1

STRATEGIC RENEWAL STRATEGIC RENEWAL (Organisational learning)(Organisational learning)

CC

BBAA

Strategic Strategic Inflection PointInflection Point

PER

FO

RM

AN

PER

FO

RM

AN

CE

CE

YEARSYEARS20012001 20072007 20152015

2

NRF NRF LLINKAGE INKAGE TTO O DSTDST 1010--YYEAR EAR IINNOVATION NNOVATION PPLANLAN

NRFNRF

3

NRFNRF VVISION ISION & & CCOMPOSITIONOMPOSITION

SCIENCE

MISSIONS

MuseumMuseum ZooZoo Observatory

SCIENCE AWARENESS PLATFORM

EDUCATION

SCIENCE

COMMUNICATION

School science support

Science materialsScience materialsCommunication of research to

public audiences

Science and the media

SET Careers

KNOWLEDGE

MANAGEMENT

SSCIENCE CIENCE AADVANCEMENTDVANCEMENT

5

THE PTHE PHHD PIPELINE in SAD PIPELINE in SA

PHD’s ~ 1 200/yr

HG Maths and Science ~ 26 000/yr

Senior certificate with endorsement~ 86 500/yr

Existing National graduation pipeline (2005)

Existing National SETpipeline (2005)

Total all undergraduate rates ~ 49 753/yr

Hons ~ 23 000/yr

Masters ~ 8 000/yr

Total SET undergraduate rates ~15 991/yr

Hons ~ 3 200/yr

Masters ~ 2 900/yr(incl. coursework)

PHD’s ~ 561/yr

Average conversion efficiency Average conversion efficiency (BSc – Hons; Hons – Masters; (BSc – Hons; Hons – Masters;

Master – PHD)Master – PHD)43% to 57% ~ 3000 SET PHD’s 43% to 57% ~ 3000 SET PHD’s

/year/year

6

PPHHD ED ENROLMENTNROLMENT vs. G vs. GRADUATIONRADUATION

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Enrolments Graduates

7

PhD production

149

315

259

115

436

173

40

389

355

108

186 181196

155

46

187

116

155

307272

174

27

240

146172

171

120

22

174

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Pol

and

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Ger

man

y

Mex

ico

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Fran

ce

Japa

n

Spa

in

Kor

ea (R

epub

lic o

f)

Can

ada

Italy

Aus

tralia

Sw

itzer

land

Sw

eden

Net

herla

nds

Turk

ey

Por

tuga

l

Aus

tria

Finl

and

Hun

gary

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Nor

way

Irela

nd

New

Zea

land

Icel

and

Slo

vak

Rep

ublic

Gre

ece

Den

mar

k

Bel

gium

Chi

na

Indi

a

Taiw

an

Sou

th A

frica

Bra

zil

PhD

's (/

mill

ion

of p

opul

atio

n / y

ear)

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

PPHHD PD PRODUCTIONRODUCTION RRATESATES FOR FOR SSELECTEDELECTED CCOUNTRIESOUNTRIES

A-league(Germany, UK, Switzerland, Sweden, Portugal, Austria,

Finland)

B-league(US, Japan, Spain, South Korea, Australia, Netherlands, Norway

etc.)

C-league(Mexico, Turkey, Iceland, China,

India, Brazil, South Africa)

AANNUALNNUAL P PHHD FD FAIRAIR EENDND M MAYAY- -

FFLAGSHIP OF LAGSHIP OF PPHHDD PPROJECTROJECT

AANNUALNNUAL P PHHD FD FAIRAIR EENDND M MAYAY- -

FFLAGSHIP OF LAGSHIP OF PPHHDD PPROJECTROJECT

INVITEDSTUDENTS

OVERSEAS PARTNERS

PPHHD FAIRD FAIR

SPEAKERS

Service

Tables/Stalls-SA HEIs-International HEIs-Science Councils

HIGHER ED.RECRUITERS

-Employed-Current students-Interns-General Public

SPONSORS

-Government-Government-Corporate-Corporate-NGOs-NGOs

- Motivational Keynote- Government- Research DVCs/Deans - Successful PHD Grads - Concurrent Subject Panels

-EOC IIE SAEPEOC IIE SAEP-USAID/NSF-USAID/NSF(US)-European Partners

•Most successful program Most successful program in the 80s & 90s.in the 80s & 90s.

•Produced over 1,600 Produced over 1,600 graduates from US HEIsgraduates from US HEIs

•Return rate › 95%Return rate › 95%

•Senior Positions in NSISenior Positions in NSI

9

8000 33

000

5500

0

7000

0

4500

0 8000

0 1200

00

4000

0 7000

0

1200

00

1800

00

1500

0

020,00040,00060,00080,000

100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000200,000

Ra

nd

s Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

PPOST OST GGRAD RAD FFUNDING UNDING SSCENARIOSCENARIOS

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DDISCIPLINESISCIPLINES vs. Gvs. GRANDRAND CCHALLENGESHALLENGES

Econ/M

gt Sc

Econ/M

gt Sc

i i

Life Sc

Life Sc

ii

E

ngin/Tech

Engin/Tech

Nat.S

ci/Math

Nat.S

ci/Math

Hum

an/Law

Hum

an/Law

S

oc. Sci

Soc. S

ci

CH

ALLEN

GES

/C

HA

LLEN

GES

/TH

EM

ES

TH

EM

ES

Other

Energy Security

Space Science

Human/SocialDynamics

Global Change

Material & Nanotech

Bio-Economy

DISCIPLINESDISCIPLINES

11

R & D

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

20

15

10

5

0

10

20

30

40

COMMERCIALISATION

VC SweetSpot

ICT

New Materials(steel)

TIME

INV

ES

TM

EN

TR

ETU

RN

S

Biotech

IF SWEET POT

IINNOVATIONNNOVATION F FUND:UND: HHIGHIGH R RISKISK I INVESTMENTSNVESTMENTS

12

R&D INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO SINCE 1999R&D INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO SINCE 1999

13

KKEY EY CCHALLENGES: HALLENGES: 2008-2009 (CONT)2008-2009 (CONT)

• In real terms, declining MTEF core allocation (e.g. RISA core grant – 97.4% of MTEF committed to grant making)

NRF FUNDING TREND

450 523 559

117156 170

639

864

1,229

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2007 2008 2009

Year

R' m

illi

on

Contract &Other

Ringfencedgrant from DST

Core grant fromDST