c t i v i t y s y s t e m , a r ei m p o r t a n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s t o t h e s t r a t e g i c m a n a g e m e n tf i el d . A c c o r d i n g t o P o r t e r, f o r e x a m p l e ,

    'strategic thinking inv olves asking two critical questions. First,what is the structure of your industry, and how is it likely toevolve over time? ... Second, what is your o wn company 's rela-tive position in the industry?'.7O t h e r s h a v e a l s o p r o p o s e d w e l l - d e f in e d , a n a l y t i c a la p p r o a c h e s a s c o n s t i t u t i n g s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g : Z a b -r i s k ie a n d H u e l l m a n t e l , 8 f o r e x a m p l e , s u g g e s t as e q u e n t i a l , w e l l - d e f i n e d si x - s te p p r o c e s s t o e n a b l es t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g , a n d E d e n i n a s i m i l a r v e i n , 9d e s c r i b e s a s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g p r o c e s s b a s e d o n c o g -n i t i v e m a p p i n g . A s i m i l a r a n a l y t i c a l a p p r o a c h h a sa l s o b e e n t a k e n i n t h e p o p u l a r l i t e r a t u r e , 1 w h e r e f o r -m a l i s e d a p p r o a c h e s a r e sa i d t o c o n s t i t u t e s t ra t e g ict h i n k i n g . P o r t e r a n d o t h e r s , t h e r e f o r e , u s e t h e t e r m' s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g ' n o t a s a s y n t h e t i c a n d d i v e r g e n tt h o u g h t p r o c e s s , b u t a s a c o n v e r g e n t a n d a n a l y t i c a lo n e ; i n t h e s a m e w a y a s o t h e r a u t h o r s w o u l d u s e t h et e r m s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g .T h e r e a l p u r p o s e o f s t ra t e gi c p l a n n i n g i s t oi m p r o v e s t ra t eg i c t h i n k i n gR e l a t e d t o t h e a b o v e v i e w , i s t h e s u g g e s t i o n t h a t th ereal purpose of strategic pla nnin g is to facilitate stra-tegic thinking, w h e r e s t r u c t u r e d p l a n n i n g t o o l s a r eu s e d t o a i d c r e a t i v e t h i n k i n g . T h i s i s a v i e w s t a t e ds u c c i n c t l y i n a s e r ie s o f H a r v a r d B u s i n e s s R e v i e wa r t i c l e s w r i t t e n b y f o r m e r s e n i o r m a n a g e r s a t R o y a lD u t c h / S h e l l . ~1-13 T h e s t r a t e g i c t o o l a s s o c i a t e d w i t ht h i s v i e w i s ' s c e n a r i o p l a n n i n g ' , a p r o c e s s o f e l i c i t i n ga p p r o p r i a t e r e s p o n s e s t o r e a s o n a b l y p o s s ib l e f u t u r e s ,d e s i g n e d t o q u e s t i o n m a n a g e r s ' g u i d i n g a s s u m p t i o n s ,a n d s e n s i t i s e t h e i r t h i n k i n g t o p o t e n t i a l c o m p e t i t i v ea r e n a s s u b s t a n t i a l ly d i f f e r e n t fr o m c u r r e n t o n e s .W a c k d e s c r i b e d t h e s c e n a r i o p l a n n i n g p r o c e s s a tS h e l l e m p h a s i s i n g t h a t

    'scenarios serv e two main purposes. The firs t is protective:anticipating and understanding risk. The second is entre-

    Strategic T hinkin g or Strategic Planning ?

