stock market trends & observations - 08/20/11
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Wvjgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw ! J`wkpqhvcjow
Wvjgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw Ukkdis [|fhvk
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NS GMHPVW -|pcgkw hpk hiuhsw {| vj vmk nco{vk#
GJNNKOVW
Wcogk Wvk| 7 cw w{`.wvk||coe) vmhv nkhow vmk wmjpv vkpn uhqk gj{ov ucii icdkis `jvvjn `kiju wvk| 0/
\pkqcj{wis C mhf mkif j{v vmk mj|k ajp h mcemkp iju ajp wvk| 7 `{v vmhv cw qhocwmcoe/
Vmk |pj`iknw co K{pj|k hpk mhqcoe wkpcj{w pk|kpg{wwcjow ajp j{p wvjgd nhpdkv hof co v{po vmcw cwcoff{kogcoe j{p `hodw hof |jwwc`is wjnk ihpek mkfek a{ofw/
@kiju cw h uhqk gj{ov ajp vmk `hodw vmhv mhw h `khpcwm covkp|pkvhvcjo/ Vmcw gj{ov mhw n{gm njpk vj
gjnk jo vmk fjuowcfk/ C mhf jpcecohiis mkif j{v mj|k ajp h ohi `jvvjn jo vmk ihwv fkgicok `{v uk mhqk
|kokvphvkf vmhv iju gpkhvcoe hojvmkp wvk| fjuo/ Ca uk ukpk vj v{po {| qkps wjjo ucvmj{v hosnjpk
fhnhek) C gj{if gj{ov vmcw hw pwv wvk| {| cowvkhf ja hojvmkp ike fjuo/ Vmhv gj{ov fjkwov h||khp
icdkis/ Ca vmk `hodw hpk co h ijoe vkpn fkgicok) vmk pkwv ja vmk nhpdkv cw hiwj co ijoe vkpn vpj{`ik/
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W\KKFICOKW ! VPKOFICOKW .
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QKPS IJOE VKPN
Uk mhqk 7 |jwwc`cicvckw ajp vmk a{v{pk/
Uk mhqk kovkpkf h qkps ucfk wucoecoe nhpdkv -nkeh|mjok ajpnhvcjo# wcncihp vj vmhv ja 8311 vj
8356/ F{pcoe vmhv kph uk mhf vmpkk `khp nhpdkvw ucvm vuj covkpqkocoe `{ii nhpdkv phiickw/ Khgm
`khp nhpdkv mhf h ijukp iju vmho vmk |pkqcj{w `khp/ Vmk covkpqkocoe `{ii nhpdkv phiickw whu oku
hii vcnk mcemw `kajpk vmk ok}v `khp nhpdkv `keho/Uk mhqk ajpnkf h m{ek mkhf hof wmj{ifkpw ajpnhvcjo wcogk 833=/ Ca vmcw ajpnhvcjo cw qhicf) vmk
fjuowcfk nkhw{pknkov ghiiw ajp h `jvvjn hpj{of Fju Bjokw Cof{wvpchiw 8)
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Wmhpk vmcw2
Vmk epjuvm wvjgdw wmju fhcis nhpdkv hgvcjo ajp vmk ihwv 7 skhpw hof hiwj ukkdis |pcgkw wcogk
833
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Wmhpk vmcw2
\jwwc`cicvs2 Uk mhqk gjn|ikvkf wvk| 7 wcogk ihwv Ukfokwfhs) umcgm nkhow vmk gj{ov cw gjn|ikvk
hof h phiis cw f{k/ Ijukp ijuw gpkhvcoe hojvmkp wvk| fjuo ucii okehvk vmcw |jwwc`cicvs/
Nkfc{n uhqk gj{ov wgkohpcjw
Uk hpk co wvk| 7 fjuo gj{ovcoe wcogk B{is 5vm/
Gjn|ikvcjo ja vmcw wvk| wceohiw h phiis
Ijoekp uhqk gj{ov wgkohpcjwUk hpk co wvk| 7 fjuo gj{ovcoe wcogk Ak`p{hps 0
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Fhcis Wvjgd Nhpdkv [|fhvk
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Wmhpk vmcw2
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Gjnnkovw2@k vmk pwv vj gjnnkovKfcv
Wvjgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw Ukkdis [|fhvk
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Uk ucii wcv hof uhcv humcik ajp vmk ok}v `jvvjn vmhv gj{if nhpd vmk kof ja vmk fkgicok/ Vmcw gj{if
|pkwkov h WCEOCACGHOV `{scoe j||jpv{ocvs/
Vmkpk cw vmk |jwwc`cicvs vmhv uk mhqk gjn|ikvkf 7pf wvk| fjuo `{v C vmcod ojv/ Pkehpfikww uk wmj{if
mhqk h `jvvjncoe vs|k fkgicok vmhv ucii ecqk {w ho j||jpv{ocvs vj `{s vmcw nhpdkv/
Vmk ffc| wcfk cw vmhv vmk ok}v wvk| fjuo gj{if `k hojvmkp qcwgj{w fkgicok/ Wcogk uk hpkov co vmk nhpdkv)
uk ucii wcv jo vmk wcfkicokw hof uhcv ajp vmcoew vj {oajif ucvm oj fhnhek fjok/ Vmk `hodw hpk wvciiwmjucoe h pki{gvhogk vj phiis hof vmhv w{||jpvw vmk vmkjps vmhv hojvmkp wvk| fjuo cw ajpvmgjncoe/
Vmk |pj`iknw co K{pj|k hpk ojv ejcoe huhs/ Cv |pj`h`is `jciw fjuo vj umko mhqk Hnkpcgho wvjgdw
fcwgj{ovkf vmk a{v{pk ja K{pj|kw |pj`iknw/ Gmcoh cw wmjucoe wceow ja ecqcoe {| jo vmk coffhvcjo emv
hof cogpkhwcoe vmk ffju ja njoks/ Vmcw gj{if jaawkv vmk K{pj|kho fcwhwvkp vj wjnk k}vkov/
Cv h||khpw vmhv vmk phiis) umcgm `keho jo V{kwfhs mhw gjn|ikvkf 0 wvk|w {| -wkk vmk fhcis BOD hof AVWK
gmhpvw#/ Vmkpk ukpk wceow ihvk Apcfhs vmhv h gjowjicfhvcjo uhw kecoocoe/ Wj ahp vmcw gjowjicfhvcjo
h||khpw vj `k wmhiiju/ H fkgicok ajiijukf `s hojvmkp wvk| {| gj{if |jwwc`is ocwm vmcw phiis/ @{v vmk
cpphvcjohi ohv{pk ja vmk `jvvjn cw w{gm vmhv uk gj{if mhqk gjn|ikvkf 7 wvk|w {|/
Havkp h wceocghov fkgicok uk mhqk `jvvjncoe vs|k hgvcjo/ Co 0
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gmhpv cw gjowvhovis gmhoecoe hw cv pkw|jofw vj vmk hgv{hi njqknkovw ja vmk nhpdkv/
WMJPV VKPN
Uk hpk j|kphvcoe {ofkp h wkii wceohi/
Vmk `kwv wmjpv vkpn wgkohpcj
Uk mhqk kofkf wvk| 7 fjuo hof h phiis mhw `ke{o/
Vmk ujpwv wmjpv vkpn wgkohpcj
Wvk| 7 cw ojv gjn|ikvk hof hojvmkp qcgcj{w ike fjuo cw wvcii vj gjnk/
COVKPNKFCHVK VKPN
Vmk phiis vmhv `keho co B{is 0
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Uk nhs mhqk `ke{o h `khp nhpdkv
QKPS IJOE VKPN
Uk mhqk 7 |jwwc`cicvckw ajp vmk a{v{pk/
Uk mhqk kovkpkf h qkps ucfk wucoecoe nhpdkv -nkeh|mjok ajpnhvcjo# wcncihp vj vmhv ja 8311 vj
8356/ F{pcoe vmhv kph uk mhf vmpkk `khp nhpdkvw ucvm vuj covkpqkocoe `{ii nhpdkv phiickw/ Khgm`khp nhpdkv mhf h ijukp iju vmho vmk |pkqcj{w `khp/ Vmk covkpqkocoe `{ii nhpdkv phiickw whu oku
hii vcnk mcemw `kajpk vmk ok}v `khp nhpdkv `keho/
Uk mhqk ajpnkf h m{ek mkhf hof wmj{ifkpw ajpnhvcjo wcogk 833=/ Ca vmcw ajpnhvcjo cw qhicf) vmk
fjuowcfk nkhw{pknkov ghiiw ajp h `jvvjn hpj{of Fju Bjokw Cof{wvpchiw 8)
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Wmhpk vmcw2
