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Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: Is MT in C risis? 1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 • Panelists: Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) Robert Frederking (CMU) Dekai Wu (Hong Kong Univ of Science and Technology) Harold Somers (Manchester University) • Moderator: Steven Krauwer (Utrecht University, [email protected])

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Page 1: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis? 1

Is MT in Crisis?Panel Session at TMI 2007

• Panelists:– Robert Moore (Microsoft Research)

– Robert Frederking (CMU)

– Dekai Wu (Hong Kong Univ of Science and Technology)

– Harold Somers (Manchester University)

• Moderator:– Steven Krauwer (Utrecht University,

[email protected])

Page 2: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

2

The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

Steven Krauwer

Utrecht University

[email protected]

Page 3: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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Overview

• The problem• Some known contributing factors• The discovery• The proposal• The take-up• The impact• The results• The future

Page 4: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The problem

• Around 1900:– First powered aircraft– Flying highly experimental

• Success and progress hard to measure because of interplay between many known and unknown factors and lack of standards for measurement

Page 5: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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Some known contributing factors

• wind• thermals• difference between start and finish altitude• start speed• flight duration• distance covered• altitude reached• number of passengers transported

Page 6: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The discovery

• Papilloni (1902) first observed a strong negative correlation between what experts saw as successful flights and the noise made upon touchdown

• Noise could originate from various sources (gliding, rolling, exploding, crashing, victims) but the correlation was very strong

Page 7: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The proposal

• Papilloni proposed the following approach:– high precision equipment is used to measure the

noise made by the plane upon touchdown– the measure unit is Decibel upOn TouchDown

(DOTD)– a lower score indicates better performance

Page 8: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The take-up

• Immediate interest from whole aviation community

• Soon formally adopted by NISA (National Institute for Successful Aviation) with some refinements

• Used as the driving force for aviation R&D funding

Page 9: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The impact

• DOTD became en enabler for competitive R&D in aircraft development

• it led to adoption of standards for noise measuring• it led to standards for determining the moment of

touchdown• it led to improved measuring techniques, such as:

– more precision (at present up to 45 decimals)– cancellation filters for wind and engine sounds– cancellation filters for birds and spectator noise

Page 10: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The results after a century, in 2007• new generation of advanced, successful airplanes • features (based on latest campaign)

– air speed up to 15 km/h– domination of electric or spring engines– max altitudes 0.2 – 0.5 meter– max distances covered 0.5 – 25(!) meter– soft, flexible materials (fur very popular in spite of

animal activists)– touchdown almost inaudible to the human ear, even

when on fire– pre-flight scream prevention training for passengers– advanced anti-scream masks for passengers

Page 11: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: The Impact of DOTD on Aviation

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The future (till 2017)

• challenges– higher altitudes (up to 3 meter)– distances up to 100 meter– untrained passengers

• expectations– with the present funding level this should be

possible within 10 years– earlier with more funding!

Page 12: Steven KrauwerTMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis?1 Is MT in Crisis? Panel Session at TMI 2007 Panelists: –Robert Moore (Microsoft Research) –Robert Frederking

Steven Krauwer TMI2007 Panel: Is MT in Crisis? 12

Structure of the session

10-30: Panelists introduce themselves and tell us whether or not MT is in crisis

30-35: Open floor discussion35-55: Panelists describe last two big achievements

in MT55-60: Open floor discussion65-80: Panelists predict next breakthrough80-85: Open floor discussion85-90: Closing