  • 8/2/2019 Strategic Thinking or Strategic Planning

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    preneurial: discovering strategic options of which you w ere pre-viously unaware ... Scenarios give managers something veryprecio us: the a bility to reper ceive reality'. 12D e G e u s s i m i l a r l y s u g g e s t e d t h a t t h e v a l u e o f t h e p l a n -n i n g p r o c e s s d o e s n o t r e s i d e i n t h e p l a n i ts e l f, 13 b u ti n c h a n g in g t h e m e n t a l m o d e l s o f m a n a g e r s i n v o l v e di n t h is p r o c e s s ( fo r s i m i l a r a r g u m e n t s s e e a ls oNa d le r ) . 14Strategic Planning has Over Time Evolved intoStrategic ThinkingI t h a s b e e n s u g g e s t e d t h a t " s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g h a sc h a n g e d d r a m a t i c a l l y s i n c e it s i n c e p t i o n i n th e e a r l y1 9 7 0 ' s . H a v i n g s u r v i v e d i t s o r i g i n a l d e s i g n f l a w s , i th a s e v o l v e d i n t o a v i a b l e s y s t e m o f st r a te g i c m a n -a g e m e n t ( o r s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g ) " . 15 T h e m a i n c h a n g e s ,a c c o r d i n g t o t h i s v i e w , i n c l u d e t h e s h i f t o f p l a n n i n gr e s p o n s i b i l i t y f r o m s t a f f t o l i n e m a n a g e r s , t h e d e c e n -t r a l i s a t io n o f p l a n n i n g t o b u s i n e s s u n i t s , m o r e a t t e n -t i o n t o e n v i r o n m e n t a l s h i f t s , m o r e s o p h i s t i c a t e ds e l e c t io n o f p l a n n i n g t e c h n i q u e s , a n d m o r e a t t e n t io nt o o r g a n i s a t i o n a n d c u l t u r e a s v i t a l i m p l e m e n t a t i o nfac tor s . 16 R e l a t e d t o t h i s v i e w p o i n t i s t h e l i t e r a t u r ea r g u i n g t h a t s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g i s u s e f u l i f i t i s c a r r i e do u t i n a n a p p r o p r i a t e m a n n e r - - i n v o l v i n g l in em a n a g e r s , d e f i n i n g b u s i n e s s u n i t s c o r r e c t l y , h a v i n gc l e a r a c t i o n s t e p s a n d i n t e g r a t i n g t h e p l a n w i t h o t h e ro r g a n i s a t i o n a l c o n t r o l s , 17 t h e s e l a r g e ly c o r r e s p o n d i n gt o t h e s h i f ts i n t r a d i t i o n a l p l a n n i n g p r a c t i c e s r e p o r t e db y t h e p r o p o n e n t s o f t h is v i e w .

    I n t h i s v i e w , t h e r e f o r e , s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g a n ds t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g a r e id e n t i f i e d m o r e w i t h t h e o r g a n -i s a t i o n a l p r a c t i c e s s u r r o u n d i n g t h e m r a t h e r t h a n t h et h o u g h t p r o c e s s e s i n v o l v e d . S t r a t eg i c t h i n k i n g i s p o r -t r a y e d a s a n e v o l u t i o n f r o m s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g , w h i c hi s s a i d t o h a v e b e c o m e l e s s e l i t i s t i n i t s o r i g i n s a n dm o r e o p e n a n d s o p h i s t i c a t e d i n i ts m e t h o d s .

    Strategic Thinking as Double-loopLearningH a v i n g c o n s i d e r e d t h e v a r io u s v i e w s f o u n d i n th el i te r a t u r e , t h e r e i s a n e e d n o w t o c l a r i fy t h e n a t u r e o fs t r a te g i c th i n k i n g a n d s t r a t e g ic p l a n n i n g a n d t o p l a c et h e m i n a n a p p r o p r i a t e c o n t e x t . T h i s w i l l b e d o n e b ys u g g e s t i n g a d u a l a n a l o g y : s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g c a n b es e e n a s d o u b l e - l o o p l e a r n i n g , a n d s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n ga s s i n g l e - l o o p l e a r n i n g . T h i s a n a l o g y i s h e l p f u l i nc l a r i fy i n g t h e n a t u r e o f s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g a n d s t r a te g i cp l a n n i n g , a n d w h y t h e y a r e d i f f e re n t , b u t u l t i m a t e l yb o t h n e c e s s a r y a n d c o m p l e m e n t a r y .B a t e s o n , a p p l y i n g R u s s e l l ' s t h e o r y o f l o g i c a l t y p e st o t h e c o n c e p t o f l e a r n in g , d i f f e r e n t i a t e d b e t w e e n f i v et y p e s o f l e a r n i n g : 18Z e r o l e a r n i n g S p e c i f i c i t y o f r e s p o n s e n o t s u b j e c t t o