C vmcod sj{ ucii of vmkwk gmhpvw qkps {wka{i hw vmks gjqkp vcnk aphnkw apjn nco{vkw vj fkghfkw/
Vmk ohi wkgvcjo ja vmkwk gmhpvw gjowcwvw ja wjnk ja epjuvm wvjgdw vmhv mhqk ejjf wvp{gv{pk vj vmkcp
gmhpvw/ Ns ahqjpcvk gmhpv ajpnhvcjo cw jok vmhv fkgicokw hof wvj|w hv vmk vj| ja h |pkqcj{w vj||coe
hpkh/ Vmcw pkffkgvw ejjf hgg{n{ihvcjo hof h gjovpjiikf gjppkgvcjo/
Vmk epjuvm wvjgdw wmju fhcis nhpdkv hgvcjo ajp vmk ihwv 7 skhpw hof hiwj ukkdis njqkw wcogk
833
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Pkhf vmk eijwwhps ajp k}|ihohvcjow hof vhgvcgw/
Ns Gmhpvw -|pcgkw hpk hiuhsw {| vj vmk nco{vk#
Vjfhs uhw h 3
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Wmhpk vmcw2
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H{e{wv 0
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Mcwvjps hiuhsw pk|khvw) jois vmk fkvhciw gmhoek/
Kfwjo Ej{if
Ca sj{ mhqk vpj{`ik cnhecocoe h 0
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Bjmo Nhsohpf Dksokw
Njoks vhidw) `{v hii ncok kqkp whsw cw "ejjf`sk"
Fjo%v ehn`ik/ Vhdk hii ja sj{p whqcoew hof `{s wjnk ejjf wvjgd hof mjif cv {ovci cv ejkw {|) vmko wkii cv/
Ca cv fjo%v ej {|) fjo%v `{s cv/
Ucii Pjekpw
Pkv{po ja |pcogc|hi cw njpk cn|jpvhov vmho vmk pkv{po jo |pcogc|hi/
Mj|k cw sj{p ujpwv kokns co vmk nhpdkv/
Fjo%v ghvgm h ahiicoe docak/
W|kof hv ikhwv hw n{gm vcnk pkwkhpgmcoe h wvjgd hw sj{ uj{if gmjjwcoe h pkapcekphvjp/
\kvkp Isogm
Umko sj{ pkhicrk vmhv sj{ hpk pcfcoe h fkhf mjpwk vmk `kwv wvphvkes cw vj fcwnj{ov/
Wcj{} Cofcho \pjqkp`
Fjov kqkp nhdk vmk ncwvhdk ja vkiicoe vmk nhpdkv cv cw upjoe/
Bhnkw Fcokw
Uhii Wvpkkv okqkp gmhoekw) vmk |jgdkvw gmhoek) vmk w{gdkpw gmhoek) vmk wvjgdw gmhoek) `{v Uhii Wvpkkv
okqkp gmhoekw) `kgh{wk m{nho ohv{pk okqkp gmhoekw/
Bkwwk Icqkpnjpk
Ikv Uhii Wvpkkv mhqk h ocemvnhpk hof vmk umjik gj{ovps mhw vj mki| ekv vmkn `hgd co `kf hehco
Ucii Pjekpw
@{iiw nhdkw njoks) `khpw nhdkw njoks) |cew ekv wih{emvkpkf/Ns Ephofahvmkp
Okqkp `{s h wvjgd vmhv ujo%v ej {| co h `{ii nhpdkv/ Okqkp wkii h wvjgd vmhv ujo%v ej fjuo co h `khp
nhpdkv/
Uhii Wvpkkv cw h wvpkkv ucvm h pcqkp hv jok kof hof h ephqkshpf hv vmk jvmkp/
Okqkp gmkgd wvjgd |pcgkw jo h Apcfhs) cv gj{if w|jci sj{p ukkdkof/
Oj`jfs cw njpk `khpcwm vmho h wjif.j{v `{ii/
Vmk |{`icg cw pcemv f{pcoe vmk vpkofw `{v upjoe hv `jvm kofw/
M{n|mpks Okcii
Vmjwk umj gho) fj/
Vmjwk umj ghov) vkhgm/
Vmjwk umj ghov vkhgm) ujpd ajp vmk ejqkponkov/
Okqkp wkii h f{ii nhpdkv wmjpv/
jgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw ! J`wkpqhvcjow mvv|2**wvjgdnhpdkvj`wkpqhvcjow/ujpf|pkw
ja 0= =*0
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C wkii k{|mjpch hof `{s |hocg/ Vmk uhs mk fkvkpncokw vmhv cw vj uhcv {ovci |pcgkw wvhpv eh||coe co vmk