    c o r r e c t i o n

    L e a r n i n g I C h a n g e i n s p e c i f i c i t y o f r e s p o n s e b yc o r r e c t i o n o f e r r o rs o f c h o i c e w i t h i n as e t o f a l t e r n a t i v e s

    L e a r n i n g I I A c o r r e c t i v e c h a n g e i n t h e s e t o f a l t e r-n a t i v es f r o m w h i c h c h o i c e is m a d e o ra c h a n g e i n t h e p u n c t u a t i o n o f e x p e r -i e n c eL e a r n i n g I II A c o r r e c t i v e c h a n g e i n t h e s y s t e m o fs e t s o f a l t e r n a t i v e s f r o m w h i c h c h o i c ei s m a d e

    L e a r n i n g I V C h a n g e in t h e p r o c e s s o f l e a r n i n g I II ,b u t p r o b a b l y d o e s n o t o c c u r i n a n yl i v i n g o r g a n i s m o n e a r t h

    A r g y r is c o n c e n t r a t e s o n t h e d i s t i n c ti o n b e t w e e n s i n -g l e - l o o p a n d d o u b l e - l o o p l e a r n i n g , w h i c h a r e a n a l -o g o u s t o B a t e s o n ' s l e a r n i n g I a n d I I. 19 S i n g l e - l o o pl e a r n i n g o c c u r s w h e n t h e r e i s a m a t c h b e t w e e n t h eo r g a n i s a t i o n ' s d e s i g n f o r a c t i o n a n d t h e a c t u a lo u t c o m e , o r w h e n s u c h m i s m a t c h e s a re c o r r e c te d b yc h a n g i n g a c t i o n s , b u t without critical examination ofthe governing variables for action. D o u b l e - l o o p l ea r n-i ng o c c u r s w h e n t h e c o r r e c ti o n o f m i s m a t c h e s i sa r r i v e d a t b y examining and altering the governingvariables for action and then the actions themselves.F i o l a n d L y l e s s i m i l a r l y d i f f e r e n t i a t e b e t w e e n l o w e r -l e v e l a n d h i g h e r - l e v e l l e a r n i n g . 2 L o w e r l e v e l l e a r n i n gi n v o l v e s t h e d e v e l o p m e n t o f c o g n i ti v e a s s o c i a t io n sw h i c h f a c i l i t a t e i n c r e m e n t a l o r g a n i s a t i o n a l a d a p -t a ti o n b u t w i t h o u t t h e q u e s t i o n i n g o f c e n tr a l n o r m sa n d f r a m e s o f r e f e r e n c e o f th e o r g a n i s a t i o n . H i g h e r -l e v e l l e a rn i n g o c c u r s w h e n t h e s e n o r m s a n d f r a m e so f r e f e r e n c e a r e c h a l l e n g e d a n d a l t e re d , a n d a m o r ea c c u r a t e u n d e r s t a n d i n g o f c a u s a l r e l a t io n s e x i s t s .T h e s e l e v e l s o f l e a r n i n g a r e al s o m i r r o r e d i n S e n g e ' sd i s t i n c ti o n b e t w e e n g e n e r a ti v e a n d a d a p t i v el e a rn i n g . 21 A d a p t i v e l e a r n i n g i s a b o u t c o p i n g w i t h i ne x i s t i n g f r a m e s o f r e f e r e n c e , w h e r e a s g e n e r a t i v el e a r n i n g i s a b o u t b e i n g c r e a t i v e , a n d r e q u i r e s n e ww a y s o f p e r c e i v i n g t h e w o r l d . F i g u r e 1 p o r t r a y s t h et e r m s u s e d t o d e s c r i b e t h e a b o v e l e v e l s o f l e a rn i n g :