gmhpvw/ Eh||coe jo vmk {|wcfk cw k{|mjpch) umcik eh||coe jo vmk fjuowcfk cw |hocg/
Bcnns Pjekpw ! Bkaa Wh{v
"G{v sj{p ijwwkw hof ikv sj{p |pjvw p{o/"
H`j{v Vmcw @ije
J`wkpqhvcjow ja Wvjgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw {wkw wkqkphi |pj|pckvhps vkgmocghi cofcghvjpw fcwgjqkpkf `s vmk
h{vmjp/ Vmk j`bkgv ja vmcw `ije cw vj ojvcas sj{ -|pkakph`is co hfqhogk# ja vmk cn|jpvhov vj|w hof `jvvjnw
co vmk wvjgd nhpdkv/ Uk doju vmhv%w cn|jwwc`ik) `{v okqkpvmkikww) cv%w `kcoe fjok co vmcw `ije/ Ucvm ;;
skhpw ja k}|kpckogk vphfcoe co vmk nhpdkv) C mhqk ikhpokf umko vj `hpd hof umko vj `k x{ckv/
Vmk ukkdis jqkpqcku ja "J`wkpqhvcjow ja Wvjgd Nhpdkv Vpkofw" cw |{`icwmkf khgm ukkdkof/ H fhcis
{|fhvk cw icdkis umko C mhqk wjnkvmcoe vj whs jp uk hpk okhp h wvjgd nhpdkv coffkgvcjo |jcov/
Ca sj{ of vmk `ije covkpkwvcoe) |ikhwk `kgjnk h ajiijukp `s kovkpcoe sj{p knhci hffpkww co vmk wkgvcjo
"Knhci W{`wgpc|vcjo" -vj| ja vmcw gji{no#/ Sj{ n{wv hiwj gjopn sj{p knhci w{`wgpc|vcjo `s gicgdcoe jo
h icod co vmk gjopnhvcjo knhci) jvmkpucwk sj{ hco%v w{`wgpc`kf/
Fcwgijw{pk
Vmk gjovkov jo vmcw `ije cw nkhov vj `k kovkpvhcocoe coajpnhvcjo hof wmj{if ojv `k gjowvp{kf hw
coqkwvnkov hfqcgk/
Oj wvhvknkov `s vmk `ije%w h{vmjp wmj{if `k covkp|pkvkf hw h pkgjnnkofhvcjo vj `{s jp wkii hos wkg{pcvs)
ohogchi cowvp{nkov) jp vj |hpvcgc|hvk co h vphfcoe jp coqkwvnkov wvphvkes/
Hos coqkwvnkov fkgcwcjo `s hosjok jvmkp vmho vmk `ije%w h{vmjp vmhv pkw{ivw co ijwwkw jp ehcow `hwkf jocoajpnhvcjo apjn vmcw `ije cw ojv vmk pkw|jowc`cicvs ja vmk `ije%w h{vmjp/
Vmk `ije%w h{vmjp ucii nhdk wvhvknkovw h`j{v gkpvhco coqkwvnkov qkmcgikw hof wvphvkeckw) `{v Cv%w wcn|is
vmk h{vmjp k}|pkwwcoe mcw j|cocjo) jp hgvcjo) pkehpfcoe mcw juo coqkwvnkovw/ Vmkwk j|cocjow hpk okqkp vj
`k gjowvp{kf hw coqkwvnkov hfqcgk/
H`j{v Nk
Ucvm ;; skhpw ja wv{fscoe hof coqkwvcoe co vmk wvjgd nhpdkv) C hn wmhpcoe vmkwk k}|kpckogkw hof
dojuikfek `s upcvcoe h wvjgd nhpdkv `ije/ Vmcw `ije pkickw jo wkqkphi {ocx{k hof |pj|pckvhps cofcghvjpw/
C%n ojv coahiic`ik mhqcoe nhfk wjnk qkps `hf vhgvcghi ncwvhdkw `{v hiwj C mhqk `kko gjppkgv hv wjnk ja
vmk `ceekwv nhpdkv v{pow co vmk ihwv 7; skhpw/ C uhw wmjpv ajp njwv ja 8356 hof pkqkpwkf gj{pwk hof
`kghnk h `{skp f{pcoe vmk ukkd `kajpk Gmpcwvnhw 8356/ C uhw hiwj wmjpv ajp njwv ja vmk pwv mhia ja
83=0 `{v `kghnk h `{skp jo H{e{wv 6) 83=0) qk fhsw `kajpk vmk H{e{wv 3) 83=0 `ihwv jaa jo vmk `{ii
p{o ja vmk =
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mhf mcem ahci{pk phvkw/ C wkhpgmkf ajp h ajpn{ih vmhv ujpdkf gjowcwvkovis hof co 8357 C w{`wgpc`kf vj
Kfwjo Ej{if%w "Acofcoew ! Ajpkghwvw"/ Mkpk C wvp{gd ejif ucvm vmk nhwvkp vkgmocgcho ja vmk 0