    W h i l e t h e r e a r e d i f f e r e n c e s i n t e r m i n o l o g y i n a l lt h e a b o v e a u t h o r s , t h e c e n t r a l c o n c e p t c o m m o n t o a l l

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    i n v o l v e s t h i n k i n g a n d a c t i n g w i t h i n a c e r t a i n s e t o fa s s u m p t i o n s a n d p o t e n t i a l a c t i o n a l t e r n a ti v e s ; o rc h a l l e n g i n g e x i s t i n g a s s u m p t i o n s a n d a c t i o n a l t e r -n a t i v e s , p o t e n t i a l l y l e a d i n g t o n e w a n d m o r e a p p r o -p r i a t e o n e s . A n e x a m p l e w o u l d b e a n o r g a n i s a t i o nf a c e d w i t h d e t e r i o r a ti n g p e r f o r m a n c e , a n d w h i c hr e s p o n d s b y b e c o m i n g p r e - o c c u p i e d w i t h t y p i c a la c t i o n s s u c h a s c o s t c u t t in g , d e - l a y e r i n g o r re - e n g i n -e e r i n g w h i c h i t h a s a l s o t a k e n i n t h e p a s t ( u t i l i s i n gs i n g l e - l o o p l e a r n i n g ) . T h i s o r g a n i s a t i o n r e s p o n d s t oh a r d s h i p i n w a y s t h a t h a v e w o r k e d i n th e p a s t . It t a k e sa c t i o n f r o m a f i x e d se t o f a c t i o n a l t e r n a t iv e s a n d d o e sn o t c o n s i d e r o t h e r , n e w a n d p o t e n t i a l l y m o r e a p p r o -p r i a t e a n d c r e a t i v e a c t i o n a l t e r n a t i v e s s u c h a s i n n o -v a t i n g n e w p r o d u c t s t o r e v i t a l is e o r e x p a n d i tsm a r k e t s , o r f o r m i n g a l l i a n c e s t o c o m p e t e g l o b a l l y .T h i s w o u l d a m o u n t t o d o u b l e - l o o p l e ar n i n g i n th i sp a r t i c u l a r c o m p a n y , s i n c e i t s s e t o f p o t e n t i a l a c t i o na l t e r n a t i v e s w o u l d h a v e e x p a n d e d t o i n c l u d e n e wr e s p o n s e s a n d n e w w a y s o f t h i n k in g a b o u t t h e p ro b -l e m s f a c e d , l e a d i n g to d if f e r e n t r e s p o n s e s f r o m w h a tw a s d o n e i n t h e p a s t .

    S t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g i n th i s f o r m u l a t i o n i s s e e n a s a na c t i v i t y c a r r i e d o u t w i t h i n t h e p a r a m e t e r s o f w h a t i st o b e a c h i e v e d , b u t d o e s n o t e x p l i c i t l y q u e s t i o n t h o s ep a r a m e t e r s , a n d i s t h e r e f o r e a n a l o g o u s t o s i n g l e - lo o pl e a rn i n g . S t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g m o s t o f t e n ta k e s a n a l re -a d y d e t e r m i n e d s t r a te g i c d i r e c t i o n a n d h e l p s s t r a-t e g i st s d e c i d e h o w t h e o r g a n i s a t i o n i s t o b e c o n f i g u r e da n d r e s o u r c e s a l l o c a t e d t o r e a l i s e th a t d i r e c t i o n . T h i ss i t u a t i o n h a s g i v e n r is e to a r e l a t i v e l y c o m m o n t h r e a do f t h e c r i t iq u e s o f s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g , t h a t i t d e a l s w i t he x t r a p o l a ti o n s o f t h e p r e s e n t a n d t h e p a s t a s o p p o s e dt o f o c u s i n g o n h o w t o r e i n v e n t t h e f u t u r e ; a n i d e aw h i c h h a s b e e n e m p h a s i s e d i n r e c e n t a p p r o a c h e s t os t r a t e g y s u c h a s " s t r a t e g i c i n t e n t " o r " s t r a t e g y a srev o lu t i o n" . 22.23

    T h e m o d e o f s t r at e g y - m a k in g w h i c h c a n b e a s so c i -a t e d w i t h s u c h r e - i n v e n t i n g o f t h e f u t u r e , t h e c r e a t io no f n e w c o m p e t i t i v e s p a c e a s o p p o s e d t o s tr u g g li n go v e r s l o w - g r o w t h o r e v e n s h r i n k i n g m a r k e t s , i s st r a-t e g ic t h in k i n g . S t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g q u e s t i o n s t h e s t r a -t e g ic p a r a m e t e r s t h e m s e l v e s , a n d i s t h u s a n a l o g o u s t od o u b l e - l o o p l e a r n in g . D i s c o v e r i n g a n d c o m m i t t i n g t on o v e l s t r at e g i e s w h i c h c a n r e - w r i t e t h e r u l e s o f t h ec o m p e t i t i v e a r e n a , n e c e s s i t a t e s r e l a x i n g o r s u s -p e n d i n g a t l e a st p a rt o f t h e c o n v e n t i o n a l w i s d o m a n da s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t th e i n d u s t r y , t h e i n d u s t r yr e c i p e s , 24 a s w e l l a s o n e ' s p s y c h o l o g i c a l f r a m e s 28 i nw h i c h t h e s e r e ci p e s a r e r e p r e s e n t e d , e n v i s i o n i n g an u m b e r o f p o t e n t i a l f u t u r e s , a n d c h a l l e n g i n g t h ee x i st i n g o p e ra t i n g a s s u m p t i o n s o n w h i c h c u r r e n t s tr a-t e g i es a r e b u i l t. T h e d e s i r e d o u t c o m e o f t h e c y c l e o fs t r at e g i c t h i n k i n g / p l a n n i n g i s n o t m e - t o o s t r a te g i e sb u t d i s t in c t p o s i t i o n in g s , s u p p o r t e d b y u n i q u ea c t i v i t y s y s t e m s . 25 F o r e x a m p l e , c o n s i d e r t h e f o l-l o w i n g e x a m p l e s : I n t h e e a r l y 1 9 9 0 s , ca r s w e r e b u i l t i n d i v i d u a l l y a n d

    p a i n s t a k i n g l y b y c ra f t sm e n , a n d o w n i n g o n e w a s ap o t e n t s t a t u s s y m b o l . G o i n g a g a i n s t t h e p r e v a i l i n gw i s d o m o f t h e i n d u s tr y , H e n r y F o r d p r o c l a i m e d"I will build a car for the great multitude . . . I am going todemocratize the automobile . . . . When I 'm through, everybodywill be able to afford one, and about ev erybody will have one."T h i s w a s i n d e e d a c h i e v e d b y c o n t i n u o u s p r o -d u c t i v i t y i m p r o v e m e n t s i n m a n u f a c tu r i n g , t h eb r e a k t h r o u g h c o m i n g w i t h F o r d ' s i d e a t o i n i t i a t e am o v i n g a s s e m b l y l i n e . F o r d h a d t h e i d e a o n a t r i pt o C h i c a g o , w h e r e h e o b s e r v e d t h e w a y t h e m e a tp a c k e r s u s e d t h e o v e r h e a d t r o l l e y t o d r e s s b e e f ;c u t t i n g a p i e c e o f t h e c a r c a s s a s i t m o v e d a l o n g .F o r d r e v e r s e d t h i s p r o c e s s , h a v i n g a m o v i n g v e h i c l ea s s e m b l y l i n e w h e r e w o r k e r s a d d e d p i e c e s a s t h ev e h i c l e m o v e d a l o n g .

    R a y m o n d K r o c , a f i f ty - t w o y e a r o l d m i l k - s h a k em a c h i n e s a l e s m a n s a w i n 1 9 5 4 t h e re s t a u r a n t o fM a u r i c e a n d R i c h a r d M c D o n a l d i n S a n B e r n a r d in o ,o p e r a t i n g l i k e a f i n e - t u n e d m a c h i n e i n a n i n d u s t r yi n w h i c h s u c h p r e c i s i o n a n d e f f i c ie n c y w a su n k n o w n . H e r e a l is e d t h is m o d e l w o u l d b e v e r ys u c c e s s f u l i f i m p l e m e n t e d e l s e w h e r e , b u t t h e tw ob r o t h e r s w e r e n o t i n t e r e s t e d i n g r o w i n g t h e b u s i -n e s s . H e c u t a f r a n c h i s e d e a l w i t h t h e m , a n d s t a r t e de x p a n d i ng w h a t w o u l d b e c o m e t he u n w i t t in ga p p l i c a t i o n o f H e n r y F o r d ' s m a n u f a c t u r i n ga p p r o a c h t o s a n d w i c h - m a k i n g , a n d a h u g e l y s u c -c e s s f u l b u s i n e s s w h i c h c r e a t ed n e w c o m p e t i t i v es p a c e i n t h e r e s t a u r a n t i n d u s t r y .( A d a p t e d f r o m G r o s s D . F o r b e s ' g r e a t e s t b u s i n e s s s t o -

    r i e s o f a l l t ime . )W h i l e H e n r y F o r d w a s p a r t o f t h e U . S . v e h i c l e i n d u s -t ry , a n d R a y K r o c a t t h e m a r g i n s o f t h e U . S . r e s t a u r a n ti n d u s t r y , n o n e o f t h e m a c c e p t e d c o n v e n t i o n a l i n d u s -t r ia l w i s d o m a s g i v e n , e n v i s i o n i n g a l t e r n a ti v e , p l a u s -i b l e f u t u r e s w h i c h w o u l d u l t i m a t e l y r e d e f i n e t h e i ri n d u s t ri e s . M o r e i m p o r t a n tl y , n o n e o f t h e m c o u l dh a v e c o m e u p w i t h t h e i r r a d ic a l ( f o r t h e ir t i m e / c o n -c e p t i o n s o f t h e f u t u r e o f t h e i r i n d u s t r y a s a r e s u l t o ff o r m a l i s e d p l a n n i n g t e c h n i q u e s . E v e n t o d a y , c o m -p a n i e s w h i c h c u r r e n t l y a d d h i g h e r v a l u e a n d d e l i v e rs u p e r i o r r e tu r n s t o s h a r eh o l d e r s a r e t h o s e w h i c h c o n -s i s t e n t l y b r e a k t h e r u l e s o f t h e c o m p e t i t i v e g a m e . 27A D ialect ical View of StrategicThink ing and Strategic P lanningT h e t w o m a i n p o s i t i o n s o n t h e p r o p e r m e a n i n g a n di n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p b e t w e e n t h e i d e a s o f s t r at e g i c t h i n k -i n g a n d s t r a te g i c p l a n n i n g a r e t h e o n e s b y H e n r yM i n t z b e r g a n d M i c h a e l P o r t e r . M i n t z b e r g b e l i e v e st h a t s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g a n d p l a n n i n g i n v o l v e d i s t i n c tt h o u g h t p r o c e s s e s , t h e f o r m e r b e i n g c r e a t i v e a n d t h el a t te r a n a l y t i c a l; w h e r e a s P o r t e r b e l i e v e s t h a t s t r a t e g ict h i n k i n g i s a c h i e v e d b y u t i l i s in g a n a l y t i c a l t o o l s . T h e

    Strategic Think ing o r Strategic Plann ing?

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    under lyin g issue with regar d to these two views seemsto be a focus on different aspects of strategy. Mintz-berg, for example, sees strategies as patterns in astream of decisions and actions, whic h may be delib-erate at times, emer gent at other times, or mixed, andmostly based on managerial int uition and creativity. 28Porter, on the other hand, being highly analytical,sees strategies as particular configurations of thevalue chain whi ch are ideally uniq ue and sustainable,providing strategic positions which cannot be easilycopied by competitors. 25Porter drew attention to the need to understandboth the cross-sectional problem (the causes ofsuperior performance at a given point in time), andthe longitudinal problem (the dynamic process bywhich strategies are arrived a t ) . 2 9 Porter's con-tributions have t ende d to focus on the cross-sectionalrather than the longitudinal problem, however, andMintzberg's contributions have ten ded to focus on thelongitud inal rather than the cross-sectional problem.

    Whereas Mintzberg's view of strategy is mo re process-focused (how strategies are arrived at in organ-isations), Porter's view of strategy is more pos-itioning-focused (what constitutes a sustainablestrategic position in terms of particular organisationalarrangements). These dif ferential loci lead their pro-ponents to suggest correspon ding thinking mode s forthe aspect of strategy they focus on; Mintzberg empha-sising the creative and synthetic, and Porter empha-sising the conv ergent and analytical.Being overly pre- occupie d with terminology, (e.g.what each author means by "strategic thinking" or"strategic planning") can make one miss the essentialpoint that, to the extent that they constitute distinctthinking modes, strategic thinking and strategic plan-ning are both necessary and none is adequate witho utthe other. Creative, ground-b reaking strategies emerg-ing from strategic thinking still have to be oper-ationalised through convergent and analyticalthought (strategic planning), and planning is vital but

    Strategic ThinkingT h o u g h t p r o c e s s :Syn t he t i cD i v e r g e n tCreat ive

    The pu rpose o f s t ra t eg i ct h i nk i ng i s t o d i scove r nove l , " N~i m ag i na t i ve s t ra t eg i es wh i chcan re -w r i t e t he ru l es o f thec o m p e t i ti v e g a m e ; a n d to e n v i s i o npo t en t i a l f u t u res s i gn i f i can t l y d i f f e ren tf r o m t h e p r e s e n t

    The pu rpose o f s t ra t eg i cp l ann i ng i s to o pe ra t i ona l i set h e s t r a t e g i e s d e v e l o p e dt h r o u g h s t r a te g i c t h i n k i n g ,and t o suppo r t t he s t ra t eg i ct h i n k i n g p r o c e s s

    Strategic Planning

    Thouaht orocess. "Ana l y t i ca lC o n v e r g e n tC o n v e n t i o n a l

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    c a n n o t p r o d u c e u n i q u e s t r a t e g i e s w h i c h c a n c h a l -l e n g e in d u s t r i a l b o u n d a r i e s a n d r e d e f i n e i n d u s tr i e s( u n l e s s i t s t i m u l a t e s t h e c r e a t i v e m i n d s e t i n t h ep r o c e s s , a s i n t h e c a s e o f u s i n g a l t e r n a t i v e s c e n a r i o sf o r t h e f u t u r e ) .T h e v i e w p r o p o s e d h e r e h o l d s t h a t s t ra t e gi c t h i n k -i n g a n d s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g a r e i n t e r r e l a t e d i n a d i a -l e c t i c a l p r o c e s s , w h e r e b o t h a r e n e c e s s a r y f o r e f f e c t i v es t ra t e gi c m a n a g e m e n t , a n d e a c h m o d e o n i t s o w n i sn e c e s s a r y b u t n o t s u f f i c i e n t . T h i s v i e w : S u g g e s t s a c l a r i f i c a t io n in t h e m e a n i n g o f t h e t e r m sb y d r a w i n g a n a n a l o g y w i t h l e v e l s o f l e a r n i n g ;i d e n t i f y i n g s t r a t e g i c p l a n n i n g w i t h s i n g l e - l o o pl e a r n i n g a n d s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g w i t h d o u b l e - l o o p

    l e a r n i n g . C o m p l e m e n t s M i n t z b e r g ' s v i e w a b o u t t h e u s e -f u l n e s s o f b o t h s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g a n d p l a n n i n g , a n dh e l p s t o p l a c e t h e M i n t z b e r g / P o r t e r d e b a t e i n c o n -t e x t b y r e c o g n i s i n g t h a t f o c u s i n g o n d i f f e r e n ta s p e c t s o f s t r a t e g y ( th e l o n g i t u d i n a l v e r s u s t h ec r o s s - s e c t i o n a l p r o b l e m ) l e a d s t h e s e a u t h o r s t oa d v o c a t e c o r r e s p o n d i n g t h i n k i n g m o d e s , w h i c h i nt h e f i n a l a n a l y s i s a r e b o t h n e c e s s a r y a n d c o m p -l e m e n t a r y .M i n t z b e r g 's v i e w a b o u t t h e d i f f e r e n c e s b e t w e e n

    s t r a t e g i c t h i n k i n g a n d p l a n n i n g a n d t h e i n a b i l i t y o fp l a n n i n g t o p r o d u c e g r o u n d - b r e a k i n g s t r a te g i es d o e sn o t n e c e s s a r i l y c l a s h w i t h P o r t e r ' s v i e w t h a t a n a -l y t i c a l t o o l s a r e n e c e s s a r y , a n d t h a t t h e y c a n a l s os t i m u l a t e c r e a t i v i t y . T h e t o o l s o n e u s e s a t e a c h s t a g eo f t h e s t ra t e gi c m a n a g e m e n t p r o c e s s , a r e n o t i m p o r -t a n t i n t h e m s e l v e s b u t a s t h e m e a n s o f e n c o u r a g i n gt h e c r e a t i v e a n d a n a l y t i c a l m i n d s e t . T h e r e i d e a l l yn e e d s t o b e a d i a l e c t i c a l t h o u g h t p r o c e s s o f b e i n g a b l et o d i v e r g e a n d t h e n c o n v e r g e , b e i n g c r e a t i v e a n d t h e ns e e i n g th e r e a l - w o r l d i m p l i c a t i o n s , a n d b e i n g s y n -t h e t i c b u t a l s o a n a l y t i c a l . I t a l l c o m e s d o w n t o t h ea b i l i t y t o go u p a n d d o w n t h e l a d d e r o f a b s t r a c ti o n ,a n d b e i n g a b l e to s e e b o t h t h e b ig p i c t u r e a n d t h eo p e r a t i o n a l i m p l i c a t i o n s , w h i c h a r e s ig n s o f o ut -s t a n d i n g l e a d e r s a n d s t r a t e g is t s .T h i s v i e w i s n o t m e a n t t o b e a d e s c r i p t i o n o f a c t u a lm a n a g e r i a l p r a c t i c e , b u t i t is m e a n t t o b e a s u g g e s t i o nf o r a n o r m a t i v e , b u t a c h i e v a b l e b e s t p r a c t i c e . H e r es t ra t e g ic t h i n k i n g a n d p l a n n i n g o c c u r i t e r a t i v e l y o v ert i m e , w h e r e t h e r e i s a c o n t i n u a l q u e s t f o r n o v e l a n dc r e a t iv e s t ra t e gi e s w h i c h c a n b e b o r n i n t h e m i n d s o fs t r a te g i s t s o r c a n e m e r g e f r o m t h e g r a s s r oo t s ; a s w e l la s e m p l o y m e n t o f a n a l y t ic a l p r o c e s s e s to d e t e r m i n es u c h i s s u e s a s t h e s t r a t e g i e s ' d e s i r a b i l i t y a n d f e a s i -b i l it y , a n d t o p l a n f o r t h e i r r e a l i s a t i o n .

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    Long Range Planning Vol. 31 June 1998